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81.
《地震研究进展（英文）》2023,3(1):100197
It is critical to determine whether a site has potential damage in real-time after an earthquake occurs, which is a challenge in earthquake disaster reduction. Here, we propose a real-time Earthquake Potential Damage predictor (EPDor) based on predicting peak ground velocities (PGVs) of sites. The EPDor is composed of three parts: (1) predicting the magnitude of an earthquake and PGVs of triggered stations based on the machine learning prediction models; (2) predicting the PGVs at distant sites based on the empirical ground motion prediction equation; (3) generating the PGV map through predicting the PGV of each grid point based on an interpolation process of weighted average based on the predicted values in (1) and (2). We apply the EPDor to the 2022 MS 6.9 Menyuan earthquake in Qinghai Province, China to predict its potential damage. Within the initial few seconds after the first station is triggered, the EPDor can determine directly whether there is potential damage for some sites to a certain degree. Hence, we infer that the EPDor has potential application for future earthquakes. Meanwhile, it also has potential in Chinese earthquake early warning system. 相似文献
82.
地震预警是地震减灾工作的重要途径,而震级预估是整个地震紧急预警系统中重要且较为困难的一个环节.目前,世界上多个国家和地区都已建立了各自的地震预警系统,并且形成了特征频率(τ_p和τ_c等)相关和特征振幅(Pd等)相关的两类震级紧急预警的方法,但各有局限性.本文在已有的方法和理论基础上,运用机器学习算法,将日本KIK和KNET台网从2015年至2017年所记录到的843条地震目录,55426条记录作为全数据集,设计、训练出一套用于常见震级范围的机器学习震级预估模型.与已有方法的预估结果相比,机器学习方法不仅使预估的整体误差和方差下降,同时多台联合评估单一地震事件的截面方差也更低.本研究的结果显示了机器学习算法在震级紧急预估问题上具有较广阔的应用前景,同时也为较为复杂的深度学习类算法框架下端到端模型提供了实践基础和研究可能. 相似文献
83.
高分六号红边特征的农作物识别与评估 总被引：3，自引：0，他引：3
红边作为植被敏感波段，其红边特征的运用是遥感识别农作物并实现精准农业的高新手段之一。以黑龙江松嫩平原北部为研究区，以国内首个提供红边波段的多光谱高分六号影像和玉米、大豆、水稻总计82859个作物样本同时作为研究对象，从以下几个方面研究了红边波段和红边指数波段等红边特征在农作物识别中的表现，并评估了农作物的识别精度。（1） 通过作物样本辐射亮度值的统计特征，初步显示了在两红边波段0.710 μm和0.750 μm处有比其他波段更好的区分；（2） 根据传统归一化植被指数形式构建了红边归一化植被指数NDVI710和NDVI750，综合两指数在J-M距离表征的作物样本类别区分度上比传统NDVI更显著；（3） 通过多种手段筛选了有效波段并且制定了支持向量机（SVM）框架下4种农作物识别的分类策略，分别在5∶5、6∶4、7∶3、8∶2、9∶1等5套随机样本分割方案下完成研究区域农作物的分类预测。在这20类分类精度中kappa系数均高于0.9609，总体精度高于0.9742；列向上5∶5分割方案的精度最高，8∶2的精度最低；横向上分类精度排序如下：SVM-RFE > SVM-RF > SVM-有红边波段 > SVM-无红边波段，该结果表明了红边指数和红边波段的参与显著地提高了作物的识别精度；（4） 由于水域等其他样本的缺少，SVM-RFE方法和SVM-RF方法的分类图像均存在少量错分现象。但从分类精度和图像细节展示上来看，SVM-RFE方法要优于SVM-RF方法，二者分类图像的交叉验证中kappa系数为0.8060，总体精度为0.8743。总之，高分六号红边特征在作物识别中表现优越，使得识别精度显著提高。后续研究者可开发更多与红边相关的植被指数，充分发挥红边特征在精准农业中的作用。 相似文献
84.
Wetlands are the second-most valuable natural resource on Earth but have declined by approximately 70 % since 1900. Restoration and conservation efforts have succeeded in some areas through establishment of refuges where anthropogenic impacts are minimized. However, these areas are still prone to wetland damage caused by natural disasters. Severe storms such as Hurricane Irma, which made landfall as a Category 3 hurricane in southwest Florida (USA) on September 11, 2017, can cause the destruction of mangroves and other wetland habitat. Multispectral images from commercial satellites provide a means to assess the extent of the damage to different wetland habitat types with high spatial resolution (2 m pixels or finer) over large areas. Using such images presents a number of challenges, including deriving consistent and accurate classification of wetland and non-wetland vegetation. Machine learning methods have demonstrated high-accuracy mapping capabilities on small spatial scales, but require a large amount of robust training data. Meanwhile, ambitious efforts to map larger areas at finer resolutions may use hundreds of thousands of images, and therefore encounter Big-Data processing challenges. Large-scale efforts face the dilemma of adopting traditional mapping methods that may lend themselves to Big Data analytics but may result in accuracies that are inferior to new methods, or move to machine learning methods, which require robust training data. Given these considerations, we describe a version of the traditional Decision Tree (DT) approach and compare two common machine learning methods to derive land cover classes using a WorldView-2 image collected on November 12, 2018 to include one growing season after Hurricane Irma affected this area. Specifically, we compared the Support Vector Machine [SVM] and Neural Network [NN] methods, trained and validated with separate ground-truth datasets collected during a robust field campaign. Overall accuracies were only marginally different (85 % NN vs 83 % each DT and SVM), but healthy mangroves were more accurately identified with the DT (91 % vs 88 % NN and 86 % SVM), and degraded mangroves were more accurately identified with NN (62 % vs 57 % NN and 38 % DT). These results, combined with their respective training requirements, have implications for the direction with which large-scale high-resolution mapping of coastal habitats proceeds. 相似文献
85.
A precise knowledge of the crop distribution in the landscape is crucial for the agricultural sector to inform better management and logistics. Crop-type maps are often derived by the supervised classification of satellite imagery using machine learning models. The choice of data sampled during the data collection phase of building a classification model has a tremendous impact on a model's performance, and is usually collected via roadside surveys throughout the area of interest. However, the large spatial extent, and the varying accessibility to fields, often makes the acquisition of appropriate training data sets difficult. As such, in situ data are often collected on a best-effort basis, leading to inefficiencies, sub-optimal accuracies, and unnecessarily large sample sizes. This highlights the need for new more efficient tools to guide data collection. Here, we address three tasks that one commonly faces when planning to collect in situ data: which survey route to select among a set logistically feasible routes; which fields are the most relevant to collect along the chosen survey route; and how to best augment existing in situ data sets with additional observations. Our findings show that the normalised Moran's I index is a useful indicator for choosing the survey route, and that sequential exploration methods can identify the most important fields to survey on that route. The provided recommendations are flexible, overcome the main logistical constraints associated with in situ data collection, yield accurate results, and could be incorporated in a mobile application to assist data collection in real-time. 相似文献
86.
文章主要根据机器学习算法（随机森林算法和极端梯度提升算法）和遥感水深反演的原理,利用Sentinel_2多光谱卫星数据和无人船实测水深数据,对内陆水体——梅州水库建立了随机森林（RF）、极端梯度提升（XGBoost）和支持向量机（SVM）水深反演模型,并对反演结果进行对比分析。结果表明：1）RF的训练精度为97%,测试精度为0.80;XGBoost模型的训练精度为97%,测试精度为0.79;SVM的训练精度为90%,测试精度为0.78。说明了在水深预测方面RF模型和XGBoost模型比SVM模型表现更好,对各个区段的水深值较为敏感。2）根据运行时间考察各个模型的效率,其中RF模型从读取数据至输出结果耗时3.92 s;XGBoost模型4.26 s;SVM模型6.66 s。因此,在反演精度和效率上RF模型优于XGBoost模型优于SVM模型,且RF模型的预测结果图细节更加丰富,轮廓更加分明;XGBoost模型次之,但总体效果也较好;SVM模型表现最差。由此可知,机器学习水深反演模型获得的水深结果精度明显提高,解决了传统水深反演模型精度不高的问题。 相似文献
87.
文章提出了一种结合改进的最佳指数法(OIF)和支持向量机(SVM)进行高光谱遥感影像分类新方法.利用本文提出的稳定系数进行波段初选择,根据相关系数选择波段组合生成新影像,并对新影像进行OIF计算,得到OIF值最大的波段组合为最佳波段组合;构建SVM分类器,对最佳波段组合分类;最后将分类结果与其他监督分类方法比较,并在相同核函数下与PCA和SVM结合的方法进行精度比较分析.实验结果表明,本文方法能够有效提取最佳波段组合,在SVM算法下获得较高分类精度. 相似文献
88.
89.
该文介绍了基于基本的支持向量机非线性回归方法,该方法具有解决非线性问题的能力,在数值预报解释应用技术中,对某些预报量与预报因子之间相关性不显著的要素,如风、比湿等,采用支持向量机非线性回归技术较多元回归的MOS方法更具优势;利用北京市气象局中尺度业务模式 (MM5V3) 的12:00(世界时) 起始数值预报产品和观测资料,制作北京15个奥运场馆站点6~48 h逐3 h的气象要素释用产品。对比MM5V3模式,从均方根误差的平均减小率来看,2 m温度减小12.1%,10 m风u分量减小43.3%,10 m风v分量减小53.4%,2 m比湿减小38.2%。与同期的MOS方法预报结果相比,整体预报效果SVM略优于MOS。由此可见,支持向量机非线性回归方法解决与预报因子之间非线性相关的气象要素较好,具有较高的预报优势。 相似文献
90.