全球升温1.5℃和2.0℃情景下淮河上游干流径流量研究   总被引：1，自引：0，他引：1  

查芊郁  高超  杨茹  刘悦  阮甜  李鹏 《气候变化研究进展》2018,14(6):583-592

基于ISI-MIP（The Inter-Sectoral Impact Model Inter-comparison Project）推荐使用的5个全球气候模式数据(HadGEM2-ES,GFDL-ESM2M,MIROC-ESM-CHEM,Nor-ESM1-M,IPSL-CM5ALR),驱动SWIM（Soil and Water Integrated Model）水文模型,研究全球升温1.5℃和2.0℃情景下淮河上游干流径流量变化,得出结论：(1)淮河上游干流径流量年际变化在2种升温情景下均呈先减小后增加趋势。全球升温1.5℃时年径流量较基准期(1986—2005年)增长9.5%,而升温2.0℃情景下涨幅更明显,高达17%。(2) 4个季节径流量在2种升温情景下较基准期均有增长,其中春季涨幅最明显,达24.4%,夏、秋、冬季涨幅分别为7.1%、16.1%、13.5%。全球升温2.0℃时淮河上游干流径流量在4个季节较基准期增长率均大于全球升温1.5℃时。(3)不同气候模式输出日径流量最大值相差较大而平均值相差较小。未来2种升温情景日径流量超过王家坝闸设计流量的日次较基准期均有增加,尤其升温2.0℃情景较基准期增多22次,较升温1.5℃情景多5.8次,表明未来升温2.0℃情景下淮河上游出现极端径流事件的可能性进一步增大。  相似文献   

The Assessment of Global Surface Temperature Change from 1850s:The C-LSAT2.0 Ensemble and the CMST-Interim Datasets   总被引：1，自引：0，他引：1  

Wenbin SUN  Qingxiang LI  Boyin HUANG  Jiayi CHENG  Zhaoyang SONG  Haiyan LI  Wenjie DONG  Panmao ZHAI  Phil JONES 《大气科学进展》2021,38(5):875-888

Based on C-LSAT2.0,using high-and low-frequency components reconstruction methods,combined with observation constraint masking,a reconstructed C-LSAT2.0 with 756 ensemble members from the 1850s to 2018 has been developed.These ensemble versions have been merged with the ERSSTv5 ensemble dataset,and an upgraded version of the CMSTInterim dataset with 5°×5°resolution has been developed.The CMST-Interim dataset has significantly improved the coverage rate of global surface temperature data.After reconstruction,the data coverage before 1950 increased from 78%?81%of the original CMST to 81%?89%.The total coverage after 1955 reached about 93%,including more than 98%in the Northern Hemisphere and 81%?89%in the Southern Hemisphere.Through the reconstruction ensemble experiments with different parameters,a good basis is provided for more systematic uncertainty assessment of C-LSAT2.0 and CMSTInterim.In comparison with the original CMST,the global mean surface temperatures are estimated to be cooler in the second half of 19th century and warmer during the 21st century,which shows that the global warming trend is further amplified.The global warming trends are updated from 0.085±0.004℃(10 yr)^–1and 0.128±0.006℃(10 yr)^–1to 0.089±0.004℃(10 yr)^–1and 0.137±0.007℃(10 yr)^–1,respectively,since the start and the second half of 20th century.  相似文献   

G353.9−2.0, a new Galactic supernova remnant identified from the NRAO Very Large Array Sky Survey     

D. A. Green 《Monthly notices of the Royal Astronomical Society》2001,326(1):283-286

G353.9−2.0 is a likely Galactic supernova remnant (SNR) identified from a visual inspection of the National Radio Astronomy Observations (NRAO) Very Large Array (VLA) Sky Survey (NVSS) observations in the Galactic plane. It shows a shell structure, about 13 arcmin in diameter, with a central extended source. VLA observations of G353.9−2.0 at 1.4 GHz, with a resolution of ≈40 arcsec, and a significantly better sensitivity than the NVSS observations, are presented here, together with observations at 327 MHz and observations of the central source at 8.4 GHz. These new observations and existing results from the literature are discussed. G353.9−2.0 is confirmed as a SNR, and the central source as a likely extragalactic double source.  相似文献   

高速USB控制器的应用     

韩斌 《成都信息工程学院学报》2004,19(4):481-485

阐述了USB2.0高速总线的工作原理,并运用Cypress公司推出的USB2.0控制器CY7C68013芯片加上高速A/D转换芯片实现了高速A/D采样,为今后的USB高速应用打下了基础.  相似文献   

基于网格数据的内蒙古决策气象服务技术研究与实现     

司瑶冰  吴昊  周恒超  李云鹏 《沙漠与绿洲气象(新疆气象)》2020,14(6):127-133

智能网格气象产品包括智能网格预报和cldasV2.0实况分析产品,将智能网格气象产品应用于决策气象服务,可提高内蒙古决策气象服务精细化水平。利用智能网格产品建立内蒙古地区决策气象服务敏感性分析启动阈值,采用动态数据库sql语句对智能网格格点预报数据和格点实况数据进行检测,当检测达到阈值后,自动启动制作决策气象服务材料。基于WebGis的Openlayers技术实现智能网格格点气象要素数据可视化动态展示和图形下载,根据需求设计自治区、盟市、旗县三级不同层级色斑图和格点图下载及预报图和实况图的自动生成；采用Postgres分布式集群数据库快速统计方法实现cldas2.0实况数据统计、计算和查询。  相似文献   

A Modeling Study of the Climate Effects of Sulfate and Carbonaceous Aerosols over China   总被引：4，自引：0，他引：4  

LIU Hongnian  ZHANG Li  WU Jian 《大气科学进展》2010,27(6):1276-1288

In this paper, the RIEMS 2.0 model is used to simulate the distribution of sulfate, black carbon, and organic carbon aerosols over China (16.2°-44.1°N, 93.4°-132.4°E) in 1998. The climate effects of these three anthropogenic aerosols are also simulated. The results are summarized as follows: (1) The regional average column burdens of sulfate, BC, OC, and SOC were 5.9, 0.24, 2.4, and 0.49 mg m-2, with maxima of 33.9, 1.48, 7.3, and 1.1 mg m-2, respectively. The column burden and surface concentration of seco...  相似文献   

Re-creating Wilderness 2.0: Or getting back to work in a virtual nature     

《Geoforum》2017

Camping on Twitter, trekking in Google Street View, mountaineering on Snapchat. Wilderness is dead. Long live Wilderness 2.0. In this paper, the term “Wilderness 2.0” refers to the articulation of new media technologies, including mobile digital devices, web 2.0 and locative media, with the practice of wilderness recreation. In this new era of virtual nature, outdoor recreation occurs as much in the statusphere and blogosphere as it does in the biosphere. While much public and academic debate about Wilderness 2.0 has focused on the extent to which new media technologies connect people to, or disconnect them from, nature, this paper argues that wilderness is not a static and essential reality that can simply be connected to or disconnected from, but a social construct that is continually re-created in different cultural contexts. In this sense, Wilderness 2.0 reflects the re-creation of a new ontology of wilderness as DigiPlace: an augmented reality that blurs the lines between the “actual” and the “virtual.” Moreover, Wilderness 2.0 does not simply refer to the creation of a new ontology of wilderness, but the incorporation of outdoor recreation into the political economy of the web 2.0. In the context of Wilderness 2.0, outdoor recreation is increasingly exploited as a form of virtual labour. Thus, despite being associated with a discourse of “sharing” and “connecting to nature,” Wilderness 2.0 is, above all else, a nature that capital can see.  相似文献   

中国不同排放情景下人为气溶胶的气候效应   总被引：2，自引：0，他引：2       下载免费PDF全文

刘红年  张力 《地球物理学报》2012,55(6):1867-1875

本文利用区域气候模式RIEMS2.0(Regional Integrated Environmental Model System)和2006年以及2020年三种排放情景下的排放资料,研究了2006年气候背景下的人为气溶胶的浓度分布特征及辐射效应,估算了未来不同排放情景下人为气溶胶的主要成分硫酸盐、硝酸盐、黑碳、有机碳(含二次有机碳)的综合气候效应.结果表明:(1)2006年中国地区人为气溶胶浓度硫酸盐>有机碳>硝酸盐>黑碳,其区域柱浓度平均值分别为6.0、4.0、1.3和0.3 mg/m².(2)2006年硫酸盐、硝酸盐、有机碳和黑碳的平均辐射强迫分别为-1.32、-0.60、-0.40和0.28 W/m².硫酸盐、硝酸盐和有机碳的负辐射强迫超过黑碳的正辐射强迫,人为气溶胶总辐射强迫为-1.96 W/m².(3)人为气溶胶的辐射效应及引起的地面气温变化对排放源非常敏感,未来采取不同排放政策导致的人为气溶胶的含量及辐射效应有较大差异.在未来排放增加的情景下,各区域的气溶胶浓度、辐射强迫、气温下降幅度和降水减少幅度也相应加大.  相似文献   

Web2.0下基于WebGIS的旅游博客网站构建     

杜杰  顾云丽  陈云霄  郑晓泽  沈旭峰 《南京气象学院学报》2014,6(4):316-320

Web2.0的环境下,旅游博客网站将向侧重于旅游者的参与性和交互性方向发展,但现有的旅游博客平台的交互性和信息的时空性均不强.基于ASP.NET平台,结合开放Google地图Gmap3 API 集成应用,开发了基于WebGIS的旅游博客系统.系统分旅行线路规划和旅游日志2个子系统,所有应用均围绕Google地图展开,实现多旅游目的地的查找、线路安排和导航功能,而撰写的旅游日志将围绕Google地图在旅游景点坐标处进行标识,同时集成了文字、图片、视频等多媒体信息.系统具有操作简单、交互性强、体验性好的特点.  相似文献   

月动力延伸预测模式业务系统DERF2.0对中国气温和降水的预测性能评估   总被引：3，自引：0，他引：3  

何慧根  李巧萍  吴统文  唐红玉  胡泽勇 《大气科学》2014,38(5):950-964

基于国家气候中心第二代月动力延伸预测模式业务系统（DERF2.0）开展的1982～2010 年的回报试验结果和国家气象信息中心提供的669 个台站气象观测资料,利用距平相关系数ACC、平均方差技巧评分MSSS、距平符号一致率R 和短期气候预测业务分级检验Pg 等4 种方法综合评估了DERF2.0 系统对中国的气温和降水的预测性能。结果表明,DERF2.0 模式对气温的总体预测效果较好,对气温的预测性能较DERF1.0 模式有了较明显的提升。与过去全国的短期气候预测业务评分相比,DERF2.0 对气温和降水的预测都有所提高。与气温相比,DERF2.0对降水的预测性能相对较差,对降水的预测水平与DERF1.0 相接近。DERF2.0 对发生在1998 年和2006 年的极端旱、涝个例年也有一定的预测能力,且对气温的预测明显好于降水。从空间上来看,DERF2.0 在西南地区的确定性预测效果较差,模式仍然有很大的改进空间。  相似文献