自动站资料统计软件在亚运会气象预报的应用     

雷卫延  谭鉴荣  伍光胜  陈武框 《广东气象》2010,32(4):62-63

在分析自动站资料对广州亚运会气象预报重要性的基础上,开发了适用于亚运会气象预报的自动站资料统计软件。首先介绍了软件的主要功能和特点,重点阐述了软件的使用方法以及实现过程,并给出了部分功能的流程图。资料统计软件对自动站原始资料进行分析、处理,统计生成预报员关心的气象产品。  相似文献   

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《气象科技》2010,(Z1):82-82

<正>《气象科技》由中国气象科学研究院、北京市气象局、中国气象局气象探测中心、国家卫星气象中心及国家气象信息中心联合主办。报道大气科学和相关科学各领域新理论、新方法和新技术,也刊载反映大气科学  相似文献   

Bimodality of the South Asia High simulated by coupled models     

周宁芳  俞永强  钱永甫 《大气科学进展》2009,26(6):1226-1234

The observed South Asia High (SAH) center is characterized by two distinctive equilibrium modes during boreal midsummer, namely the center of SAH is located between 82.5^o--92.5^oE for the Tibetan Plateau mode and between 55^o--65^oE for the Iranian Plateau mode, respectively. The present study describes the ability of 15 coupled general circulation models (CGCM) used in the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Changes (IPCC) 4th Assessment Report to reproduce the observed bimodality of the SAH. These models reveal a wide range of skill in simulating this bimodality. Nearly half of the models reproduced the bimodality, while the other half of the models did not simulate well these two modes whereas usually preferring one mode. The models that reproduced the bimodality of the SAH present similar horizontal and vertical circulations as those features from the NCEP reanalysis data. The results from these models identify the warm characteristics of the SAH and indicate that these two modes have different dynamic and thermodynamic properties. Different characteristics of the simulated sensible heat and latent heat related to precipitation partly contribute to the difference in the simulations of the SAH bimodality. The majority of these models that prefer to simulate the Tibetan Plateau mode produce a small sensible heat flux difference between the Iranian Plateau and the Tibetan Plateau, and also generally simulate a very strong false precipitation center over the east of the Tibetan Plateau, which indicates strong latent release and thereby contributes to the preference of the SAH center on the Tibetan Plateau. Whereas, the models that reproduce the bimodality of the SAH tend to simulate large precipitation over the southern Himalayas and no obviously false precipitation is produced over the east of the Tibetan Plateau. In addition, the models resolution may also have important impacts on the simulations of precipitation.  相似文献   

Numerical study of flow and gas diffusion in the near-wake behind an isolated building     

Mohamed F. YASSIN 《大气科学进展》2009,26(6):1241-1252

To assist validation of the experimental data of urban pollution dispersion, the effect of an isolated building on the flow and gaseous diffusion in the wake region have been investigated numerically in the neutrally stratified rough-walled turbulent boundary layer. Numerical studies were carried out using Computational Fluid Dynamics (CFD) models. The CFD models used for the simulation were based on the steady-state Reynolds-Average Navier-Stoke equations (RANS) with κ-ε turbulence models; standard κ-ε and RNG κ-ε models. Inlet conditions and boundary conditions were specified numerically to the best information available for each fluid modeling simulation. A gas pollutant was emitted from a point source within the recirculation cavity behind the building model. The accuracy of these simulations was examined by comparing the predicted results with wind tunnel experimental data. It was confirmed that simulation using the model accurately reproduces the velocity and concentration diffusion fields with a fine-mish resolution in the near wake region. Results indicated that there is a good agreement between the numerical simulation and the wind tunnel experiment for both wind flow and concentration diffusion. The results of this work can help to improve the understanding of mechanisms of and simulation of pollutant transport in an urban environment.  相似文献   

利用OSSMO2004软件快速统计测报质量     

高娟 《陕西气象》2009,(6):49-49

使用OSSMO2004软件统计测报质量,可以快速完成月质量统计,且保证统计质量准确无误,大大提高工作效率。  相似文献   

STUDY OF THE EFFECTS OF REDUCING SYSTEMATIC ERRORS ON MONTHLY REGIONAL CLIMATE DYNAMICAL FORECAST     

曾新民  席朝笠 《热带气象学报(英文版)》2009,15(1):102-105

A nested-model system is constructed by embedding the regional climate model RegCM3 into a general circulation model for monthly-scale regional climate forecast over East China. The systematic errors are formulated for the region on the basis of 10-yr (1991-2000) results of the nested-model system, and of the datasets of the Climate Prediction Center (CPC) Merged Analysis of Precipitation (CMAP) and the temperature analysis of the National Meteorological Center (NMC), U.S.A., which are then used for correcting the original forecast by the system for the period 2001-2005. After the assessment of the original and corrected forecasts for monthly precipitation and surface air temperature, it is found that the corrected forecast is apparently better than the original, suggesting that the approach can be applied for improving monthly-scale regional climate dynamical forecast.  相似文献   

区域风能资源评价分析的动力降尺度研究   总被引：7，自引：0，他引：7  

李艳  汤剑平  王元  江志红  储惠芸 《气候与环境研究》2009,14(2):192-200

不同于以往的统计风能评估方法,本研究将动力降尺度方法应用到江苏省的风能评价分析中。利用NCEP/NCAR再分析资料与江苏省65个地面气象观测站1971～2000年的观测资料,建立了动力降尺度区域气候模式MM5V3的初始场和边界条件,用较高分辨率（水平分辨率为5 km）评估了江苏省60 m高度的风能分布,分析了动力降尺度方法在区域风能资源评估中的有效应用。结果表明,江苏省风能资源由东部沿海向西部内陆递减,以西连岛为代表的东部沿海风能资源最丰富,其次为长江三角洲地区,太湖、洪泽湖及高邮湖地区的风能资源也比较丰富,徐州市与南京市的风能资源最贫乏。分析表明,动力降尺度方法能够用较高分辨率模拟局地环流和地面风的主要分布特征,可以作为区域风能资源评价分析的有效手段。  相似文献   

台风“鹦鹉”登陆过程中肇庆降水显著偏弱的原因   总被引：1，自引：1，他引：0  

许春林  王文波  杨森槐  郑仕友  王艳红 《广东气象》2009,31(6):32-35

主要从环流特征、动力条件等方面分析台风“鹦鹉”登陆过程中肇庆市降水显著偏弱的原因：华南沿海特定的环流背景使台风“鹦鹉”在登陆广东过程中形成“偏心”台风,台风降水云团偏向低层环流西南侧,使台风低层环流正面袭击肇庆所带来的降水显著偏弱。而形成“偏心”台风的主要环流背景是对流层高层强盛的南亚高压及其南侧强劲的偏东风急流;同时,台风前进方向上的副热带高压使台风登陆后迅速减弱,也是一方面的原因。此外,动力条件方面,台风登陆后,肇庆市低层为弱的上升运动,中高层是下沉运动,也不利于强降水的发生。  相似文献   

统计降尺度法在数值预报产品释用中的应用   总被引：7，自引：0，他引：7  

李江萍  王式功 《气象》2008,34(6):41-45

目前数值模式输出的空间分辨率较低,缺少区域信息,很难对区域气候做精确的预测.降尺度方法通过把大尺度、低分辨率的数值模式输出信息转化为区域尺度的地面气候变化信息(如气温、降水),从而达到弥补数值模式预测区域未来气候变化不足的目的.这种做法的基础在于区域气候变化是以大尺度(如大陆尺度甚至行星尺度)气候为条件的.统计降尺度法以大尺度数值预报产品为预报因子,利用历史资料建立区域预报量与大尺度预报因子之间的统计模型,实现对数值预报产品的释用.在系统论述统计降尺度法的基本原理、一般步骤的基础上,初步探讨统计降尺度法在中期天气预报方面的应用.  相似文献   

一种改进的GOCE卫星几何法轨道速度确定方法     

江楠  徐天河  许艳 《测绘通报》2012,(11):7-10

对目前常用内插方法确定GOCE卫星速度的精度进行深入分析与比较,结果表明:常规方法在GOCE几何法轨道速度确定中精度欠佳。在分析切比雪夫多项式拟合方法基本原理及算法的基础上,提出含有多余观测量的切比雪夫多项式拟合方法,该方法在获取几何法轨道速度时,通过选取合适的内插节点数,内插精度较常规方法有了很大提高,三维精度可达到0.3 mm/s。新方法能为基于GOCE卫星几何法轨道的重力场恢复提供强有力的支撑。  相似文献