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1.
In order to study the origin of the spatial structure of the Northern Hemisphere Annular Mode (NAM),a linear stochastic model is constructed empirically from the output of a GCM run.Optimal stochastic forcing in terms of the maximum variance contribution,which may be potentially related to the maintenance of the NAM,is investigated.Theoretical analysis on the dominant non-modal response to the stochastic forcing shows that this dominance is jointly decided by the properties of forcing and the non-modal grow...  相似文献   
2.
利用AO扩展ArcGIS中建筑物3维可视化功能   总被引:1,自引:1,他引:0  
在城市3维GIS研究、城市建筑物3维可视化背景下,基于COM接口,利用AO在VB环境下开发了一个可以在ArcGIS中自动生成建筑物3D屋顶(房屋)和纹理的DLL,加强了ArcGIS的建筑物3维可视化功能。  相似文献   
3.
参加CMIP5的四个中国气候模式模拟的东亚冬季风年际变率   总被引:5,自引:3,他引:2  
金晨曦  周天军 《大气科学》2014,38(3):453-468
本文比较了中国参加“国际耦合模式比较计划”(CMIP5)的四个大气环流模式(即FGOALS-g2、FGOALS-s2、BCC-CSM1-1、BNU-ESM大气模式)在观测海温驱动下,对东亚冬季风(EAWM)气候态和年际变率的模拟能力。结果表明,在气候态上,四个模式均合理再现了EAWM高低层环流系统(包括低层西伯利亚高压(SH)、阿留申低压、异常偏北风、和中高层东亚大槽、西风急流),其中对2 m气温和500 hPa高度场的模拟技巧最高,四个模式模拟的结果与再分析资料的空间相关系数都达到0.99。在年际变率上,分别对东亚北部地区(30°N~60°N,100°E~140°E)和东亚南部地区(0°~30°N,100°E~140°E)的2 m气温进行经验正交函数分解(EOF),提取变率主导模态。结果表明,在东亚北部地区,四个模式对2 m气温第一模态(简称“北部型”)的空间分布均有很高的模拟技巧,但只有BNU-ESM能够较好再现其对应的年际变率,其模拟的时间序列与观测的相关系数为0.69。四个模式均能模拟出观测中的3.1 a主导周期,但只有FGOALS-s2和BNU-ESM能模拟出观测中的2.5 a主导周期。在东亚南部地区,模式模拟的前两个主模态共同解释观测中第一模态(简称“南部型”)的特征,其中FGOALS-g2、FGOALS-s2和BNU-ESM的综合模拟技巧较高,但只有BNU-ESM成功再现了观测中2.5 a和3.1 a的主导周期。机理分析表明,FGOALS-g2、FGOALS-s2、BNU-ESM三个模式能合理再现菲律宾海反气旋,同时对南部型有较高的模拟能力,而BCC-CSM1-1则未能有效再现菲律宾海反气旋,使得 BCC-CSM1-1对南部型模拟技巧较低。观测和四个模式模拟的结果一致表现出北极涛动(AO)与北部型PC1呈显著相关,影响大于SH。  相似文献   
4.
The discovery of decadal variability of North Atlantic Oscillation (NAO) and the introduction of Arctic oscillation (AO) concept have initiated a series of paleo-AO/NAO related studies since the mid-to-late 1990s. The progress and new findings of paleo-AO/NAO works after that time were comprehensively reviewed. The new results from the observations and modelings at four key timescales were summarized in detail: ①the reconstructions of the AO/NAO annual index over the past millennium; ②the debate on AO/NAO’s trend since early Holocene; ③the weakening of AO/NAO’s amplitude during the Last Glacial Maximum; and ④the anomalous positive phase of AO/NAO during the Last Interglacial. In addition, the possible mechanism for different timescales of AO/NAO is also summarized. Furthermore, the distinction between AO/NAO’ was mean state and amplitude, which were not explicitly separated in previous studies, were comprehensively discussed. Considering the current uncertainties related to paleo-AO/NAO studies, we encourage the community to search for more proxies having longer-than-10,000-year length with annual resolution around AO/NAO highly correlated regions. Another, we encourage long-term transient modeling on AO/NAO can be performed in order to improve our understanding of the dynamics and interaction between AO/NAO’s high-frequency variability and the climatological background, so as to further improve AO/NAO’s predictability on global warming context.  相似文献   
5.
采用NCEP/NCAR日平均再分析资料,对冬季热带外低频振荡(大气角动量收支及地形力矩)与AO(Arctic Oscillation)指数进行计算,通过功率谱和统计分析发现,它们都存在30~60 d的周期,大气角动量收支与山脉力矩的变化为正相关,且显著响应AO变化。通过动力学诊断分析初步认为,北半球两大地形的山脉力矩作用于纬向大气角动量,副热带纬向西风发生变化,改变南北西风偶极子结构,使得AO产生变化,而且在两大地形中以喜马拉雅山脉地形作用为主。通过对喜马拉雅山脉地区的动力学诊断发现,在高(低)AO指数阶段,喜马拉雅山脉地区激发准定常行星波并作用于副热带西风,导致副热带西风偏弱(偏强),高纬西风偏强(偏弱),因而AO偏强(偏弱),平流层极涡偏强(偏弱),极涡强(弱)中心偏向东北亚。  相似文献   
6.
冬季北极涛动和北极海冰变化对东亚气候变化的影响   总被引:30,自引:0,他引:30       下载免费PDF全文
本文简要回顾了冬季北极涛动 (北大西洋涛动 )和北极海冰面积变化对东亚气候变化的影响、研究中存在的问题以及目前亟待解决的科学问题。  相似文献   
7.
Analysis on the decadal scale variation of the dust storm in North China   总被引:3,自引:0,他引:3  
Dust storm is a disastrous weather that can cause serious environmental consequences and hazards. It causes excessive soil mass and nutrient loss in source areas, and air pollution in deposition area, which result in bad influence on agriculture, industry, traffic, and peoples’ daily life[1-4]. Dust storm can also affect the thermal balance of planetary radiation and then lead to meso- to macroscale climatic modification[5-7]. North- west China and North China are two high-frequency centers …  相似文献   
8.
We present the VLBI map of a superluminal radio source AO 0235+164 at 5 GHz. This shows that the object's radio structure is dominated by a strong, nearly unresolved core with two extended asymmetric weak jet components. Based on the variation of its flux density with time at 5 GHz, we suggest that the flux density of AO 0235+164 exhibits two periodic variations: a shorter-period variation of 1.81±0.06 yr and a longer-period one of 3.64±0.08 yr. These two periodic variations could be the result of the joint action of jet outbursts and jet rotation.  相似文献   
9.
In this study,the interdecadal changes in the zonal symmetry of both Arctic Oscillation(AO) and Antarctic Oscillation(AAO) were analyzed.To describe the zonal asymmetry,a local index of AO and AAO was defined using the normalized sea level pressure(SLP) differences between 40° and 65°(latitudes) in both hemispheres.The zonal covariability of local AO and AAO can well represent the zonal symmetry of AO and AAO.Results show that the zonal asymmetry of both AO and AAO significantly changed in the late 1970s.AO was less asymmetric in the zonal direction in the boreal winter season during the latter period,while in the boreal summer it became more asymmetric after 1979.The zonal symmetry of AAO in both austral summer and winter has also significantly decreased since the late 1970s.These changes may imply interdecadal transition in the atmospheric circulation at middle and high latitudes,which is of vital importance to understanding climate variability and predictability across the globe,including the African-Asian-Australian monsoon regions.  相似文献   
10.
陈尚锋  陈文  魏科 《大气科学进展》2013,30(6):1712-1724
Interannual variations in the number of winter extreme warm and cold days over eastern China (EC) and their relationship with the Arctic Oscillation (AO) and E1 Nifio-Southern Oscillation (ENSO) were investigated using an updated temperature dataset comprising 542 Chinese stations during the period 1961- 2011. Results showed that the number of winter extreme warm (cold) days across EC experienced a significant increase (decrease) around the mid-1980s, which could be attributed to interdecadal variation of the East Asian Winter Monsoon (EAWM). Probability distribution functions (PDFs) of winter temperature extremes in different phases of the AO and ENSO were estimated based on Generalized Extreme Value Distribution theory. Correlation analysis and the PDF technique consistently demonstrated that interannual variation of winter extreme cold days in the northern part of EC (NEC) is closely linked to the AO, while it is most strongly related to the ENSO in the southern part (SEC). However, the number of winter extreme warm days across EC has little correlation with both AO and ENSO. Furthermore, results indicated that, whether before or after the mid-1980s shift, a significant connection existed between winter extreme cold days in NEC and the AO. However, a significant connection between winter extreme cold days in SEC and the ENSO was only found after the mid-1980s shift. These results highlight the different roles of the AO and ENSO in influencing winter temperature extremes in different parts of EC and in different periods, thus providing important clues for improving short-term climate prediction for winter temperature extremes.  相似文献   
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