CG-6型重力仪零漂特性研究     

郝洪涛  刘少明  韦进  胡敏章 《大地测量与地球动力学》2019,39(10):1086-1090

对中国地震局地震研究所最新引进的4台CG-6型相对重力仪的零漂特性进行测试研究，结果表明，4台重力仪的静态零漂率、混合零漂率和动态零漂率均小于8 μGal/h，满足厂家给出的技术指标。在较长观测时间内，各台仪器的零漂均存在不同程度的非线性特征，因此在进行较长时间的野外观测以及后续数据处理中，不宜将零漂率作为常数进行解算和零漂改正。  相似文献   

利用综合评分方法评估CMIP5模式对北极海冰的模拟能力     

吴利萍  杨小怡  胡建宇 《海洋学报(英文版)》2019,38(9):48-58

北极海冰冰盖自20世纪以来经历了前所未有的缩减，这使得北极海冰异常对大气环流的反馈作用日益显现。尽管目前的气候模式模拟北极海冰均为减少的趋势，但各模式间仍然存在较大的分散性。为了评估模式对于北极海冰变化及其气候效应的模拟能力，我们将海冰线性趋势和年际异常两者结合起来构造了一种合理的衡量指标。我们还强调巴伦支与卡拉海的重要性，因为前人研究证明此区域海冰异常是近年来影响大尺度大气环流变异的关键因子。根据我们设定的标准，CMIP5模式对海冰的模拟可被归为三种类型。这三组多模式集合平均之间存在巨大的差异，验证了这种分组方法的合理性。此外，我们还进一步探讨了造成模式海冰模拟能力差别的潜在物理因子。结果表明模式所采用的臭氧资料集对海冰模拟能力有显著的影响。  相似文献   

Event-based classification for global study of river flood generating processes     

Lina Stein  Francesca Pianosi  Ross Woods 《水文研究》2020,34(7):1514-1529

Better understanding of which processes generate floods in a catchment can improve flood frequency analysis and potentially climate change impacts assessment. However, current flood classification methods are either not transferable across locations or do not provide event-based information. We therefore developed a location-independent, event-based flood classification methodology that is applicable in different climates and returns a classification of all flood events, including extreme ones. We use precipitation time series and very simply modelled soil moisture and snowmelt as inputs for a decision tree. A total of 113,635 events in 4155 catchments worldwide were classified into one of five hydro-climatological flood generating processes: short rain, long rain, excess rainfall, snowmelt and a combination of rain and snow. The new classification was tested for its robustness and evaluated with available information; these two tests are often lacking in current flood classification approaches. According to the evaluation, the classification is mostly successful and indicates excess rainfall as the most common dominant process. However, the dominant process is not very informative in most catchments, as there is a high at-site variability in flood generating processes. This is particularly relevant for the estimation of extreme floods which diverge from their usual flood generation pattern, especially in the United Kingdom, Northern France, Southeastern United States, and India.  相似文献   

An ensemble approach for the analysis of extreme rainfall under climate change in Naples (Italy)     

Roberta Padulano  Alfredo Reder  Guido Rianna 《水文研究》2019,33(14):2020-2036

In the present paper, an ensemble approach is proposed to estimate possible modifications caused by climate changes in the extreme precipitation regime, with the rain gauge Napoli Servizio Idrografico (Naples, Italy) chosen as test case. The proposed research, focused on the analysis of extremes on the basis of climate model simulations and rainfall observations, is structured in several consecutive steps. In the first step, all the dynamically downscaled EURO‐CORDEX simulations at about 12 km horizontal resolution are collected for the current period 1971–2000 and the future period 2071–2100, for the RCP4.5 and the RCP8.5 concentration scenarios. In the second step, the significance of climate change effects on extreme precipitation is statistically tested by comparing current and future simulated data and bias‐correction is performed by means of a novel approach based on a combination of simple delta change and quantile delta mapping, in compliance with the storm index method. In the third step, two different ensemble models are proposed, accounting for the variabilities given by the use of different climate models and for their hindcast performances. Finally, the ensemble models are used to build novel intensity–duration–frequency curves, and their effects on the early warning system thresholds for the area of interest are evaluated.  相似文献   

无背索斜拉桥主塔受力及抗震性能分析          下载免费PDF全文

荀敬川  刘吉诚  彭晶蓉  李源 《地震工程学报》2019,41(5):1133-1140

为探讨主塔横梁对无背索斜拉桥结构的静动力特性影响,以某无背索斜拉桥为原型,采用三维静\,动力有限元计算方法,分析了实心横梁、大空心横梁、小空心横梁与无横梁四种主塔横梁方案的静、动力结构特性。静力计算结果表明:在最不利荷载作用下,四种对比方案中,实心横梁的拉索应力接近安全系数临界值;横梁重量越大,主梁挠度及主塔顺桥向变形值越小,且未设置横梁的方案在长期荷载作用下产生主跨侧的收缩徐变变形值。动力计算结果表明:大空心横梁方案结构横桥向刚度最大塔底轴力最大、横桥向弯矩值最大;无横梁时横桥向剪力最大,且无横梁方案使得主塔刚度较小,阵型易出现主塔横向失稳。综合考虑结构静、动力特性与施工便利性和后期维护,建议该结构采用实心主塔横梁。  相似文献   

Stable carbon isotope signatures of cellulose in macrophytes collected from three eutrophic lakes in China     

《Limnologica》2020

Aquatic plants are essential for maintaining the diversity and stability of a lake ecosystem. Stable carbon isotopes (δ¹³C) of macrophytes have been widely used as a powerful tool to study ecological processes and paleoenvironmental evolution in lakes. Varying results are obtained when using the δ¹³C of macrophytes to study the changes in the lake environment at different spatio-temporal scales. Thus, sample preparation and subsequent laboratory analyses are crucial for studying environmental changes using the isotopic signal retained in the macrophytes, and are essential for the interpretation of isotope-environment relationships. This study analyzed the δ¹³C of different tissue components of macrophytes in three lakes of the lower Yangtze River basin, and a correlation analysis was performed on aquatic environments influencing the δ¹³C values in the different tissue components of macrophytes. The test results showed the difference between the δ¹³C values of the whole sample and cellulose. Relative analyses indicated that the major factors contributing to the δ¹³C variability in macrophytes were pH and the concentration of dissolved inorganic carbon (DIC). The δ¹³C of α-cellulose (δ¹³C_AC) is more sensitive to environmental variables than that of the whole sample (δ¹³C_W) and holocellulose (δ¹³C_HC). The results of this study imply that extraction of α-cellulose is a prerequisite for research on the changes in lake environment using δ¹³C of macrophytes. This study aims to provide theoretical and data basis for further research on the environmental and ecological change using stable carbon isotopes of aquatic plants.  相似文献   

煤体静载破坏微震、电磁辐射及裂纹扩展特征研究     

艾迪昊  李成武  赵越超  李光耀 《岩土力学》2020,41(6):2043-2051

为研究型煤在单轴压缩破裂过程中产生的微震、电磁辐射信号与裂纹演化特征的对应关系，利用自主设计的低噪声静态加载试验系统，对0～0.25、0.25～0.5、0.5～1.0、1～2 mm共4种不同粒度的型煤进行了单轴压缩破坏试验，同步采集了煤样破坏过程中的微震、电磁辐射信号及破坏视频图像，提出了一种煤体裂纹快速提取方法并计算了型煤裂纹面积的变化规律。研究结果表明：型煤在单轴压缩过程中产生的微震、电磁辐射信号及裂纹面积在时域上具有良好的同步性。型煤破坏过程中裂纹面积随时间变化曲线可分为4个阶段。第1阶段为压实阶段，煤样所受应力值较小，其表面的裂纹面积以极为缓慢的速率增加。第2阶段为初始破裂阶段，随着应力的增加和内部弹性势能的积聚，型煤表面裂纹面积的增加速率较压实阶段有明显提高，伴随产生许多细小裂纹。第3阶段为加速破裂阶段，随着应力继续增加以及材料内部积聚弹性能的释放，试样变形过程加速，导致裂纹面积增速进一步增大。第4阶段为卸压阶段，试样的裂纹面积达到最大值，承载能力急剧降低，发生失稳破坏。  相似文献   

Critical Top Tension for Static Equilibrium Configuration of A Steel Catenary Riser     

Chainarong ATHISAKUL  Karun KLAYCHAM  Somchai CHUCHEEPSAKUL 《中国海洋工程》2014,(6):829-842

This paper aims to present the critical top tension for static equilibrium configurations of a steel catenary riser（SCR） by using the finite element method. The critical top tension is the minimum top tension that can maintain the equilibrium of the SCR. If the top tension is smaller than the critical value, the equilibrium of the SCR does not exist. If the top tension is larger than the critical value, there are two possible equilibrium configurations. These two configurations exhibit the nonlinear large displacement. The configuration with the smaller displacement is stable, while the one with larger displacement is unstable. The numerical results show that the increases in the riser＇s vertical distances, horizontal offsets, riser＇s weights, internal flow velocities, and current velocities increase the critical top tensions of the SCR. In addition, the parametric studies are also performed in order to investigate the limit states for the analysis and design of the SCR.  相似文献   

静压桩承载力时间效应的研究进展     

王永洪  黄永峰  张明义  李长河  苏雷  仉文岗  林沛元  崔纪飞  焉振 《吉林大学学报(地球科学版)》2021,51(5):1490-1505

由于静压桩沉桩后桩周土重塑,静压桩承载力表现出随着休止期的延长而增长的特性。本文从静压桩沉桩后桩周土体内孔隙水消散固结的角度出发,对静压桩承载力时间效应的理论和试验分别进行归纳,结合孔隙水消散路径及固结模型,对桩周土体初始超静孔隙水压力大小及其分布特征进行总结,分析承载力各种测试方法的优缺点,对静压桩承载力的时效性进行深化研究,并探讨了不同地质条件、不同桩的类型对休止期内静压桩承载力的影响,进一步对基于实测数据得出的经验公式进行总结。讨论了基于不同本构关系模型的应力场及位移场解答和沉桩后孔隙水压力消散解答,在此基础上总结了桩基极限承载力理论公式;探讨了黏性土、砂土条件下,考虑超固结比、不排水抗剪强度和塑性指数比对桩基极限承载力系数A的影响,在此基础上归纳了桩基极限承载力经验公式。建议在经验公式基础上设置多重参数,以提升经验公式的精确度,并完善对不同桩、土类型的参数解答;利用BP神经网络,导入静压桩承载力相关参数,以得到针对不同地质条件、桩型、休止期的承载力最优解。  相似文献   

Brittleness index predictions from Lower Barnett Shale well-log data applying an optimized data matching algorithm at various sampling densities     

David A.Wood 《地学前缘(英文版)》2021,12(6):444-457

The capability of accurately predicting mineralogical brittleness index(BI)from basic suites of well logs is desir-able as it provides a useful indicator of the fracability of tight formations.Measuring mineralogical components in rocks is expensive and time consuming.However,the basic well log curves are not well correlated with BI so correlation-based,machine-learning methods are not able to derive highly accurate BI predictions using such data.A correlation-free,optimized data-matching algorithm is configured to predict BI on a supervised basis from well log and core data available from two published wells in the Lower Barnett Shale Formation(Texas).This transparent open box(TOB)algorithm matches data records by calculating the sum of squared errors be-tween their variables and selecting the best matches as those with the minimum squared errors.It then applies optimizers to adjust weights applied to individual variable errors to minimize the root mean square error(RMSE)between calculated and predicted(BI).The prediction accuracy achieved by TOB using just five well logs(Gr,pb,Ns,Rs,Dt)to predict BI is dependent on the density of data records sampled.At a sampling density of about one sample per 0.5 ft BI is predicted with RMSE～0.056 and R2～0.790.At a sampling density of about one sample per 0.1 ft BI is predicted with RMSE～0.008 and R2～0.995.Adding a stratigraphic height index as an additional(sixth)input variable method improves BI prediction accuracy to RMSE～0.003 and R2～0.999 for the two wells with only 1 record in 10,000 yielding a BI prediction error of＞±0.1.The model has the potential to be applied in an unsupervised basis to predict BI from basic well log data in surrounding wells lacking mineralogical measure-ments but with similar lithofacies and burial histories.The method could also be extended to predict elastic rock properties in and seismic attributes from wells and seismic data to improve the precision of brittleness index and fracability mapping spatially.  相似文献