Retrieval of effective cloud field parameters from radiometric data     

Paulescu  Marius  Badescu  Viorel  Brabec  Marek 《Theoretical and Applied Climatology》2018,132(1-2):437-450

Theoretical and Applied Climatology - This study presents evaluation of the ability of Rossby Centre Regional Climate Model (RCA4) driven by nine global circulation models (GCMs), to skilfully...  相似文献   

Nowcasting sunshine number using logistic modeling     

Marek Brabec  Viorel Badescu  Marius Paulescu 《Meteorology and Atmospheric Physics》2013,120(1-2):61-71

In this paper, we present a formalized approach to statistical modeling of the sunshine number, binary indicator of whether the Sun is covered by clouds introduced previously by Badescu (Theor Appl Climatol 72:127–136, 2002). Our statistical approach is based on Markov chain and logistic regression and yields fully specified probability models that are relatively easily identified (and their unknown parameters estimated) from a set of empirical data (observed sunshine number and sunshine stability number series). We discuss general structure of the model and its advantages, demonstrate its performance on real data and compare its results to classical ARIMA approach as to a competitor. Since the model parameters have clear interpretation, we also illustrate how, e.g., their inter-seasonal stability can be tested. We conclude with an outlook to future developments oriented to construction of models allowing for practically desirable smooth transition between data observed with different frequencies and with a short discussion of technical problems that such a goal brings.  相似文献   

Stable isotopes of carbon dioxide in soil gas over massive sulfide mineralization at Crandon, Wisconsin     

Charles N. Alpers  David L. Dettman  Kyger C. Lohmann  Dragan Brabec 《Journal of Geochemical Exploration》1990,38(1-2)

Stable isotope ratios of oxygen and carbon were determined for CO₂ in soil gas in the vicinity of the massive sulfide deposit at Crandon, Wisconsin with the objective of determining the source of anomalously high CO₂ concentrations detected previously by McCarthy et al. (1986). Values of δ¹³C in soil gas CO₂ from depths between 0.5 and 1.0 m were found to range from −12.68‰ to −20.03‰ (PDB). Organic carbon from the uppermost meter of soil has δ¹³C between −24.1 and −25.8‰ (PDB), indicating derivation from plant species with the C₃ (Calvin) type of photosynthetic pathway. Microbial decomposition of the organic carbon and root respiration from C₃ and C₄ (Hatch-Slack) plants, together with atmospheric CO₂ are the likely sources of carbon in soil gas CO₂. Values of δ¹⁸O in soil-gas CO₂ range from 32 to 38‰ (SMOW). These δ¹⁸O values are intermediate between that calculated for CO₂ gas in isotopic equilibrium with local groundwaters and that for atmospheric CO₂. The δ¹⁸O data indicate that atmospheric CO₂ has been incorporated by mixing or diffusion. Any CO₂ generated by microbial oxidation of organic matter has equilibrated its oxygen isotopes with the local groundwaters.The isotopic composition of soil-gas CO₂ taken from directly above the massive sulfide deposit was not distinguishable from that of background samples taken 1 to 2 km away. No enrichment of the δ¹³C value of soil-gas CO₂ was observed, contrary to what would be expected if the anomalous CO₂ were derived from the dissolution of Proterozoic marine limestone country rock or of Paleozoic limestone clasts in glacial till. Therefore, it is inferred that root respiration and decay of C₃ plant material were responsible for most CO₂ generation both in the vicinity of the massive sulfide and in the “background” area, on the occasion of our sampling. Interpretation of our data is complicated by the effects of rainfall, which significantly reduced the magnitude of the CO₂ anomaly. Therefore, we cannot rule out the possible mechanism of carbonate dissolution driven by pyrite oxidation, as proposed by Lovell et al. (1983) and McCarthy et al. (1986). Further work is needed on seasonal and daily variations of CO₂ concentrations and stable isotope ratios in various hydrogeologic and ecologic settings so that more effective sampling strategies can be developed for mineral exploration using soil gases.  相似文献