Models in geography revisited     

N.J. Clifford 《Geoforum》2008,39(2):675-686

Agent based models (ABMs) have many applications, and illustrate a rapidly developing field of enquiry, spanning both the physical-mathematical and human-social sciences. ABMs are seen as most appropriate in situations where decisions or actions are distributed around particular locations, and in which structure is viewed as emergent from the interaction between individuals. ABMs may be used either as representational devices, to reproduce the patterns observed or desired in the system of interest, or as foundational tools contributing to the development of social or economic theory. The role and status of models and modelling is itself an instantiation of a wider debate concerning representation and explanation. Today, a case can be made that the nature of explanation and the use of scientific interpretation reflect much less definite and exclusive positions and permit more diverse approaches than hitherto. The underlying proposition of this commentary is, therefore, that the time is right for a positive application of ABMs within the discipline of geography, and for a rediscovery and reappraisal of the richness and depth of insight in the model-building enterprise more generally. First, the context for ABM development and application is set with reference to the agency-structure debate. Second, some aspects of the heritage of models in geography is presented, based upon reviews of two benchmark publications bearing that title. Next, some of the most significant characteristics, uses, potentials and limitations of ABMs, are reviewed. Finally, some constructive ways forward are suggested, as informed by theory and method from the interpretative social sciences.  相似文献   

Seasonal distribution and growth of larval herring (Clupea harengus L.) in the Georges Bank-Gulf of Maine area from 1962 to 1970     

Boyar  H. C.; Marak  R. R.; Perkins  F. E.; Clifford  R. A. 《ICES Journal of Marine Science》1973,35(1):36-51

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Organic carbon transport in the Columbia River     

Clifford N. Dahm  Stanley V. Gregory  P. Kilho Park 《Estuarine, Coastal and Shelf Science》1981,13(6):645-658

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Cosmogenic nuclide methods for measuring long-term rates of physical erosion and chemical weathering     

James W. Kirchner  Clifford S. Riebe  Kenneth L. Ferrier  Robert C. Finkel 《Journal of Geochemical Exploration》2006,88(1-3):296

Understanding the evolution of geochemical and geomorphic systems requires measurements of long-term rates of physical erosion and chemical weathering. Erosion and weathering rates have traditionally been estimated from measurements of sediment and solute fluxes in streams. However, modern sediment and solute fluxes are often decoupled from long-term rates of erosion and weathering, due to storage or re-mobilization of sediment and solutes upstream from the sampling point. Recently, cosmogenic nuclides such as ¹⁰Be and ²⁶Al have become important new tools for measuring long-term rates of physical erosion and chemical weathering. Cosmogenic nuclides can be used to infer the total denudation flux (the sum of the rates of physical erosion and chemical weathering) in actively eroding terrain. Here we review recent work showing how this total denudation flux can be partitioned into its physical and chemical components, using the enrichment of insoluble tracers (such as Zr) in regolith relative to parent rock. By combining cosmogenic nuclide measurements with the bulk elemental composition of rock and soil, geochemists can measure rates of physical erosion and chemical weathering over 1000- to 10,000-year time scales.  相似文献   

Ground truth seismic events and location capability at Degelen mountain, Kazakhstan     

Chad Trabant  Clifford Thurber  William Leith 《Physics of the Earth and Planetary Interiors》2002,131(2):155-171

We utilized nuclear explosions from the Degelen Mountain sub-region of the Semipalatinsk Test Site (STS), Kazakhstan, to assess seismic location capability directly. Excellent ground truth information for these events was either known or was estimated from maps of the Degelen Mountain adit complex. Origin times were refined for events for which absolute origin time information was unknown using catalog arrival times, our ground truth location estimates, and a time baseline provided by fixing known origin times during a joint hypocenter determination (JHD). Precise arrival time picks were determined using a waveform cross-correlation process applied to the available digital data. These data were used in a JHD analysis. We found that very accurate locations were possible when high precision, waveform cross-correlation arrival times were combined with JHD. Relocation with our full digital data set resulted in a mean mislocation of 2 km and a mean 95% confidence ellipse (CE) area of 6.6 km² (90% CE: 5.1 km²), however, only 5 of the 18 computed error ellipses actually covered the associated ground truth location estimate. To test a more realistic nuclear test monitoring scenario, we applied our JHD analysis to a set of seven events (one fixed) using data only from seismic stations within 40° epicentral distance. Relocation with these data resulted in a mean mislocation of 7.4 km, with four of the 95% error ellipses covering less than 570 km² (90% CE: 438 km²), and the other two covering 1730 and 8869 km² (90% CE: 1331 and 6822 km²). Location uncertainties calculated using JHD often underestimated the true error, but a circular region with a radius equal to the mislocation covered less than 1000 km² for all events having more than three observations.  相似文献   

In Situ Monitoring of Vapor Phase TCE Using a Chemiresistor Microchemical Sensor     

Clifford K. Ho  Charles F. Lohrstorfer 《Ground Water Monitoring & Remediation》2003,23(4):85-90

A chemiresistor microchemical sensor has been developed to detect and monitor volatile organic compounds in unsaturated and saturated subsurface environments. A controlled study was conducted at the HAZMAT Spill Center at the Nevada Test Site, where the sensor was tested under a range of temperature, moisture, and trichloroethylene (TCE) concentrations. The sensor responded rapidly when exposed to TCE placed in sand, and it also responded to decreases in TCE vapor concentration when clean air was vented through the system. Variations in temperature and water vapor concentration impacted baseline chemiresistor signals, but at high TCE concentrations the sensor response was dominated by the TCE exposure. Test results showed that the detection limit of the chemiresistor to TCE vapor in the presence of fluctuating environmental variables (i.e., temperature and water vapor concentration) was on the order of 1000 parts per million by volume, which is about an order of magnitude higher than values obtained in controlled laboratory environments. Automated temperature control and preconcentration is recommended to improve the stability and sensitivity of the chemiresistor sensor.  相似文献   

Editors’ message     

Clifford I. Voss  William E. Wilson 《Hydrogeology Journal》1997,5(1):2-2

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Seasonal and inter-annual relationships between vegetation and climate in central New Mexico, USA   总被引：8，自引：0，他引：8  

Jeremy L. Weiss  David S. Gutzler  Julia E. Allred Coonrod  Clifford N. Dahm 《Journal of Arid Environments》2004,57(4):507-534

Linear correlations between seasonal and inter-annual measures of meteorological variables and normalized difference vegetation index (NDVI) are calculated at six nearby yet distinct vegetation communities in semi-arid New Mexico, USA Monsoon season (June–September) precipitation shows considerable positive correlation with NDVI values from the contemporaneous summer, following spring, and following summer. Non-monsoon precipitation (October–May), temperature, and wind display both positive and negative correlations with NDVI values. These meteorological variables influence NDVI variability at different seasons and time lags. Thus vegetation responds to short-term climate variability in complex ways and serves as a source of memory for the climate system.  相似文献   

Emerging grassroots resilience and flood responses in informal settlements in Accra,Ghana     

Clifford Amoako 《GeoJournal》2018,83(5):949-965

In the last five decades, many informal communities in Accra, Ghana have suffered from annual flood hazards. Residents of these communities appear to have successfully resisted evictions by city authorities; survived flood hazards and poor environmental health conditions. These flood affected households continue to survive with increasing housing and population densities in the face of these annual floods. Are they becoming resilient? Have residents built adaptive capacities through learning experiences from previous flood occurrences and evictions attempts? What has produced and continued to shape their responses to flooding? What can be learned from this supposed grassroots resilience to inform flood management in urban Africa? Using case studies of three informal communities of Glefe, Agbogbloshie and Old Fadama, this paper explores the gradual and evolving adaptive capacities and social resilience to flood hazards among poor urban dwellers. The paper reveals the depth of understanding and embodied nature of flood experiences among affected slum dwellers and how these are gradually being transformed into adaptive capacities and shaping their responses. In the absence of efficient state flood interventions, there are emerging and enduring flood responses and adaptation practices shaped by residents’ social networks, political alliances and sense of place. These responses translates into continuous re-structuring of housing units, construction of communal drains, creation of local evacuation teams and safe havens. Urban policy contributions that can be learned from these emerging grassroots capacities for flood vulnerability management have been proposed.  相似文献   

Stability of the assemblage albite plus forsterite at high temperatures and pressures with petrologic implications     

Kenneth E. Windom  Clifford P. Unger 《Contributions to Mineralogy and Petrology》1988,98(3):390-400

The maximum limits of the assemblage albiteforsterite have been determined experimentally at high pressures and temperatures. At subsolidus temperatures, albite plus forsterite is replaced at high pressures by jadeitic clinopyroxene and enstatitic orthopyroxene. The boundary for this reaction lies within experimental uncertainity of that for jadeite=albite+nepheline. Melting of albite+forsterite at high pressures produces enstatite+liquid, which is different from the low-pressure eutectic behavior. Melting rates are very slow and several hundred hours are required to establish equilibrium near the solidus. The subsolidus boundary for albite plus forsterite lies near that for sanidine plus forsterite, but with a shallower slope which more closely matches that of anorthite plus forsterite. Both albite plus forsterite and anorthite plus forsterite are replaced at high pressures by an assemblage containing clinopyroxene plus orthopyroxene, unlike sanidine plus forsterite, which is replaced by a feldspathoid plus orthopyroxene. The presence of sodium enlarges the depth region over which plagioclase lherzolite can stably exist; it may also stabilize alkali feldspar plus olivine in crustal rocks.  相似文献