顾及地类转换差异的城市空间扩展元胞自动机模型及应用研究     

于明明  曾永年 《地球信息科学学报》2018,20(1):48-56

元胞自动机模型已经成为城市空间扩展模拟研究的重要方法之一,并得到广泛应用。然而,现有的城市扩展元胞自动机模型仍存在不足。由于元胞状态设置较为简单,从而使模型转换规则中对不同用地类型向城市用地转换的差异与强度考虑不够。基于此本文在元胞自动机模型的框架下,设计了多元结构的元胞状态及转换规则,提出了顾及地类转换差异与强度的城市扩展元胞自动机模型。在计算非城市用地向城市用地转换的转换概率时,该模型考虑了3个方面的概率：① 地形地貌、经济发展等城市发展的驱动因素对城市用地扩展的影响概率,该概率采用logistics方法进行计算;② 邻域元胞的用地类型对中心元胞转换概率的影响,该概率采用扩展摩尔型方法进行计算;③ 不同类型的非城市用地（本研究中包括耕地、林地和裸地3种类型）向城市用地转换的强度,该概率由模拟基期土地利用数据与目标年份土地利用数据的叠加,得出不同类型的非城市用地在此时间段内向城市用地转换的规模,进而确定不同类型的非城市用地向城市用地转换的强度。最后,将以上3种概率的乘积作为元胞转换的概率。通过转换概率与转换阈值的对比判断中心元胞是否在下一个阶段转换为城市用地。经过迭代计算,不断增加城市用地元胞的数量。当模拟城市用地的结果与目标年份的城市用地规模差值在一定的范围内时停止模拟,得出最终结果。模型构建完成后,本文以长株潭城市群核心区为例进行了模拟实验。以2001年该地区的土地利用数据为基期数据,模拟2010年该地区的城市用地规模和空间分布。研究结果表明,根据本文提出的模型模拟的城市扩展结果与真实数据相比具有较高的一致性。模拟结果正确率达到68.66%,比基于传统logistics回归的元胞自动机模型的模拟精度提高了4.25%,Kappa系数为0.675。该模型较好地模拟了长株潭城市群核心区城市扩展,在城市空间扩展模拟中具有较好的适应性与有效性。  相似文献   

网络安全态势感知关键实现技术研究   总被引：6，自引：0，他引：6  

王慧强  赖积保  胡明明  梁颖 《武汉大学学报(信息科学版)》2008,33(10):995-998

建立了网络安全态势感知的分层实现模型,并针对每个层次提出了基于多分类器融合的安全态势提取方法、基于统计学习的分层态势评估方法以及基于遗传神经网络态势的动态预测方法.经仿真实验验证,每个层次的实现方法都是可行有效的.  相似文献   

永城煤矿区矿井经济环境价值综合评价     

刘金平张幼蒂  王明明 《中国煤田地质》2005,17(2):40-42

在初步估算永城煤矿区的环境成本的基础上，对该矿区某矿井经济环境综合价值进行了评价和分析。当考虑矿区煤炭环境成本时，煤炭资源开采的净现值变小，该矿井煤炭资源开采的经济环境综合价值变小。进一步计算了不同环境成本和贴现率时的净现值，为动态决策服务。  相似文献   

国家气象中心新一代业务中期预报模式T213L31的主要特点   总被引：12，自引：3，他引：12  

陈起英  姚明明  王雨 《气象》2004,30(10):16-21

T2 1 3中期数值预报系统于 2 0 0 2年 9月 1日起在国家气象中心正式业务化。作为此系统核心的T2 1 3L31全球模式与原业务模式T1 0 6L1 9相比 ,采用了一些新的数值技术 ,包括半拉格朗日时间积分方案的引入 ,采用规约格点 ,分布内存与共享内存并行相结合 ,从而在目前有限的计算机资源条件下 ,能积分高分辨率的模式。更重要的是 ,模式采用了一些更新、具有更真实物理概念的物理过程参数化方案 ,对于辐射方案、次网格尺度地形参数化、积云对流方案、云方案、陆面过程方案都作了很大改进 ,从而克服了许多T1 0 6L1 9模式中存在的问题 ,明显提高了T2 1 3L31模式的预报技巧。  相似文献   

安徽省硫铁矿成因类型及潜力分析     

王利民  吴礼彬  孙明明  赵先超  高曙光 《地质论评》2016,62(S1):227-228

安徽省是我国硫铁矿储量大省,截止2013年底,全省累计查明非伴生硫铁矿9.1亿吨,保有资源储量8.2亿吨,居全国第二位,华东第一位。  相似文献   

陕北风沙区含砾石工程堆积体坡面产流产沙试验   总被引：1，自引：0，他引：1       下载免费PDF全文

康宏亮  王文龙  薛智德  郭明明  李建明  白芸  邓利强  李艳富 《水科学进展》2016,27(2):256-265

采用室内人工模拟降雨方法,研究了陕北风沙区含砾石工程堆积体边坡的产流产沙过程。结果表明:①砾石存在改变了坡面入渗速率,径流系数受入渗速率的影响,随砾石含量的增加先线性递减后线性递增,并在10%砾石含量处存在阈值;径流系数随降雨强度的增加线性递增。②含砾石堆积体坡面流速较纯土堆积体降低,且随雨强增大,砾石延缓径流流动的作用越显著;雨强对径流流速的影响随砾石含量增加持续减弱。③土壤剥蚀率在产流24~33 min后显著增加,砾石主要对显著增加后的平均剥蚀率产生影响。④雨强1.0 mm/min时,砾石存在促进降雨侵蚀,产沙量增大;雨强大于1.0 mm/min时,砾石具有显著的减沙效应。  相似文献   

珠江黄茅海河口洪季侧向余环流与泥沙输移   总被引：1，自引：1，他引：0  

杨名名  吴加学  张乾江  任杰  刘欢 《海洋学报》2016,38(1):31-45

2012年洪季对珠江黄茅海河口湾侧向动力结构与泥沙输移过程进行了系统观测,采用动量平衡和泥沙通量机制分解等方法,分析了河口流、温盐和泥沙侧向分布特征以及泥沙输移过程,探讨了侧向动量平衡与泥沙输移机制。洪季黄茅海河口存在明显的侧向流,西滩和北槽均形成表层向东、底层向西的两层侧向流,拦门沙滩顶呈现表、底层向西、中层向东的三层侧向流,而拦门沙前缘侧向流整体向西。河口湾纵向净泥沙通量表现为北槽向海、西滩向陆,拦门沙滩顶及其前缘均向海;侧向净泥沙通量表现为滩顶及其前缘均向西,西滩向东、北槽向西。这种侧向泥沙辐聚过程是高浓度悬沙聚集于滩槽界面的重要原因,向陆净通量是西滩回淤的重要原因。滩槽间侧向余环流动量平衡主要是侧向斜压梯度力、科氏力和侧向平流作用。欧拉平流输运在侧向泥沙输运中起主要作用,潮泵效应也起重要作用。  相似文献   

Identifying structure and function of karst aquifer system using multiple field methods in karst trough valley area,South China   总被引：1，自引：0，他引：1  

Mingming Luo  Zhihua Chen  Hong Zhou  Hamza Jakada  Liang Zhang  Zhaofeng Han  Tingting Shi 《Environmental Earth Sciences》2016,75(9):824

  相似文献   

Acquiring high-resolution topography and performing spatial analysis of loess landslides by using low-cost UAVs   总被引：1，自引：0，他引：1  

Sheng Hu  Haijun Qiu  Xingang Wang  Yu Gao  Ninglian Wang  Jiang Wu  Dongdong Yang  Mingming Cao 《Landslides》2018,15(3):593-612

The Loess Plateau is a region in China prone to frequent geological disasters, where thousands of loess landslides can be found. Conventional field survey methods are inadequate for the requirements of fine spatial analysis of landslides. Due to its numerous advantages (fast, efficient, low cost, safe, and able to acquire high-resolution data), structure from motion (SfM) technique to photogrammetric orientation of flights and modeling applied to photographs taken by unmanned aerial vehicles (UAVs) equipped with a camera has become a powerful new tool for the generation of high-resolution topography that has emerged in recent years, which has become a powerful new technique for acquiring high-resolution topographic data. In this study, we conducted nearly two months of field UAV surveys of loess landslides on the Loess Plateau, eventually established 3D digital models for 11 loess landslides, and produced high-resolution digital orthophoto maps (DOMs) and digital elevation models (DEMs). High-resolution spatial analysis of the loess landslides (mainly including characteristic parameter extraction, topography profile analysis, surface feature analysis, and hydrologic analysis) was performed using Agisoft PhotoScan, ArcGIS 10.2, Global Mapper 17, and Origin Pro 9.0. The UAV technique allows us to further understand the micro-level internal spatial and structural characteristics of loess landslides. Moreover, not only does it allow us to accurately measure the characteristic geometric parameters but also enables us to detect the surface details of loess landslides (e.g., textures, fissures, and micro-landforms). Manifestly, we can also deduce the original structural characteristics and possible inducement mechanism of landslides based on a combination of high-resolution data acquired by UAVs, proper ground surveys, and theoretical knowledge. In summary, the low-cost UAVs are highly and especially suitable for surveys and digital terrain analysis of landslides on the Loess Plateau with sparse vegetation.  相似文献   

Application of a unified linear yield criterion in plane strain to study the strength theory effect in geotechnical engineering     

Changguang Zhang  Mingming Cai  Junhai Zhao  Lizhou Wu 《Environmental Earth Sciences》2018,77(22):758

The plane strain condition is a common, but polyaxial stress state for geotechnical structure designs, in which the selection of an appropriate yield or failure criterion is crucial to reasonably account for the intermediate principal stress. Under plane strain condition, a unified linear yield criterion for seven commonly used geotechnical yield criteria is presented in conjunction with the inductive method. These seven yield criteria considered in this study are the Mohr–Coulomb, Tresca, Drucker–Prager, Mogi–Coulomb, Extended Matsuoka–Nakai, Extended Lade–Duncan criteria, and the Unified Strength Theory. The generalized analytical solutions for earth pressure of retaining walls, critical load of strip foundations as well as stress and displacement of circular tunnels are derived on the basis of the proposed unified yield criterion, and their respective theoretical significance is analyzed. Thereafter, the critical load of strip foundations obtained herein is compared with two numerical results from the literature. Furthermore, the effect of strength theory on result differences of the three typical geotechnical problems by simply selecting constants, which conform to different yield criteria, is explored through a parametric study. It is found that the proposed unified yield criterion is convenient for investigating analytical solutions of the aforementioned geotechnical structures. The strength theory effect due to adopting different yield criteria is considerably significant, which cannot be ignored. Additionally, recommendations are provided on how to make use of these seven yield criteria for an optimum design.  相似文献