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1.
A global two-dimensional one-level seasonal energy-balance model is asynchronously coupled to vertically integrated ice-flow models (which depend both on latitude and longitude) to study the response of the atmosphere-ocean-cryosphere-lithosphere system to solar forcing for the last ice age cycle of the late Pleistocene. The model simulates the position of the North American and European ice sheet complexes at the last glacial maximum satisfactorily. Both the geographic distributions of the ice volumes delivered by the model and their masses are a reasonable approximation to those inferred on the basis of relative sea level data (Tushingham and Peltier 1990). The sensitivity of the coupled model over the last glacial-interglacial cycle to solar forcing is nevertheless low, which suggests that further physical mechanisms will have to be added to the model (such as explicit basal sliding and ice shelves which would respond to sea-level variations and therefore permit marine incursions), if it is to adequately simulate the terminations that control the 105 year ice age cycle. One should also incorporate long-term variations of the greenhouse gases (Manabe et al. 1985b).This paper was presented at the International Conference on Modelling of Global Climate Change and Variability, held in Hamburg 11–15 September 1989 under the auspices of the Meteorological Institute of the University of Hamburg and the Max Planck Institute for Meteorology. Guest Editor for these papers is Dr. L. Dümenil 相似文献
2.
Past and future polar amplification of climate change: climate model intercomparisons and ice-core constraints 总被引：1，自引：0，他引：1
V. Masson-Delmotte M. Kageyama P. Braconnot S. Charbit G. Krinner C. Ritz E. Guilyardi J. Jouzel A. Abe-Ouchi M. Crucifix R. M. Gladstone C. D. Hewitt A. Kitoh A. N. LeGrande O. Marti U. Merkel T. Motoi R. Ohgaito B. Otto-Bliesner W. R. Peltier I. Ross P. J. Valdes G. Vettoretti S. L. Weber F. Wolk Y. Yu 《Climate Dynamics》2006,27(4):437-440
3.
B.P. Horton W.R. Peltier S.J. Culver R. Drummond S.E. Engelhart A.C. Kemp D. Mallinson E.R. Thieler S.R. Riggs D.V. Ames K.H. Thomson 《Quaternary Science Reviews》2009,28(17-18):1725-1736
We have synthesized new and existing relative sea-level (RSL) data to produce a quality-controlled, spatially comprehensive database from the North Carolina coastline. The RSL database consists of 54 sea-level index points that are quantitatively related to an appropriate tide level and assigned an error estimate, and a further 33 limiting dates that confine the maximum and minimum elevations of RSL. The temporal distribution of the index points is very uneven with only five index points older than 4000 cal a BP, but the form of the Holocene sea-level trend is constrained by both terrestrial and marine limiting dates. The data illustrate RSL rapidly rising during the early and mid Holocene from an observed elevation of ?35.7 ± 1.1 m MSL at 11062–10576 cal a BP to ?4.2 m ± 0.4 m MSL at 4240–3592 cal a BP.We restricted comparisons between observations and predictions from the ICE-5G(VM2) with rotational feedback Glacial Isostatic Adjustment (GIA) model to the Late Holocene RSL (last 4000 cal a BP) because of the wealth of sea-level data during this time interval. The ICE-5G(VM2) model predicts significant spatial variations in RSL across North Carolina, thus we subdivided the observations into two regions. The model forecasts an increase in the rate of sea-level rise in Region 1 (Albemarle, Currituck, Roanoke, Croatan, and northern Pamlico sounds) compared to Region 2 (southern Pamlico, Core and Bogue sounds, and farther south to Wilmington). The observations show Late Holocene sea-level rising at 1.14 ± 0.03 mm year?1 and 0.82 ± 0.02 mm year?1 in Regions 1 and 2, respectively. The ICE-5G(VM2) predictions capture the general temporal trend of the observations, although there is an apparent misfit for index points older than 2000 cal a BP. It is presently unknown whether these misfits are caused by possible tectonic uplift associated with the mid-Carolina Platform High or a flaw in the GIA model. A comparison of local tide gauge data with the Late Holocene RSL trends from Regions 1 and 2 support the spatial variation in RSL across North Carolina, and imply an additional increase of mean sea level of greater than 2 mm year?1 during the latter half of the 20th century; this is in general agreement with historical tide gauge and satellite altimetry data. 相似文献
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Summary A uniformly valid linear viscoelastic rheology is described which takes the form of a 'generalized' Burgers' body and which appears capable of reconciling the behaviour of the Earth's mantle across the complete spectrum of geodynamic time-scales. This spectrum is bracketed by the short time-scales of body wave and free oscillation seismology on which anelastic effects are dominant, and the long time-scale of mantle convection on which the Earth behaves viscously. The parameters of the model which control the viscous response are fixed by post-glacial rebound data whereas those which govern the anelasticity are to be determined by fitting the model to observations of seismic Q. The paper is concerned primarily with a discussion of the normal mode spectrum of the Earth as a generalized Burgers' body. Focusing upon the homogeneous model, it includes an initial analysis of the accuracy of first-order perturbation theory as a method of calculating the respective Q s of the elastic gravitational free oscillations. Also considered are the quasi-static modes of relaxation which only exact eigenanalysis can reveal. The importance of these modes is assessed within the context of a discussion of the effect of viscoelasticity upon the efficiency of Chandler wobble excitation. 相似文献
7.
Summary. This paper is concerned with an examination of the possibility that there might exist a small scale of convective circulation beneath the oceanic lithosphere. Recent suggestions that this might be the case have been made in an effort to understand why the bathymetry of the sea-floor deviates from the prediction of boundary layer theory for ages in excess of about 100 Ma. The energy source which sustains the secondary motion is supposed to be found in the steep temperature gradient near the planetary surface which is itself presumably maintained by the large-scale convective circulation associated with plate creation and destruction. Here we investigate the extent to which the temperature dependence of viscosity may act so as to stabilize the upper boundary layer against disruption by such secondary instability. If the viscosity profile is monotonie and the asymptotic upper mantle viscosity is about 1022 poise, as suggested by post-glacial rebound data, then the existence of the second scale is extremely unlikely. On the other hand, if a sufficiently pronounced low viscosity zone does exist under old sea-floor then the development of such a second scale cannot be ruled out completely. Some recently obtained geophysical evidence is reviewed which suggests that this is unlikely to be the case. 相似文献
8.
Application of an ice sheet model developed for the Pleistocene to the extensive Carboniferous glaciation on Gondwana yields
an ice sheet which has several features consistent with observations. While complete deglaciation is not achieved without
CO2 changes, the Milankovich-induced fluctuations in ice sheet volume are comparable to Pleistocene glacial/ interglacial signals.
This result is shown to hold for a large fraction of physically reasonable parameter space. The model also exhibits multiple
equilibria and sharp bifurcations, as infinitesimal changes in the solar constant or precipitation can lead to a qualitatively
different climate. The success of the model in predicting ice location in an environment quite different from the Pleistocene
provides additional support for the robustness of the basic model physics and suggests that the model can be applied with
some confidence to other pre-Pleistocene glaciations.
Received: 30 June 1998 / Accepted: 5 January 1999 相似文献
9.
We examine the three-dimensional, nonlinear evolution of columnar vortices in a rotating environment. As the initial vorticity distribution, a wavetrain of finite amplitude Kelvin-Helmholtz vortices in shear is employed. Through direct numerical simulation of the Navier-Stokes equations we seek to better understand the process of maturation of the various three-dimensional modes of instability to which such vortical flows are subject, especially those which exist as a consequence of the action of the Coriolis force. In the absence of rotational influence, we thereby demonstrate that the nonlinear evolution of columnar vortices is most strongly controlled by one or the other of two mechanisms. One mechanism of instability is identifiable as a so-called elliptical instability, which promotes the initial bending of vortex tubes in a sinusoidal fashion, while the other is a hyperbolic mode, which is responsible for the development of streamwise vortex streaks in the "braids" between adjacent vortex cores. In the rotating case, anticyclonic vortices are strongly destabilized by weak background rotation, while rapid rotation stabilizes both the cyclones and anticyclones. The strong anticyclones are subject to two distinct forms of instability, namely a Coriolis force modified elliptical instability and an inertial (centrifugal) instability. The former instability is very similar to the nonrotating form of the elliptical instability as it promotes bending of vortex tubes, while the latter instability grows on the edge of the vortex core and generates streaks of vorticity, which surround the vortex core itself. These results of direct numerical simulation fully verify the results of previous linear stability analyses. Taken together, they provide a simple explanation for the broken symmetry that is often observed to be characteristic of the von Karman vortex streets that develop in the atmospheric lee of oceanic islands. 相似文献
10.