Evapotranspiration estimation is of crucial importance in arid and hyper-arid regions, which suffer from water shortage, increasing dryness and heat. A modeling study is reported here to cross-station assessment between hyper-arid and humid conditions. The derived equations estimate ET0 values based on temperature-, radiation-, and mass transfer-based configurations. Using data from two meteorological stations in a hyper-arid region of Iran and two meteorological stations in a humid region of Spain, different local and cross-station approaches are applied for developing and validating the derived equations. The comparison of the gene expression programming (GEP)-based-derived equations with corresponding empirical-semi empirical ET0 estimation equations reveals the superiority of new formulas in comparison with the corresponding empirical equations. Therefore, the derived models can be successfully applied in these hyper-arid and humid regions as well as similar climatic contexts especially in data-lack situations. The results also show that when relying on proper input configurations, cross-station might be a promising alternative for locally trained models for the stations with data scarcity.
The present paper aims at modeling suspended sediment load (SSL) using heuristic data driven methodologies, e.g. Gene Expression Programming (GEP) and Support Vector Machine (SVM) in three successive hydrometric stations of Housatonic River in U.S. The simulations were carried out through local and cross-station data management scenarios to investigate the interrelations between the SSL values of upstream/downstream stations. The available scenarios were applied to predict SSL values using GEP to obtain the best models. Then, the best models were predicted by SVM approach and the obtained results were compared with those of GEP. The comparison of the results revealed that the SVM technique is more capable than the GEP for modeling the SSL through the both local and cross-station data management strategies. Besides, local application seems to be better than cross-station application for modeling SSL. Nevertheless, the cross-station application demonstrated to be a valid methodology for simulating SSL, which would be of interest for the stations with lack of observational data. Also, the prediction capability of conventional Sediment Rating Curve (SRC) method was compared with those of GEP and SVM techniques. The obtained results revealed the superiority of GEP and SVM-based models over the traditional SRC technique in the studied stations. 相似文献
Scouring in the channel contractions occurs due to the flow concentration within them inducing excessive bed shear stress. This is a complex process, so it is difficult to describe it through a general empirical model, the present research work describes contemporary conceptual relationships to estimate the local scour depth under equilibrium and clear water conditions in rectangular channels. Incidentally, gene-expression programming (GEP), evolutionary polynomial regression (EPR), and model tree (MT)-based formulations were utilized to predict the scour depth at long contractions. The input variables comprising average flow velocity, critical threshold velocity of sediment movement, flow depth, median particle diameter, geometric standard deviation, and uncontracted and contracted channel widths were used to feed the applied models. The performances of the developed approach were compared with those calculated using existing scour prediction equations. The results showed that the developed MT approach in terms of linear relationships could predict the scour depth more precisely than GEP, EPR, and the traditional equations. What is more, dimensionless parameter of h1/b1 (ratio of upstream flow depth to uncontracted channel width) was determined as the most influential variable in predicting the scour depth in long contractions. 相似文献
Establishing robust models for predicting precipitation processes can yield a significant aspect for many applications in water resource engineering and environmental prospective. In particular, understanding precipitation phenomena is crucial for managing the effects of flooding in watersheds. In this research, a regional precipitation pattern modeling was undertaken using three intelligent predictive models incorporating artificial neural network (ANN), support vector machine (SVM) and random forest (RF) methods. The modeling was carried out using monthly time scale precipitation information in a semi-arid environment located in Iraq. Twenty weather stations covering the entire region were used to construct the predictive models. At the initial stage, the region was divided into three climatic districts based on documented research. Initially, modeling was carried out for each district using historical information from regionally distributed meteorological stations for calibration. Subsequently, cross-station modeling was undertaken for each district using precipitation data from other districts. The study demonstrated that cross-station modeling was an effective means of predicting the spatial distribution of precipitation in watersheds with limited meteorological data. 相似文献
Ice gouging problem is a significant challenge threatening the integrity of subsea pipelines in the Arctic (e.g., Beaufort Sea) and even non-Arctic (e.g., Caspian Sea) offshore regions. Determining the seabed response to ice scour through the subgouge soil deformations and the keel reaction forces are important aspects for a safe and cost-effective design. In this study, the subgouge soil deformations and the keel reaction forces were simulated by the extreme learning machine (ELM) for the first time. Nine ELM models (ELM 1–ELM 9) were developed using the key parameters governing the ice–seabed interaction. The number of neurons in the hidden layer was optimized and the best activation function for the ELM network was identified. The premium ELM model, resulting in the lowest level of inaccuracy and complexity and the highest level of correlation with experimental values was identified by performing a sensitivity analysis. The gouge depth ratio and the shear strength of the seabed soil were found to be the most influential input parameters affecting the subgouge soil deformations and the keel reaction forces. A set of the ELM-based equations were proposed to approximate the ice gouging parameters. The uncertainty analysis showed that the premium ELM model slightly underestimated the subgouge soil deformation.
AbstractAccurate prediction of daily pan evaporation (PE) is important for monitoring, surveying, and management of water resources as well as reservoir management and evaluation of drinking water supply systems. This study develops and applies soft computing models to predict daily PE in a dry climate region of south-western Iran. Three soft computing models, namely the multilayer perceptron-neural networks model (MLP-NNM), Kohonen self-organizing feature maps-neural networks model (KSOFM-NNM), and gene expression programming (GEP), were considered. Daily PE was predicted at two stations using temperature-based, radiation-based, and sunshine duration-based input combinations. The results obtained by the temperature-based 3 (TEM3) model produced the best results for both stations. The Mann-Whitney U test was employed to compute the rank of different input combination for hypothesis testing. Comparison between the soft computing models and multiple linear regression model (MLRM) demonstrated the superiority of MLP-NNM, KSOFM-NNM, and GEP over MLRM. It was concluded that the soft computing models can be successfully employed for predicting daily PE in south western Iran.
This study investigates the ability of two different artificial neural network (ANN) models, generalized regression neural networks model (GRNNM) and Kohonen self-organizing feature maps neural networks model (KSOFM), and two different adaptive neural fuzzy inference system (ANFIS) models, ANFIS model with sub-clustering identification (ANFIS-SC) and ANFIS model with grid partitioning identification (ANFIS-GP), for estimating daily dew point temperature. The climatic data that consisted of 8 years of daily records of air temperature, sunshine hours, wind speed, saturation vapor pressure, relative humidity, and dew point temperature from three weather stations, Daego, Pohang, and Ulsan, in South Korea were used in the study. The estimates of ANN and ANFIS models were compared according to the three different statistics, root mean square errors, mean absolute errors, and determination coefficient. Comparison results revealed that the ANFIS-SC, ANFIS-GP, and GRNNM models showed almost the same accuracy and they performed better than the KSOFM model. Results also indicated that the sunshine hours, wind speed, and saturation vapor pressure have little effect on dew point temperature. It was found that the dew point temperature could be successfully estimated by using Tmean and RH variables. 相似文献
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