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1.
The HCN emission features near 3 μm recently detected by Geballe et al. (2003, Astrophys. J. 583, L39) are analyzed with a model for fluorescence of sunlight in the ν3 band of HCN. The emission spectrum is consistent with current knowledge of the atmospheric temperature profile and the HCN distribution inferred from millimeter-wave observations. The spectrum is insensitive to the abundance of HCN in the thermosphere and the thousand-fold enhancement relative to photochemical models suggested by Geballe et al. (2003, Astrophys. J. 583, L39) is not required to explain the observations. We find that the spectrum can be matched with temperatures from 130 to 200 K, with slightly better fits at high temperature, contrary to the temperature determination of 130±10 K of Geballe et al. (2003, Astrophys. J. 583, L39). The HCN emission spectrum is sensitive to the collisional de-excitation probability, P10, for the ν3 state and we determine a value of 10−5 with an accuracy of about a factor of two. Analysis of absorption lines in the C2H2ν3 band near 3 μm, detected in the same spectrum, indicate a C2H2 mole fraction near 0.01 μbar of 10−5 for P10=10−4. The derived mole fraction, however, is dependent upon the value adopted for P10 and lower values are required if P10 at Titan temperatures is less than its room temperature value.  相似文献   
2.
Most current methods of design for concrete structures under earthquake loads rely on highly idealized ‘equivalent’ static representations of the seismic loads and linear‐elastic methods of structural analysis. With the continuing development of non‐linear methods of dynamic analysis for the overload behaviour and collapse of complete concrete structures, a more direct and more accurate design procedure becomes possible which considers conditions at system collapse. This paper describes an evaluation procedure that uses non‐linear dynamic collapse–load analysis together with global safety coefficients. A back‐calibration procedure for evaluating the global safety coefficients is also described. The aim of this paper is to open up discussion of alternative methods of design with improved accuracy which are necessary to move towards a direct collapse–load method of design. Copyright © 2002 John Wiley & Sons, Ltd.  相似文献   
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A re-evaluation of Brown's Lunar Theory has long been awaited. While working on this problem a number of questions about the adequacy of Brown's approach have arisen, and some of these questions including that of the need for a literal solution of the main problem are discussed in this paper.  相似文献   
5.
We investigate the effect of hydrostatic scale heights lambda(T) in coronal loops on the determination of the vertical temperature structure T&parl0;h&parr0; of the solar corona. Every method that determines an average temperature at a particular line of sight from optically thin emission (e.g., in EUV or soft X-ray wavelengths) of a mutlitemperature plasma is subject to the emission measure-weighted contributions dEM&parl0;T&parr0;&solm0;dT from different temperatures. Because most of the coronal structures (along open or closed field lines) are close to hydrostatic equilibrium, the hydrostatic temperature scale height introduces a height-dependent weighting function that causes a systematic bias in the determination of the temperature structure T&parl0;h&parr0; as function of altitude h. The net effect is that the averaged temperature seems to increase with altitude, dT&parl0;h&parr0;&solm0;dh>0, even if every coronal loop (of a multitemperature ensemble) is isothermal in itself. We simulate this effect with differential emission measure distributions observed by SERTS for an instrument with a broadband temperature filter such as Yohkoh/Soft X-Ray Telescope and find that the apparent temperature increase due to hydrostatic weighting is of order DeltaT approximately T0h&solm0;r middle dot in circle. We suggest that this effect largely explains the systematic temperature increase in the upper corona reported in recent studies (e.g., by Sturrock et al., Wheatland et al., or Priest et al.), rather than being an intrinsic signature of a coronal heating mechanism.  相似文献   
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Separate space- or time-lags have been considered regularly in data analyses; as space–time models are more recently being studied extensively in data analytic fashion, joint estimation of both lags has to be considered explicitly. This paper addresses this issue, taking into special consideration parametric parsimony together with specification richness; use of the bivariate Poisson frequency distribution is advocated and applied to an empirical case. The relation of this approach to random effects specifications is investigated. Data for Belgian regional products constitute the empirical case study.
Daniel A. GriffithEmail:
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Space‐time data are becoming more abundant as time goes by, with hands‐on interest in them becoming more prevalent. These data have a very sensitive ordering in space and time, one that the simplest of recording errors can scramble. These data are also complex, containing both spatial and temporal autocorrelation coupled with their interaction. One goal of many researchers is to disentangle and account for these autocorrelation components in a parsimonious way. This article presents three competing model specifications to achieve this end. In addition, it outlines seven best practices for vetting space‐time datasets. This article cites a publicly available corrupt (containing at least errors of omission) rabies dataset to illustrate how a large volume of potentially valuable data can be rendered meaningless. In addition, it exemplifies postulated contentions about the United States National Cancer Institute Surveillance, Epidemiology, and End Results Program’s 1969–2018 population‐by‐county dataset, a collection of population counts held in high esteem. One major empirical finding is that this particular dataset exhibits traits that may merit remedial revisions action. A key conceptual finding is a suggested set of best practices for space‐time data proofreading. These two findings contribute to an ultimate goal of a large collection of certified open access space‐time datasets supporting repeatable and replicable scientific analyses.  相似文献   
8.
The prairie pothole region (PPR) in the north-central United States and south-central Canada constitutes the most important waterfowl breeding area in North America. Projected long-term changes in precipitation and temperature may alter the drivers of waterfowl abundance: wetland availability and emergent vegetation cover. Previous studies have focused on isolated wetland dynamics, but the implications of changing precipitation on managed, river-fed wetlands have not been addressed. Using a structured decision making (SDM) approach, we derived optimal water management actions for 20 years at four river-fed National Wildlife Refuges (NWRs) in North and South Dakota under contrasting increasing/decreasing (+/?0.4 %/year) inflow scenarios derived from empirical trends. Refuge pool depth is manipulated by control structures. Optimal management involves setting control structure heights that have the highest probability of providing a desired mix of waterfowl habitat, given refuge capacities and inflows. We found optimal seasonal control structure heights for each refuge were essentially the same under increasing and decreasing inflow trends of 0.4 %/year over the next 20 years. Results suggest managed pools in the NWRs receive large inflows relative to their capacities. Hence, water availability does not constrain management; pool bathymetry and management tactics can be greater constraints on attaining management objectives than climate-mediated inflow. We present time-dependent optimal seasonal control structure heights for each refuge, which are resilient to the non-stationary precipitation scenarios we examined. Managers can use this information to provide a desired mixture of wildlife habitats, and to re-assess management objectives in reserves where pool bathymetry prevents attaining the currently stated objectives.  相似文献   
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Geographical data sets sometimes contain missing observations that need to be estimated. A statistical approach to the problem is discussed for multivariate normal spatial data sets satisfying the first-order spatial Markov property with constant mean, where the information at neighboring or contiguous observed sites is used to estimate the missing values. The completed data are used to estimate the parameters of the distribution. The procedure is iterative. The approach is a special case of the Orchard and Woodbury missing information principle. The paper concludes with an illustrative empirical example using rainfall data from an area of Kansas and Nebraska. The quality of the estimates for different sites are compared.  相似文献   
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