排序方式: 共有55条查询结果,搜索用时 31 毫秒
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Esther Salazar Dorit Hammerling Xia Wang Bruno Sansó Andrew O. Finley Linda O. Mearns 《Climatic change》2016,138(1-2):55-69
We consider the problem of projecting future climate from ensembles of regional climate model (RCM) simulations using results from the North American Regional Climate Change Assessment Program (NARCCAP). To this end, we develop a hierarchical Bayesian space-time model that quantifies the discrepancies between different members of an ensemble of RCMs corresponding to present day conditions, and observational records. Discrepancies are then propagated into the future to obtain high resolution blended projections of 21st century climate. In addition to blended projections, the proposed method provides location-dependent comparisons between the different simulations by estimating the different modes of spatial variability, and using the climate model-specific coefficients of the spatial factors for comparisons. The approach has the flexibility to provide projections at customizable scales of potential interest to stakeholders while accounting for the uncertainties associated with projections at these scales based on a comprehensive statistical framework. We demonstrate the methodology with simulations from the Weather Research & Forecasting regional model (WRF) using three different boundary conditions. We use simulations for two time periods: current climate conditions, covering 1971 to 2000, and future climate conditions under the Special Report on Emissions Scenarios (SRES) A2 emissions scenario, covering 2041 to 2070. We investigate and project yearly mean summer and winter temperatures for a domain in the South West of the United States. 相似文献
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SM Dippenaar 《African Journal of Marine Science》2016,38(1):1-5
Current knowledge of the biodiversity of the symbiotic marine siphonostomatoids from South African waters (136 species) is sparse compared to that globally (1 388 species). The difference is especially apparent when taking into account the diversity of fish (more than 2 000 species) and invertebrates (approximately 12 914 species) found in South African waters, all of which are all potential hosts of symbiotic siphonostomatoids. Most reports of symbiotic siphonostomatoids from South African waters are from Chondrichthyes and represent 80% of the currently known families and about 66% of the known genera. Taxonomic studies on the siphonostomatoids also provide information about their morphology, biology, habitat preference and host association, as well as the distribution of species and their associated host taxa. Molecular analysis, especially sequencing, provides additional information on the existence of cryptic species and population structure, but has high financial costs and a very low success rate in DNA isolation and PCR amplification. Reported declines in abundance of piscivorous fish species, for example, as a result of fishing pressure, with possible synergistic effects of environmental changes, and also the reported potential effects of anthropogenic and climate change on the broader coastal biota, may result in the loss of siphonostomatoid species before they can be described. Furthermore, in South Africa, there is a lack of professional taxonomists to study poorly known groups and this situation will not improve while research emphasis remains on commercially important groups and while taxonomic studies are not recognised for their value in research programmes. 相似文献
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We examined the abundance and distribution of Eleodes extricata (Tenebrionidae) in a semi-arid region of West Texas. During the 2-year study, climatic conditions were extreme but opposite, with 1997 being unusually wet and mild, and 1998 being unusually dry and hot. These conditions were associated with striking differences in the population structure of the beetles. Under identical pitfall-sampling efforts, we captured 1562 and 671 individuals in 1997 and 1998, respectively. Capture rates were lowest in grassland, and highest in sand shinnery oak, and within the latter, they were lowest in blowouts, intermediate along the edges of blowouts, and highest under vegetative cover. Sex ratios were consistently female-biased, and the degree of bias increased from spring through fall in both years. These increases were more pronounced in 1998, with the sex ratios of early and late sampling periods differing by over four-fold, from 1·15 to 5·00. Females were heavier than males, and the dry masses of both sexes increased from spring though fall in both years. As with sex ratios, these increases were more pronounced in 1998. Only the largest beetles survived the drought, illustrating how extreme conditions can exert especially strong directional selection, and affect sex ratios in populations with sexual size dimorphism. 相似文献
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Portilla-Yandún Jesús Salazar Andrés Sosa Jeison Latandret Sadid Cavaleri Luigi 《Ocean Dynamics》2020,70(7):977-990
Ocean Dynamics - While moderate wind and wave conditions prevail in the eastern equatorial Pacific, modeling waves in this area remains challenging due to the presence of multiple wave systems... 相似文献
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SM Salem 《Arabian Journal of Geosciences》2017,10(7):166
The ironstone succession at El Gedida-Ghorabi-Naser area of El Bahariya depression is subdivided into lagoonal manganiferous mud and fossiliferous ironstone consisting mainly of hematite and goethite-hydrogoethite. The application of the ASD field spectroradiometer measurements (spectral range) in the ASTER data led to the interpretation of the presence of ferruginous units as quartzitic sandstone, gluconitic sandy clay, and pink marly limestone. The existing iron ore minerals in the iron ore localities were also classified into high Mn hematite, low Mn hematite, goethite, hydrogoethite as well as low- and high-grade Hematite and Barite. Quartz, feldspars, rutile, and clay minerals (e.g., kaolinite and illite) are mainly associated with the iron ore. Accessory minerals of manganese, e.g., psilomelane and pyrolusite, were also present. The Barite mineral is recorded as a common mineral association with the iron ore deposits at El Gedida and Ghorabi localities. The stratigraphical units investigated in the study area include the oldest gravely clayey sandstones of the Bahariya Formation overlain by the fossiliferous and oolitic limestones of the El-Hamra, Qazzun, and Naqb Formations. Quartztic sandstones and clayey sandstones of the Radwan Formation and youngest Quaternary sediments of sandy-clayey materials were often found as intermittent cover and overburden in unconformity surfaces over the iron ore bands. 相似文献
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EVA: GPS-based extended velocity and acceleration determination 总被引:1,自引:0,他引:1
Dagoberto Salazar Manuel Hernandez-Pajares Jose Miguel Juan-Zornoza Jaume Sanz-Subirana Angela Aragon-Angel 《Journal of Geodesy》2011,85(6):329-340
In this work, a new GPS carrier phase-based velocity and acceleration determination method is presented that extends the effective
range of previous techniques. The method is named ‘EVA’, and may find applications in fields such as airborne gravimetry when
rough terrain or water bodies make difficult or impractical to set up nearby GPS reference receivers. The EVA method is similar
to methods such as Kennedy (Precise acceleration determination from carrier phase measurements. In: Proceedings of the 15th
international technical meeting of the satellite division of the Institute of Navigation. ION GPS 2002, Portland pp 962–972,
2002b) since it uses L1 carrier phase observables for velocity and acceleration determination. However, it introduces a wide network
of stations and it is independent of precise clock information because it estimates satellite clock drifts and drift rates
‘on-the-fly’, requiring only orbit data of sufficient quality. Moreover, with EVA the solution rate is only limited by data
rate, and not by the available precise satellite clocks data rate. The results obtained are more robust for long baselines
than the results obtained with the reference Kennedy method. An advantage of being independent of precise clock information
is that, beside IGS Final products, also the Rapid, Ultra-Rapid (observed) and Ultra-Rapid (predicted) products may be used.
Moreover, the EVA technique may also use the undifferenced ionosphere-free carrier phase combination (LC), overcoming baseline
limitations in cases where ionosphere gradients may be an issue and very low biases are required. During the development of
this work, some problems were found in the velocity estimation process of the Kennedy method. The sources of the problems
were identified, and an improved version of the Kennedy method was used for this research work. An experiment was performed
using a light aircraft flying over the Pyrenees, showing that both EVA and the improved Kennedy methods are able to cope with
the dynamics of mountainous flight. A RTK-derived solution was also generated, and when comparing the three methods to a known
zero-velocity reference the results yielded similar performance. The EVA and the improved-Kennedy methods outperformed the
RTK solutions, and the EVA method provided the best results in this experiment. Finally, both the improved version of the
Kennedy method and the EVA method were applied to a network in equatorial South America with baselines of more than 1,770 km,
and during local noon. Under this tough scenario, the EVA method showed a clear advantage for all components of velocity and
acceleration, yielding better and more robust results. 相似文献
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The ionosphere: effects,GPS modeling and the benefits for space geodetic techniques 总被引:12,自引:8,他引:4
Manuel Hernández-Pajares J. Miguel Juan Jaume Sanz Àngela Aragón-Àngel Alberto García-Rigo Dagoberto Salazar Miquel Escudero 《Journal of Geodesy》2011,85(12):887-907
The main goal of this paper is to provide a summary of our current knowledge of the ionosphere as it relates to space geodetic
techniques, especially the most informative technology, global navigation satellite systems (GNSS), specifically the fully
deployed and operational global positioning system (GPS). As such, the main relevant modeling points are discussed, and the
corresponding results of ionospheric monitoring are related, which were mostly computed using GPS data and based on the direct
experience of the authors. We address various phenomena such as horizontal and vertical ionospheric morphology in quiet conditions,
traveling ionospheric disturbances, solar flares, ionospheric storms and scintillation. Finally, we also tackle the question
of how improved knowledge of ionospheric conditions, especially in terms of an accurate understanding of the distribution
of free electrons, can improve space geodetic techniques at different levels, such as higher-order ionospheric effects, precise
GNSS navigation, single-antenna GNSS orientation and real-time GNSS meteorology. 相似文献
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Nautilus subplicatusSteinmann, 1895 is a latest Cretaceous species of nautiloid which is common in southern South America (Chile, Argentina) and the Antarctic Peninsula and which is best assigned to the genus EutrephocerasHyatt, 1894. Nautilus dorbignyanusForbes in Darwin, 1846 and Nautilus valenciennii Hupé in Gay, 1854 are here considered to be senior synonyms which later authors have apparently overlooked. The type material of these two taxa is reillustrated. On the basis of this and additional material it is demonstrated that only a single nautiloid species occurs in the Quiriquina Formation of late Maastrichtian age. For this we propose to use N. dorbignyanus as the oldest available name. 相似文献