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1.
H. Ogasawara K. Fujimori N. Koizumi N. Hirano S. Fujiwara S. Otsuka S. Nakao K. Nishigami K. Taniguchi Y. Iio R. Nishida K. Oike Y. Tanaka 《Pure and Applied Geophysics》2002,159(1-3):91-109
—?Microseismicity (M?0) induced by heavy rainfall was investigated around the flooded, vertically dipping Tertiary ore veins with dimensions of about 1?km?×?1?km in the Ikuno mine, Japan. The ore veins had rock bursts (M?3) before the mine was closed in 1973, as well as seismic events (M?3) during flooding after it was closed down. The stress state is therefore critical to failure, at least within one stress drop of a seismic event. Since 1987, when the veins had become mostly flooded, 56 mine tremors (M?0) were observed over a 5-year period. Several times during this five-year period the mine sustained heavy rainfall of several tens of millimeters per day, and the water table flooding over the ore veins was elevated by several meters. Significant changes in strain larger than 10?6 were also monitored at a crustal movement monitoring station located several hundred meters from the veins. It was found that the opening of the vertical ore veins primary led to significant strain and tilt, but not to seismicity, because the delay and the longer duration of the seismicity were significant. Most seismic events involve thrusting mechanisms that are consistent with the present stress state of E-W-oriented tectonic compression, but are not consistent with the opening of the deepest ore vein. Interstingly, all the events within a few months of the heavy rainfall occurred near the faults that offset the deepest ore veins, wheareas all those events located away from the deepest ore veins occurred many months after the heavy rainfall. Consequently, the delayed diffusion of water appears to have played a dominant role in reducing rock strength, which led to seismicity in the Ikuno mine. 相似文献
2.
Achieving long-term climate mitigation goals in Japan faces several challenges, starting with the uncertain nuclear power policy after the 2011 earthquake, the uncertain availability and progress of energy technologies, as well as energy security concerns in light of a high dependency on fuel imports. The combined weight of these challenges needs to be clarified in terms of the energy system and macroeconomic impacts. We applied a general equilibrium energy economic model to assess these impacts on an 80% emission reduction target by 2050 considering several alternative scenarios for nuclear power deployment, technology availability, end use energy efficiency, and the price of fossil fuels. We found that achieving the mitigation target was feasible for all scenarios, with considerable reductions in total energy consumption (39%–50%), higher shares of low-carbon sources (43%–72% compared to 15%), and larger shares of electricity in the final energy supply (51%–58% compared to 42%). The economic impacts of limiting nuclear power by 2050 (3.5% GDP loss) were small compared to the lack of carbon capture and storage (CCS) (6.4% GDP loss). Mitigation scenarios led to an improvement in energy security indicators (trade dependency and diversity of primary energy sources) even in the absence of nuclear power. Moreover, preliminary analysis indicates that expanding the range of renewable energy resources can lower the macroeconomic impacts of the long term target considerably, and thus further in depth analysis is needed on this aspect.
Key policy insights
For Japan, an emissions reduction target of 80% by 2050 is feasible without nuclear power or CCS.
The macroeconomic impact of such a 2050 target was largest without CCS, and smallest without nuclear power.
Energy security indicators improved in mitigation scenarios compared to the baseline.
3.
Strain and tilt changes measured during a water injection experiment at the Nojima Fault zone, Japan 总被引:2,自引:0,他引:2
Kunio Fujimori Hiroshi Ishii Atsushi Mukai Shigeru Nakao Shigeo Matsumoto Yasuhiro Hirata 《Island Arc》2001,10(3-4):228-234
Abstract In order to make geophysical and geological investigations of the Nojima Fault on Awaji Island, Japan, three boreholes measuring 1800 m, 800 m and 500 m deep were drilled into the fault zone. The fault is one of the seismic source faults of the 1995 Hyogo-ken Nanbu earthquake of M 7.2. A new multicomponent borehole instrument was installed at the bottom of the 800 m borehole and continuous observations of crustal strain and tilt have been made using this instrument since May 1996. A high-pressure water injection experiment within the 1800 m borehole was done in February and March 1997 to study the geophysical response, behavior, permeability, and other aspects of the fault zone. The injection site was located approximately 140 m horizontally and 800 m vertically from the instrument. Associated with the water injection, contraction of approximately 0.7 × 10−7 str (almost parallel to the fault) and tilt of approximately 1 × 10-7 rad in the sense of upheaval toward the injection site were observed. In addition to these controlled experiments, the strainmeter and tiltmeter also recorded daily variations. We interpret strain and tilt changes to be related to groundwater discharge and increased ultra-micro seismicity induced by the injected water. 相似文献
4.
Temporal variations of the net Kuroshio transport and its relation to atmospheric variations 总被引:1,自引:0,他引:1
Shusaku Sugimoto Kimio Hanawa Kumiko Narikiyo Megumi Fujimori Toshio Suga 《Journal of Oceanography》2010,66(5):611-619
Temporal variations of the net Kuroshio transport are investigated using long-term hydrographic data from repeat section of
the 137°E meridian from the south of Japan (34°N) to New Guinea (1°S) conducted by the Japan Meteorological Agency. In this
study, boundaries of the Kuroshio and the Kuroshio Counter Current (KCC) are defined based on the sea surface dynamic height
distribution. Westward flows associated with the KCC and cold-core eddy north of the Kuroshio are removed from the eastward
flow associated with the Kuroshio in order to estimate the net Kuroshio transport strictly. The net Kuroshio transport reveals
low-frequency variations: significant signals on a decadal (about 10-year) timescale. The variations of net Kuroshio transport
are predominantly caused by changes in the magnitude of oceanic current speed fields associated with a vertical movement of
the main pycnocline depth around the southern boundary of the Kuroshio: deepening of the main pycnocline around the southern
boundary of the Kuroshio forms a sharp northern upward-tilting slope of the isopycnal surfaces at the Kuroshio region, and
eventually the net Kuroshio transport increases together with the Kuroshio eastward transport. By using a wind-driven hindcast
model, it is found that the main pycnocline depth variation results from the first-mode baroclinic Rossby waves attributable
to two types of Aleutian Low (AL) changes: a change in the magnitude of AL and meridional movement of AL. 相似文献
5.
Merril Eisenbud Konrad Krauskopf Eduardo Penna Franca Wayne Lei Robert Ballad Paul Linsalata Kenkichi Fujimori 《Environmental Geology》1984,6(1):1-9
A highly weathered deposit of thorium and rare earth elements located near the summit of a hill in the state of Minas Gerais,
Brazil, is being studied as an analogue for a radioactive waste repository that sometime in the distant future may be eroded
to the surface or intruded by groundwater Thorium serves as an analogue for Pu4+, and La3+ as an analogue for Cm3+ and Am3+ The mobilization rate constants of the analogue elements by groundwater are so slow (of the order of 10−9 per year) as to suggest that essentially complete radioactive decay of the transuranic actinides would occur in place even
under the relatively unfavorable conditions that exist at a site such as this 相似文献
6.
Shuzo Takemoto Takeyasu Yamamoto Atsushi Mukai Shigeaki Otsuka Kunio Fujimori 《Journal of Geodynamics》2003,35(4-5):483-498
We carried out precise crustal strain observation using a laser strainmeter system at the Rokko-Takao station in Kobe, Japan from 1989 to 1997. The long-term strain record is characterized by remarkable annual changes of the order of 2–3×10−6 and linear strain accumulation of −4.4×10−7/year (in contraction). The annual strain changes are inversely proportional to temperature changes that precede the strain changes by about 1 month. The apparent annual strain changes were mainly caused by refractive-index changes in the light path due to the ambient temperature changes. After eliminating the annual temperature effect, linear strain accumulation is corrected to be −6.3−6.7×10−7/year. Residual strains show the oscillating behavior, in which the oscillating cycle seems to become shorter and shorter as time goes by. During the period, a destructive earthquake of M=7.2 occurred near the Kobe City on 17 January 1995. We investigated the oscillating behavior in secular variations of ground-strains by introducing the deterministic approach of earthquake prediction to search for the “critical point” of the occurrence of an earthquake in the extended power law equation. However, we could not obtain a unique solution to determine eight unknown parameters including the “critical point”. This may be mainly due to lack of data for 4 months from August to November in 1994 by the failure of the laser source before the occurrence of earthquake on 17 January 1995. After removing environmental effects and tidal components, we carefully re-examined strain changes in 7 days and 1 day before the occurrence of the earthquake, but we could not detect anomalous strain changes exceeding 1×10−8 before the earthquake. 相似文献
7.
Oceanic variabilities off Mindanao Island, Philippines where the North Equatorial Current branches into the Kuroshio and the Mindanao Current were measurerd for a period from 14 Feb.–1 Jun. 1992 by the oceean acoustic tomography (OAT). From the beginning of April, the travel time of acoustic rays propagating over a horizontal distance of about 250km, through the depth range of 80–4700 m around the underwater sound channel began to decrease, implying a warming of water. This variability was also confirmed with the results of temperature measurement at the sites where a sound source and receiver were located. The TOGA/TAO array data show that the OAT experiment was done when the 1991–1992 El Nino was at a decaying stage and the resulting warming-up of water occurred at the western Pacific. This study provides us a first evidence of ENSO-related variabilities detected by the OAT. 相似文献
8.
Water injection experiments were performed in 1997, 2000 and 2003 at the 1800 m borehole near the fracture zone of the 1995 Hyogo-ken Nanbu earthquake. During these experiments, a contraction of about 10− 8–10− 7 was observed with three-component strainmeters at a bottom of the 800 m borehole, 70 m southwest of the 1800 m borehole. We estimated hydraulic properties of the fracture zone near the Nojima fault by using the strain data to investigate a healing of the fault during the postseismic stage. We calculated pore pressure changes due to the water injection using Darcy's equation and obtained strain changes due to the pore pressure changes as elastic deformations of the crust. The calculated strain changes have a nearly agreement with the observed strain changes. Hydraulic conductivity in 1997, 2000 and 2003 was determined to be 0.9 ± 0.2 × 10− 6, 0.8 ± 0.2 × 10− 6 and 0.4 ± 0.1 × 10− 6 m/s, respectively. The reduced hydraulic conductivities in 2000 and 2003 suggest that the fractures had been healing. 相似文献
9.
Temporal change in permeability of the Nojima fault zone by repeated water injection experiments 总被引:8,自引:1,他引:8
Three boreholes were drilled near the Nojima fault, which the 1995 Hyogoken–Nanbu earthquake occurred on. In order to research the properties and the healing process of the fault, water injection experiments were conducted every 3 years. In this report, we researched the permeability of the fault as a measurement of crack density or porosity of the fault zone. Pore water pressure changes in rock due to the water injections at one borehole were observed as discharge changes or groundwater level changes at the other borehole. Using numerical calculations, the permeability of the fault fracture zone was estimated for each experiment. The permeability has been decreasing as time passed, which is thought to show the fault healing process of the Nojima fault after the 1995 Hyogoken–Nanbu earthquake. 相似文献
10.
H. Ogasawara Y. Kuwabara T. Miwa K. Fujimori N. Hirano M. Koizumi 《Pure and Applied Geophysics》2002,159(1-3):63-90
—?An M 7.2 earthquake took place 67?km southeast of an abandoned mine containing flooded, vertical ore veins at depth of 1?km. Multidisciplinary monitoring of the unweathered country rock within the mine was carried out for a distance of about one kilometer. The M 7.2 earthquake was followed by significant post-seismic changes in strain and tilt of ~10?6, with a self-potential of ~10?mV, and an increase in the water level in the mine of about 10?cm/day. These phenomena continued for several months before returning to pre-earthquake levels. Coseismic elastic deformations were too small to account for the observed post-seismic changes, and have different senses in strain and tilt from the observed post-seismic changes. The contractions in strain and the changes in the electric self-potential and water-elevation rate strongly suggest an increase in pore pressure. An increase in microseismic activity (M?0) was also observed around the flooded, vertical ore veins about 1–2?km from our multidisciplinary monitoring network, when pore-pressure reached a maximum following the M 7.2 earthquake. 相似文献