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HU Huiqin HUANG Fei ZHANG Shaoqing RUAN Chengqing GAO Shanhong LI Pengyuan 《中国海洋大学学报(英文版)》2019,(2):271-281
Fog has recently become a frequent high-impact weather phenomenon along the coastal regions of North China. Accurate fog forecasting remains challenging due to limited understanding of the predictability and mechanism of fog formation associated with synoptic-scale circulation. One frequent synoptic pattern of fog formation in this area is associated with cold front passage(cold-front synoptic pattern, CFSP). This paper explored the predictability of a typical CFSP fog event from the perspective of analyzing key characteristics of synoptic-scale circulation determining fog forecasting performance and the possible mechanism. The event was ensemble forecasted with the Weather Research and Forecasting model. Two groups of ensemble members with good and bad forecasting performance were selected and composited. Results showed that the predictability of this case was largely determined by the simulated strengths of the cold-front circulation(i.e., trough and ridge and the associated surface high). The bad-performing members tended to have a weaker ridge behind a stronger trough, and associated higher pressure over land and a weaker surface high over the sea, leading to an adverse impact on strength and direction of steering flows that inhibit warm moist advection and enhance cold dry advection transported to the focus region. Associated with this cold dry advection, adverse synoptic conditions of stratification and moisture for fog formation were produced, consequently causing failure of fog forecasting in the focus region. This study highlights the importance of accurate synoptic-scale information for improved CFSP fog forecasting, and enhances understanding of fog predictability from perspective of synoptic-scale circulation. 相似文献
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在北大巴山推覆构造带前缘,北—北东倾斜的城口断裂和南—南西倾斜的高桥断裂形成一背冲式逆冲推覆体系,以两断层为界,其间为一巨型冲起构造。该冲起构造因边界断裂的产状特征、活动强度沿走向的差异,而表现出明显的分段性:其北西段为双向逆冲的"正花状"结构;而南东段为反向逆冲为主的"半花状"结构。同构造低温变质绢云母40Ar-39Ar年龄显示,城口断裂在燕山期(约143.3Ma)存在一次强烈的构造活动,导致北大巴构造带进一步逆冲扩展和强烈隆升。在逆冲-推覆向前扩展过程中,受锋缘外侧阻抗的影响,沿前缘部位形成一系列反向逆冲断层,从而形成巨型冲起构造。 相似文献
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王朋远 《测绘与空间地理信息》2022,(2):142-145
如何做好第三次全国国土调查(以下简称"三调")的质量控制,保证三调数据成果质量,成为该项工作能否圆满完成的关键所在.笔者根据从事三调工作积累的经验,介绍了实施三调工作的技术路线,提出了市县级"五位一体"的三调质量控制流程,并详细阐述了三调工作全过程质量控制的检查要点和方法.从基础层面保障三调质量管理工作有序高效,确保三... 相似文献
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150ka以来内蒙古河套古大湖沉积物粒度记录的湖泊水位变化 总被引:1,自引:0,他引:1
基于内蒙古河套盆地山前兵房沟湖相层剖面沉积物的粒度记录,结合~(14)C和光释光年代学测试,对比分析沉积物粒度敏感粒级及频率曲线特征,反演了河套古大湖150ka以来的湖泊水位变化。研究结果表明,河套古大湖水位变化经历了4个阶段:(1)初始形成阶段(150~130ka),河套古大湖处于浅湖环境,沉积物粒度由粗变细,湖泊处于水位上升期;(2)发展阶段(130~54ka),早期湖水面较高,处于深水环境,晚期沉积物粒度逐渐变粗,湖泊水位有所下降;(3)萎缩阶段(54~18ka),湖泊水位快速下降,细粒沉积物含量减少,中粗粒沉积物含量增大,湖泊水位迅速下降;(4)消亡阶段(18ka至今),由于山前活动断裂影响,阴山快速隆升,湖泊急剧萎缩,湖相层顶部被山间冲洪积物覆盖。控制河套古大湖湖泊水位变化的主要因素是构造运动和气候环境突变。 相似文献
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高空间分辨率遥感影像能够提供丰富的空间细节信息,使利用遥感影像进行精细变化检测成为可能.为充分挖掘高分辨率影像中的光谱、空间信息,本文提出一种基于影像空-谱先验信息的条件随机场(Conditional Random Field based on Spectral-Spatial Prior,SSPCRF)模型,该方法使用显著性检测方式自动提供先验光谱-空间样本信息,提高一元势能构建精度,有效缓解一元势能构建不准确导致的推理过程中的误差传递问题,并在二元势能中综合考虑标记场与观察影像的空间上下文信息以保持变化地物轮廓信息.最后,使用基于消息传递机制的推理方法将模型进行全局优化.在2组高分辨率影像数据集上的实验结果表明该方法能够提供较精确的初始变化检测信息,使得在减少变化检测结果中虚警点的同时保持变化地物细节信息. 相似文献