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Climate change in Turkey for the last half century 总被引：1，自引：0，他引：1
Climate change and its urban-induced bias in selected Turkish cities is studied with a quality controlled temperature and precipitation data of Turkish stations in the period of 1950–2004. These stations are classified into two groups according to their populations; S1, including rural and suburban stations and S2, including large urban stations. Moving average signals, 365-day, and their digital low pass filtered versions are produced to eliminate the short term fluctuations and examine the possible trends or anomalies in climate data. Furthermore, ‘relative difference’ signals are introduced and applied to temperature and precipitation series to observe the actual local changes in the climate data independent from large-scale effects. Mann–Kendall test statistics are calculated for maximum, minimum, mean temperature and precipitation series and plotted on maps to determine any spatial trend patterns. Signal analysis show a cool period extending from early 1960s till 1993, generally with the lowest temperature values on 1992–1993 owing to the eruption of Mount Pinatubo. A last decade significant warming trend is observed in both of the series, S1 and S2, leading to 2000–2002 temperatures to be recorded as maximums in record history. The variability of urban precipitation series is generally larger than the rural ones, suggesting that urban stations can experience more frequent and severe droughts and floods. Though not significant, an increase in the urban precipitation compared to the rural one is also found. Spatial analysis resulted in significant warming in southern and southeastern parts of the country. Particularly, minimum temperature series show significant warming in almost all of the regions indicating the effect of urbanization. Significant decreases of precipitation amounts in the western parts of Turkey, such as Aegean and Trachea regions, are found. On the other hand, some Turkish northern stations show increases in precipitation of which some are significant. 相似文献
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Flow dynamics at the origin of thin clayey sand lacustrine turbidites: Examples from Lake Hazar,Turkey 
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下载免费PDF全文 Sophie Hage Aurélia Hubert‐Ferrari Laura Lamair Ulaş Avşar Meriam El Ouahabi Maarten Van Daele Frédéric Boulvain Mohamed Ali Bahri Alain Seret Alain Plenevaux 《Sedimentology》2017,64(7):1929-1956
Turbidity currents and their deposits can be investigated using several methods, i.e. direct monitoring, physical and numerical modelling, sediment cores and outcrops. The present study focused on thin clayey sand turbidites found in Lake Hazar (Turkey) occurring in eleven clusters of closely spaced thin beds. Depositional processes and sources for three of those eleven clusters are studied at three coring sites. Bathymetrical data and seismic reflection profiles are used to understand the specific geomorphology of each site. X‐ray, thin sections and CT scan imagery combined with grain‐size, geochemical and mineralogical measurements on the cores allow characterization of the turbidites. Turbidites included in each cluster were produced by remobilization of surficial slope sediment, a process identified in very few studies worldwide. Three types of turbidites are distinguished and compared with deposits obtained in flume studies published in the literature. Type 1 is made of an ungraded clayey silt layer issued from a cohesive flow. Type 2 is composed of a partially graded clayey sand layer overlain by a mud cap, attributed to a transitional flow. Type 3 corresponds to a graded clayey sand layer overlain by a mud cap issued from a turbulence‐dominated flow. While the published experimental studies show that turbulence is damped by cohesion for low clay content, type 3 deposits of this study show evidence for a turbulence‐dominated mechanism despite their high clay content. This divergence may in part relate to input variables, such as water chemistry and clay mineralogy, that are not routinely considered in experimental studies. Furthermore, the large sedimentological variety observed in the turbidites from one coring site to another is related to the evolution of a sediment flow within a field‐scale basin made of a complex physiography that cannot be tackled by flume experiments. 相似文献
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Halil İbrahim Gülşen-Rothmund Özgür Avşar Ulaş Avşar Bedri Kurtuluş Evren Tunca 《Environmental Earth Sciences》2018,77(14):546
Elemental accumulation, distribution and relationship profiles for sediment samples taken at 81 localities in the Köyce?iz Lake were investigated. Spatial distribution maps for ten elements (Cu, Pb, Zn, Ni, Cr, Co, Mn, Mo, Al, Fe) were created using the ordinary kriging interpolation method. Statistical tests revealed that the sediments taken from areas close to the Namnam (NamSM) and Karg?cak (KarSM) stream mouths have the highest element content. In addition, sediments close to NamSM have the highest contamination, according to contamination degree and modified contamination degree values. On the other hand, sediments close to KarSM have the highest value on the pollution load index. The enrichment factor and contamination factor values of Cr and Co, and especially Ni, close to NamSM are striking and have significantly higher values compared to the rest of the lake. There are strong correlations between these three elements, which were also confirmed by cluster analysis. Ni is the element having the highest value on the geoaccumulation index. In addition, according to the toxic unit results, it was found that 84–89% of the element-based toxic effect in the lake is due to Ni alone. According to the mean effect range median quotient values, the sediments of Köyce?iz Lake have a potential to show toxic effects of at least 76% in living organisms, which is due to the high levels of Ni. According to the mean probable effect low quotient value, it has been determined that Köyce?iz Lake is at a “highly impacted” level, which is the worst possible value on the quality scale. 相似文献
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In this study, we present long term photometric variations of the close binary system GO Cyg. Modelling of the system shows that the primary is filling Roche lobe and the secondary of the system is almost filling its Roche lobe. The physical parameters of the system are M1 = 3.0 ± 0.2M⊙, M2 = 1.3 ± 0.1M⊙, R1 = 2.50 ± 0.12R⊙, R2 = 1.75 ± 0.09R⊙, L1 = 64 ± 9L⊙, L2 = 4.9 ± 0.7L⊙, and a = 5.5 ± 0.3R⊙. Our results show that GO Cyg is the most massive system near contact binary (NCB). Analysis of times of the minima shows a sinusoidal variation with a period of 92.3 ± 0.5 yr due to a third body whose mass is less than 2.3M⊙. Finally a period variation rate of −1.4 × 10−9 d/yr has been determined using all available light curves. 相似文献
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Taylan A. Ula 《Journal of Hydrology》1992,140(1-4):209-233
Certain aspects of data generation are studied through multivariate autoregressive (AR) models. The main emphasis is on the preservation of certain desired moments and the effect of initial values on these moments. The problem of preservation of moments is approached in a nontraditional way by starting with the initial values. For this purpose, general AR processes with a random start and with time-varying parameters are introduced to lay a foundation for the analysis of all types of AR processes, including the periodic cases. It is shown that an AR process with a random start and with parameters obtained from the moment equations is capable of generating jointly multivariate normal vectors with any specified means and covariance matrices, and with any specified autocovariance matrices up to a given lag. With a random start, there is no transition period involved for achieving these moments. A simple solution is proposed for matrix equations of the form BBT = A which appear in the moment equations. The aggregation properties of general AR process are also studied.
A more detailed analysis is given for the two-period first-order periodic autoregressive model, PAR2(1). For the PAR2(1) process with a random start and with parameters obtained from the moment equations, it is shown that the autocovariance function depends only on the period and the lag, and therefore the process is periodic (covariance) stationary. The PAR2(1) process with a fixed start is also studied. It is shown that the moments of this process depend on the absolute time, in addition to the period and the lag, and therefore the process is not periodic stationary. This dependence diminishes with time, and periodic stationarity is realized if the AR parameters satisfy certain conditions. In that case, the PAR2(1) process with a fixed start converges to that with a random start, but only after a certain transition period. This proves the superiority of a random start over a fixed start. 相似文献
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In this study we present the new R and I light curve solutions for the eclipsing binary systems RW CrB and VZ Leo, which for
VZ Leo is the first one in the literature. Our new observations have been analyzed using the Wilson-Devinney code from which
new geometric and photometric elements are derived. The geometry of both stars is that of a semi-detached binary system where
the secondary component fills its Roche lobe while the primary component is well inside. In the case of RW CrB, asymmetry
in the light curve was explained by a spot model. The orbital period changes of both systems were studied and the results
indicated a period decrease which can be explained by angular momentum loss. We also investigated the possibility of pulsations
of the primary components since these systems are mentioned as candidates of δ Sct type pulsation. However, a time-series analysis of the residual curves in the filter I does not indicate any evidence
of periodic light variation for both systems. Finally, we compared the results obtained for both binary stars to those of
similar systems. 相似文献
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Earthquake imprints on a lacustrine deltaic system: The Kürk Delta along the East Anatolian Fault (Turkey) 下载免费PDF全文
下载免费PDF全文 Aurélia Hubert‐Ferrari Meriam El‐Ouahabi David Garcia‐Moreno Ulaş Avşar Sevgi Altınok Sabine Schmidt Nathalie Fagel M. Namık Çağatay 《Sedimentology》2017,64(5):1322-1353
Deltas contain sedimentary records that are not only indicative of water‐level changes, but also particularly sensitive to earthquake shaking typically resulting in soft‐sediment‐deformation structures. The Kürk lacustrine delta lies at the south‐western extremity of Lake Hazar in eastern Turkey and is adjacent to the seismogenic East Anatolian Fault, which has generated earthquakes of magnitude 7. This study re‐evaluates water‐level changes and earthquake shaking that have affected the Kürk Delta, combining geophysical data (seismic‐reflection profiles and side‐scan sonar), remote sensing images, historical data, onland outcrops and offshore coring. The history of water‐level changes provides a temporal framework for the depositional record. In addition to the common soft‐sediment deformation documented previously, onland outcrops reveal a record of deformation (fracturing, tilt and clastic dykes) linked to large earthquake‐induced liquefactions and lateral spreading. The recurrent liquefaction structures can be used to obtain a palaeoseismological record. Five event horizons were identified that could be linked to historical earthquakes occurring in the last 1000 years along the East Anatolian Fault. Sedimentary cores sampling the most recent subaqueous sedimentation revealed the occurrence of another type of earthquake indicator. Based on radionuclide dating (137Cs and 210Pb), two major sedimentary events were attributed to the ad 1874 to 1875 East Anatolian Fault earthquake sequence. Their sedimentological characteristics were determined by X‐ray imagery, X‐ray diffraction, loss‐on‐ignition, grain‐size distribution and geophysical measurements. The events are interpreted to be hyperpycnal deposits linked to post‐seismic sediment reworking of earthquake‐triggered landslides. 相似文献
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