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1.
Several recent studies have reported quasi-periodicities with a period between 1 and 2 years (to be called here `mid-term
quasi-periodicities') in various heliospheric parameters, like solar wind speed, interplanetary magnetic field, cosmic rays,
and geomagnetic activity. Here we study their long-term occurrence in geomagnetic activity using an extended aa index which
covers the last 15 solar cycles. We confirm their intermittent occurrence and the alternation of their dominant period between
a slightly shorter period of about 1.2–1.4 years and a slightly longer period of about 1.5–1.7 years. We find that the mid-term
quasi-periodicities were strong during two intervals of high solar activity: in the mid-19th century and since 1930. Instead,
contrary to earlier studies, we find that they were consistently weak during low solar activity from 1860s to 1920s. This
implies a long-term connection between the amplitude of mid-term quasi-periodicities and the solar dynamo strength. Since
the rotation speed at the bottom of the solar convection layer (tachocline) has recently been found to vary at a mid-term
periodicity, this suggests that the stronger the solar dynamo is, the more variable the rotation rate of the tachocline is.
We also note that the disappearance of mid-term periodicities may be used as a precursor for long intervals of very weak solar
activity, like great minima. 相似文献
2.
M. Krämer Ri. Müller H. Bovensmann J. Burrows J. Brinkmann E. P. Röth J.-U. Grooß Ro. Müller Th. Woyke R. Ruhnke G. Günther J. Hendricks E. Lippert K. S. Carslaw Th. Peter A. Zieger Ch. Brühl B. Steil R. Lehmann D. S. McKenna 《Journal of Atmospheric Chemistry》2003,45(1):51-77
Several stratospheric chemistry modules from box, 2-D or 3-D models, have been intercompared. The intercomparison was focused on the ozone loss and associated reactive species under the conditions found in the cold, wintertime Arctic and Antarctic vortices. Comparisons of both gas phase and heterogeneous chemistry modules show excellent agreement between the models under constrained conditions for photolysis and the microphysics of polar stratospheric clouds. While the mean integral ozone loss ranges from 4–80% for different 30–50 days long air parcel trajectories, the mean scatter of model results around these values is only about ±1.5%. In a case study, where the models employed their standard photolysis and microphysical schemes, the variation around the mean percentage ozone loss increases to about ±7%. This increased scatter of model results is mainly due to the different treatment of the PSC microphysics and heterogeneous chemistry in the models, whereby the most unrealistic assumptions about PSC processes consequently lead to the least representative ozone chemistry. Furthermore, for this case study the model results for the ozone mixing ratios at different altitudes were compared with a measured ozone profile to investigate the extent to which models reproduce the stratospheric ozone losses. It was found that mainly in the height range of strong ozone depletion all models underestimate the ozone loss by about a factor of two. This finding corroborates earlier studies and implies a general deficiency in our understanding of the stratospheric ozone loss chemistry rather than a specific problem related to a particular model simulation. 相似文献
3.
Recently, Djurovic and Pâquet (1996) claimed to have found an oscillation with a period of about 5.5 years in several solar and solar-terrestrial parameters, in particular in solar activity as indicated by sunspot numbers. Since the temporal evolution of the solar activity and solar-terrestrial environment is of great interest in many fields, we have examined their claim in detail. We show here that their conclusion is based on an artefact due a questionable method applied, and due to the asymmetric form of the solar cycle. Accordingly, there is no reasonable evidence for the existence of a fundamental 5.5-year periodicity in solar activity. 相似文献
4.
Zieger J. Linnemann U. Hofmann M. Gärtner A. Marko L. Gerdes A. 《International Journal of Earth Sciences》2018,107(3):933-953
International Journal of Earth Sciences - The basement of the Saxo-Thuringian Zone consists of Upper Neoproterozoic (c. 650-570 Ma) Cadomian arc sediments (Lusatian greywackes) and... 相似文献
5.
By analysing long- and short-term seismological measurements at wind farms close to the town of Landau, SW Germany, we present new insights into ground motion signals from wind turbines (WTs) at local seismic stations. Because of their need to be located in similar regions with sparsely anthropogenic activities, wind turbines impact seismic stations and their recordings in a way that is not yet fully understood by researchers. To ensure the undisturbed recording tasks of a regional seismic array or a single station by a protected area around those endangered stations, it is very important to investigate the behavior of WTs as a seismic source. For that reason, we calculate averaged one-hour long spectra of the power spectral density (PSD) before and after the installation of a new wind farm within the investigated area. These PSD are ordered according to the rotation speed. We observe a clear increase of the PSD level after the WT installation in a frequency range of 0.5 to 10 Hz up to a distance of 5.5 km away from the WT. By analysing seismic borehole data, we also observe a decrease of the PSD of wind dependent signals with depth. The impact of wind-dependent signals is found to be much more pronounced for the shallower station (150 m depth) than for the deeper one (305 m depth). Using short-term profile measurements, we fit a power-law decay proportional to 1/r b to the main WT-induced PSD peaks and differentiate between near-field and far-field effects of ground motions. For low frequencies in the range from 1 to 4 Hz, we determine a b value of 0.78 to 0.85 for the far field, which is consistent with surface waves. The b value increases (up to 1.59) with increasing frequencies (up to 5.5 Hz), which is obviously due to attenuating effects like scattering or anelasticity. These results give a better understanding of the seismic wavefield interactions between wind turbines (or wind farms) with nearby seismic stations, including borehole installations, in a sedimentary setting. 相似文献
6.
Forecasting of waves under extreme conditions such as tropical cyclones is vitally important for many offshore industries, but there remain many challenges. For Northwest Western Australia (NW WA), wave forecasts issued by the Australian Bureau of Meteorology have previously been limited to products from deterministic operational wave models forced by deterministic atmospheric models. The wave models are run over global (resolution 1/4°) and regional (resolution 1/10°) domains with forecast ranges of +?7 and +?3 day respectively. Because of this relatively coarse resolution (both in the wave models and in the forcing fields), the accuracy of these products is limited under tropical cyclone conditions. Given this limited accuracy, a new ensemble-based wave forecasting system for the NW WA region has been developed. To achieve this, a new dedicated 8-km resolution grid was nested in the global wave model. Over this grid, the wave model is forced with winds from a bias-corrected European Centre for Medium Range Weather Forecast atmospheric ensemble that comprises 51 ensemble members to take into account the uncertainties in location, intensity and structure of a tropical cyclone system. A unique technique is used to select restart files for each wave ensemble member. The system is designed to operate in real time during the cyclone season providing +?10-day forecasts. This paper will describe the wave forecast components of this system and present the verification metrics and skill for specific events. 相似文献
7.
Ulf Linnemann Maria Ovtcharova Urs Schaltegger Andreas Grtner Michael Hautmann Gerd Geyer Patricia Vickers‐Rich Tom Rich Birgit Plessen Mandy Hofmann Johannes Zieger Rita Krause Les Kriesfeld Jeff Smith 《地学学报》2019,31(1):49-58
The replacement of the late Precambrian Ediacaran biota by morphologically disparate animals at the beginning of the Phanerozoic was a key event in the history of life on Earth, the mechanisms and the time‐scales of which are not entirely understood. A composite section in Namibia providing biostratigraphic and chemostratigraphic data bracketed by radiometric dating constrains the Ediacaran–Cambrian boundary to 538.6–538.8 Ma, more than 2 Ma younger than previously assumed. The U–Pb‐CA‐ID TIMS zircon ages demonstrate an ultrashort time frame for the LAD of the Ediacaran biota to the FAD of a complex, burrowing Phanerozoic biota represented by trace fossils to a 410 ka time window of 538.99 ± 0.21 Ma to 538.58 ± 0.19 Ma. The extremely short duration of the faunal transition from Ediacaran to Cambrian biota within less than 410 ka supports models of ecological cascades that followed the evolutionary breakthrough of increased mobility at the beginning of the Phanerozoic. 相似文献
8.
Hofmann Mandy Voigt Thomas Bittner Lucas Gärtner Andreas Zieger Johannes Linnemann Ulf 《International Journal of Earth Sciences》2018,107(3):913-932
International Journal of Earth Sciences - The Saxonian–Bohemian Cretaceous Basin (Elbsandsteingebirge, E Germany and Czech Republic, Elbtal Group) comprises Upper Cretaceous sedimentary rocks... 相似文献
9.
Linnemann Ulf Pidal Agustín Pieren Hofmann Mandy Drost Kerstin Quesada Cecilio Gerdes Axel Marko Linda Gärtner Andreas Zieger Johannes Ulrich Jens Krause Rita Vickers-Rich Patricia Horak Jana 《International Journal of Earth Sciences》2018,107(3):885-911
International Journal of Earth Sciences - In the Cadomian orogen of the NE Bohemian Massif and of SW Iberia, a post-Gaskiers glacial event dated at c. 565 Ma has been detected. Such... 相似文献
10.
Tobias Friedrich Toni Zieger Thomas Forbriger Joachim R. R. Ritter 《Journal of Seismology》2018,22(6):1469-1483
We present a case study on the detection and quantification of seismic signals induced by operating wind turbines (WTs). We spatially locate the sources of such signals in data which were recorded at 11 seismic stations in 2011 and 2012 during the TIMO project (Deep Structure of the Central Upper Rhine Graben). During this time period, four wind farms with altogether 12 WTs were in operation near the town of Landau, Southwest Germany. We locate WTs as sources of continuous seismic signals by application of seismic interferometry and migration of the energy found in cross-correlograms. A clear increase of emitted seismic energy with rotor speed confirms that the observed signal is induced by WTs. We can clearly distinguish wind farms consisting of different types of WTs (different hub height and rotor diameter) corresponding to different stable frequency bands (1.3–1.6 Hz, 1.75–1.95 Hz and 2.0–2.2 Hz) which do not depend on wind speed. The peak frequency apparently is controlled by the elastic eigenmodes of the structure rather than the passing of blades at the tower. From this we conclude that vibrations are coupled into the ground at the foundation and propagate as Rayleigh waves (and not as infrasound). The migration velocity of 320 m/s corresponds to their group velocity. The applied migration method can contribute to the assessment of local sources of seismic noise. This topic gets growing attention in the seismological community. In particular, the recent boost of newly installed wind farms is a threat to seismological observatories such as the Black Forest Observatory (BFO) and the Gräfenberg array (GRF) or gravitational wave observatories (e.g. LIGO, VIRGO) in terms of a sensitivity degradation of such observatories. 相似文献