排序方式： 共有15条查询结果，搜索用时 31 毫秒
1.
Statistical analysis of time-dependent earthquake occurrence and its impact on hazard in the low seismicity region Lower Rhine Embayment 总被引：1，自引：0，他引：1
Licia Faenza Sebastian Hainzl Frank Scherbaum Céline Beauval 《Geophysical Journal International》2007,171(2):797-806
The time-dependence of earthquake occurrence is mostly ignored in standard seismic hazard assessment even though earthquake clustering is well known. In this work, we attempt to quantify the impact of more realistic dynamics on the seismic hazard estimations. We include the time and space dependences between earthquakes into the hazard analysis via Monte Carlo simulations. Our target region is the Lower Rhine Embayment, a low seismicity area in Germany. Including aftershock sequences by using the epidemic type aftershock-sequence (ETAS) model, we find that on average the hypothesis of uncorrelated random earthquake activity underestimates the hazard by 5–10 per cent. Furthermore, we show that aftershock activity of past large earthquakes can locally increase the hazard even centuries later. We also analyse the impact of the so-called long-term behaviour, assuming a quasi-periodic occurrence of main events on a major fault in that region. We found that a significant impact on hazard is only expected for the special case of a very regular recurrence of the main shocks. 相似文献
2.
Licia Verde Limin Wang Alan F. Heavens Marc Kamionkowski 《Monthly notices of the Royal Astronomical Society》2000,313(1):141-147
Cosmic microwave background and large-scale structure data will shortly improve dramatically with the Microwave Anisotropy Probe and Planck Surveyor , and the Anglo-Australian 2-Degree Field and Sloan Digital Sky Survey. It is therefore timely to ask which of the microwave background and large-scale structure will provide a better probe of primordial non-Gaussianity. In this paper we consider this question, using the bispectrum as a discriminating statistic. We consider several non-Gaussian models and find that in each case the microwave background will provide a better probe of primordial non-Gaussianity. Our results suggest that if microwave background maps appear Gaussian, then apparent deviations from Gaussian initial conditions in galaxy surveys can be attributed with confidence to the effects of biasing. We demonstrate this precisely for the spatial bispectrum induced by local non-linear biasing. 相似文献
3.
Licia Verde Alan F. Heavens Sabino Matarrese 《Monthly notices of the Royal Astronomical Society》2000,318(2):584-598
We present a theoretical and exact analysis of the bispectrum of projected galaxy catalogues. The result can be generalized to evaluate the projection in spherical harmonics of any 3D bispectrum and therefore has applications to cosmic microwave background and gravitational lensing studies.
By expanding the 2D distribution of galaxies on the sky in spherical harmonics, we show how the three-point function of the coefficients can be used in principle to determine the bias parameter of the galaxy sample. If this can be achieved, it would allow a lifting of the degeneracy between the bias and the matter density parameter of the Universe, which occurs in linear analysis of 3D galaxy catalogues. In previous papers, we have shown how a similar analysis can be done in three dimensions, and we show here through an error analysis and by implementing the method on a simulated projected catalogue that ongoing three-dimensional galaxy redshift surveys (even with all the additional uncertainties introduced by partial sky coverage, redshift-space distortions and smaller numbers) will do far better than all-sky projected catalogues with similar selection function. 相似文献
By expanding the 2D distribution of galaxies on the sky in spherical harmonics, we show how the three-point function of the coefficients can be used in principle to determine the bias parameter of the galaxy sample. If this can be achieved, it would allow a lifting of the degeneracy between the bias and the matter density parameter of the Universe, which occurs in linear analysis of 3D galaxy catalogues. In previous papers, we have shown how a similar analysis can be done in three dimensions, and we show here through an error analysis and by implementing the method on a simulated projected catalogue that ongoing three-dimensional galaxy redshift surveys (even with all the additional uncertainties introduced by partial sky coverage, redshift-space distortions and smaller numbers) will do far better than all-sky projected catalogues with similar selection function. 相似文献
4.
5.
Lucia Sabbatini Francesco Cavaliere Giorgio Dall’Oglio Antonio Miriametro Licia Pizzo Dario Mancini Guido Torrioli 《Experimental Astronomy》2011,31(2-3):199-214
COCHISE (Cosmological Observations at Concordia with High-sensitivity Instrument for Source Extraction) is a 2.6 m telescope located on the high Antarctic Plateau near the Italian–French Concordia Base. The telescope is mainly devoted to Cosmological observations, able to operate between 200 μm and 3 mm of wavelength. In this paper we describe the main characteristics of the instrument. We also report on the first light, obtained during summer 2010–2011: this result marks the beginning of millimetre astrophysical observations at Concordia. Responsivity, noise equivalent temperature and field of view of the instrument are reported. At present COCHISE is the largest telescope located at Concordia. Beside the scientific expectations, the use of this kind of instrument in the Antarctic environment poses technological aspects of relevant interest: thus COCHISE can be considered as a pathfinder for future Antarctic telescopes. 相似文献
6.
7.
Statistical occurrence analysis and spatio-temporal distribution of earthquakes in the Apennines (Italy) 总被引：1，自引：0，他引：1
We present two examples of statistical analysis of seismicity conducted by integrating geological, geophysical and seismological data with the aim to characterize the active stress field and to define the spatio-temporal distribution of large earthquakes. Moreover, our data will help to improve the knowledge of the “seismogenic behavior” of the areas and to provide useful information for seismic hazard evaluation.The earthquakes are described by two non-parametric statistical procedures integrating also tectonic-physical parameters to study the spatio-temporal variability.The results show that the areas are characterized by: 1) a stress regime with mainly extensional kinematics; 2) tectonic structures mainly oriented with the active stress field (Shmin = N44° ± 18° in the southern Apennines and Shmin = N50° ± 17° in the central Apennines); 3) cluster distribution of seismicity and 4) a high probability of earthquake occurrence (M > 5.5) in the next 10 years. 相似文献
8.
The 2dF Galaxy Redshift Survey: the bias of galaxies and the density of the Universe 总被引：1，自引：0，他引：1
Licia Verde Alan F. Heavens Will J. Percival Sabino Matarrese Carlton M. Baugh Joss Bland-Hawthorn Terry Bridges Russell Cannon Shaun Cole Matthew Colless Chris Collins Warrick Couch Gavin Dalton Roberto De Propris Simon P. Driver George Efstathiou Richard S. Ellis Carlos S. Frenk Karl Glazebrook Carole Jackson Ofer Lahav Ian Lewis Stuart Lumsden Steve Maddox Darren Madgwick Peder Norberg John A. Peacock Bruce A. Peterson Will Sutherland Keith Taylor 《Monthly notices of the Royal Astronomical Society》2002,335(2):432-440
9.
10.
Giovanna Cultrera Licia Faenza Carlo Meletti Vera D’Amico Alberto Michelini Alessandro Amato 《Bulletin of Earthquake Engineering》2014,12(5):2147-2164
The May 20, 2012, Emilia Ml 5.9 earthquake was followed by some major aftershocks, well recorded by a large number of temporary stations that were installed to monitor the sequence. These additional recordings allowed us a thorough testing of the performance of the ShakeMap—a procedure designed to provide rapid information on the experienced ground motion. We found that the shakemaps for the May 29, 2012, Ml 5.8 earthquake, obtained using the permanent stations only, underestimate significantly the ground motion computed with the highest station density, especially for PSA at long periods (T \(=\) 3.0 s). This low-frequency motion is controlled primarily by the surface waves recorded in the Po plain: the observed site effects are likely not accounted properly by the site correction coefficient based on Vs30 as implemented in the ShakeMap procedure. The shakemaps determined during the seismic sequence have been included in an Italian national law that was passed after the 2012 earthquake. According to this law, the factories safety verifications were bound to the comparison between the shakemaps and the design acceleration required by the current national seismic code. We then decide to appraise the impact of the shakemap accuracy on the law provisions. Following the law recommendations, we have estimated the possible errors resulting from the incomplete evaluation of the ground shaking: our results show that, if the complete dataset were available at the time of the law approval, the number of buildings for which the safety check was required would have been significantly smaller. 相似文献