Estimation of the local financial costs of flood damage with different methodologies in Unye (Ordu), Turkey     

Beden  Neslihan  Ulke Keskin  Asli 《Natural Hazards》2021,108(3):2835-2854

The aim of this study was to conduct flood analysis with digital modeling systems and estimate the total flood damage in a built-up area. The Ceviz Stream basin, which is located in Unye (Ordu) district in the Eastern Black Sea region of Turkey, was selected as the study area. A 1D/2D coupled flood modeling software MIKE FLOOD was used in flood analysis. According to the modeling results, water depth and velocity maps are produced for maximum Q₅₀, Q₁₀₀, Q₅₀₀ and Q₁₀₀₀ discharge scenarios in the most downstream section of the Ceviz Stream. At the projected Q_50, Q₁₀₀, Q₅₀₀ and Q₁₀₀₀ maximum flow rates, approximately 9.75%, 23.0%, 30.0% and 32.25% of that section of the study area were estimated to be negatively affected by floodwaters. In order to examine the financial magnitude of the effects of flooding, the Huizinga, van Eck and Kok, ICBR and Pistrika and Jonkman damage estimation methodologies were applied, with the highest financial costs estimated with the Pistrika and Jonkman method.

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Kinematics of the eastern part of the North Anatolian Fault Zone     

Haluk Ozener  Esen Arpat  Semih Ergintav  Asli Dogru  Rahsan Cakmak  Bulent Turgut  Ugur Dogan 《Journal of Geodynamics》2010,49(3-4):141-150

The North Anatolian Fault Zone (NAFZ), which marks the boundary between Anatolia and the Eurasian plate, is one of the world's most seismically active structures. Although the eastern part of NAFZ has high seismic hazard, there is a lack of geodetic information about the present tectonics of this region. Even though many scientists would like to study this area, geographical and logistical problems make performing scientific research difficult. In order to investigate contemporary neotectonic deformation on the eastern NAFZ and in its neighborhood, a relatively dense Global Positioning System (GPS) monitoring network was established in 2003. Geodetic observations were performed in three GPS campaigns in an area of 350 km × 200 km with 12-month intervals. In addition, 14 new GPS stations were measured far from the deforming area. Since this region includes the intersection of the NAFZ and the East Anatolian Fault Zone (EAFZ), deformation is complex and estimating seismic hazard is difficult. One important segment is the Yedisu segment and it has not broken since the 1784 earthquake. After the 1992 Erzincan and 2003 Pulumur earthquakes, the Coulomb stress loading on the Yedisu segment of the NAFZ has increased significantly, emphasizing the need to monitor this region. We computed the horizontal velocity field with respect to Eurasia and strain rates field as well. GPS-derived velocities relative to Eurasia are in the range of 16–24 mm/year, which are consistent with the regional tectonics. The principal strain rates were derived from the velocity field. Results show that strain is accumulating between the NAFZ and EAFZ along small secondary fault branches such as the Ovacik Fault (OF).  相似文献   

Sediment and particulate phosphorus characteristics in grassed waterways from row crop corn and alfalfa fields collected by manual University of Exeter samplers and automatic sampling     

John C. Panuska  Laura Ward Good  Peter A. Vadas  Dennis L. Busch  Asli Ozkaynak 《水文研究》2011,25(15):2329-2338

Phosphorus (P) export from agricultural lands above known threshold levels can result in adverse impacts to receiving water quality. Phosphorus loss occurs in dissolved and sediment‐bound, or particulate phosphorous (PP), forms, with the latter often dominating losses from row‐cropped systems. To target practices, land managers need good computer models and model developers need good monitoring data. Sediment monitoring data (e.g. radiometric finger printing and sediment P sorption capacity) can help identify sediment source areas and improve models, but require more sediment mass than is typically obtained by automatic sampling. This study compares a simple suspended sediment sampler developed at the University of Exeter (UE) with automatic sampling in intermittent channels draining corn and alfalfa fields. The corn field had a greater runoff coefficient (27%) than alfalfa (11%). No differences were found in enrichment ratios (sediment constituent/soil constituent) in PP (PP_ER) or percent loss on ignition (LOI_ER) between paired UE samplers on corn. The median LOI_ER for the UE samplers (1·9%) did not differ significantly (p > 0·13) from the automatic sampler (2·0%). The PP_ER from the UE samplers was on average 20% lower than the automatic samplers. A correlation (r² = 0·75) was found between sediment PP and % LOI from automatic samplers and UE samplers for particles < 50 µm, while for > 50 µm PP concentration did not change with changes in % LOI. Sediment ammonium‐oxalate extractable metals were similarly related to LOI, with the strongest correlation for iron (r² = 0·71) and magnesium (r² = 0·70). Copyright © 2011 John Wiley & Sons, Ltd.  相似文献   

2-D delineation of individual citrus trees from UAV-based dense photogrammetric surface models   总被引：1，自引：0，他引：1  

Ali Ozgun Ok  Asli Ozdarici-Ok 《International Journal of Digital Earth》2018,11(6):583-608

One of the challenges of remote sensing and computer vision lies in the three-dimensional (3-D) reconstruction of individual trees by using automated methods through very high-resolution (VHR) data sets. However, a successful and complete 3-D reconstruction relies on precise delineation of the trees in two dimensions. In this paper, we present an original approach to detect and delineate citrus trees using unmanned aerial vehicles based on photogrammetric digital surface models (DSMs). The symmetry of the citrus trees in a DSM is handled by an orientation-based radial symmetry transform which is computed in a unique way. Next, we propose an efficient strategy to accurately build influence regions of each tree, and then we delineate individual citrus trees through active contours by taking into account the influence region of each canopy. We also present two efficient strategies to filter out erroneously detected canopy regions without having any height thresholds. Experiments are carried out on eight test DSMs composed of different types of citrus orchards with varying densities and canopy sizes. Extensive comparisons to the state-of-the-art approaches reveal that our proposed approach provides superior detection and delineation performances through supporting a nice balance between precision and recall measures.  相似文献   

Changes in biodiversity of the extremely polluted Golden Horn Estuary following the improvements in water quality     

Yüksek A  Okuş E  Yilmaz IN  Aslan-Yilmaz A  Taş S 《Marine pollution bulletin》2006,52(10):1209-1218

Long-term biological data supported by physicochemical parameters were evaluated to investigate the biodiversity of the Golden Horn Estuary from the past to the present. Limited observations dating back to 60 years ago indicated the existence of a diverse community in this small estuary. Unfortunately, in parallel with the increase in unplanned settlements and industry around the Golden Horn, pollution stress increased since the 1960s. Preliminary studies in the 1990s indicated survival of only a couple of pollution-resistant species, in the relatively cleaner lower estuary. Following the intensification of rehabilitation studies in 1998 and particularly after the opening of the floating bridge at the mid estuary; a remarkable day-by-day recovery in marine life has begun with the improving water quality. Nutrient concentrations decreased markedly; while water clarity significantly increased. Fecal coliform values decreased 10(3) fold. Phytoplankton composition changed and dense blooms of eukaryotic phytoplankters frequently occurred. Hydrogen sulfide almost completely disappeared even during the warmest periods of the year and dissolved oxygen concentrations increased. All results clearly depicted that the Golden Horn ecosystem shifted to eutrophic conditions from an anoxic environment. SCUBA dives in 2002, documented the level of diversification of life in the Golden Horn. All appropriate substratums were intensely covered by macrobenthic forms until the Halic Bridge and filter feeders dominated the plankton-rich ecosystem. Achieving the diversity of 1940s is not possible since the Black and Marmara seas, influencing water quality of the Golden Horn, are also suffering from anthropogenic impacts and are far less diverse than their rich diversity in 1940s. However, the Golden Horn is a good example that even the most polluted ecosystems can recover when appropriate measures are taken.  相似文献   

Biosorption of Dyes by Natural and Activated Vine Stem. Interaction between Biosorbent and Dye     

Ebru Mavioglu Ayan  Asli Toptas  Gulsah Kibrislioglu  Esra Evrim Saka Yalcinkaya  Jale Yanik 《洁净——土壤、空气、水》2011,39(4):406-412

In the present study, the vine stem and modified vine stem were used as low cost adsorbents for the removal of acidic and basic dyes from aqueous solutions. A comparative study was also carried out with activated carbon obtained from vine stem and then the adsorption capacities of all adsorbents were evaluated by batch adsorption process. The effects of various adsorption parameters (initial pH, particle size, and contact time) were investigated. The modification of the vine stem with nitric acid increased its adsorption capacity for the basic dye. Both, vine stem and modified vine stem exhibited higher adsorption capacities than activated carbon. The adsorption capacities were found to be 322.58, 250, and 200 mg g^?1 for modified, natural vine stem, and activated carbon, respectively. In the case of acidic dye, the pH strongly affected the adsorption capacity and the maximum dye uptake was observed at pH 2 for all adsorbents. The acidic dye adsorption was lower compared to basic dye on both biosorbents and activated carbon tested. The maximum acidic dye adsorption values (58.82 and 59.88 mg g^?1) were obtained with the vine stem and activated carbon, respectively. In the case of lignocellulosic adsorbents, both surface charge and surface groups had main effect on the adsorption of basic dye, while adsorption mechanism in activated carbon was mainly through the physical adsorption. The results of comparative adsorption capacity of adsorbents indicated that vine stem or modified vine stem can be used as a low cost alternative to activated carbon in aqueous solution for basic dye removal.  相似文献   

Creation of Histograms for Data in Various Mineral Resource and Engineering Problems: A Review of Existing Methods and a Proposed New Method to Define Bin Number     

Louis St-Pierre  Yuksel Asli Sari  Mustafa Kumral 《Natural Resources Research》2017,26(2):201-212

Histograms are widely used in geosciences for data analysis and visualization. In cases where a distribution is not fitted to data, histograms are often used to address various sampling- and interpolation-related aspects. However, the results of these applications are substantially affected by the histogram’s number of bins as determined by several binning methods. This paper proposes a new binning approach and compares it with various standard approaches to demonstrate the relative performance of the new approach. Cut-off grade optimization for polymetallic deposits, Monte-Carlo modeling, and derivation of conditional distribution, all of which use histograms, are used as case studies. The proposed technique is based on calculating the squared error for each bin in a histogram, and combining the error values to evaluate the total error for each histogram. The new technique then selects the bin number which minimizes the total error. The results showed that the new binning approach is well suited for binning small datasets and can be used in geoscience applications if needed.  相似文献   

A computational workflow for rupture‐to‐structural‐response simulation and its application to Istanbul     

Wenyang Zhang  Doriam Restrepo  Jorge G.F. Crempien  Bulent Erkmen  Ricardo Taborda  Asli Kurtulus  Ertugrul Taciroglu 《地震工程与结构动力学》2021,50(1):177-196

Scenario‐based earthquake simulations at regional scales hold the promise in advancing the state‐of‐the‐art in seismic risk assessment studies. In this study, a computational workflow is presented that combines (i) a broadband Green's function‐based fault‐rupture and ground motion simulation—herein carried out using the “UCSB (University of California at Santa Barbara) method”, (ii) a three‐dimensional physics‐based regional‐scale wave propagation simulation that is resolved at  Hz, and (iii) a local soil‐foundation‐structure finite element analysis model. These models are interfaced with each other using the domain reduction method. The innermost local model—implemented in ABAQUS—is additionally enveloped with perfectly matched layer boundaries that absorb outbound waves scattered by the structures contained within it. The intermediate wave propagation simulation is carried out using Hercules , which is an explicit time‐stepping finite element code that is developed and licensed by the CMU‐QUAKE group. The devised workflow is applied to a  km region on the European side of Istanbul, which was modeled using detailed soil stratigraphy data and realistic fault rupture properties, which are available from prior microzonation surveys and earthquake scenario studies. The innermost local model comprises a chevron‐braced steel frame building supported by a shallow foundation slab, which, in turn, rests atop a three‐dimensional soil domain. To demonstrate the utility of the workflow, results obtained using various simplified soil‐structure interaction analysis techniques are compared with those from the detailed direct model. While the aforementioned demonstration has a limited scope, the devised workflow can be used in a multitude of ways, for example, to examine the effects of shallow‐layer soil nonlinearities and surface topography, to devise site‐ and structure‐specific seismic fragilities, and for calibrating regional loss models, to name a few.  相似文献   

Short-term rockburst risk prediction using ensemble learning methods     

Liang  Weizhang  Sari  Asli  Zhao  Guoyan  McKinnon  Stephen D.  Wu  Hao 《Natural Hazards》2020,104(2):1923-1946

Natural Hazards - Short-term rockburst risk prediction plays a crucial role in ensuring the safety of workers. However, it is a challenging task in deep rock engineering as it depends on many...  相似文献   

Temporal changes of soft-bottom zoobenthic communities in and around Alsancak Harbor (Izmir Bay, Aegean Sea), with special attention to the autecology of exotic species     

Melih Ertan Çinar  Tuncer Katagan  Bilal Öztürk  Özdemir Egemen  Zeki Ergen  Ahmet Kocatas  Mesut Önen  Fevzi Kirkim  Kerem Bakir  Güley Kurt  Ertan Dagli  Asli Kaymakçi  Sermin Açik  Alper Dogan  & Tahir Özcan 《Marine Ecology》2006,27(3):229-246

Temporal and spatial variation in soft‐bottom benthic communities following recovery from a pollution episode were studied between January and September 2004 in and around Alsancak Harbor, located in the polluted part of Izmir Bay (Aegean Sea, eastern Mediterranean). Samples were collected at seven stations by van Veen grab. Three additional stations were sampled by means of a beam trawl to take into account large mobile animals and for a better estimate of the local biodiversity. A total of 231 species belonging to 10 zoobenthic groups were found. Polychaetes contributed 90% of the total faunal populations and mollusks 87% of the total biomass in the area. Community parameters varied significantly among stations and sampling periods; number of species ranged from 2 to 79 per 0.1 m² grab sample; density from 20 to 81,720 ind·m^?2; biomass from 0.1 to 4190 g·m^?2; Shannon–Wiener diversity index (log₂ base) from 0.4 to 4.4; and Pielou's evenness index from 0.11 to 1.0. Collections indicate that a number of species, including those sensitive to pollution, have colonized the area where azoic conditions had been previously reported. A total of six exotic species, Streblospio gynobranchiata, Polydora cornuta, Hydroides dianthus, Hydroides elegans, Anadara demiri and Fulvia fragilis, probably transferred to the area via ballast water or hull fouling, dominated soft or hard substrata in and near Alsancak Harbor. The first two species accounted for more than 70% of the total population in the area, while A. demiri contributed the most to the biomass (93%, at station 7).  相似文献