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在进行大规模城乡震害预测工作中, 需要使用与传统预测方式不同的新模型及新方法, 以便实现震害快速预测. 利用容易得到的人口统计数据中的人口及建筑抽样信息,通过建筑物分类,在已有的城市建筑震害基础上采用类比方法进行建筑物易损性分析,给出了人口数据及灾害损失的关系模型. 利用该模型建立福建省区域范围的建筑物不同结构平均易损性矩阵,按经济条件给出结构不同年代易损性矩阵调整系数,并建立地震灾害快速评估系统. 应用结果表明, 基于人口统计数据方法进行城乡区域尺度的地震震害评估模型, 具有投入少、 数据自动预测、定期更新且易于获取等优点. 相似文献
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In the prediction process of large-scale earthquake damage occurred in urban and rural regions,new models and approaches,which are different from traditional ones,should be adopted to rapidly predict earthquake damage. This article utilizes sampled population and buildings data that is easily available from the statistical database to conduct vulnerability analysis of buildings on the basis of earthquake damage of existing urban buildings in an analogical way,so as to provide a relation model between population data and disaster losses. In virtue of this model,the average vulnerability matrix of buildings of different structures in Fujian Province is established,the matrix adjustment coefficient of different decades is developed in accordance with the economic conditions,and the rapid evaluation system is set up as well. The result shows: this evaluation model,based on the population statistical data has merits as small investment,automatic data prediction,regular updates,as well as the advantage of easy accessibility. 相似文献
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