排序方式： 共有5条查询结果，搜索用时 15 毫秒
1
1.
Abstract An approach for better understanding of the physical implication of estimated aquifer parameters is demonstrated by analysing the pumping test data at Cottam in the Nottingham aquifer, UK. A sensitivity analysis showed that the area represented by the estimated parameters was much smaller than the area covered by the depression cone. After parameters are estimated, further research should be carried out to understand what portions of the aquifer the parameters represent. The parameters estimated at Cottam represented mainly aquifer features between roughly 100 and 2000 m. The sensitivity analysis also showed that the observed drawdown being satisfactorily matched by a model with uniform parameters does not prove that the aquifer is homogeneous. Slightly anomalous data may imply the existence of large anomalous zones. Although the drawdowns at Cottam could be ‘satisfactorily’ fitted by a model with uniform parameters, the fit could be improved by a model using a more permeable aquifer but with a zone about 700 m wide and with 42% less transmissivity. 相似文献
2.
Modelling point rainfall occurrences with the modified Bartlett-Lewis rectangular pulses model 总被引：1，自引：0，他引：1
A six parameter stochastic point process model, known as the modified Bartlett-Lewis Rectangular Pulses Model, is applied to fairly long hourly rainfall data recorded at Valentia (relatively a wet location) and Shannon Airport (relatively a dry location), Ireland. Five different sets of statistics of the rainfall data of each month, assuming local stationarity within the month, are used to estimate the parameters and to simulate model output. The problems of parameter stability/sensitivity and identification are discussed and it has been shown that the sensitivity of the model parameters to the choice of six statistics can be avoided by estimating the six parameters by optimization from 16 statistics namely mean, variance, lag-1 autocorrelation corfficient and proportion dry of hourly, 6-hourly, 12-hourly, and 24-hourly rainfalls. Some useful properties of the rainfall depth process are analysed using the notion of event-based statistics. The conditional distributions of rainfall depth and maximum intensity, mean event profiles, and various other features of the rainfall depth process obtained from the model simulated samples compare favourably with the historical ones. 相似文献
3.
Agnieszka Indiana Olbert Stephen Nash Conleth Cunnane Michael Hartnett 《Ocean Dynamics》2013,63(6):599-614
The research presented in this paper involves the application of the joint probability method to the estimation of extreme water levels resulting from astronomical tides and surge residuals and the investigation of the effects of tide–surge interactions on extreme water levels. The distribution of tide peaks was analysed from field records (<20 years) and a 46-year dataset of monthly maximum tidal amplitudes. Large surges were extracted from both field records and a numerical model hindcast covering the 48 largest storm events in the Irish Sea over the period 1959–2005. Extreme storm surges and tides were independently modelled using the generalised extreme value statistical model, and derived probability distributions were used to compute extreme water levels. An important, and novel, aspect of this research is an analysis of tide–surge interactions and their effects on total water level; where interactions exist, they lead to lower total water levels than in the case of independency. The degree of decrease varies with interaction strength, magnitude of surge peak at a particular phase of tide and the distribution of peaks over a tidal cycle. Therefore, including interactions in the computation of extreme levels may provide very useful information at the design stage of coastal protection systems. 相似文献
4.
The use of a split sampling technique for selecting a flood frequency analysis procedure is discussed in detail with the aid of simulation experiment results. Although this technique is unable to identify the most likely statistical distribution which generated given flood data, it is demonstrated that it provides useful results with which to compare the relative merits of different flood frequency estimation procedures. 相似文献
5.
Abstract Pooling of flood data is widely used to provide a framework to estimate design floods by the Index Flood method. Design flood estimation with this approach involves derivation of a growth curve which shows the relationship between XT and the return period T, where XT ?=?QT /QI and QI is the index flood at the site of interest. An implicit assumption with the Index Flood procedure of pooling analysis is that the XT –T relationship is the same at all sites in a homogeneous pooling group, although this assumption would generally be violated to some extent in practical cases, i.e. some degree of heterogeneity exists. In fact, in only some cases is the homogeneity criterion effectively satisfied for Irish conditions. In this paper, the performance of the index-flood pooling analysis is assessed in the Irish low CV (coefficient of variation) hydrology context considering that heterogeneity is taken into account. It is found that the performance of the pooling method is satisfactory provided there are at least 350 station years of data included. Also it is found that, in a highly heterogeneous group, it is more desirable to have many sites with short record lengths than a smaller number of sites with long record lengths. Increased heterogeneity decreases the advantage of pooling group-based estimation over at-site estimation. Only a heterogeneity measure (H1) less than 4.0 can render the pooled estimation preferable to that obtained for at-site estimation for the estimation of 100-year flood. In moderately to highly heterogeneous regions it is preferable to conduct at-site analysis for the estimation of 100-year flood if the record length at the site concerned exceeds 50. Editor Z.W. Kundzewicz; Associate editor A. Carsteanu Citation Das, S. and Cunnane, C., 2012. Performance of flood frequency pooling analysis in a low CV context. Hydrological Sciences Journal, 57 (3), 433–444. 相似文献
1