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1.
IUPA: a tool for the evaluation of the general usefulness of practices for adaptation to climate change and variability 总被引:1,自引:0,他引:1
P. Debels C. Szlafsztein P. Aldunce C. Neri Y. Carvajal M. Quintero-Angel A. Celis A. Bezanilla D. Martínez 《Natural Hazards》2009,50(2):211-233
A prototype multi-purpose index is proposed for use in the evaluation of practices for adaptation to climate variability and
change. The Index of Usefulness of Practices for Adaptation (IUPA) allows the user to assign weights and scores to a set of
user-defined evaluation criteria. Individual criterion scores are aggregated into a final index value. Both the final value
and the individual parameter scores provide useful information for improved decision making in the context of climate change.
An innovative aspect of IUPA is that guidance is given to the user through the inclusion of recommendations on evaluation
criteria and criterion-specific weight factors. These have been defined by a panel of experts from the Latin-American and
Caribbean Region (LAC). Application of the index is demonstrated for an existing adaptation practice from the Coquimbo Region,
Chile. The IUPA tool is recommended for use in the evaluation of adaptation practices in their design, implementation and
post-implementation phase. It is practical for a quick first assessment or when limited financial resources are available,
making the tool especially useful for practitioners in the developing world. The index is flexible both from the perspective
of its construction and use. Additional expert opinions can easily be included in the future versions of the tool. 相似文献
2.
T. Morita Y. Sakawa Y. Kuramitsu H. Tanji H. Aoki T. Ide S. Shibata N. Onishi C. Gregory A. Diziere J. Waugh N. Woolsey Y. Sano A. Shiroshita K. Shigemori N. Ozaki T. Kimura K. Miyanishi R. Kodama M. Koenig H. Takabe 《Astrophysics and Space Science》2011,336(1):283-286
Collisionless shocks in counter-streaming plasmas, created by the high-power laser system Gekko XII HIPER, are investigated. The shock structure and density are measured by optical diagnostics such as shadowgraphy, interferometry, and streaked interferometry. The plasma density and temperature are estimated from self-emission measurements with visible light by streaked optical pyrometer and gated optical imager. Brightness temperatures are calculated considering the efficiency of the detectors, and electron temperatures are estimated. 相似文献
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4.
Alvaro de la Cámara C. R. Mechoso K. Ide R. Walterscheid G. Schubert 《Climate Dynamics》2010,35(6):965-975
The present paper examines the vortex breakdown and large-scale stirring during the final warming of the Southern Hemisphere
stratosphere during the spring of 2005. A unique set of in situ observations collected by 27 superpressure balloons (SPBs)
is used. The balloons, which were launched from McMurdo, Antarctica, by the Stratéole/VORCORE project, drifted for several
weeks on two different isopycnic levels in the lower stratosphere. We describe balloon trajectories and compare them with
simulations obtained on the basis of the velocity field from the GEOS-5 and NCEP/NCAR reanalyses performed with and without
VORCORE data. To gain insight on the mechanisms responsible for the horizontal transport of air inside and outside the well-isolated
vortex we examine the balloon trajectories in the framework of the Lagrangian properties of the stratospheric flow. Coherent
structures of the flow are visualized by computing finite-time Lyapunov exponents (FTLE). A combination of isentropic analysis
and FTLE distributions reveals that air is stripped away from the vortex’s interior as stable manifolds eventually cross the
vortex’s edge. It is shown that two SPBs escaped from the vortex within high potential vorticity tongues that developed in
association with wave breaking at locations along the vortex’s edge where forward and backward FTLE maxima approximately intersect.
The trajectories of three SPBs flying as a group at the same isopycnic level are examined and their behavior is interpreted
in reference to the FTLE field. These results support the concept of stable and unstable manifolds governing transport of
air masses across the periphery of the stratospheric polar vortex. 相似文献
5.
A simple theoretical model of atmospheric radiative equilibrium is solved analytically to help understand the energetics
of maintaining Earth's tropical and subtropical climate. The model climate is constrained by energy balance between shortwave
(SW) and longwave (LW) radiative fluxes. Given a complete set of SW and LW optical properties in each atmospheric layer, the
model yields a unique equilibrium-temperature profile. In contrast, if the atmospheric temperature profile and SW properties
are prescribed, the model yields essentially two distinct LW transmissivity profiles. This bimodality is due to a nonlinear
competition between the ascending and descending energy fluxes, as well as to their local conversion to sensible heat in the
atmosphere. Idealized slab models that are often used to describe the greenhouse effect are shown to be a special case of
our model when this nonlinearity is suppressed. In this special case, only one solution for LW transmissivity is possible.
Our model's bimodality in LW transmissivity for given SW fluxes and temperature profile may help explain certain features
of Earth's climate: at low latitudes the temperature profiles are fairly homogeneous, while the humidity profiles exhibit
a bimodal distribution; one mode is associated with regions of moist-and-ascending, the other with dry-and-subsiding air.
The model's analytical results show good agreement with the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts' reanalysis
data. Sensitivity analysis of the temperature profile with respect to LW transmissivity changes leads to an assessment of
the low-latitude climate's sensitivity to the “runaway greenhouse” effect.
Received: 7 December 1999 / Accepted: 19 February 2001 相似文献
6.
An analytic radiative-equilibrium model is formulated where both short- and longwave radiation are treated as two-stream
(down- and upward) fluxes. An equilibrium state is defined in the model by the vertical temperature profile. The sensitivity
of any such state to the model atmosphere’s optical properties is formulated analytically. As an example, this general formulation
is applied to a single-column 11-layer model, and the model’s optical parameters are obtained from a detailed radiative parametrization
of a general circulation model. The resulting simple column model is then used to study changes in the Earth-atmosphere system’s
radiative equilibrium and, in particular, to infer the role of greenhouse trace gases, water vapor and aerosols in modifying
the vertical temperature profile. Multiple equilibria appear when a positive surface-albedo feedback is introduced, and their
stability is studied. The vertical structure of the radiative fluxes (both short- and longwave) is substantially modified
as the temperature profile changes from one equilibrium to another. These equilibria and their stability are compared to those
that appear in energy-balance models, which heretofore have ignored the details of the vertical temperature and radiation
profiles.
Received: 22 December 1995/Accepted: 17 January 1997 相似文献
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8.
Radiated Energy of Great Earthquakes from Teleseismic Empirical Green’s Function Deconvolution 总被引:1,自引:0,他引:1
Annemarie S. Baltay Gregory C. Beroza Satoshi Ide 《Pure and Applied Geophysics》2014,171(10):2841-2862
We expand on the empirical Green’s function deconvolution method of Ide et al. (2011) to estimate radiated energy for the six largest earthquakes worldwide over the last 10 years: 2011 M w 9.0 Tohoku-Oki, 2004 M w 9.1 Sumatra, 2010 M w 8.8 Maule, 2005 M w 8.7 Nias, 2007 M w 8.5 Bengkulu, and 2012 M w 8.6 off-Sumatra. Deconvolution of P, SV and SH components gives consistent energy results that are comparable to estimates found independently by other researchers. Apparent stress for the five great thrust earthquakes is between 0.4 and 0.8 MPa, while the 2012 off-Sumatra strike-slip earthquake has a higher apparent stress of 3 MPa, which is consistent with other studies that find a tendency for strike-slip events to be more energetic. Our results are within the spread of apparent stress from the wider global earthquake population over a large magnitude range. The azimuthal distribution of energy in each case shows signs of directivity, and in some cases, shows less energy radiated in the trench-ward direction, which may suggest enhanced tsunami potential. We find that eGfs as small as ~M 6.5 can be used for teleseismic deconvolution, and that an eGf-mainshock magnitude difference of 1.5 units yields stable results. This implies that M 8 is the minimum mainshock size for which teleseismic eGf deconvolution will work well. We propose that a database of eGf events could be used to calculate radiated energy and apparent stress of great, hazardous events in near real time, i.e., promptly enough that it could contribute to rapid response measures. 相似文献
9.
Castro-Correa Carmen-Paz Aldunce Ide Paulina Wyndham Vásquez Katherine Mena Maldonado Dania Pérez Tello Sonia 《Natural Hazards》2020,103(2):2427-2440
Natural Hazards - This article analyzes the impact of socio-natural disasters on social capital at a local level, studying the cases of the communities of Chañaral and Diego de Almagro after... 相似文献
10.
Grazing impact of the copepod community in the Oyashio region of the western subarctic Pacific Ocean
Kazutaka Takahashi Akira Kuwata Hiroaki Saito Keiichiro Ide 《Progress in Oceanography》2008,78(3):222-240
The role of copepod grazing on the ecosystem dynamics in the Oyashio region, western subarctic Pacific was investigated during six cruises from June 2001 to June 2002. In situ grazing rates of the copepod community (CGR) were measured by the gut fluorescence method in respect to developmental stages of dominant species. In terms of biomass, more than 80% of the copepod community was dominated by six large calanoid species (Neocalanus cristatus, Neocalanus flemingeri, Neocalanus plumchrus, Eucalanus bungii, Metridia pacifica and Metridia okhotensis) throughout the year. Resulting from the observed pattern of the interzonal migrating copepods, the CGR in the Oyashio region was divided into three phases, i.e. spring (bloom), summer (post-bloom) and autumn-winter phase. During the spring bloom, late copepodites of the interzonal migrating species, N. cristatus, N. flemingeri and E. bungii appeared in the surface layer (0-50 m) to consume the production of the bloom, resulting in a high grazing rate of the copepod community (7.9 mg Chl m−2 d−1), though its impact on phytoplankton community was low due to the high primary productivity. During the post-bloom period, although the copepod community which was dominated by N. cristatus, N. plumchrus, M. pacifica and newly recruited E. bungii still maintained a high biomass, the CGR was generally lower (1.8-2.6 mg Chl m−2 d−1 for June and August 2001), probably due to the lower availability of phytoplankton. Nevertheless, the highest CGR was also observed during this period (10.5 mg Chl m−2 d−1 in June 2002). The high CGR on autotrophic carbon accounted for 69% of the primary production, suggesting that the copepod community in the Oyashio region potentially terminates the phytoplankton bloom. Abundant occurrence of young E. bungii, which is a characteristic phenomenon in the Oyashio region, was largely responsible for the high grazing pressure in June 2002 suggesting that success of reproduction, growth, and survival in E. bungii during the spring bloom is an important factor in controlling phytoplankton abundance during the post-bloom season. During autumn and winter, CGR was the lowest in the year (0.29-0.38 mg Chl. m−2 d−1) due to the disappearance of the interzonal migrating copepods from the surface layer. Diel migrant M. pacifica was the most important grazer during this period. The annual ingestion of the copepod community is estimated as 37.7 gC m−2 on autotrophic carbon (converted using C:Chl ratio of 30) or 137.9 gC m−2 on suspended particles (using C:Chl ratio of in situ value, 58-191), accounting for 13% and 46% of annual primary production, respectively. This study confirms that copepod grazing is an important pathway in carbon flow in the Oyashio region and in particular their role in the phytoplankton dynamics is significant for the termination of the spring bloom. 相似文献