Exploring Granger causality between global average observed time series of carbon dioxide and temperature   总被引：2，自引：0，他引：2  

Evan Kodra  Snigdhansu Chatterjee  Auroop R. Ganguly 《Theoretical and Applied Climatology》2011,104(3-4):325-335

Detection and attribution methodologies have been developed over the years to delineate anthropogenic from natural drivers of climate change and impacts. A majority of prior attribution studies, which have used climate model simulations and observations or reanalysis datasets, have found evidence for human-induced climate change. This papers tests the hypothesis that Granger causality can be extracted from the bivariate series of globally averaged land surface temperature (GT) observations and observed CO₂ in the atmosphere using a reverse cumulative Granger causality test. This proposed extension of the classic Granger causality test is better suited to handle the multisource nature of the data and provides further statistical rigor. The results from this modified test show evidence for Granger causality from a proxy of total radiative forcing (RC), which in this case is a transformation of atmospheric CO₂, to GT. Prior literature failed to extract these results via the standard Granger causality test. A forecasting test shows that a holdout set of GT can be better predicted with the addition of lagged RC as a predictor, lending further credibility to the Granger test results. However, since second-order-differenced RC is neither normally distributed nor variance stationary, caution should be exercised in the interpretation of our results.  相似文献   

    

H. P. Liermann  J. Ganguly 《Contributions to Mineralogy and Petrology》2007,154(4):491

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A multivariate statistical study of copper mineralization in the central section of Mosaboni Mine, Eastern Singhbhum, India     

A. K. Saha  S. N. Sarkar  Swapna Basu  Dhruba Ganguly 《Mathematical Geology》1986,18(2):215-235

A multivariate statistical analysis was carried out with log-transformed values of Cu, Ni, Co, Pb, Zn, Ag, Cr, Mn, Ca, and Sr in several sets of samples collected across the mineralized base metal zone in sheared soda granite, feldspathic schist, and chlorite schist from the central section of Mosaboni Mine of the famous Singhbhum Copper Belt of eastern India. Linear correlation coefficient matrices of two sets of ore samples (>0.5% Cu)—one from levels 18 and 21 and the other from levels 25 and 28—indicate two well-defined and distinct clusters comprising Cu, Ni, Co, Pb, and Zn on one hand and Ca, Sr, and Mn on the other. Varimax-rotatedR-mode factor analysis of two above-noted sample sets, taken along with available geologic information, indicates that over 80% of the variability in data matrices for 9–10 elements can be accounted for by four distinct processes: (a) an early phase of copper mineralization which apparently replaced Mn, Ca, and Sr in the host rock; (b) a silicate-cum-oxide phase of crystallization/recrystallization of host rock; (c) remobilization of sulfide-forming ore elements (Cu, Ni, Co, Pb, and Zn); and (d) a phase of mineralization of Ag which appears to have replaced Cr, Ca and Cu. Process (c) was quantitatively most important. Factor score studies are suggestive of preferred introduction of Ni, Co, Pb, and Zn along central parts of preexisting copper-mineralized zones.  相似文献   

A Comparative study between two models of propagation of spherical and cylindrical shock waves with varying energy in self-gravitating, magneto-radiative non-uniform atmosphere     

Mrinal Jana  Ashok Ganguly 《Astrophysics and Space Science》2001,275(3):285-297

Two theoretical models, spherical and cylindrical, of propagation of shockwaves with varying energy in a rotating, magneto-radiative,self-gravitating non-uniform atmosphere have been developed. Subsequently,a comparison between the two models has been drawn with the aid ofvariation of flow variables with distance graphically. Significant is thedifference between two models, when one observes the variations of radialvelocity, pressure, mass, radiation flux, magnetic field and energy withdistance. Also, the respective influences of radiation flux, magneticfield and rotational velocity on the variations of the flow variables havebeen studied.  相似文献   

Optimization of spatial statistical approaches to identify land use/land cover change hot spots of Pune region of Maharashtra using remote sensing and GIS techniques     

Kuntal Ganguly  Rajiv Kumar  K. Mruthyunjaya Reddy  P. Jagadeeswara Rao  Manoj Raj Saxena  G. Ravi Shankar 《国际地球制图》2017,32(7):777-796

This study investigated land use/land cover change (LULCC) dynamics using temporal satellite images and spatial statistical cluster analysis approaches in order to identify potential LULCC hot spots in the Pune region. LULCC hot spot classes defined as new, progressive and non-progressive were derived from Gi* scores. Results indicate that progressive hot spots have experienced high growth in terms of urban built-up areas (20.67% in 1972–1992 and 19.44% in 1992–2012), industrial areas (0.73% in 1972–1992 and 3.46% in 1992–2012) and fallow lands (4.35% in 1972–1992 and ?6.38% in 1992–2012). It was also noticed that about 28.26% of areas near the city were identified as new hot spots after 1992. Hence, non-significant change areas were identified as non-progressive after 1992. The study demonstrated that LULCC hot spot mapping through the integrated spatial statistical approach was an effective approach for analysing the direction, rate, spatial pattern and spatial relationship of LULCC.  相似文献   

Delineation and assessment of Central Indian Suture through lineament extraction approach using Remote Sensing and Geographic Information System     

Kuntal Ganguly  Tarik Mitran 《国际地球制图》2016,31(3):308-327

Lineament extraction approach allowed mapping of larger number of lineaments in a classical manner in tectonic and structural studies. In the present study, various techniques were adopted to extract lineaments using Landsat ETM+ images. To remove the biasness of the images, some pre-processing techniques like stream ordering, band differencing, colour texturing were employed to enhance the edges of the structural features. Extracted lineaments and its distribution and orientation were mapped using ArcGIS Spatial analyst tool. Results of the study showed maximum number of lineaments were oriented in the ENE–SWS direction with 63° overall inclination. Accuracy assessment and validation were made with respect to visual interpretation and overlaying the lineament on Digital Topographic Model as well as with respect to an existing geological lineament map of the study site. The result of accuracy assessment indicates higher compatibility of Central Indian Suture with the geological map of the study area.  相似文献   

Fe²⁺-Mg fractionation between orthopyroxene and spinel: experimental calibration in the system FeO-MgO-Al₂O₃-Cr₂O₃-SiO₂, and applications     

H. P. Liermann  J. Ganguly 《Contributions to Mineralogy and Petrology》2003,145(2):217-227

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Cation ordering of orthopyroxenes from the Skaergaard Intrusion: implications for the subsolidus cooling rates and permeabilities     

J. Ganguly  M. Chiara Domeneghetti 《Contributions to Mineralogy and Petrology》1996,122(4):359-367

 We have determined the quenched cation ordering states of five orthopyroxene crystals collected from the marginal border group and the lower zone a and b of the Skaergaard intrusion, and modeled these data to retrieve their closure temperatures (T _c) of Fe–Mg ordering and cooling rates. According to existing thermal models for the Skaergaard pluton, conductive cooling dominated the high and low temperature regimes, which were separated by an intermediate temperature regime in which the cooling was controlled primarily by convective fluid circulation. The cooling rates retrieved from the quenched cation ordering states of the orthopyroxene crystals strictly apply to temperatures around the closure temperatures of the ordering states, ∼340–400^° C, which fall at the transition from convective to the lower temperature conductive cooling. The cooling rates obtained from the cation ordering states of orthopyroxene vary from ∼1 to 270 K/ka. These results agree well with a thermal model calculated using an assumed average permeability of 10^-12 cm² for the pluton, but not completely with a model calculated on the basis of an average permeability of 10^-13 cm², although both values produced shifts of δ¹⁸O that are comparable to those observed in the pluton. Received: 27 February 1995/Accepted: 20 July 1995  相似文献   

Cation diffusion in aluminosilicate garnets: experimental determination in pyrope-almandine diffusion couples     

Jibamitra Ganguly  Weiji Cheng  Sumit Chakraborty 《Contributions to Mineralogy and Petrology》1998,131(2-3):171-180

Diffusion couples made from homogeneous gem quality natural pyrope and almandine garnets were annealed within graphite capsules under anhydrous conditions at 22–40 kbar, 1057–1400 °C in a piston-cylinder apparatus. The concentration profiles that developed in each couple were modeled to retrieve the self diffusion coefficients [D(I)] of the divalent cations Fe, Mg, Mn and Ca. Because of their usually low concentrations and lack of sufficient compositional change across the interface of the diffusion couples, only a few reliable data can be obtained for D(Ca) and D(Mn) from these experiments. However, nine sets of D(Fe) and D(Mg) data were retrieved in the above P-T range, and cast in the form of Arrhenian relation, D=D ₀exp{−[Q(1 bar)+PΔV ⁺]/RT}. The values of the activation energy (Q) and activation volume (ΔV ⁺) depend on whether f _O2 is constrained by graphite in the system C-O or held constant. For the first case, we have for Fe:Q(1 bar)=65,532±10,111 cal/mol, D ₀=3.50 (±2.30)×10⁻⁵ cm²/s, ΔV ⁺=5.6(±2.9) cm³/mol, and for Mg:Q(1 bar)=60,760±8,257 cal/mol, D ₀=4.66 (±2.48)×10⁻⁵ cm²/s, ΔV ⁺=5.3(±3.0) cm³/mol. Here the ΔV ⁺ values have been taken from Chakraborty and Ganguly (1992). For the condition of constant f _O2, the Q values are ∼9 kcal lower and ΔV ⁺ values are ∼4.9 cm³/mol larger than the above values. Lower temperature extrapolation of the Arrhenian relation for D(Mg) is in good agreement with the Mg tracer diffusion data (D ^* _Mg) of Chakraborty and Rubie (1996) and Cygan and Lasaga (1985) at 1 bar, 750–900 °C, when all data are normalized to the same pressure and to f _O2 defined by graphite in the system C-O. The D ^* _Mg data of Schwandt et al. (1995), on the other hand, are lower by more than an order of magnitude than the low temperature extrapolation of the present data, when all data are normalized to the same pressure and to f _O2 defined by the graphite buffer. Comparison of the D(Fe), D(Mg) and D(Mn) data in the pyrope-almandine diffusion couple with those in the spessartine-almandine diffusion couple of Chakraborty and Ganguly (1992) shows that the self diffusion of Fe and Mn are significantly enhanced with the increase in Mn/Mg ratio; the enhancement effect on D(Mg) is, however, relatively small. Proper application of the self diffusion data to calculate interdiffusion coefficient or D matrix elements for the purpose of modeling of diffusion processes in natural garnets must take into account these compositional effects on D(I) along with the effects of thermodynamic nonideality, f _O2, and pressure. Received: 8 May 1997 / Accepted: 2 October 1997  相似文献   

Time-Variations of D-Region Electron Densities, and Comparisons With Model Computations     

Suman Ganguly  John Zinn 《Studia Geophysica et Geodaetica》1998,42(4):500-510

An extensive series of incoherent scatter studies of the ionospheric D-region was carried out at the Arecibo radar facility during 1978 and 1979. They included several full-day sequences of electron density measurements over a range of altitudes, and also included a sequence during the serendipitous occurrence of a large solar flare. For the solar flare event simultaneous data on solar X-ray fluxes in several wavelength bands were available from the GOES-2 and ISEE-3 satellites. In the course of development of a large ionospheric computer model at Los Alamos we have used the solar flare data as a reality check. The solar X-ray flux data were used as inputs for computing ionization rates. The model computer includes 999 chemical reactions, and also includes diffusion and transport processes. In the course of the flare studies we used the data comparisons to adjust the values of three chemical rate coefficients that were poorly known. With those adjustments the model computations fitted the data quite well. Subsequent to the flare analysis we have been using the same model with some minor updates to compute the expected diurnal variations of the ambient D-region under conditions chosen to match those existing at the times of the incoherent scatter measurements. Comparisons of the computations and the data will be shown, and the relative importance of the several separate ionization processes will be discussed. We also compare model results with experimental data on concentrations of NO.  相似文献