天山山区近40a年降水变化特征与南、北疆的比较   总被引：24，自引：2，他引：24       下载免费PDF全文

袁玉江  何清  喻树龙 《气象科学》2004,24(2):220-226

本文分析了天山山区近40 a来年降水变化的基本特征，并与南疆、北疆进行了比较，所得的主要结果如下：(1)天山山区在年降水量干湿变化阶段上与北疆的相似性强于南疆。(2)年降水量的空间分布的同步变化性以北疆为最好，南疆最差，天山山区居中，而年降水量的空间分布的反向变化性，以天山山区为最大，北疆最小，南疆居中。(3)天山山区与南疆从60年代到90年代，年降水均表现出了持续的增加的趋势，北疆年降水从60年代到90年代，除70年代外，不断增多。  相似文献   

A tree‐ring width based drought reconstruction for southeastern China: links to Pacific Ocean climate variability          下载免费PDF全文

Feng Chen  Shulong Yu  Yujiang Yuan  Huiqin Wang  Mary Gagen 《Boreas: An International Journal of Quaternary Research》2016,45(2):335-346

We present a drought reconstruction for southeastern China based on a tree‐ring width chronology of Cryptomeria fortunei developed from two sampling sites in central Fujian. A reconstruction of July–February drought variability, spanning AD 1855–2011, was developed by calibrating total tree‐ring width data with the self‐calibrating Palmer drought severity index (scPDSI). The reconstruction was verified against an independent data set, and accounts for 36% of the actual scPDSI variance during the period 1955–2011. Relatively dry intervals were reconstructed between AD 1859–1880, 1899–1911, 1927–1933, 1946–1959, 1964–1970 and 1987–1997. Relatively wet conditions prevailed during 1855–1858, 1881–1898, 1912–1926, 1934–1945, 1960–1963, 1971–1986 and 1998–2011. Comparisons between our scPDSI reconstruction and a moisture‐sensitive tree‐ring width record from Vietnam revealed consistencies between the two data sets, suggesting similar drought regimes. Spectral peaks of 2.2–6.4 years may be indicative of El Niño‐Southern Oscillation (ENSO) activity, as also suggested by the significant correlations with sea surface temperatures (SSTs) in the eastern equatorial and southeastern Pacific Ocean and an extreme event analysis. The analysis of links between our scPDSI reconstruction and the large‐scale regional climatic variation shows that there is a relationship between regional drought variation and East Asian summer monsoon (EASM) intensity.  相似文献   

Annual precipitation variation for the southern edge of the Gobi Desert (China) inferred from tree rings: linkages to climatic warming of twentieth century     

Feng Chen  Yujiang Yuan  Tongwen Zhang  Hans W. Linderholm 《Natural Hazards》2016,81(2):939-955

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TEMPERATURE SEQUENCE AND ITS CHANGE FOR RECENT 200 YEARS IN THE MIDDLE REACHES OF THE TARIM RIVER   总被引：6，自引：0，他引：6       下载免费PDF全文

Li Jiangfeng  Yuan Yujiang  Wang Chengyi 《Acta Meteorologica Sinica》1991,5(1):118-122

Based on the populus euphratica chronologies in the middle reaches of the Tarim River,the temperaturesequence in growing season of populus euphratica for recent 200 years at Shaya weather station is reconstructed,which can be regarded as evidence of warm-cold changes in recent 100 years in the middle reaches of theTarim River.  相似文献   

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李玉江  陈连旺  李红  叶际阳 《大地测量与地球动力学》2009,29(4):26-29

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A tree-ring based precipitation reconstruction for the Mohe region in the northern Greater Higgnan Mountains,China, since AD 1724     

Tongwen Zhang  Yujiang YuanWenshou Wei  Shulong YuRuibo Zhang  Feng ChenHuaming Shang  Li Qin 《Quaternary Research》2014

August–July precipitation has been reconstructed back to AD 1724 for the Mohe region in the northern Greater Higgnan Mountains, China, using Pinus sylvestris var. mongolica tree-ring width. The reconstruction explains 39% of the variance in the precipitation observed from AD 1960–2008. Some droughts noted in historical documents are precisely captured in our reconstruction. Wet periods occurred during the periods of AD 1734–1785, AD 1805–1830, AD 1863–1880, AD 1922–1961, and AD 1983–1998; while the periods of AD 1786–1804, AD 1831–1862, AD 1881–1921, and AD 1962–1982 were relatively dry. Power spectral and wavelet analyses demonstrated the existence of significant 24-yr, 12-yr, and 2-yr cycles of variability. The results of the spatial correlations suggest that our reconstruction contains climatic signals for the southern Stanovoy Range and the northern Greater Higgnan Mountains. The positive correlations between the new reconstructed precipitation series and two precipitation reconstructions indicate that our precipitation reconstruction captures broad-scale regional climatic variations. A comparison between the weakening tendency of summer monsoon and the dry period of our reconstruction reveals that the annual precipitation in the Mohe region is partly influenced by the East Asian Summer Monsoon.  相似文献   

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李红  陈连旺  李玉江 《大地测量与地球动力学》2008,28(2):39-44

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河北保定岩溶地热结垢过程模拟及防垢对策     

何雨江  刘肖  邢林啸  谭现锋  卜宪标 《地学前缘》2022,29(4):430-437

我国的地热发电以及部分供暖工程出现了比较严重的结垢现象,阻碍了地热能的大规模开发利用,目前地热市场急需成熟的防垢理论和工艺。地热工程的结垢现象尤以碳酸钙结垢最为普遍,为解决碳酸钙结垢问题,本文以华北保定岩溶地热井结垢为研究对象,通过理论和实验相结合的手段研究分析了垢质成分,成垢机理,结垢位置和过程以及防垢措施。研究结果表明:(1)系统降压造成的闪蒸是碳酸钙结垢的主因,液相二氧化碳逸出到气相是碳酸钙结垢的主要驱动力;(2)根据井口参数,结合质量、动量和能量守恒以及两相流压降理论,可以模拟结垢过程,确定结垢位置以及不同深度处的压力、温度、干度和二氧化碳分压等参数;(3)闪蒸造成的碳酸钙结垢,确定了闪蒸位置和闪蒸压力后,可以通过加压和加注阻垢剂的方式进行阻垢。通过模拟计算,确定了加压防垢系统所需的最低压力,通过控制系统压力可防止闪蒸,抑制二氧化碳逸出造成的结垢。设计了阻垢工艺,研制了阻垢剂加注设备,开展了井下化学阻垢实验并评价了阻垢效果,通过加注阻垢剂可有效阻止90%以上的垢生成,论证了通过加注化学阻垢剂可以有效解决碳酸钙结垢。通过上述研究,积累了从结垢原因分析,结垢位置确定,结垢过程模拟,防垢工艺和设备研发,防垢实践到阻垢效果现场评价一整套经验,可为其他地热井碳酸钙结垢问题的解决提供参考依据。  相似文献   

中国气象信息资源产权政策分析          下载免费PDF全文

雷俊  孙国栋  张永生  林霖  冯裕健 《气象与减灾研究》2017,40(3):236-240

气象信息资源产权是气象信息资源开放共享和气象信息产业发展研究中的重点。文中在明确气象信息资源产权内涵和产权政策主要内容的基础上,分析了产权归属、产权政策的现状和存在的主要问题,并对构建适合中国国情的气象信息资源产权保护政策和激励政策提出了建议。建议通过建立气象信息资源产权许可使用、监管使用制度,对增值产权保护实行有区别的产权归属制度,建立产权登记制度和产权交易的价值评估制度等途径,进一步健全气象信息资源产权保护政策;建立多元化的气象信息资源激励政策,包括建立气象信息资源所有权与持有权相分离的政策,通过多种形式确认持有权取得等,从而鼓励社会力量参与气象信息资源的使用和运营。  相似文献   

利用树木年轮重建阿勒泰地区1572—2014年初夏平均温度     

牛军强  袁玉江  张同文  陈峰  张瑞波  尚华明  姜盛夏 《干旱区地理》2021,44(1):27-35

利用阿勒泰地区3个高海拔西伯利亚落叶松(Larix sibirica)采样点的树轮样本,建立树轮宽度区域标准化年表(DKH)。通过相关普查发现,DKH年表与阿勒泰地区7个气象站当年6月平均温度显著相关,相关系数为0.705(P<0.00001),表明6月平均温度是影响树木年轮径向生长的主要气候限制因子。用DKH年表可较好地重建该地区1572-2014年共443 a的初夏平均温度,解释方差达49.6%,经验证表明温度重建序列是可信的。温度变化特征分析表明:重建初夏温度经历了10个偏暖和9个偏冷阶段,其中1605-1622年和1682-1723年分别是最暖和最冷的阶段,1875-1913年和1753-1804年分别是持续时间最长的偏暖和偏冷阶段。存在2.37~2.39 a、2.19 a的显著周期(P<0.05)和73.50 a、14.00 a、7.30 a、2.29 a、2.21 a的较显著周期(P<0.10)。在1684年、1719年前后均出现了由冷转暖的突变。空间相关分析表明文章重建的温度序列对阿勒泰地区温度具有较好的空间代表性。本研究重建的初夏温度序列与阿勒泰西部5-9月平均温度和阿尔泰山南坡温度序列相比较,具有较好的一致性。  相似文献