利用综合评分方法评估CMIP5模式对北极海冰的模拟能力     

吴利萍  杨小怡  胡建宇 《海洋学报(英文版)》2019,38(9):48-58

北极海冰冰盖自20世纪以来经历了前所未有的缩减，这使得北极海冰异常对大气环流的反馈作用日益显现。尽管目前的气候模式模拟北极海冰均为减少的趋势，但各模式间仍然存在较大的分散性。为了评估模式对于北极海冰变化及其气候效应的模拟能力，我们将海冰线性趋势和年际异常两者结合起来构造了一种合理的衡量指标。我们还强调巴伦支与卡拉海的重要性，因为前人研究证明此区域海冰异常是近年来影响大尺度大气环流变异的关键因子。根据我们设定的标准，CMIP5模式对海冰的模拟可被归为三种类型。这三组多模式集合平均之间存在巨大的差异，验证了这种分组方法的合理性。此外，我们还进一步探讨了造成模式海冰模拟能力差别的潜在物理因子。结果表明模式所采用的臭氧资料集对海冰模拟能力有显著的影响。  相似文献   

2001-2015年间我国陆地植被覆盖度时空变化及驱动力分析          下载免费PDF全文

赵明伟  王妮  施慧慧  江岭  王春 《干旱区地理》2019,42(2):324-331

本文基于MODIS-NDVI遥感数据反演计算了我国陆地2001—2015年地表植被覆盖度的空间分布，讨论了植被覆盖度的时空变化规律，分析了影响植被覆盖度近十几年来动态变化的主要驱动因素。研究结果表明：我国陆地植被覆盖度从2001—2015年，植被覆盖度总体上呈增加趋势，其中淮河流域、华北平原地区、以及黄土高原地区增加趋势显著。根据植被覆盖度在时间序列上的变化特征，可将其变化类型分为持续增长型、先减小后增长等六种类型，其中农业种植区基本为一直增长型，而主要森林覆盖区，特别是西南地区的植被覆盖度在研究时段内表现出波动性的变化特征。降水是驱动华北平原北部，内蒙古，以及西北大部分区域植被覆盖度动态变化的重要因素，东北、青藏高原等地区植被覆盖度受温度的影响较大，而在中国东南沿海地区，光照条件是影响该区域植被覆盖度的主要因素。  相似文献   

Estimating aboveground biomass using Pléiades satellite image in a karst watershed of Guizhou Province,Southwestern China     

Yin-ming Guo  Jian Ni  Li-bin Liu  Chun-zi Guo  Xin Xu  Qiao-lian Zhong 《山地科学学报》2018,15(5):1020-1034

Biomass in karst terrain has rarely been measured because the steep mountainous limestone terrain has limited the ability to sample woody plants.Satellite observation, especially at high spatial resolution, is an important surrogate for the quantification of the biomass of karst forests and shrublands. In this study, an artificial neural network(ANN) model was built using Pléiades satellite imagery and field biomass measurements to estimate the aboveground biomass(AGB) in the Houzhai River Watershed, which is a typical plateau karst basin in Central Guizhou Province, Southwestern China. A back-propagation ANN model was also developed.Seven vegetation indices, two spectral bands of Pléiades imagery, one geomorphological parameter,and land use/land cover were selected as model inputs. AGB was chosen as an output. The AGB estimated by the allometric functions in 78 quadrats was utilized as training data(54 quadrats, 70%),validation data(12 quadrats, 15%), and testing data(12 quadrats, 15%). Data-model comparison showed that the ANN model performed well with an absolute root mean square error of 11.85 t/ha, which was 9.88%of the average AGB. Based on the newly developed ANN model, an AGB map of the Houzhai River Watershed was produced. The average predicted AGB of the secondary evergreen and deciduous broadleaved mixed forest, which is the dominant forest type in the watershed, was 120.57 t/ha. The average AGBs of the large distributed shrubland,tussock, and farmland were 38.27, 9.76, and 11.69 t/ha, respectively. The spatial distribution pattern ofthe AGB estimated by the new ANN model in the karst basin was consistent with that of the field investigation. The model can be used to estimate the regional AGB of karst landscapes that are distributed widely over the Yun-Gui Plateau.  相似文献   

基于CiteSpace的“海上丝绸之路”研究知识图谱分析          下载免费PDF全文

叶建玉  谢红彬 《海洋开发与管理》2018,35(5):14-19

随着"一带一路"倡议的提出,"海上丝绸之路"研究逐渐成为我国学术界的讨论热点。为清楚了解海上丝绸之路的研究现状与未来趋势,文章利用CiteSpace可视化文献分析工具绘制出研究热点及研究机构的知识结构图谱,考查当今研究热点问题。结果表明:目前海上丝绸之路研究机构间的合作程度较低,且主要分布于沿海地区;相关研究主要围绕国家战略、东盟国家、互联互通、文化交流、海洋经济等问题展开;在建设21世纪海上丝绸之路背景下,战略对接研究、跨区域的产业合作研究仍需重点关注。  相似文献   

地闪对崇明地震台地球物理观测的干扰     

朱培育  戴乐翔  张艺  魏薇  赵俊香  朱佳苗  施俊杰  毕波  倪友忠 《地震地磁观测与研究》2018,40(1):91-95

通过对比崇明地区地闪及崇明地震台地球物理观测资料，发现受地闪引起的电磁场变化的直接作用或对仪器元件的间接作用，地磁、地电、电磁扰动和水位观测干扰比例较高，干扰幅度与地闪距离及形成的电流强度有关。具体干扰形态如下：①对电磁扰动干扰表现为单向突跳和测值的整体抬升；②对地磁测项干扰表现为正负方向的单点突跳；③对大地电场干扰表现为大幅震荡；④对水位观测干扰表现为大幅突跳。  相似文献   

短期重现性地磁日变化感应电流集中分布与地震关系初步研究     

冯志生  姜楚峰  冯丽丽  李军辉  戴勇  黄颂  姚丽  章鑫  袁桂平  倪晓寅  戴苗  李鸿宇 《中国地震》2020,36(3):502-516

通过分析台站之间地磁垂直分量日变化相关性,研究中国大陆南北带地区90°E～110°E,2009～2018年地磁日变化感应电流线状集中分布现象与M_S≥6.0地震关系。统计发现,我国每月平均出现约2次感应电流集中分布现象,且10天左右内有原地重复出现现象——感应电流集中分布重叠异常,原地重现的集中分布感应电流日期间隔一般在10天左右以内,原地重现日期一般不连续,重现次数一般仅有2次。研究发现,我国南北带2009～2018年共出现重叠异常23次,20次重叠异常出现后18个月内重叠段发生M_S≥6.0地震,对应率高达87%,地震基本发生在重叠段端部250km以内,重叠段发生2次M_S≥6.0地震的比例较低,约35%;重叠段2个端部均发生M_S≥6.0地震的比例极小,仅约9%。部分重叠段走向与已经发现的上地幔和地壳高导带埋深走向基本一致,推测重叠异常发生在上地幔和地壳高导带附近,是来自上地幔和地壳内高导带附近的地震异常信息。目前已知,中国大陆强地震主要发生在上地幔高导层的隆起区一带及其壳内高导层发育地区,深部电性测深结果表明,大震易于发生在电导率急剧变化的梯度带,但这些地区何时发生地震还未得知,本文发现的重叠异常解释了这些地区1～2年内是否发生地震这一问题。  相似文献   

A high accurate automated first-break picking method for seismic records from high-density acquisition in areas with a complex surface     

Yinpo Xu  Cheng Yin  Xuefeng Zou  Yudong Ni  Yingjie Pan  Liangjun Xu 《Geophysical Prospecting》2020,68(4):1228-1252

As the application of high-density high-efficiency acquisition technology becomes more and more wide, the areas with complex surface conditions gradually become target exploration areas, and the first-break picking work of massive low signal-to-noise ratio data is a big challenge. The traditional method spends a lot of manpower and time to interactively pick first breaks, a large amount of interactive work affects the accuracy and efficiency of picking. In order to overcome the shortcoming that traditional methods have weak anti-noise to low signal-to-noise ratio primary wave, this paper proposes a high accurate automated first-break picking method for low signal-to-noise ratio primary wave from high-density acquisition in areas with a complex surface. Firstly, this method determines first-break time window using multi-azimuth spatial interpolation technology; then it uses the improved clustering algorithm to initially pick first breaks and then perform multi-angle comprehensive quality evaluation to first breaks according to the following sequence: ‘single trace → spread → single shot → multiple shots’ to identify the abnormal first breaks; finally it determines the optimal path through the constructed evaluation function and using the ant colony algorithm to correct abnormal first breaks. Multi-azimuth time window spatial interpolation technology provides the base for accurately picking first-break time; the clustering algorithm can effectively improve the picking accuracy rate of low signal-to-noise ratio primary waves; the multi-angle comprehensive quality evaluation can accurately and effectively eliminate abnormal first breaks; the ant colony algorithm can effectively improve the correction quality of low signal-to-noise ratio abnormal first breaks. By example analysis and comparing with the commonly used Akaike Information Criterion method, the automated first-break picking theory and technology studied in this paper has high picking accuracy and the ability to stably process low signal-to-noise ratio seismic data, has a significant effect on seismic records from high-density acquisition in areas with a complex surface and can meet the requirements of accuracy and efficiency for massive data near-surface modelling and statics calculation.  相似文献   

电解法处理船舶压载水的杀菌性能及机理研究     

刘铭辉  张晓  刘家明  王妮  刘涛  纪志永 《海洋技术学报》2019,38(1)

船舶压载水携带的微生物对目的海域的污染问题亟待解决。采用电解法,以渤海湾的海水为处理对象,以炭纤维材料为阴极,分别以碳棒、碳板和炭纤维为阳极,首先考察了施电2.00 V下3种阳极炭材料对应的杀菌效果,进而重点考查了碳板为阳极材料时施加不同槽压下的杀菌性能,并对其杀菌机理进行初步分析。结果表明,3种阳极材料对应的杀菌效果先后顺序为碳棒碳板炭纤维,各自的杀菌效果均较为明显,施电18 min时碳板对应的灭活率可达100%;以碳板为阳极时,施加槽压越高杀菌效果越显著,本研究范围内以1.81 V为佳,施电18 min时灭活率在99%以上;不同槽压下体系中氯离子浓度和p H都随时间整体呈减小趋势,一定程度上可用于解释杀菌作用过程。研究结果可为电解法处理船舶压载水提供参考和借鉴。  相似文献   

2016年春季浙江中部海域温、盐、密度的断面分布特征     

Yang Longqi  Chen Zhaozhang  Sun Zhenyu  Hu Jianyu 《海洋学报(英文版)》2019,38(4):175-182

厦门大学海洋与地球学院，近海海洋环境科学国家重点实验室。摘要：本文通过分析2016年春季航次在浙江中部海域3条断面的观测资料，结果表明：（1）在断面的10~25米层左右观测到了"中层冷水"现象以及在上层观测到微弱的上升流；（2）在浙江中部海域的上层观测到较弱的上升流；（3）春季，在浙江中部海域观测到了丰富的温跃层、逆温跃层以及盐跃层现象。（4）台湾暖流水向上爬坡对跃层的变化有一定的影响，使得跃层厚度变小，跃层强度加强，但是强度并不足以冲破跃层到达表层。  相似文献   

Latest Middle Miocene fauna and flora from Kumkol Basin of northern Qinghai-Xizang Plateau and paleoenvironment     

Li  Qiang  Zhou  Xinying  Ni  Xijun  Fu  Bihong  Deng  Tao 《中国科学:地球科学(英文版)》2020,63(2):188-201

We report 7 mammalian and 16 pollen species from the top of the Shimagou Formation in Kumkol Basin of northern Qinghai-Xizang Plateau, whose age is latest Middle Miocene(about 12.5 Ma). We erect a new species of fossil rodent,Spermophilinus kumkolensis sp. nov. The micromammalian fauna from the Kumkol Basin shares high similarities with contemporary faunas from Europe and northern China, indicating the existence of active zoogeographic exchange between Europe and northern Asia. Trees are dominant in pollen fossils, and herbs and shrubs are minorities. Broadleaved Quercus and Fagus predominate in tree pollens. The flora reconstructed by pollens displays a mixture of evergreen broadleaved forest and dry and warm steppe landscape. Compared to the modern vegetation in Yunnan region, the latest Middle Miocene flora in the Kumkol Basin represents a distinct vertical distribution. The ecotypes of the latest Middle Miocene fauna and flora in the Kumkol Basin,as a whole, are markedly different from those of modern animals and vegetation, the past climate being more suitable than today.  相似文献