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Tropical cyclones are the most common natural disasters in coastal regions and are the most costly in terms of economic losses.
Economic loss assessment is the basis for disaster prevention and alleviation and for insurance indemnification. We use data
from 1970 to 2008 for Zhejiang Province, China, in this study evaluating economic losses. We convert direct economic losses
from tropical cyclone disasters in Zhejiang Province into indices of direct economic losses. To establish our assessment model,
we process disaster-inducing assessment factors, disaster-formative environments and disaster-affected bodies using the principal
component analysis method, and we abstract the principal component as the input of a BP neural network model. We found in
the actual assessments of five tropical cyclones affecting Zhejiang Province in 2007 and 2008 that the post-disaster loss
assessment values of tropical cyclones were higher than the actual losses, but that for more severe storms, the gap was smaller.
This reflects the beneficial effect of efforts toward disaster prevention and alleviation for severe tropical cyclones. Pre-assessments
based on relatively accurate forecast values of wind and precipitation at the start of a tropical cyclone have been in accordance
with the post-disaster assessment values, while the pre-assessment results using less accurate forecast values have been unsatisfactory.
Therefore, this model can be applied in the actual assessment of direct economic loss from tropical cyclone damage, but increasingly
accurate forecasting of wind and precipitation remains crucial to improving the accuracy of pre-assessments. 相似文献
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STARFIRE^TM-RTG（Real Time GIPSY实时GIPSY）是美国NaVCom公司在WCT（Wide—Area Correction Translorm）基础上，应用JPL的实时修正算法和GIPSY软件，建立的全球差分定位服务系统。可适应各种环境，无需基准站，无需地面通讯数据链，并具有多种模式和特有的用途。以美国NAVCOM公司生产的目前全球唯一的STARFIRE^TM2050G与2040G型RTG接收机的原理、性能和广州测试情况以及本公司对其应用范围的可行性进行介绍和讨论。 相似文献
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深海吸力锚基础的极限承载能力是海洋工程结构设计中的一个关键问题,达到极限平衡状态时,吸力锚的极限承载能力与其失稳模式密切相关。本文基于Cou lom b摩擦对原理,给出了一种精确模拟吸力锚承载能力的有限元模型。在该数值模型基础上,利用通用有限元分析软件ABAQU S,研究了系泊点位置、长径比对吸力锚承载能力的影响,并给出了深海吸力锚失稳模式。研究结果表明,系泊点位置极大地影响着吸力锚的极限承载力和稳定性,系泊点位置的变化,会导致吸力锚出现前倾转动、平移滑动和后仰转动等的失稳模式。 相似文献
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首先阐述堰塞湖溃坝控制与人工排险的内容、原则和方案.在此基础上分析堰塞湖应急处置中安全监测的原则和内容,以及泄流、渗流控制、滑动体加固等应急工程措施适用性.最后讨论冲切和坝体稳定泄流的工程设计与应急转移措施. 相似文献
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复合加载模式下地基失效机制研究 总被引：1，自引：0，他引：1
在土体极限平衡定理的基础上,利用有限元数值分析软件ABAQUS对复合加载模式下地基失效机制进行了详细地研究。结果表明,竖向荷载V控制着地基破坏滑裂面的深浅程度,水平荷载H和力矩荷载M造成了地基破坏模式的非对称性;文中提出的前倾勺形破坏模式和后仰勺形破坏模式,合理地解释了H-M荷载空间中破坏包络面的非对称性,并给出了H-M荷载空间中不同的地基失效模式与荷载分量间的关系和地基土体中出现极限力矩荷载时的经验判断公式。 相似文献
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Study on Failure Mechanism and Bearing Capacity of Three-Dimensional Rectangular Footing Subjected to Combined Loading 总被引：2，自引：0，他引：2
This paper presents two kinematic failure mechanisms of threc-dimensional rectangular footing resting on homogeneous undrained clay foundation under uniaxial vertical loading and uniaxial moment loading. The failure mechanism under vertical loading comprises a plane strain Prandti-type mechanism over the central part of the longer side, and the size of the mechanism gradually reduces at the ends of the longer side and over the shorter side as the corner of rectangular footing is being approached where the direction of soil motion remains normal to each corresponding side respectively. The failure mechanism under moment loading comprises a plane strain scoop sliding mechanism over the central part of the longer side, and the radius of scoop sliding mechanism increases linearly at the ends of the longer side. On the basis of the kinematic failure mechanisms mentioned above, the vertical ultimate bearing capacity and the ultimate bearing capacity against moment or moment ultimate bearing capacity are obtained by use of upper bound limit analysis theory. At the same time, numerical analysis results, Skempton＇ s results and Salgado et al. ＇s results are compared with this upper bound solution. It shows that the presented failure mechanisms and plastic limit analysis predictions are validated. In order to investigate the behaviors of undrained clay foundation beneath the rectangular footing subjected to the combined loadings, numerical analysis is adopted by virtue of the general-purpose FEM software ABAQUS, where the clay is assumed to obey the Mohr-Coulomb yielding criterion. The failure envelope and the ultimate bearing capacity are achieved by the numerical analysis results with the varying aspect ratios from length L to breadth B of the rectangular footing. The failure mechanisms of rectangular footing which are subjected to the combined vertical loading V and horizontal loading H （Vertical loading V and moment loading M, and horizontal loading H and moment loading M respectively are observed in the finite e 相似文献
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