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西南地区冬季旱涝特征及其与北极涛动关系 总被引：1，自引：0，他引：1
利用1951-2010年我国西南地区内32站月平均降水资料及NCEP/NCAR再分析资料,对西南地区冬季旱涝时空分布特征及其与北极涛动(AO)的关系进行了研究分析.结果表明:近60a西南地区冬季降水量和旱涝事件平均发生频次均呈东南向西北递减分布,其中滇、黔、桂交界处和四川南部为降水偏多事件多发区,而渝、滇西南、黔东部及四川盆地是干旱事件多发区,特旱事件的发生概率也较高,并有逐年增加的趋势;冬季旱涝以周期为12 a、8 a左右的低频振荡最为显著,近几年均处于负位相;冬季AO与西南地区同期降水呈显著的正相关,AO异常偏强(弱)时,则西南地区降水异常偏多(少). 相似文献
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Anthropogenic impacts and natural disturbances have been intense recently in the global scale, affecting the composition of coral reef benthic communities from coral to algal dominated reefs. However, this condition does not always occur considering corals are able to recover when the stressors falter. This study aims to investigate the change in coral reef benthic communities and the relationship among benthic categories. The study was carried out in 2014 and 2016 at five sites, three sites in the Lembeh Strait and two sites in Likupang, North Sulawesi Province. Underwater Photo Transect(UPT) was used at depth of around 4–6 m in slope areas. The result indicated that the benthic communities were slightly changing: the percent covers of hard corals, sponges, soft corals, macroalgae and substrate categories were not significantly different between the years but category of others, particularly seasonally growing hydroid, increased significantly, occupying the available substrates and overtopping other benthos surrounding. The study also found that there was a significant relationship between the change in benthic gradient and the number of hard coral colonies: when the composition becomes less complex, the number of colony declines. In contrast, the hard coral diversity remained unchanged, suggesting the coral reefs apparently have an ecological resilience(sustainable species diversity) against the change although ecological complexity declines. In addition, the hard coral cover was significantly correlated with soft coral and sponge covers, which did not change significantly among the years. In general, the coral reefs in North Sulawesi might experience a temporary blip due to the increasing percent cover of others, and be predicted to recover as there was no indication of soft corals and sponges to increase significantly. However, it is necessary to investigate the dynamic of benthic communities in different depth gradients to gain a comprehensive understanding as the communities respond differently to the light intensity. 相似文献
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本文尝试利用机器学习的随机森林算法分析岩石主量元素与微量元素之间的关系。大洋玄武岩几乎不受混染作用影响,各元素成分之间的关系相对稳定,其中微量元素Zr是一种稳定的高场强元素。本文采用随机森林算法对洋岛玄武岩中Zr元素和主量元素的关系进行探索。利用算法中变量重要性度量判断各个主量元素与Zr元素之间关系的强弱,结合Pearson相关性分析,选择出5种主量元素（TiO2、CaO、MgO、Na2O 和P2O5）作为预测变量。由这5种元素确定了共1 000棵,每棵决策树含3个特征的随机森林模型,该模型对Zr元素的预测效果优于普通多变量回归方法。随后还探索了Zr元素与这5种主量元素的经验公式,得到的经验公式对Zr元素的预测结果也较好。本文更重要的意义是为拥有海量数据的地球化学领域引入一种用于数据挖掘的机器学习方法,并提出一套具有启发性的数据分析方案。 相似文献
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Suspended particulate matter (SPM) has been known as an important variable in the organic matter flow of coastal ecosystem. Half of burial carbon in seagrass meadows is contributed by allochthonous sources that compose the SPM such as phytoplankton, seagrass detritus, marine snow aggregates and terrestrially derived particles. Each composition of the SPM contributes different roles and is important to be identified, for instance, the exact contribution of seagrass detritus will be useful for determination of carbon export through the detritus form in seagrass meadows. Here, the SPM of seagrass meadows is studied in Bintan Island and the Selayar Archipelago. The aim of this research is to determine the source origin of the SPM using a stable isotope signature. In order to fulfill this aim, the objectives are defined as: (1) to specify the stable isotope signature (δ13C and δ15N) of the SPM, and (2) to determine the proportional distribution of the SPM''s prospectus sources. The result shows that the possibility of the source origin of the SPM includes a seagrass fraction (Enhalus acoroides and Thalassia hemprichii), terrestrial C4 plant, macroalgae, and terrestrial C3 plant. The SPM lies between the marine- and terrigenous-end members. However, it seems that the SPM is more to be terrigenous-end and allochthonous. According to a Bayesian mixing model, the terrestrial C4 has the highest contribution of the SPM at all sites except Barugaia and Pasi Island in Selayar (i.e., the highest contribution of the SPM is from the detritus of E. acoroides). The second contribution has been contributed by either seagrass detritus (E. acoroides or Th. hemprichii) or terrestrial C3 plant. The finding of this study indicates that there is a strong influence of the terrigenous sources in the SPM of the seagrass meadows. 相似文献
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作为智慧城市的重要组成和微观缩影,智慧园区建设十分重要,而评价方法是评估园区建设水平、促进园区健康发展的关键要素。当前,随着新一代信息通信技术(Information and Communications Technology,ICT）的高速发展,及全生命周期管理等先进理念的贯彻实践,智慧园区建设与发展欣欣向荣。然而,与之一体的评价方法却关注鲜少,存在迭代缓慢和类型单一等问题,可能会影响对智慧园区发展水平的客观评价。鉴于此,论文在充分继承原有方法的先进基础上,提出兼顾共性基础与个性特色的CCI（Commonality Combined with Individuality,CCI）智慧园区评价方法,其中,CCI评价指标体系共包括8个一级指标、30个二级指标和63个三级指标。共性评价指标是所有园区共有的基础指标,是必选项,充分融合全生命周期管理的理念,围绕智慧园区顶层设计基础层-平台层-应用层的基本架构展开梳理;个性评价指标是个别园区特有的特色指标,是可选项,需要依据园区的实际产业生产流程或业务内容展开分析。同时,以深圳市智慧妈湾作为实证案例,构建CCI评价指标体系并应用层次分析法（Analytic Hierarchy Process, AHP）展开综合评价,结合评价结果给出了发展建议：智慧妈湾整体水平较高,符合其打造先行示范区智慧城市标杆的目标定位;但在智慧平台、智慧物流、智慧金融、智慧文创方面还有一定的提升空间。最后,评价结果与智慧妈湾实际情况的一致性,论证了CCI智慧园区评价方法的科学性和可行性。 相似文献
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细菌性疾病对珊瑚的健康影响造成了很大影响，而致病菌与珊瑚疾病之间的对应性还不明朗。色素异常现象是野外澄黄滨珊瑚一种常见的不健康状态。我们采用Illumina 16s rRNA基因高通量测序技术比较分析了健康和色素异常澄黄滨珊瑚共生细菌的群落组成差异。色素异常澄黄滨珊瑚共生细菌的多样性明显高于健康澄黄滨珊瑚，同时两种珊瑚的共生细菌群落组成也有很大差异。一些特定的细菌类群在澄黄滨珊瑚共生细菌中的比例很高，推测这些细菌种类可能是导致澄黄滨珊瑚色素异常的“罪魁祸首”。 相似文献
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1992年9月20～24日在北京隆重举行了庆祝中国地质学会成立70周年大会。到会代表和佳宾共500余人,中国地质学会理事长朱训在会上做了“为地质科学技术繁荣与发展而奋斗”的报告,报告中回顾了过去,谈到了当前的形势任务,并指出了今后工作的努力方向 相似文献
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当探槽开挖长度未跨过断层变形带时，得到的断层垂直位移将偏离断层活动的真实情况，在缺少依据帮助确定断层陡坎原始下坡角的具体位置时，通过断层陡坎高度获得的断层垂直位移也将与实际情况有较大的偏离，文中对此进行了讨论。并讨论了应用断层两侧近水平地层累积变位量的分解确定古地震事件期次的方法，以及探槽剖面中断层两侧同层地层厚度差异是断层活动事件的反映等问题。引用了内蒙古大青山山前断裂和狼山山前断裂、北京平原夏垫断裂和南口－孙河断裂及日本丹那断层探槽开挖的实例。 相似文献
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