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1.
The probabilities of discovering detached close binary (type DM) stars as eclipsing variables are calculated as a function
of the mass of the main component, mass ratio, major semiaxis, and angle of inclination of the orbit. The case of total limb
darkening (hypothesis “D”) is examined. This is compared with earlier results for uniformly bright stellar disks (hypothesis
“U”). Based on data from Svechnikov and Kuznetsova’s Catalog of Approximate Photometric and Absolute Elements of Eclipsing
Variables, the spatial density of stars of this type in the neighborhood of the sun is estimated to be ≈ 460 · 10
−6
pc−3.
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Translated from Astrofizika, Vol. 49, No. 1, pp. 151–169 (February 2006). 相似文献
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层次分析法在彩票抽奖方案选择中的应用 总被引：1，自引：0，他引：1
采用层次分析法对29种彩票抽奖方案进行排序,较为科学地解决了比较多种方案优劣程度的问题,得到了彩票抽奖方案选择问题的优化解. 相似文献
4.
珠江口盆地西部海域发育弱BSR或无BSR的天然气水合物储层,常规叠后反演所获得的参数单一,难以精确预测其天然气水合物分布特征。本文在地震道集优化处理、精细速度分析、岩石物理分析及低频模型精确建立的基础上,针对性地采用叠前同时反演技术,对珠江口盆地西部海域天然气水合物储层进行预测,并利用岩相流体概率分析技术对其进行综合识别,实现了对天然气水合物储层地精细刻画。反演预测结果表明,研究区天然气水合物较为发育,预测结果与钻探结果吻合程度较高,应用效果良好。 相似文献
5.
K. N. Khattri 《Journal of Earth System Science》1999,108(2):87-92
Long-term conditional probabilities of occurrence of great earthquakes along the Himalaya plate boundary seismic zone have
been estimated. The chance of occurrence of at least one great earthquake along this seismic zone over a period of 100 years
(beginning the year 1999) is estimated to be about 0.89. The 100-year probability of such an earthquake occurring in the Kashmir
seismic gap is about 0.27, in the central seismic gap about 0.52 and in the Assam gap about 0.21. The 25-year probabilities
of their occurrence in these gaps are 0.07, 0.17, and 0.05 respectively. These probability estimates may be used profitably
to assess the seismic hazard in the Himalaya and the adjoining Ganga plains. 相似文献
6.
《水文科学杂志》2013,58(3):571-581
Abstract The ability to simulate characteristics of the diurnal cycle of rainfall occurrence, and its evolution over the seasons is important to the forecasting of hydrological impacts resulting from land-use and climate changes within the humid tropics. This stochastic modelling study uses a generalized linear model (GLM) solution to second-order Markov chain models, as these discrete models are better at describing binary occurrence processes on an hourly time-scale than continuous-time approaches such as stochastic state-space models. We show that transition probabilities derived by the Markov chain method need to be time-varying rather than stationary to simulate the evolution of the diurnal cycle of rainfall occurrence over a Southeast Asian monsoon sequence. The conceptual and pragmatic links between discrete diurnal processes and continuous processes occurring over seasonal periods are thereby simulated within the same model. 相似文献
7.
Wenzhong Shi Kimfung Liu Hua Zhang 《International Journal of Applied Earth Observation and Geoinformation》2011
The multiple classifier system (MCS) is an effective automatic classification method, useful in connection with remote sensing analysis techniques. Combining MSC with induced fuzzy topology enables a decomposition of image classes. This fuzzy topological MCS then provides a new and improved approach to classification. The basic classification methods discussed in this paper include maximum likelihood classification (MLC), minimum distance classification (MIND) and Mahalanobis distance classification (MAH). 相似文献
8.
中国铁矿床品位-吨位模型 总被引：1，自引：0，他引：1
文章以2005年国家有关部门公布的铁矿储量数据为依据,在拥有翔实和权威的铁矿数据材料的基础上,经过分析整理和统计计算,以铁矿的6种矿床类型(沉积变质型、沉积型、矽卡岩型、岩浆岩型、火山岩型和风化型)为划分依据,建立了中国铁矿及其伴生矿种的品位和吨位模型,并对其品位-吨位联合分布的模型进行了研究。通过研究得出结论,中国铁矿的资源量不服从正态分布,经过对数变换后服从正态分布,品位除了矽卡岩之外都直接服从正态分布。由于铁矿的品位和吨位之间相关性较差,因而不具备分形特征。最后通过建立吨位和品位的直方图来构造正态分布函数,从而实现累计概率曲线的拟合。在取得了远景区的矿床类型、矿床数分布以及矿床的品位和吨位的累计概率曲线后,可以使用计算机通过蒙特卡洛模拟的方法来实现远景区资源量的预测和模拟。 相似文献
9.
The Bayesian extreme-value distribution of earthquake occurrences has been adopted to estimate the seismic hazard in some seismogenic zones in Greece and surrounding regions. Seismic moment, slip rate, earthquake recurrence rate and magnitude were considered as basic parameters for computing the prior estimates of the seismicity. These estimates are then updated in terms of Bayes' theorem and historical estimates of seismicity associated with each zone.High probabilities for earthquakes withM6.0 have been obtained for the northwestern part of Greece as well as for the southwestern part of the Hellenic arc. 相似文献
10.
Eleftheria E. Papadimitriou 《Natural Hazards》1994,9(3):303-321