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1.
1IN T R O D U C T IO N The western China isfacinggrowing problems of eco- logicaland economic development. The disparitiebse- tween the socio-economy of the western and eastern China were enlarging, and the major ecologicalprob- lems stilelvolve as past(H…  相似文献   
2.
In this study we examine the behavior of the thermohaline circulation, as simulated by the Community Climate System Model version 3 (CCSM3), for several centuries following CO2 stabilization for the SRES B1 and A1B scenarios and for an “overshoot” scenario in which CO2 levels temporarily reach the same level as in the A1B scenario before declining to an ultimate stabilization level that is identical to the B1 case. While we find no evidence for irreversible changes of the thermohaline circulation in the overshoot experiment, the interplay of the different timescales of the temperature response of the surface and interior ocean does lead to a number of differences in the long-term response of the ocean between it and the B1 stabilization scenario where the same GHG levels are approached by different paths. The stronger initial warming and its slow penetration into the deeper ocean, followed by a transient surface cooling in the overshoot scenario leads to lower static stability, deeper mixing, and a more rapid recovery of the thermohaline circulation than in the B1 stabilization scenario. While the overshoot scenario recovers surface conditions (e.g. SST, sea ice extent) very similar to the B1 scenario shortly after reaching the same GHG levels, the additional accumulation of heat in the interior ocean during the period of higher forcing causes the global mean ocean temperature and steric sea level to remain higher than in the B1 stabilization scenario for at least another several centuries.  相似文献   
3.
The carrying capacity for bivalve shellfish culture in Saldanha Bay, South Africa, was analysed through the application of the well-tested EcoWin ecological model, in order to simulate key ecosystem variables. The model was set up using: (i) oceanographic and water-quality data collected from Saldanha Bay, and (ii) culture-practice information provided by local shellfish farmers. EcoWin successfully reproduced key ecological processes, simulating an annual mean phytoplankton biomass of 7.5 µg Chl a l–1 and an annual harvested shellfish biomass of about 3 000 tonnes (t) y–1, in good agreement with reported yield. The maximum annual carrying capacity of Small Bay was estimated as 20 000 t live weight (LW) of oysters Crassostrea gigas, or alternatively 5 100 t LW of mussels Mytilus galloprovincialis, and for Big Bay as 100 000 t LW of oysters. Two production scenarios were investigated for Small Bay: a production of 4 000 t LW y–1 of mussels, and the most profitable scenario for oysters of 19 700 t LW y–1. The main conclusions of this work are: (i) in 2015–2016, both Small Bay and Big Bay were below their maximum production capacity; (ii) the current production of shellfish potentially removes 85% of the human nitrogen inputs; (iii) a maximum-production scenario in both Big Bay and Small Bay would result in phytoplankton depletion in the farmed area; (iv) increasing the production intensity in Big Bay would probably impact the existing cultures in Small Bay; and (v) the production in Small Bay could be increased, resulting in higher income for farmers.  相似文献   
4.
This paper illustrates how sensitivity analysis and a worst-case scenario analysis can be useful tools in risk assessment of groundwater pollution. The approach is applied to a study area in Hungary with several known groundwater pollution sources and nearby drinking water production wells. The main concern is whether the contamination sources threaten the drinking water wells of the area. A groundwater flow and transport model is set up to answer this question. Due to limited data availability, the results of this model are associated with large uncertainty. Sensitivity analysis and a worst-case scenario analysis are applied to estimate this uncertainty and build confidence in the model results.  相似文献   
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6.
中国东部中新生代盆地成因及其地球动力学   总被引:9,自引:1,他引:9  
中国东部大兴安岭-太行山-武陵山重力梯度带一线以东至太平洋西岩,大陆连缘中新生代盆地系的形成,中生代岩浆活动,盆地基本特征同Moho、岩石圈和软流圈及上地幔基本特征的内在联系等都表明,它们在时空和成因上有一定联系,可以纳入同一地球动力学过程之中,这种动力学机制可能与岩石圈界,地壳底界的拆离作用有关。  相似文献   
7.
GeothermalRegimeofMeso-CenozoicBasinsandTheirTectonicBackgroundinEastChina*ZhuangXinguoFacultyofEarthResources,ChinaUniversit...  相似文献   
8.
含油气盆地地球动力学模式   总被引:34,自引:1,他引:34  
陈发景  汪新文 《地质论评》1996,42(4):304-310
文章讨论了含油气盆地地球动力学模式,其中着重讨论了以下几个问题:(1)沉积盆地地球动力学研究的进展,使得能够提出一种根据盆地所处的板块位置和地球动力学模型进行划分的含油气盆地分类;(2)尽管我们有一些古生代克拉通盆地的地球动力学模式,但其成因机制仍缺乏令人信服的解释;(3)通过大陆内裂谷火山岩化学成分、地温场、构造变形、岩石圈结构以及区域板块构造背景综合分析,我们建立了六种大陆裂谷形成的地球动力学模式;(4)前陆盆地的形成与其周缘造山带密切相关,其地球动力学模式是大陆岩石圈对褶皱冲断带构造负载的挠曲响应;  相似文献   
9.
By contrasting and analyzing the characteristics of gravity field nearby some important active faults in the continent of China, it can be found that the crust blocks where Bouguer anomalies are regionally positive (or relatively positive) are moving towards the terrestrial poles and the blocks where Bouguer anomalies in a tremendous area are negative (or relatively negative) are moving towards the equator. By analysis of mechanics and mathematics calculation and based on lots of practical data, the authors hold that the change in density of a crust block is a decisive factor that causes the horizontal movement of the continental crust, while magma activity is an important factor that leads to the change in density of a crust block.  相似文献   
10.
在计算覆盖整个黄晔裂谷200口人工井(包括少部分探井)沉降量的基础上,总结本区二种基本沉降曲线模式。统计出热沉降(St)与初始沉降(Si)之比为0.6,依此为约束条件与大陆岩石圈伸展的地球动力学正演模式进行对比,与简单剪切模式预测的热沉降与初始沉降之比值及几何效应更接近。进一步证实黄骅裂谷以简单剪切机制形成的地球动力学模式更合理,这与著名的以纯剪模式形成的北海伸展盆地不同  相似文献   
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