Poisson-Logistic二元复合极值模型在平台甲板标高设计中的应用     

刘德辅宋艳  李晓冬 《海洋工程》2003,21(4):35-40

考虑到平台所在海区台风出现的频次及其诱发之风、浪、潮、流极端海况联合出现的概率特性，本文推导出Poisson—Logistic二元复合极值模式，并以平台甲板标高进行实例计算。新模式增加了概率模型的物理内涵，解决了Logistic模型阈值选取的任意性。对海洋工程极端海况荷载组合预测具有广泛的应用前景。  相似文献   

Disjunctive Kriging with Hard and Imprecise Data     

Xavier Emery 《Mathematical Geology》2003,35(6):699-718

This paper presents a methodology for assessing local probability distributions by disjunctive kriging when the available data set contains some imprecise measurements, like noisy or soft information or interval constraints. The basic idea consists in replacing the set of imprecise data by a set of pseudohard data simulated from their posterior distribution; an iterative algorithm based on the Gibbs sampler is proposed to achieve such a simulation step. The whole procedure is repeated many times and the final result is the average of the disjunctive kriging estimates computed from each simulated data set. Being data-independent, the kriging weights need to be calculated only once, which enables fast computing. The simulation procedure requires encoding each datum as a pre-posterior distribution and assuming a Markov property to allow the updating of pre-posterior distributions into posterior ones. Although it suffers some imperfections, disjunctive kriging turns out to be a much more flexible approach than conditional expectation, because of the vast class of models that allows its computation, namely isofactorial models.  相似文献   

基于空间公平理论的公共交通服务评价——以深圳市为例     

李博闻  黄正东  蒯希  于溪 《地理科学进展》2021,40(6):958-966

使用空间无关的公平性衡量指数评价公交服务时,会忽视公交服务需求与供给的空间分布特征.为解决此问题,论文提出基于空间公平理论的公交服务评价框架,即通过构建综合基尼系数与莫兰指数的空间公平评价方法,实现整体尺度公交服务评价;通过对分析单元上相对需求与相对供给变量的匹配关系、空间差距进行分析,实现局部尺度公交服务评价,对整体...  相似文献   

面向双/多变量的连续面域拓扑图可视化方法     

李响  王丽娜  张卫东  杨飞  杨振凯 《测绘学报》2019,48(6):756-766

面域拓扑图是一种利用区域面积大小定量表达区域属性信息的可视化方法。由于其区域面积本身已经表示某一变量,因此这更有利于双/多变量的制图表达。针对目前基于面域拓扑图的双/多变量表达方法中存在的难以表达相邻区域之间基本状况和不利于不同地理现象的空间分布规律及差异表达的问题,本文提出一种面向双/多变量的连续面域拓扑图可视化方法。首先通过格网密度补偿和积分步长逐步试探的方法对基于扩散模型的连续面域拓扑图生成算法进行部分优化,完成基本变量的表达,然后分别通过空间内插和符号扩展完成第2和第3变量在连续面域拓扑图中的表达。最后以慕尼黑市人口密度和银行/ATM分布(双变量)数据以及奥格斯堡市人口密度数据、幼儿园分布以及规模数据(多变量)为试验数据进行可视化,并通过实证分析验证了该方法的有效性和优越性。  相似文献   

On the distribution of flood volume in partial duration series analysis of flood phenomena     

V. Choulakian  N. El-Jabi  J. Moussi 《Stochastic Hydrology and Hydraulics》1990,4(3):217-226

A methodology based on the theory of stochastic processes is applied to the analysis of floods. The approach will be based on some results of the theory of extreme values over a threshold. In this paper, we focus on the estimation of the distribution of the flood volume in partial duration series analysis of flood phenomena, by using a bivariate exponential distribution of discharge exceedances and durations over a base level.  相似文献   

Isofactorial models for granulodensimetric data   总被引：1，自引：0，他引：1  

M. Armstrong  G. Matheron 《Mathematical Geology》1986,18(8):743-757

Existing isofactorial models developed for disjunctive kriging using a cutoff grade on one variable are extended to the bivariate case which arises when dealing with granulo-densimetric data, such as are obtained from coal washing or mineral processing.  相似文献   

基于专家经验值的滑坡易发性评价——以四川平武高坪铺库区为例     

张文  白世彪  王建 《地质灾害与环境保护》2010,21(4):20-23,37

滑坡灾害的易发性评价方法和模型有很多,不同的学者又对其进行了不同的改进,形成了不同的方法。究竟哪种方法更好,还需要结合实际进行方法的比较分析。论文应用基于专家经验值的二元统计法分析了四川平武高坪铺库区(约32 km2)高程、岩性、与居民点距离、与河流距离、坡度和坡向6种因素对滑坡灾害影响,并在此基础上进行了滑坡易发性评价。  相似文献   

2000—2019年鄱阳湖生态经济区水源涵养时空变化     

陈竹安  刘子强  危小建  刘明钊 《测绘通报》2022,(8):1-6

水源涵养是生态保护的一个重要方面,对鄱阳湖生态经济区生态保护具有重要意义。本文基于InVEST模型,对鄱阳湖生态经济区2000—2019年产水和水源涵养时空变化进行了分析,并运用空间自相关探究了高程、坡度与水源涵养功能的空间关系。结果表明:①鄱阳湖生态经济区多年平均产水深度为971.04 mm,多年平均水源涵养深度为299.298 mm;②2000—2019年水源涵养深度先上升后下降,变化幅度较大,整体呈上升趋势;③水源涵养功能呈地域分布,重要区和极为重要区主要分布在东部和西北部林地,一般重要区分布在鄱阳湖平原;④水源涵养与高程和坡度呈正相关,高值多出现在高海拔和坡度较大的地区。  相似文献   

A bivariate gamma distribution for use in multivariate flood frequency analysis     

Sheng Yue 《水文研究》2001,15(6):1033-1045

A gamma distribution is one of the most frequently selected distribution types for hydrological frequency analysis. The bivariate gamma distribution with gamma marginals may be useful for analysing multivariate hydrological events. This study investigates the applicability of a bivariate gamma model with five parameters for describing the joint probability behavior of multivariate flood events. The parameters are proposed to be estimated from the marginal distributions by the method of moments. The joint distribution, the conditional distribution, and the associated return periods are derived from marginals. The usefulness of the model is demonstrated by representing the joint probabilistic behaviour between correlated flood peak and flood volume and between correlated flood volume and flood duration in the Madawask River basin in the province of Quebec, Canada. Copyright © 2001 John Wiley & Sons, Ltd.  相似文献   

SECOND-ORDER ANALYSIS OF BIVARIATE POINT PATTERNS     

Richard A. Barff  Dawn E. Hewitt 《The Professional geographer》1989,41(2):183-189

Second-order methods of point pattern analysis have only recently received attention from geographers. This paper demonstrates the use of these methods in a spatial analysis of two interrelated categories of objects in a finite region. Two contrasting methods of analyzing the spatial structure of bivariate point data provide insight into the potential of second-order methods. The first is the conventional “within” group analysis that compares a spatial pattern of points to a Poisson random pattern. The second, a “between” groups analysis, allows a distribution-free investigation of locational interdependencies between two categories of points. The map pattern of a sample of commercial investments in Cincinnati illustrates the utility of this approach.  相似文献