Upscaling of elastic properties for large scale geomechanical simulations     

F. Chalon  M. Mainguy  P. Longuemare  P. Lemonnier 《国际地质力学数值与分析法杂志》2004,28(11):1105-1119

Large scale geomechanical simulations are being increasingly used to model the compaction of stress dependent reservoirs, predict the long term integrity of under‐ground radioactive waste disposals, and analyse the viability of hot‐dry rock geothermal sites. These large scale simulations require the definition of homogenous mechanical properties for each geomechanical cell whereas the rock properties are expected to vary at a smaller scale. Therefore, this paper proposes a new methodology that makes possible to define the equivalent mechanical properties of the geomechanical cells using the fine scale information given in the geological model. This methodology is implemented on a synthetic reservoir case and two upscaling procedures providing the effective elastic properties of the Hooke's law are tested. The first upscaling procedure is an analytical method for perfectly stratified rock mass, whereas the second procedure computes lower and upper bounds of the equivalent properties with no assumption on the small scale heterogeneity distribution. Both procedures are applied to one geomechanical cell extracted from the reservoir structure. The results show that the analytical and numerical upscaling procedures provide accurate estimations of the effective parameters. Furthermore, a large scale simulation using the homogenized properties of each geomechanical cell calculated with the analytical method demonstrates that the overall behaviour of the reservoir structure is well reproduced for two different loading cases. Copyright © 2004 John Wiley & Sons, Ltd.  相似文献   

An evaluation of multi-annual management strategies for ICES roundfish stocks     

Kell  L.T.; Pilling  G.M.; Kirkwood  G.P.; Pastoors  M.A.; Mesnil  B.; Korsbrekke  K.; Abaunza  P.; Aps  R.; Biseau  A.; Kunzlik  P.; Needle  C.L.; Roel  B.A.; Ulrich  C. 《ICES Journal of Marine Science》2006,63(1):12-24

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具有匹配不确定的奇异摄动系统的鲁棒控制   总被引：2，自引：0，他引：2  

高存臣  王宪杰 《中国海洋大学学报(自然科学版)》2004,34(5):918-920

对于同时具有结构匹配不确定和系统不确定量的奇异摄动系统，利用Lyapunov稳定性理论进行了鲁棒性研究。给出了1个理想奇异摄动系统的稳定鲁棒控制也是不确定奇异摄动系统稳定控制的稳定条件和鲁棒界，讨论了鲁棒界及其随参数变化的变化范围。本文是王宪杰，高存臣已有结果的推广。  相似文献   

AN ACCURATE MODEL FOR CALCULATING CORRECTION OF PATH FLEXURE OF SATELLITE SIGNALS     

Li Yanxing  Hu Xinkang  Shuai Ping  Zhang Zhongfu 《大地测量与地球动力学》2003,23(Z1)

1　IntroductionTherefractionoflight electronicsignalpropa gatinginatmospherehasbeenstudiedbymanysci entistsandsomemodelofatmosphericrefractioncorreetionhaveheenestablished ,includingHopfieldSaastamoinen,DavisandMarinimodels[1 ] .Butthesemodelscanbeusedonlytocalculatethecorrec tionfortherefractionduetoatmosphericdensityvariation ,whilethecorrectionfortherefractionduetothesignalpathflexurecannotbecalculated .Hop fieldhasestimatedsignalpathflexureerrorbythemethodofraytracing[2 ] ,butastrictcorr…  相似文献   

一个半线性耦合抛物型方程组爆破解的速率估计     

范萍  李刚  黄瑜 《南京气象学院学报》2008,31(3):441-446

考虑一个方程和非线性边界条件耦合的半线性抛物型方程组,运用Scaling方法、Green函数、Schauder估计等方法,研究该方程组解的爆破速率,并给出非线性反应项和吸收项对爆破速率的影响。  相似文献   

基于EBA模型的中国碳排放稳健性影响因素研究   总被引：3，自引：1，他引：2  

王立平  张海波  刘云 《地理科学》2014,34(1):47-53

依据环境经济学理论,运用极值边界分析（the extreme bounds analysis, EBA）模型,拓展了Kaya恒等式,利用中国30个省际区域2001~2010年的面板数据,实证研究中国省际区域人均碳排放量“稳健性”的影响因素。结果表明,地方财政决算支出、产业结构、能源效率、能源消费结构、能源价格、客运量等6个因素对中国人均碳排放量具有抗干扰的“稳健性”显著影响,并根据实证结论提出了一些政策建议,如调整产业结构,控制高碳产业发展;优化能源消费结构,积极发展新能源和可再生能源;发展循环经济开发清洁技术,提高能源利用效率;提倡低碳生活,提倡低碳生活方式。这些建议为政府制定环境保护与经济发展政策提供经验证据和决策参考。  相似文献   

Truncation of the distribution of ground-motion residuals   总被引：4，自引：3，他引：1  

Fleur O. Strasser  Julian J. Bommer  Norman A. Abrahamson 《Journal of Seismology》2008,12(1):79-105

Recent studies to assess very long-term seismic hazard in the USA and in Europe have highlighted the importance of the upper tail of the ground-motion distribution at the very low annual frequencies of exceedance required by these projects. In particular, the use of an unbounded lognormal distribution to represent the aleatory variability of ground motions leads to very high and potentially unphysical estimates of the expected level of shaking. Current practice in seismic hazard analysis consists of truncating the ground-motion distribution at a fixed number (ε _max) of standard deviations (σ). However, there is a general lack of consensus regarding the truncation level to adopt. This paper investigates whether a physical basis for choosing ε _max can be found, by examining records with large positive residuals from the dataset used to derive one of the ground-motion models of the Next Generation Attenuation (NGA) project. In particular, interpretations of the selected records in terms of causative physical mechanisms are reviewed. This leads to the conclusion that even in well-documented cases, it is not possible to establish a robust correlation between specific physical mechanisms and large values of the residuals, and thus obtain direct physical constraints on ε _max. Alternative approaches based on absolute levels of ground motion and numerical simulations are discussed. However, the choice of ε _max is likely to remain a matter of judgment for the foreseeable future, in view of the large epistemic uncertainties associated with these alternatives. Additional issues arise from the coupling between ε _max and σ, which causes the truncation level in terms of absolute ground motion to be dependent on the predictive equation used. Furthermore, the absolute truncation level implied by ε _max will also be affected if σ is reduced significantly. These factors contribute to rendering a truncation scheme based on a single ε _max value impractical.  相似文献   

关于矩阵方程A~TX+X~TA=B的极小范数解     

刘新国  栾绪国  李谌宽 《中国海洋大学学报(自然科学版)》2001,(6)

作者讨论矩阵方程 ATX+ XTA=B。该方程在 Hamilton力学研究中有用。首先利用L yapunov方程证明了极小 Frobenius范数解的存在性和惟一性。然后用奇异值分解给出了求解最小范数解的一种方法。最后讨论极小范数解的向前扰动分析和最佳向后扰动分析  相似文献   

Identification of critical ground motions for seismic performance assessment of structures   总被引：1，自引：0，他引：1  

Rajesh P. Dhakal  John B. Mander  Naoto Mashiko 《地震工程与结构动力学》2006,35(8):989-1008

A method is established to identify critical earthquake ground motions that are to be used in physical testing or subsequent advanced computational studies to enable seismic performance to be assessed. The ground motion identification procedure consists of: choosing a suitable suite of ground motions and an appropriate intensity measure; selecting a computational tool and modelling the structure accordingly; performing Incremental Dynamic Analysis on a non‐linear model of the structure; interpreting these results into 50th (median) and 90th percentile performance bounds; and identifying the critical ground motions that are close to these defining probabilistic curves at ground motion intensities corresponding to the design basis earthquake and the maximum considered earthquake. An illustrative example of the procedure is given for a reinforced concrete highway bridge pier designed to New Zealand specifications. Pseudodynamic tests and finite element based time history analyses are performed on the pier using three earthquake ground motions identified as: (i) a Design Basis Earthquake (10% probability in 50 years) with 90 percent confidence of non‐exceedance; (ii) a Maximum Considered Event (2% probability in 50 years) representing a median response; and (iii) a Maximum Considered Event representing 90 percent confidence of non‐exceedance. Copyright © 2006 John Wiley & Sons, Ltd.  相似文献   

A new formulation for the stochastic control of systems with bounded state variables: An application to a single reservoir system     

S. G. Fletcher  K. Ponnambalam 《Stochastic Environmental Research and Risk Assessment (SERRA)》1996,10(3):167-186

A new formulation is presented for the analysis of reservoir systems synthesizing concepts from the traditional stochastic theory of reservoir storage, moments analysis and reliability programming. The analysis is based on the development of the first and second moments for the stochastic storage state variable. These expressions include terms for the failure probabilities (probabilities of spill or deficit) and consider the storage bounds explicitly. Using this analysis, expected values of the storage state, variances of storage, optimal release policies and failure probabilities — useful information in the context of reservoir operations and design, can be obtained from a nonlinear programming solution. The solutions developed from studies of single reservoir operations on both an annual and monthly basis, compare favorably with those obtained from simulation. The presentation herein is directed to both traditional reservoir storage theorists who are interested in the design of a reservoir and modern reservoir analysts who are interested in the long term operation of reservoirs.  相似文献