Indonesian aquaculture futures: An analysis of fish supply and demand in Indonesia to 2030 and role of aquaculture using the AsiaFish model     

《Marine Policy》2017

This paper explores the seafood sector in Indonesia, using fish supply-demand modeling, with special focus on the growing role of aquaculture in the country's food portfolio. The paper describes six scenarios for future fish supply–demand dynamics and examines the role of aquaculture growth in fish supply in Indonesia. A business as usual scenario (BAU) assumed exogenous variables of our supply-demand model following historical trends. Five alternative scenarios explored the implications of stagnant capture fisheries; export-oriented growth of aquaculture; domestic-oriented aquaculture growth; slow growth of aquaculture sector; and disease outbreaks to key aquaculture species. The BAU scenario projected that fish supply and demand in Indonesia continues to increase over time and strong aquaculture growth is critical to meet increasing demand for fish. Stagnant capture fisheries resulted in increasing fish prices and decreasing fish consumption. Export-oriented aquaculture growth benefitted fish supply and exports, but also helped lower domestic prices and thus increase consumption. An emphasis on domestic aquaculture commodities increased fish supply, providing best domestic consumption outcomes and lower consumer prices. Slow aquaculture growth reduced fish supply and led to undesirable increases in domestic prices and decreasing domestic consumption as a consequence. Disease outbreaks in shrimp and carp aquaculture resulted in a short-term reduction in aquaculture output and increasing fish prices, lowering fish consumption.  相似文献   

浅析中国石墨资源供需现状及未来需求     

安彤  李建武 《地质论评》2016,62(S1):1-2

随着科学技术的不断发展,石墨产业将逐渐从传统产业转变为战略新兴产业,成为支撑高新技术发展的重要战略资源。中国是石墨储量大国、生产大国、消费大国、出口大国,使得中国在全球具有举足轻重的地位。2010年石墨烯的发现和近年来对石墨烯的广泛探索研究,因其优异的性能使其在电子、航天、光学、能源、环境、新材料等众多领域展现了广阔的应用前景,使得社会对石墨也越来越受到关注。  相似文献