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Bayesian Inference of Spatial Covariance Parameters
Authors:Eulogio Pardo-Igúzquiza
Institution:(1) TAMSAT, Department of Meteorology, The University of Reading, P.O. Box 243, Earley Gate, Reading, RG6 6BB, United Kingdom
Abstract:This paper shows the application of the Bayesian inference approach in estimating spatial covariance parameters. This methodology is particularly valuable where the number of experimental data is small, as occurs frequently in modeling reservoirs in petroleum engineering or when dealing with hydrodynamic variables in groundwater hydrology. There are two main advantages of Bayesian estimation: firstly that the complete distribution of the parameters is estimated and, from this distribution, it is a straightforward procedure to obtain point estimates, confidence regions, and interval estimates; secondly, all the prior information about the parameters (information available before the data are collected) is included in the inference procedure through their prior distribution. The results obtained from simulation studies are discussed.
Keywords:geostatistics  prior distribution  likelihood function  posterior distribution  variogram  covariance  range
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