The application of neural network to the analysis of earthquake precursor chaotic time series |
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| Authors: | LI Qiang |
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| Institution: | (1) Seismological Bureau of Jiangsu Province, 210014 Nanjing, China |
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| Abstract: | Artificial neural network (NN) is such a model as to imitate the structure and intelligence feature of human brain. It has strong nonlinear mapping function. To introduce NN into the study of earthquake prediction is not only an extension of the application of artificial neural network model but also a new try for precursor observation to serve the earthquake prediction. In this paper, we analyzed the predictability of time series and gave a method of application of artificial neural network in forecasting earthquake precursor chaotic time series. Besides, taking the ground tilt observation of Jiangning and Xuzhou Station, the bulk strain observation of Liyang station as examples, we analyzed and forecasted their time series respectively. It is indicated that the precision of this method can meet the needs of practical task and therefore of great value in the application to the future practical earthquake analysis and prediction. |
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| Keywords: | artificial neural network time series precursor observation chaos forecast |
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