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渤海海洋环境治理的演化博弈分析
引用本文:沈娜娜,张祖平.渤海海洋环境治理的演化博弈分析[J].海洋通报,2022(2).
作者姓名:沈娜娜  张祖平
作者单位:上海海洋大学 海洋文化与法律学院, 上海 201306
基金项目:农业农村部长江办课题 (D-802l-20-0068); 长江生态保护基金会课题 (D-8006-20-0050)
摘    要:随着海洋强国战略的提出, 海洋经济进入快速发展期。尽管海洋开发的不断深入带来了巨大的经济效益, 但也造成 了海洋生态环境的不断恶化。本文基于演化博弈分析方法, 首先探究了渤海海洋环境治理面临的问题, 并就其治理的主体 (政府 、企业和公众) 构建演化博弈模型, 进一步分析三者达到均衡点所需要的条件, 最后提出相关主体参与海洋环境治理 的建议。结果显示, 监管成本是影响政府参与监管的主要因素, 企业是否非法排污取决于政府监管效率 、非法排污再治理的 成本、罚款与按照标准排污成本的利益比较, 而公众是否参与监督则取决于监督成本和回报。 因此为了实现渤海海洋环境的 有效治理, 应该降低政府监管成本以提高监管效率, 加大对企业非法排污的惩处力度, 畅通公众投诉渠道。

关 键 词:渤海    海洋环境治理    演化博弈

The evolutionary game analysis of the Bohai sea marine environmental governance
SHEN Nan,ZHANG Zuping.The evolutionary game analysis of the Bohai sea marine environmental governance[J].Marine Science Bulletin,2022(2).
Authors:SHEN Nan  ZHANG Zuping
Institution:College of Marine Culture and Law, shanghai 0cean University, shanghai 20l306, China
Abstract:with the proposal of the maritime power strategy, marine economy has entered a period of rapid development. The continuous deepening of marine development, although has brought huge economic benefits, has also caused the continuous deterioration of the marine ecological environment. Based on the evolutionary game theory, this article first explores the problems faced by the marine environmental governance of the Bohai sea, and constructs an evolutionary game model for the governing bodies (government, enterprises, and the general public). The conditions required for the three to reach an equilibrium point are further analyzed, and the suggestions for relevant entities to participate in marine environmental governance are finally put forward. The results show that the cost is the main factor that affects the government''s participation in supervision. whether a company discharges illegally depends on the comparison among the efficiency of government supervision, the cost of re -treatment of illegal discharge, and fines and standard discharge costs. whether the public participates in supervision depends on the cost and return of supervision. Therefore, in order to achieve effective management of the Bohai sea'' s marine environment, the government should reduce the cost of government supervision to improve supervision efficiency, increase the punishment for enterprises'' illegal pollutant discharge, and unblock public complaint channels.
Keywords:Bohai sea: marine environmental governance: evolutionary game
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