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1.
Dr. Ch. H. Schraff 《Meteorology and Atmospheric Physics》1997,64(1-2):21-50
Summary A number of problems related to mesoscale numerical prediction of low stratus in the Alpine region are formulated, and addressed in a series of experiments for two wintertime cases. These problems include modelling aspects and issues of data assimilation which are relevant particularly in relation to the observation nudging technique. A focus is on the influence of orography.A comparison of operational optimum interpolation, and nudging of routine rawinsonde and surface-level data reveals that nudging often yields better analyses and forecasts of low stratus, and notably of the sharp vertical temperature and humidity gradients. However, the humidity advection scheme of the model and, near steep terrain, particularly the horizontal diffusion along the model's -levels are identified to contribute to spurious vertical smoothing which can result in erroneous cloud dissipation. On occasions, forecasts succeeding a nudging period are more sensitive to this process due to the sharper initial vertical gradients.Specific problems of representiveness arise when low-level rawinsonde information is spread laterally along the sloping -levels from low to high terrain. A new concept for -layer models is introduced by speading the observational information along isentropic surfaces, and this tends to improve the low stratus prediction over steep and even moderate orography. A partly successful attempt to take advantage of the steep Alpine orography is made by applying this concept to surface-level humidity data from a high-resolution network of Alpine surface stations which are distributed relatively uniformly in the vertical.With 19 Figures 相似文献
2.
利用2005—2011年10次春季黄海海雾个例开展WRF模式参数化方案敏感性研究。结果表明:边界层方案对WRF模式雾区模拟结果起决定作用,而微物理方案影响较小,它主要影响海雾浓度和高度。边界层与微物理方案的最佳组合为YSU与Lin方案,最差为Mellor-Yamada与WSM5方案;Mellor-Yamada和QNSE方案模拟的近海面湍流过强,导致边界层过高,不利于海雾的发展与维持;而MYNN与YSU方案刻画的湍流强度与边界层高度合适,有利于海雾发展与维持。MYNN方案虽与YSU方案相当,但在大多数海雾个例中,后者明显优于前者,而在有些个例中却刚好相反。因此对于某一具体海雾个例而言,所用边界层方案仍需在它们之中选择最优者。这些信息可为黄海海雾WRF模式边界层与微物理方案的选择与改进提供参考。 相似文献
3.
为了比较不同长、短波辐射参数化方案对江苏省大雾过程的模拟效果,本文利用WRF模式,通过设计不同长、短波辐射参数化方案,对江苏省2015年5月18—21日和12月20—21日2次典型大雾过程进行了数值模拟,讨论了模式中不同长、短波辐射参数化方案对江苏省大雾过程的模拟影响。采用平均绝对误差(MAR)、均方根误差(RMSE)、皮尔逊相关系数(r)及中国气象局颁布的雾区预报规定,评价得到不同条件的最优模拟方案。结果表明:(1)热力条件与水汽条件,模拟最优方案为长波GFDL方案与短波RRTMG方案组合。(2)动力条件,最优辐射参数化方案组合为CAM方案与FLG方案组合。(3)雾区的模拟,效果最好的方案为长波GFDL方案与短波RRTMG方案的组合。 相似文献
4.
A method is presented for fog and low stratus detection from daytime satellite imagery based on Meteosat 8 SEVIRI (Spinning-Enhanced Visible and Infra-Red Imager) data. With its excellent spatial, spectral and temporal resolutions, this imagery is an ideal basis for operational fog monitoring. The scheme utilizes a range of pixel-based and novel object-oriented techniques to separate fog and low stratus clouds from other cloud types. Fog and low stratus are identified by a number of tests which explicitly and implicitly address fog/low stratus spectral, spatial and microphysical properties. The scheme's performance is evaluated using ground-based measurements of cloud height over Europe. The algorithm is found to detect low clouds very accurately, with probabilities of detection (POD) ranging from 0.632 to 0.834 (for different inter-comparison approaches), and false alarm ratios (FAR) between 0.059 and 0.021. The retrieval of sub-pixel and temporal effects remain issues for further investigation. 相似文献
5.
K. YA. Kondratyev V. G. Bondarenko V. I. Khvorostyanov 《Boundary-Layer Meteorology》1992,61(3):265-285
A 3-D mesoscale numerical model of cloud formation, fog, and aerosol transport in an orographically inhomogeneous atmospheric boundary layer (ABL) has been considered. Streamlining of the flow around isolated obstacles in steady-state stratified flow has been studied. An account of radiation transfer in the ABL has made it possible to analyze the combined effect of orography and radiation on the formation of fog and cloud, to analyze the interaction between radiation and cloudiness, as well as their effect on the change of mesoscale circulation in the atmosphere and on variations in the optical characteristics of the atmosphere. The transport of aerosols from various sources has been modelled. The impact of orography, cloudiness and atmospheric stratification, governed by the radiative regime of the ABL, on the propagation of admixtures and surface deposition has been studied. The atmospheric aerosol turbidity in zones of intensive industrial pollution has been assessed. 相似文献
6.
A numerical model is developed to simulate convective stratus cloud formation over the sea. The model is based on quasi-steady state moist plumes advecting over an area of increasing sea-surface temperature with the sea warmer than the air, but it is also a good approximation for non-steady states whenever the model is matched to air-sea temperature differences. Combining the effects of upward transfer of heat and moisture fluxes as well as adiabatic cooling, stratus cloud forms and spreads downward in this field. The depth of the convective field, the sea surface temperature gradient, the liquid water content at cloud top, and the horizontal pressure gradient are the four controlling parameters for the convective field. Alternatively, the wind speed, air-sea temperature difference, and the mixing ratio of the air, derived variables in this treatment, can be taken, with the depth, as the basic parameters.The entity type of convective model used here has the advantage that it models the transport and modification of air parcels and hence provides a method for studying drop size development in stratus clouds. It also uses relationships derived from water tank experiments with plumes and tested in dry convection and so needs no parameters specific to each situation. Its most important feature, however, is that the mean motion of plumes, rather than turbulent diffusion, transports the moisture.The upward growth and erosion of a temperature step increase to produce an inversion can be attributed to liquid water present in haze drops or cloud drops, rather than to turbulent diffusion. Radiative transfer is not a necessary requirement, but may either enhance or slow down the process. 相似文献
7.
The transition mechanism of stratus cloud into warm sea fog over the Yellow Sea near the western coastal area of the Korean Peninsula is investigated using numerical simulation with a 1D turbulence model, PAFOG, coupled with a 3D regional model, WRF. The coupled model system was run in the two approaches, Eulerian and Lagrangian. For the selected warm sea fog case, the model results in the Eulerian approach showed that the bottom of the stratus cloud was lowered by cooling of the air just below the cloud base by turbulent heat loss. The Lagrangian approach showed the lowering of the stratus cloud top, owing to the evaporation of cloud droplets in this region by the entrainment of warm and dry air above the cloud top. The sensitivity test to SST indicated that the timing of water vapor saturation just below the cloud base depended on the magnitude of the turbulent heat flux from the sea surface. The subsidence rate was found to be important: when the subsidence rate was set to be half of the prescribed value, neither the lowering of the stratus cloud top nor the bottom occurred and the model could not produce a fog. 相似文献
8.
Large-Eddy Simulation of the Daytime Boundary Layer in an Idealized Valley Using the Weather Research and Forecasting Numerical Model 总被引：1，自引：1，他引：0
A three-dimensional numerical meteorological model is used to perform large-eddy simulations of the upslope flow circulation
over a periodic ridge-valley terrain. The subgrid-scale quantities are modelled using a prognostic turbulence kinetic energy
(TKE) scheme, with a grid that has a constant horizontal resolution of 50 m and is stretched along the vertical direction.
To account for the grid anisotropy, a modified subgrid length scale is used. To allow for the response of the surface fluxes
to the valley-flow circulation, the soil surface temperature is imposed and the surface heat and momentum fluxes are computed
based on Monin–Obukhov similarity theory. The model is designed with a symmetrical geometry using periodic boundary conditions
in both the x and y directions. Two cases are simulated to study the influence of along-valley geostrophic wind forcing with different intensities.
The presence of the orography introduces numerous complexities both in the mean properties of the flow and in the turbulent
features, even for the idealized symmetric geometry. Classical definitions for the height of the planetary boundary layer
(PBL) are revisited and redefined to capture the complex structure of the boundary layer. Analysis of first- and second-moment
statistics, along with TKE budget, highlights the different structure of the PBL at different regions of the domain. 相似文献
9.
利用中尺度模式MM5（The Fifth—Generation NCAR／Penn State Mesoscale Model）对山西省2009年发生的3场典型雾个例进行了数值模拟,探讨了物理过程参数化方案对雾数值模拟的影响,确定了基于模式模拟数据的雾判别指标,为该地区大雾数值预报系统的研制提供了理论基础。结果表明,综合考虑边界层方案和辐射方案对地表温度、高空温度、2m温度及相对湿度、10m风速、雾的空间分布、雾的生消过程、雾的发展高度等要素数值模拟的影响,边界层方案选用high-resolution planetary boundary layers cheme（HIR）方案、辐射方案选用Cloud方案时,雾数值模拟的结果与实况更为一致。综合分析多个典型雾个例的模拟结果,山西省境内雾的预报指标为：20m液态水含量为0．13～0．6g·kg^（-1）,20～1500m高度大气层存在逆温层,10m风速小于4m·s^（-1）。 相似文献
10.
本文利用WRF(Weather Research and Forecasting)模式的不同云微物理方案对2009年6月14日发生在华东地区的一次飑线过程进行1 km的高分辨率模拟,探讨不同云微物理方案对飑线模拟的影响。结果表明:双参数方案的模拟效果总体上优于单参数方案,其中WDM6方案模拟效果最佳,能够较好的模拟出强对流回波区、层云区的主要特征。在单参数方案中以WSM6方案最优。Kessler和LIN方案模拟飑线的回波范围偏小,强度偏弱。进一步对比热力和动力场发现,WDM6方案模拟的冷池的面积最大,强度最强,气压最高,飑线前部的入流处风速最大。不同云微物理方案对微物理场的影响较明显,相比单参数方案,双参数方案模拟的水凝物混合比更高,且能够模拟粒子数浓度,更准确地描述了云中的各类粒子特征。 相似文献
11.
Characteristics of the Boundary Layer Structure of Sea Fog on the Coast of Southern China 总被引：2，自引：0，他引：2
Using boundary layer data with regard to sea fog observed at the Science Experiment Base for Marine Meteorology at Bohe,Guangdong Province,the structure of the atmospheric boundary layer and the characteristics of the tops of the fog and the clouds were analyzed.In addition,the effects of advection,radiation,and turbulence during sea fog were also investigated.According to the stability definition of saturated,wet air,the gradient of the potential pseudo-equivalent temperature equal to zero was defined as the thermal turbulence interface.There is evidence to suggest that two layers of turbulence exist in sea fog.Thermal turbulence produced by long-wave radiation is prevalent above the thermal turbulence interface,whereas mechanical turbulence aroused by wind shear is predominant below the interface.The height of the thermal turbulence interface was observed between 180 m and 380 m.Three important factors are closely related to the development of the top of the sea fog:(1) the horizontal advection of the water vapor,(2) the long-wave radiation of the fog top,and(3) the movement of the vertical turbulence.Formation,development,and dissipation are the three possible phases of the evolution of the boundary-layer structure during the sea fog season.In addition,the thermal turbulence interface is the most significant turbulence interface during the formation and development periods;it is maintained after sea fog rises into the stratus layer. 相似文献
12.
FAN Qi WANG Anyu FAN Shaoii WU Dui DENG Xuejiao LIU Yingwei 《Acta Meteorologica Sinica》2003,17(3):337-349
Now more comprehensive cloud microphysical processes have been included in advanced three-dimensional mesoscale meteorological model such as PSU/NCAR MM5 model,so the model can be used in the prediction of fog.In this paper,MM5 was utilized to simulate an advection fog occurring in Nanling Mountain area.The simulated results were compared with the facts obtained by detailed observation experiment.The results showed that the simulation was successful in the following aspects:(1)the formation and development of the fog;(2)the temporal variation of the maximum liquid water content;(3)the diffusion of the cold air,especially the temporal variation of the ground temperature;and (4)the uplift of the air and the formation and development of the low-lever inversion.Besides,we did some sensitivity numerical experiments and discussed the effects of the radiation,the release of condensation latent heat and the change of soil moisture and temperature on the formation and development of fog.The success of numerical simulation experiment of fog has proved that the numerical forecasting of fog is promising. 相似文献
13.
Enrico Ferrero Stefano Alessandrini Francois Vandenberghe 《Boundary-Layer Meteorology》2018,168(2):289-319
We tested several planetary-boundary-layer (PBL) schemes available in the Weather Research and Forecasting (WRF) model against measured wind speed and direction, temperature and turbulent kinetic energy (TKE) at three levels (5, 9, 25 m). The Urban Turbulence Project dataset, gathered from the outskirts of Turin, Italy and used for the comparison, provides measurements made by sonic anemometers for more than 1 year. In contrast to other similar studies, which have mainly focused on short-time periods, we considered 2 months of measurements (January and July) representing both the seasonal and the daily variabilities. To understand how the WRF-model PBL schemes perform in an urban environment, often characterized by low wind-speed conditions, we first compared six PBL schemes against observations taken by the highest anemometer located in the inertial sub-layer. The availability of the TKE measurements allows us to directly evaluate the performances of the model; results of the model evaluation are presented in terms of quantile versus quantile plots and statistical indices. Secondly, we considered WRF-model PBL schemes that can be coupled to the urban-surface exchange parametrizations and compared the simulation results with measurements from the two lower anemometers located inside the canopy layer. We find that the PBL schemes accounting for TKE are more accurate and the model representation of the roughness sub-layer improves when the urban model is coupled to each PBL scheme. 相似文献
14.
In the application of the physical iterative method to retrieve millimeter-wave radar liquid water content(LWC) and liquid water path(LWP), particle parameter scheme is the main factor affecting retrieval performance. In this paper, synchronous measurements of an airborne millimeter-wave radar and a hot-wire probe in stratus cloud are used to compare the LWC retrievals of the oceanic and continental particle parameter scheme with diameter less than 50μm and the particle parameter scheme with diameter less than 500μm and 1500μm(scheme 1, scheme 2, scheme 3, and scheme4, respectively). The results show that the particle parameter scheme needs to be selected according to the reflectivity factor when using the physical iterative method to retrieve the LWC and LWP. When the reflectivity factor is less than-30 d BZ, the retrieval error of scheme 1 is the minimum. When the reflectivity factor is greater than-30 d BZ, the retrieval error of scheme 4 is the minimum. Based on the reflectance factor value, the LWP retrievals of scheme 4 are closer to the measurements, the average relative bias is 5.2%, and the minimum relative bias is 4.4 %. Compared with other schemes,scheme 4 seems to be more useful for the LWC and LWP retrieval of stratus cloud in China. 相似文献
15.
为了提高边界层参数化在我国复杂下垫面上的描述能力,改善边界层能量和物质输送计算和检验其数值模拟效果,本文选取WRF三维模式,采用基于我国不同下垫面上的边界层观测资料改进的新MYNN（Mellor-Yamada-Nakanishi-Niino）参数化方案对2009年3月17日黄海海雾以及2011年12月4日华北地区两次大雾过程进行模拟检验,探讨边界层参数化方案对雾和边界层结构模拟的影响。参照卫星云图和探空资料,边界层内云水混合比垂直积分的水平分布的模拟能力明显提高,反映了改进的MYNN方案能够更好地模拟出两次雾过程的发生、移动和雾区空间分布,更精确的云水混合比和温度的垂直分布能更好地给出雾区的垂直结构和稳定层结,同时可改善雾区低层位温以及比湿垂直分布的模拟。 相似文献
16.
利用毫米波云雷达、微波辐射计联合反演方法,对2015年11月11日安徽寿县的一次层状云过程的云参数进行了反演,将所得云参数加入到SBDART辐射传输模式中,进行辐射通量计算,并将计算的地面辐射通量与观测的地面辐射通量进行了对比分析。研究表明:1)利用毫米波雷达和微波辐射计数据联合反演的云参数比较可靠;2)利用SBDART模式并结合反演的云参数,可以准确实时地计算地面及其他高度层的长短波辐射通量;3)在反演的云参数中,光学厚度对地面各种辐射通量的影响是最大的,云层的光学厚度越大,到达地面的太阳短波辐射越小,地面反射短波辐射也越小。另外云底温度越高,云体向下发射的红外长波辐射越大。地面向上的长波辐射是地面温度的普朗克函数,随地面温度而变;4)云对地面的短波辐射强迫为负值,对地面有降温的作用。云对地面的长波辐射强迫是一个正值,对地面有一个增温的作用;5)云对地面的净辐射强迫随时间变化很大,它的正负与太阳高度角和云参数有关。 相似文献
17.
大气边界层湍流运动是地球大气运动最重要的能量输送过程之一.当数值模式分辨率接近活跃含能湍涡长度尺度时,湍流运动被部分解析,被称为"灰色区域",传统的边界层方案不适合此时模式湍流问题的描述.为了提高模式边界层方案在包括"灰色区域"的不同网格尺度上的描述能力,适应不同分辨率模式的需要,在雷诺平均湍流理论基础上,修正Mell... 相似文献
18.
为评估CWRF模式的降尺度能力和其热带气旋模拟对物理参数化方案的敏感性,本文利用ERI再分析资料驱动CWRF在30km网格上对1982-2016年中国近海热带气旋开展了一次集合模拟.结果表明:CWRF与ERI均能模拟出热带气旋的季节变化和年际变化形势且均存在低估,但相较ERI,CWRF的降尺度技术和集合模拟可以再现更多的热带气旋,显著减少低估.年际变化结果提升最为明显,它对积云方案最为敏感,其次是边界层,陆面和辐射方案,对云和微物理方案较弱.该研究为应用CWRF理解和预报热带气旋提供了参考. 相似文献
19.
气溶胶与云的垂直分布特征是气溶胶间接气候效应关注的重点。基于2018年7—8月华北中部6架次飞机观测数据,研究气溶胶和云滴的垂直和水平分布特征。结果表明:华北中部780~5687 m高度内气溶胶数浓度( Na )平均值为821.36 cm-3,最大量级可达到104 cm-3,云中气溶胶数浓度(Nacc)占总颗粒浓度的80%以上,表明细颗粒占大多数,气溶胶粒子算术平均直径( Dm )平均值为0.12~0.52 μm;大气层结对气溶胶垂直分布影响较大,逆温阻挡气溶胶垂直输送,高空(高度2000 m以上) Dm 的垂直分布受到相对湿度影响较大; Na 和 Dm 在垂直方向波动较大,水平方向波动较小;低层云中云滴数浓度(Nc)较大、液态水含量(L)较小,而中层和高层云中Nc较小、L较大,Nc和云滴有效半径(Re)的概率密度函数均为双峰型分布,L的概率密度函数为单峰型分布;气溶胶数浓度谱基本呈现多峰型分布,而云滴数浓度谱多呈现单峰型分布。 相似文献
20.
Low visibility episodes (visibility < 1000 m) were studied by applying the anomaly-based weather analysis method. A regional episode of low visibility associated with a coastal fog that occurred from 27 to 28 January 2016 over Ningbo-Zhoushan Port, Zhejiang Province, East China, was first examined. Some basic features from the anomalous weather analysis for this case were identified: (1) the process of low visibility mainly caused by coastal fog was a direct response to anomalous temperature inversion in the lower troposphere, with a warm center around the 925 hPa level, which was formed by a positive geopotential height (GPH) anomaly in the upper troposphere and a negative GPH anomaly near the surface; (2) the positive humidity anomaly was conducive to the formation of coastal fog and rain; (3) regional coastal fog formed at the moment when the southwesterly wind anomalies transferred to northeasterly wind anomalies. Other cases confirmed that the low visibility associated with coastal fog depends upon low-level inversion, a positive humidity anomaly, and a change of wind anomalies from southwesterly to northeasterly, rain and stratus cloud amount. The correlation coefficients of six-hourly inversion, 850?925-hPa-averaged temperature, GPH and humidity anomalies against visibility are ?0.31, 0.40 and ?0.48, respectively, reaching the 99% confidence level in the first half-years of 2015 and 2016. By applying the anomaly-based weather analysis method to medium-range model output products, such as ensemble prediction systems, the anomalous temperature?pressure pattern and humidity?wind pattern can be used to predict the process of low visibility associated with coastal fog at several days in advance. 相似文献