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丽江7.0级地震前地震活动特征 总被引:2,自引:1,他引:2
本论述了丽江7.0级地震前地震活动条带、能量释放加速、复发周期时间扫描、剪切应力值异常等地震活动性的中长期背景异常和b值、缺震、振幅比、剪切应力场地动态分布、地震窗等短期异常。 相似文献
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各类地震前兆异常群体信息熵与地震的关系 总被引:6,自引:0,他引:6
本文利用“专家系统”的思想对和地震前兆异常事件进行综合评估,以每一异常的最可能发震时间来计算发震概率,利用各类地震前兆常群体信息熵研究了系统熵值与地震的关系,研究表明,在震前熵值减少,系统向有序方向发展。对山东和山西地区的各类地震前兆异常群体信息熵研究表明,在泽5.9级和大同-阳离6.1级地震前,都出现了明显的减熵有序变化。 相似文献
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定义了地震活动模糊熵概念,计算了唐山地震前地震活动模糊熵随时间,空间的变化,发现唐山Ms7.8地震发生前,地震活动模糊熵值下降,唐山Ms7.8地震发生在地震活动模糊熵值较低的地方,这符合大地震前震源区地震活动从无序趋向有序的规律,地震活动模糊熵反模糊因子与震群活动熵统一起来,比震群活动熵更突出地反映地震活动异常。 相似文献
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青海昆仑山口西8.1级地震前的尾波持续时间和地震频次 总被引:1,自引:0,他引:1
2001年11月14日青海省昆仑山口西发生了8.1级大地震,震后,分析了青海省大武地震台尾波持续时间、门源地震台记录的地震频次,发现昆仑山口西8.1级地震前大武地震台的尾波持续时间明显存在低值异常、门源地震台观测到的地震频次出现了高值异常。得出青海昆仑山口西8.1级地震前有地震月频次高值异常,地震发生在尾波低值异常期的结论。 相似文献
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利用西安数字地震遥测台网记录的数字地震资料,采用P波初动半周期残差法求得了1998年7月临猗5.0级地震前后不同路径的Q值变化,发现在地震发生前Q在87~203之间,震后Q在67~164之间,震前震中区附近出现了明显的高Q值异常。结果表明,地震前的高Q值异常可以作为地震预测的一种手段。 相似文献
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讨论了川西几次中强震前地震活动性标度值H的时空变化特征,认为强震前1-2年有高H值异常,H值的空间分布与地质构造,地震带、强震孕育过程等有关,我们用罗兰格等推导的公式对川西几次强震前区域地震活动性标度进行了研究,发现炉霍7.6级。松-平7.2级,盐源6.7级等地震前H值有由低转高增强再发震的特征,空间扫描结果发现1976年8月16日松-平7.2级地震前地震活动性标度值H有成片增长的过程。 相似文献
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Liu Pu-xiong Zheng Da-lin Che Shi Pan Huai-wen Liu Gui-ping Yang Li-ming 《地震学报(英文版)》2003,16(2):219-225
A great earthquake of M
S=8.1 took place in the west of Kunlun Pass on November 14, 2001. The epicenter is located at 36.2°N and 90.9°E. The analysis
shows that some main precursory seismic patterns appear before the great earthquake, e.g., seismic gap, seismic band, increased activity, seismicity quiet and swarm activity. The evolution of the seismic patterns
before the earthquake of M
S=8.1 exhibits a course very similar to that found for earthquake cases with M
S≥7. The difference is that anomalous seismicity before the earthquake of M
S=8.1 involves in the larger area coverage and higher seismic magnitude. This provides an evidence for recognizing precursor
and forecasting of very large earthquake. Finally, we review the rough prediction of the great earthquake and discuss some
problems related to the prediction of great earthquakes. 相似文献
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2022年1月8日青海省海北州门源县发生MS6.9地震,震中距离2016年1月21日门源MS6.4地震震中约33km,两次门源地震均发生在冷龙岭断裂附近,但在震源机制、主发震断层破裂过程及地震序列余震活动等方面显著不同。针对两次门源地震序列的比较分析,对研究冷龙岭断裂及其附近区域强震序列和余震衰减特征等具有重要研究意义。通过对比分析2022年门源MS6.9地震和2016年门源MS6.4地震余震的时空演化特征,发现二者在震源过程和断层破裂尺度上存在明显差异,前者发震断层破裂充分,震后能量释放充分,余震丰富且震级偏高;而后者发震断层未破裂至地表,余震震级水平偏低。综合分析两次门源地震序列表现出来的差异性,认为其可能与地震发震断层的破裂过程密切相关,且同时受到区域构造环境的影响。 相似文献
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The characteristics of spatio-temporal seismicity evolution before the Wenchuan earthquake are studied. The results mainly involve in the trend abnormal features and its relation to the Wenchuan earthquake. The western Chinese mainland and its adjacent area has been in the seismically active period since 2001, while the seismic activity shows the obvious quiescence of M≥?7.0, M≥?6.0 and M?≥5.0 earthquakes in Chinese mainland. A quiescence area with M?≥7.0 has been formed in the middle of the North-South seismic zone since 1988, and the Wenchuan earthquake occurred just within this area. There are a background seismicity gap of M?≥5.0 earthquakes and a seismogenic gap of ML?≥4.0 earthquakes in the area of Longmenshan fault zone and its vicinity prior to the Wenchuan earthquake. The seismic activity obviously strengthened and a doughnut-shape pattern of M?≥4.6 earthquakes is formed in the middle and southern part of the North-South seismic zone after the 2003 Dayao, Yunnan, earthquake. Sichuan and its vicinity in the middle of the doughnut-shape pattern show abnormal quiescence. At the same time, the seismicity of earthquake swarms is significant and shows heterogeneity in the temporal and spatial process. A swarm gap appears in the M4.6 seismically quiet area, and the Wenchuan earthquake occurred just on the margin of the gap. In addition, in the short term before the Wenchuan earthquake, the quiescence of earthquake with ML≥?4.0 appears in Qinghai-Tibet block and a seismic belt of ML?≥3.0 earthquakes, with NW striking and oblique with Longmenshan fault zone, is formed. 相似文献
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The G-R relation lgN=a-bM (1954) is an empirical formula used widely in the seismicity research. But the linearity of b curves has great difference in different time and space domains. An interested question in this paper is that in how large
a space-time-strength domain the b value has certain physical connotation. This study told us that we can get optimal statistical results of b value in those space-time domains which can develop correspondent strong shocks with magnitude interval (M
s≥8.5, 8.0≤M
s<8.5, 7.0≤M
s<8.0). Thus, the possible seismogenic areas in which strong shocks with different magnitude intervals develop can be inferred
in different regions of the mainland of China. Finally, some new problems are proposed, such as the delimitation of seismic
province, the seismicity parameter determination in seismic hazard analysis and in earthquake predictions by using b value.
Contribution No. 96A-0074, Institute of Geophysics, SSB, China. 相似文献
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中强地震发生后,地震检测因受到尾波的干扰可能会遗漏部分微震事件,影响地震目录的完备性。文章利用波形模板匹配方法对2020年新疆伽师MS6.4地震序列开展微震检测,相比原始的中国地震台网中心统一地震目录,新检测出1 756个微震事件,地震数量增加了1.3倍。基于检测后的余震目录计算最小完备震级为ML1.2,地震活动性b值为0.76,较原始目录的ML1.6和0.77均有所降低。通过伽师震源区地震序列活动特征分析,结果表明前震序列在主震前短时间内(前36小时)出现地震活动的密集增强,相应的b值显示为低值;主震发生后地震序列完备震级较高,随着时间的推移,完备震级缓慢降低并趋于稳定,并且呈周期性的波动。本研究提高了伽师震源区地震目录的完备性,为精细化描述该地区地震序列时空演化特征提供了关键数据基础。 相似文献
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A nonlinear magnitude frequency equation has been derived in this paper on the assumption that all seismicity systems hold
fractal characteristics, and according to the differences of relevant coefficients in the equation, seismicity systems are
classified into two types: type I, the whole earthquake activity is controlled by only one great unified system; type II,
the whole earthquake activity is controlled by more than one great system. One type of seismicity system may convert to the
other type, generally. For example, a type I system will change to a type II system prior to the occurrence of a strong earthquake
in North China. This change can be regarded as an index for earthquake trend estimation. In addition, the difference between
b value in nonlinear magnitude frequency equation and that in linear equation and the term dΔM related to the coefficients of nonlinear terms obtained in this paper are proved to be a pair of available parameters for
medium short term earthquake prediction. 相似文献
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总结了对 1 996年 2月 3日云南丽江 7级地震的中短期监视及跟踪预报过程 .根据川滇地区地震活动特征和可公度性计算结果 ,在该次地震前对地震大形势进行了预测 .1 995年 1 0月以后 ,滇西北地区出现了大面积、大幅度、多手段的同步异常 ,其中以水氡、水位和CO2 异常为主 ,沿中甸─南涧地震区分布较为集中 .根据上述异常特征及异常分布情况 ,作者在该次地震前 2个月向大理州政府提出了书面预报意见 ,认为 1 996年 2月底以前在中甸─丽江─剑川─华坪一带有可能发生 5~ 6级地震 . 相似文献
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Kiran Kumar Singh Thingbaijam Sankar Kumar Nath Abhimanyu Yadav Abhishek Raj M. Yanger Walling William Kumar Mohanty 《Journal of Seismology》2008,12(1):107-123
Recent seismicity in the northeast India and its adjoining region exhibits different earthquake mechanisms – predominantly
thrust faulting on the eastern boundary, normal faulting in the upper Himalaya, and strike slip in the remaining areas. A
homogenized catalogue in moment magnitude, M
W, covering a period from 1906 to 2006 is derived from International Seismological Center (ISC) catalogue, and Global Centroid
Moment Tensor (GCMT) database. Owing to significant and stable earthquake recordings as seen from 1964 onwards, the seismicity
in the region is analyzed for the period with spatial distribution of magnitude of completeness m
t, b value, a value, and correlation fractal dimension D
C. The estimated value of m
t is found to vary between 4.0 and 4.8. The a value is seen to vary from 4.47 to 8.59 while b value ranges from 0.61 to 1.36. Thrust zones are seen to exhibit predominantly lower b value distribution while strike-slip and normal faulting regimes are associated with moderate to higher b value distribution. D
C is found to vary from 0.70 to 1.66. Although the correlation between spatial distribution of b value and D
C is seen predominantly negative, positive correlations can also be observed in some parts of this territory. A major observation
is the strikingly negative correlation with low b value in the eastern boundary thrust region implying a possible case of extending asperity. Incidentally, application of
box counting method on fault segments of the study region indicates comparatively higher fractal dimension, D, suggesting an inclination towards a planar geometrical coverage in the 2D spatial extent. Finally, four broad seismic source
zones are demarcated based on the estimated spatial seismicity patterns in collaboration with the underlying active fault
networks. The present work appraises the seismicity scenario in fulfillment of a basic groundwork for seismic hazard assessment
in this earthquake province of the country. 相似文献