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1.
为了能真实地模拟干旱、半干旱地区以及湿润地区的陆面与大气之间的能量和物质交换,发展了一个具有普适性的南京气象学院(NIM)陆面过程(LSP)模式.该模式是由等温植被参数化方案和本文建立的土壤模式所组成.土壤模式又分为五层模式和两层模式两种.利用1979年5～8月"青藏高原气象科学实验"资料作验证,同时将五层模式与Deardorff(1978)陆面模式、两层模式作了对比,结果表明五层土壤模式的模拟效果较好,它比Deardorff模式优越,也比两层土壤模式模拟效果稍好一些. 相似文献
2.
利用1979—2005年OAFlux (Objectively Analyzed air-sea Fluxes) 观测资料以及CMIP5的15个耦合模式的模拟结果,评估了BCC_CSM1.1(m) 模式对热带太平洋年平均潜热通量气候态和变化趋势的模拟能力,并分析造成趋势偏差的可能原因。结果表明:BCC_CSM1.1(m) 模式模拟热带太平洋年平均潜热通量气候态在各纬度上差异较大, 其中在赤道的模拟能力较佳,而在10°N和8°S附近模拟偏差较大;BCC_CSM1.1(m) 模式对热带太平洋年平均潜热通量趋势的模拟能力一般,造成趋势偏差的主要原因是该模式低估了风速对潜热通量的局地贡献以及它对风速的非局地贡献的模拟存在较大偏差。此外,该模式未能较好地模拟出风速对全球变暖响应。因此,BCC_CSM1.1(m) 模式对热带太平洋年平均潜热通量趋势模拟的改进需加强其对风速模拟的改进。 相似文献
3.
人为热排放的引入对北京地区精细模拟的改进 总被引：1，自引：0，他引：1
将人为热排放纳入到已耦合城市模块Urban Canopy Model(UCM)的中尺度气象模式Weather Research and Forecasting(WRF)中,探讨了人为热排放对于北京地区精细化模拟的重要意义,其影响主要体现在以下几个方面:1)可有效改善气象要素的模拟效果,特别是对于大气边界层高度的显著性改善,该变量是控制空气质量模式中污染物垂直扩散的关键因子;2)可较好地再现城区流场及温度场,使热岛强度和中心配置更接近实况;3)可明显改善数值模式对于污染物垂直分布特征的模拟。 相似文献
4.
微物理过程分档处理的三维对流云模式研究 总被引：2，自引：0，他引：2
在三维完全弹性冰雹云参数化模式动力框架和二维面对称分档模式(微物理过程分档处理)的基础上,建立粒子全分档的三维对流云分档模式.利用建立的分档模式对2000年6月29日美国堪萨斯州的一次超级单体风暴进行了模拟,并将模拟结果与三维冰雹云参数化模式的模拟结果作了对比.结果表明:分档模式可以较好地模拟出强对流云中两支上升气流,模拟得到的最大上升气流速度大于参数化模式;分档模式模拟得到的雷达回波强度、顶高和回波宽度更接近实测. 相似文献
5.
为验证德国汉堡大学所开发的三维陆架模式HAMSOM(Hamburg Shelf Ocean Model)对渤海海域气旋风暴潮模拟的可行性和准确度, 并对不同来源气象数据的模拟结果进行比较, 分别使用T213和NCEP资料的风场和气压场数据, 运用HAM SOM模式对2007年3月4—5日发生在渤海和黄海北部的气旋风暴潮增水过程进行了数值模拟。模拟结果较好地反映出烟台、威海两站风暴潮增水过程的水位变化, 较准确地模拟出风暴潮在渤海、黄海北部的增水过程, 且T213资料比NCEP资料的模拟结果更接近实况, 该模式对研究和模拟渤海气旋风暴潮比较适用。 相似文献
6.
基于国际耦合模式比较计划第五阶段(CMIP5)历史试验(historical)的输出结果,评估了26个耦合模式对北极涛动(AO)的模拟能力。对各模式逐月AO指数序列的功率谱分析表明,有23个模式能够模拟出AO模态无显著变化周期的特征。这些模式也能够较好地再现冬季AO在海平面气压场上的主要分布特征,但均高估了AO模态的强度。对于伴随着冬季AO位相变化而出现的中高纬度偶极型的纬向平均纬向风异常,CMIP5中只有一些模式有较好的模拟表现,大多数模式对其中心位置和强度的模拟存在明显不足。对比之下,MPI-ESM-P对AO时空特征的模拟更接近观测结果。 相似文献
7.
利用NOAH(The Community Noah Land Surface Model)、SHAW(Simultaneous Heat and Water)和CLM(Community Land Model)3个不同的陆面过程模式及兰州大学(Semi-Arid Climate Observatory and Laboratory,SACOL)2007年的观测资料,对黄土高原半干旱区的陆面过程进行了模拟研究。通过与观测值间的对比,考察不同陆面过程模式在半干旱区的适用性。研究结果表明:3个模式在半干旱区的模拟性能有较大差异。其中,CLM模式模拟的20 cm以上的浅层土壤温度最优,SHAW模式模拟的深层土壤温度最优;SHAW模式模拟的土壤含水量与观测值最为接近,而NOAH和CLM模式模拟值有较大偏差;3个模式均能较好地模拟地表反射辐射,其中SHAW模式模拟值与观测值的偏差最小;对地表长波辐射的模拟,CLM模式的模拟最优;3个模式均能较好地反映感热、潜热通量的变化趋势,其中CLM模式对感热的模拟性能优于其他两个模式,在有降水发生后的湿润条件下,CLM模式对潜热的模拟性能最优,而无降水的干燥条件下,CLM模式的模拟偏差最大,NOAH模式对冬季潜热的模拟最优。总体而言,CLM模式能够更好地再现半干旱区地气之间的相互作用,但模式对土壤含水量及干燥条件下的潜热通量的模拟较差,模式对半干旱区陆气间的水文过程还有待进一步的研究和改进。 相似文献
8.
将中尺度非静力模式MM5中的积云参数化Grell方案作了改进,使它含有降水云的云水,即雨水含量,并用该模式对1998年6月29日08时-30日08时(北京时)和1998年7月1日08时-2日08时(北京时)发生在淮河流域的两次特大暴雨进行数值模拟研究,同时通过采用R-qr关系将TRMM/PR(Tropical Rainfall MeasuringMission/Precipition Radar)得到的降水强度资料R计算出比含水量qr,然后用q'v=qv+qr取代原模式中的比湿qv。结果表明将TRMM/PR资料加入模式后,由于PR雷达具有较高的空间分辨率,能够很好地反映中小尺度系统的空间结构,能够使湿度值接近实际,缩短了中尺度系统的发展时间,使得模拟出来的降雨强度、雨量中心位置以及雨带形状更接近实况。 相似文献
9.
一种城市地表能量平衡模式在上海的模拟评估 总被引：1，自引：1，他引：0
利用一整年的上海城区常规气象和地表能量平衡观测资料,驱动和检验了局地城市地表能量(水分)平衡模式(SUEWS/LUMPS)在上海地区的模拟能力,并对模式输入参数进行了部分本地化。模拟结果表明,SUEWS模式较好地再现了各辐射通量的日变化形态,对净辐射通量(Q~*)中午日峰值低估约为25 W·m~(-2);模式对四个季节向下长波辐射通量(L_↓)的日变化幅度均被低估,对向上长波辐射通量(L_↑)的模拟明显优于L_↓。SUEWS/LUMPS模式对感热通量(Q_H)各季节(春季除外)日峰值出现时次均有准确模拟,而对Q_H量值各季节均为低估;SUEWS模式在夏、秋季对白天潜热通量(Q_E)的模拟均优于LUMPS模式,而在冬、春季的模拟情况两者接近;SUEWS模式成功再现了储热通量(△Q_S)冬、春、秋季早、晚正负值转换时间,而在夏季滞后了2 h,模拟的△Q_S量值季节差异性较大。对模式误差随气温、风速及风向变化进行分析表明,在较高气温和较大风速下,Q_H、Q_E均表现为低估误差增大,而△Q_S则相反,表现为更显著地高估;风向的影响主要表现为模式未考虑东面密集建筑群而使得Q_H较明显低估约为-50 W·m~(-2),而西侧公园绿地的存在使得Q_H高估约15 W·m~(-2)。 相似文献
10.
一个对流边界层中的随机扩散模式 总被引：1，自引：0，他引：1
通过对对流边界层(CBL)湍流结构的分析,首次提出用两种不同尺度的湍流模拟CBL中的铅直扩散.在此基础上发展了一个随机扩散模式,并用它模拟了典型对流条件下两种高架连续点源的扩散.与Willis水槽模拟和Lamb等人数值模拟以及CONDORS计划外场试验的结果的比较表明,本模式能成功地模拟CBL中的横向积分浓度.与其它数值模式相比,还具有输入参数少、计算量极小和更加简单实用的优点. 相似文献
11.
Wu Guoxiong 《Acta Meteorologica Sinica》1989,3(2):132-144
A two-level,quasi-geostrophic long-wave model based on spherical coordinates was developed with theexplicit part belonging to a low-order model.However,it includes not only diabatic heating,Ekman fric-tion and mountain distribution,but also parameterized forcing effects of transfer properties of transienteddies.Experiment results showed that,due to the introduction of the parameterization of transfer propertiesof transient eddies,remarkable improvements on characters of low-order model had been obtained.Inaddition to its economization in calculation and conciseness in physics as in a low-order model,the long-wave model was shown to describe the energetics and angular momentum balance of the atmosphere much morereasonably,and to present the features of zonal mean westerlies and stationary waves much more correctlythan the corresponding low-order model.This kind of long-wave model was therefore regarded as suitablefor theoretical research and numerical modelling of some aspects of the general circulation of the atmosphere. 相似文献
12.
Stefan Wacker Julian Gröbner Laurent Vuilleumier 《Theoretical and Applied Climatology》2014,115(3-4):551-561
We demonstrate a method to improve the performance of commonly used parameterizations to calculate the cloud-free down-welling long-wave radiation at the surface. The method uses a monthly climatology of the effective radiating temperature of the atmosphere instead of the instantaneous screen-level temperature. The climatology of the effective radiating temperature can be derived from pyrgeometer measurements and was incorporated into two commonly used schemes. We compared the calculated cloud-free down-welling long-wave irradiances to high-quality pyrgeometer measurements from four Swiss sites. The discrepancies between observations and modified schemes can be reduced by up to 35 %, resulting in a model uncertainty close to 5 W m?2 which corresponds to the measurement uncertainty of pyrgeometers. Furthermore, we introduce a new long-wave model which is based on radiative transfer calculations in the 8–14- $\upmu $ m wavelength range. In the remaining long-wave spectrum, the radiation is calculated using the Planck function with the effective radiating temperature of the atmosphere. The performance of this new model is consistent with the modified parameterizations. 相似文献
13.
14.
定常涡旋与解变涡旋的热量和角动量输送对局地的大尺度运动的维持与变化起重要作用。Ho-lopainen对时间平均环流的涡度和涡度拟能的维持的诊断分析结果表明瞬变涡旋对时间平均气流的作用包括热量输送和角动量输送。对局地热量收支的贡献,定常涡旋的作用大于瞬变涡旋的作用。然而,Green对造成英国1976年夏季罕见干旱的500 hPa高压脊的形成做了分析,认为瞬变涡旋的动量输送是重要的。 相似文献
15.
Lennaert van Veen 《Dynamics of Atmospheres and Oceans》2003,37(3):197-221
A low-order ocean–atmosphere model is presented which combines coupling through heat exchange at the interface and wind stress forcing. The coupling terms are derived from the boundary conditions and the forcing terms of the constituents. Both the ocean and the atmosphere model are based on Galerkin truncations of the basic fluid dynamical equations. Hence, the coupled model can readily be extended to include more physics and more detail. The model presented here is the simplest of a hierarchy of low-order ocean–atmosphere models. The behaviour of the coupled model is investigated by means of geometric singular perturbation theory and bifurcation analysis. Two ways are found in which the slow time scales can play a role in the coupled dynamics. In the first scenario, a limit cycle on the overturning time scale is created. The associated oscillatory behaviour is governed by internal ocean dynamics. In the second scenario, intermittent behaviour occurs between periodic and chaotic regimes in parameter space. 相似文献
16.
Four observed blocking anticyclones in different regions of the Northern Hemisphere are in-vestigated.Analyses show that there exist distinct differences in the maintenance of the time-meanquasi-geostrophic potential vorticity(PV)low in 300 hPa within blocking areas.In two Pacificblocking cases,the PV advection by time-mean flow tends to flow the PV low to northwestern partof the blocking highs,and thus is beneficial to the maintenance of the blockings'strength.Thetransfer by transient eddies acts to balance the effect of the time-mean flow.In the Atlantic andAlaska blocking cases,however,the advection of mean flow tends to flow the PV low eastward.The PV transfer by transient eddies acts to flow potential vorticity low to the western part of theblocking ridges and also to balance the time-mean flow's effect.Thus,in the latter two cases,it isthe transfer by the transient eddies that acts to maintain the blockings. 相似文献
17.
Four observed blocking anticyclones in different regions of the Northern Hemisphere are investigated.Analyses show that there exist distinct differences in the maintenance of the time-mean quasi-geostrophic potential vorticity(PV) low in 300 hPa within blocking areas.In two Pacific blocking cases,the PV advection by time-mean flow tends to flow the PV low to northwestern part of the blocking highs,and thus is beneficial to the maintenance of the blockings'strength.The transfer by transient eddies acts to balance the effect of the time-mean flow.In the Atlantic and Alaska blocking cases,however,the advection of mean flow tends to flow the PV low eastward.The PV transfer by transient eddies acts to flow potential vorticity low to the western part of the blocking ridges and also to balance the time-mean flow's effect.Thus,in the latter two cases,it is the transfer by the transient eddies that acts to maintain the blockings. 相似文献
18.
This paper reviews the progress in our understanding of the atmospheric response to midlatitude oceanic fronts and eddies,emphasizing the Kuroshio-Oyashio Extension(KOE)region.Oceanic perturbations of interest consist of sharp oceanic fronts,temperature anomalies associated with mesoscale eddies,and to some extent even higher-frequency submesoscale variability.The focus is on the free atmosphere above the boundary layer.As the midlatitude atmosphere is dominated by vigorous transient eddy activity in the storm track,the response of both the time-mean flow and the storm track is assessed.The storm track response arguably overwhelms the mean-flow response and makes the latter hard to detect from observations.Oceanic frontal impacts on the mesoscale structures of individual synoptic storms are discussed,followed by the role of oceanic fronts in maintaining the storm track as a whole.KOE fronts exhibit significant decadal variability and can therefore presumably modulate the storm track.Relevant studies are summarized and intercompared.Current understanding has advanced greatly but is still subject to large uncertainties arising from inadequate data resolution and other factors.Recent modeling studies highlighted the importance of mesoscale eddies and probably even submesoscale processes in maintaining the storm track but confirmation and validation are still needed.Moreover,the atmospheric response can potentially provide a feedback mechanism for the North Pacific climate.By reviewing the above aspects,we envision that future research shall focus more upon the interaction between smaller-scale oceanic processes(fronts,eddies,submesoscale features)and atmospheric processes(fronts,extratropical cyclones etc.),in an integrated way,within the context of different climate background states. 相似文献
19.
大尺度大气运动的流型和区域性气象要素随时间的演变,均具有比较清楚的年际变化。流型和要素年际变化的若干统计规律,正在长期天气预报和气候预报的业务中被广泛运用。目前,关于年际变化形成机理的问题已日益受到重视,这将为相应的预报方法提供动力学的理论基础。 气象要素(如地面气压)的年际变化往往用该要素多年时间序列的标准差来表征。各地时间序列的 相似文献
20.
J. G. Lockwood 《Climatic change》1992,20(1):23-56
A multilayer canopy model of a pine forest is used to investigate the sensitivity of the water balance of the wet canopy to variations in meteorological input. The multilayer model does not take into account large-scale eddies, which are now considered to be of importance to canopy transport. It does, however, provide realistic simulations of wet canopy water balance and often predicts interception loss rates higher than those predicted by a unilayer model for the same meteorological input. Stable layers both within and above the canopy are often simulated during rainfall events, and these may help to spontaneously generate large-scale eddies or waves within forest canopies. The sensitivity study for a wet canopy suggests that low vapour pressure deficits and low wind speeds are associated with unstable surface conditions, and increasing values of both variables are associated with decreasing canopy drainage values and increasing evaporative losses. Low short- or long-wave radiation inputs are associated with stable surface conditions, and increasing values of both variables are associated with decreasing canopy drainage values and increasing evaporative losses. Increasing temperature is associated with increasing surface stability and increasing canopy drainage and decreasing evaporative losses. In real situations the tendency for increasing temperature to cause surface stability and decreased evaporative loss is probably compensated by the opposite effects of increasing short- or long-wave radiation. The model simulations suggest that wet forest canopies may be better ventilated at low temperatures, if other meteorological conditions are constant. 相似文献