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1.
On the basis of a newly published, revised earthquake catalogue for the Greek area, a study is made of its seismicity in terms of earthquake frequency and energy as functions of space, time and magnitude. In addition, attempts are made to estimate the maximum possible magnitudes as functions of space. The study is essentially a methodological experiment, with tectonophysical and engineering results.  相似文献   

2.
从坡体结构、变形破裂特征和地质环境条件,研究该隧道弃渣填方路基,发现其滑坡为圆弧形破坏.对滑坡体稳定性的定量和定性分析预测,天然条件下滑坡体潜在不稳定,地震、暴雨及水库正常蓄水条件下,将失稳破坏.建议补打钢管桩至滑面以下进行治理.  相似文献   

3.
The dams are built to supply water needs of people, to produce electricity and to supply irrigation water in agricultural activities since ancient times. They are very important because of their contribution to energy production. The construction of dams is very difficult and costly. It is vital that they are resistant to all kinds of effects, since they are built to prevent flooding in the region. The most important and dangerous of these effects are earthquake forces. It is very important that the dams are designed to be durable. In this study, the Darideresi-II Dam reservoir located in Isparta was examined in terms of the behavior under various earthquake loads. To reflect the behavior of the dam in a more realistic way, the finite element method is used. While developing this model, the material specifications and boundary conditions are taken into account. The dam reservoir was modeled using ANSYS program, and its behavior under different earthquake accelerations was investigated. The deformation and stress forces under earthquake accelerations are taken into account. By examining these results, it is interpreted how the Darideresi-II Dam reservoir will behave during earthquake.  相似文献   

4.
Mäntyniemi  P.  Mârza  V.  Kijko  A.  Retief  P. 《Natural Hazards》2003,29(3):371-385
In this paper we apply a probabilistic methodology to map specific seismic hazard induced by the Vrancea Seismogenic Zone, which represents the uttermost earthquake danger to Romania as well as its surroundings. The procedure is especially suitable for the estimation of seismic hazard at an individual site, and seismic hazard maps can be created by applying it repeatedly to grid points covering larger areas. It allows the use of earthquake catalogues with incompletely reported historical and complete instrumental parts. When applying themethodology, special attention was given to the effect of hypocentral depth and the variation of attenuation according to azimuth. Hazard maps specifying a 10% chance of exceedance of the given peak ground acceleration value for an exposure time of 50 years were prepared for three different characteristic depths of earthquakes in the Vrancea area. These maps represent a new realistic contribution to the mitigation of the earthquake risk caused by the Vrancea Seismogenic Zone in terms of: (1) input data (consistent, reliable, and the most complete earthquake catalogue), (2) appropriate and specific attenuation relationships (considering both azimuthal and depth effects); and (3) a new and versatile methodology.  相似文献   

5.
This paper examines the variability of seismic activity observed in the case of different geological zones of peninsular India (10°N–26°N; 68°E–90°E) based on earthquake catalog between the period 1842 and 2002 and estimates earthquake hazard for the region. With compilation of earthquake catalog in terms of moment magnitude and establishing broad completeness criteria, we derive the seismicity parameters for each geologic zone of peninsular India using maximum likelihood procedure. The estimated parameters provide the basis for understanding the historical seismicity associated with different geological zones of peninsular India and also provide important inputs for future seismic hazard estimation studies in the region. Based on present investigation, it is clear that earthquake recurrence activity in various geologic zones of peninsular India is distinct and varies considerably between its cratonic and rifting zones. The study identifies the likely hazards due to the possibility of moderate to large earthquakes in peninsular India and also presents the influence of spatial rate variation in the seismic activity of this region. This paper presents the influence of source zone characterization and recurrence rate variation pattern on the maximum earthquake magnitude estimation. The results presented in the paper provide a useful basis for probabilistic seismic hazard studies and microzonation studies in peninsular India.  相似文献   

6.
The Himalayas has experienced varying rates of earthquake occurrence in the past in its seismo-tectonically distinguished segments which may be attributed to different physical processes of accumulation of stress and its release, and due diligence is required for its inclusion for working out the seismic hazard. The present paper intends to revisit the various earthquake occurrence models applied to Himalayas and examines it in the light of recent damaging earthquakes in Himalayan belt. Due to discordant seismicity of Himalayas, three types of regions have been considered to estimate larger return period events. The regions selected are (1) the North-West Himalayan Fold and Thrust Belt which is seismically very active, (2) the Garhwal Himalaya which has never experienced large earthquake although sufficient stress exists and (3) the Nepal region which is very seismically active region due to unlocked rupture and frequently experienced large earthquake events. The seismicity parameters have been revisited using two earthquake recurrence models namely constant seismicity and constant moment release. For constant moment release model, the strain rates have been derived from global strain rate model and are converted into seismic moment of earthquake events considering the geometry of the finite source and the rates being consumed fully by the contemporary seismicity. Probability of earthquake occurrence with time has been estimated for each region using both models and compared assuming Poissonian distribution. The results show that seismicity for North-West region is observed to be relatively less when estimated using constant seismicity model which implies that either the occupied accumulated stress is not being unconfined in the form of earthquakes or the compiled earthquake catalogue is insufficient. Similar trend has been observed for seismic gap area but with lesser difference reported from both methods. However, for the Nepal region, the estimated seismicity by the two methods has been found to be relatively less when estimated using constant moment release model which implies that in the Nepal region, accumulated strain is releasing in the form of large earthquake occurrence event. The partial release in second event of May 2015 of similar size shows that the physical process is trying to release the energy with large earthquake event. If it would have been in other regions like that of seismic gap region, the fault may not have released the energy and may be inviting even bigger event in future. It is, therefore, necessary to look into the seismicity from strain rates also for its due interpretation in terms of predicting the seismic hazard in various segments of Himalayas.  相似文献   

7.
在分析淮安市基本地质环境特征的基础上.总结淮安城市化进程中的地质环境问题.这些地质环境问题主要表现在地震、地下水位下降、地面沉降、水污染、同体废弃物、地面变形、软土变形和液化土地基.最后在分析其地质和城市化成因的基础上,提出相应的城市地质环境保护对策.  相似文献   

8.
Summary The severity of damage to Mexico City as a result of the 19 September 1985 Michoacan earthquake was unusual given the city's distance (350 km) from the zone of seismic energy release. To explain the damage many authors have suggested that unusual source or transmission path characteristics contributed to enhanced ground motion in Mexico City. The purpose of this paper is to present a summary of results obtained from data recorded during the earthquake related to possible anomalous source characteristics.It is concluded that although the Michoacan earthquake was a large earthquake indeed, in terms of energy output, spectral content, geometry and source mechanics it was not remarkable or anomalous relative to other subduction zone earthquakes in Mexico or elsewhere. In fact the future may well see a larger earthquake generated along the Guerrero seismic gap which is significantly closer to Mexico City.  相似文献   

9.
A first generation of probabilistic seismic hazard maps of the Italian country are presented. They are based on seismogenic zoning deriving from a kinematic model of the structural tectonic units and on an earthquake catalogue with the foreshock and aftershock events filtered out. The following ground motion parameters have been investigated and mapped using attenuation equations based on strong-motion recordings of Italian earthquakes: peak ground acceleration and velocity; Arias intensity; strong motion duration; and the pseudovelocity and pseudoacceleration spectral values at 14 fixed frequencies both for the vertical and the largest horizontal component. A Poissonian model of earthquake occurrence is assumed as a default and the hazard maps are presented in terms of ground motion values expected to be exceeded at a 10% probability level in 50 years (return period 475 years) according to the requirement of Eurocode 8 for the seismic classification of national territories, as well as in terms of exceedance probabilities of selected ground motion values. Finally, as a tentative study, the use of hybrid methods (implementing both seismogenic zones and structures), renewal processes (including earthquake forecasting) and the influence of site effects (as the basis for the planning of earthquake scenarios) were explored.  相似文献   

10.
Indian peninsular shield, which was once considered to be seismically stable, is experiencing many earthquakes recently. As part of the national level microzonation programme, Department of Science and Technology, Govt. of India has initiated microzonation of greater Bangalore region. The seismic hazard analysis of Bangalore region is carried out as part of this project. The paper presents the determination of maximum credible earthquake (MCE) and generation of synthetic acceleration time history plot for the Bangalore region. MCE has been determined by considering the regional seismotectonic activity in about 350 km radius around Bangalore city. The seismotectonic map has been prepared by considering the faults, lineaments, shear zones in the area and historic earthquake events of more than 150 events. Shortest distance from the Bangalore to the different sources is measured and then peak ground acceleration (PGA) is calculated for the different source and moment magnitude. Maximum credible earthquake found in terms of moment magnitude is 5.1 with PGA value of 0.146 g at city centre with assuming the hypo central distance of 15.88 km from the focal point. Also, correlations for the fault length with historic earthquake in terms of moment magnitude, yields (taking the rupture fault length as 5% of the total fault length) a PGA value of 0.159 g. Acceleration time history (ground motion) and a response acceleration spectrum for the corresponding magnitude has been generated using synthetic earthquake model considering the regional seismotectonic parameters. The maximum spectral acceleration obtained is 0.332 g for predominant period of 0.06 s. The PGA value and synthetic earthquake ground motion data from the identified vulnerable source using seismotectonic map will be useful for the PGA mapping and microzonation of the area.  相似文献   

11.
The recent 10 August 2009 Coco earthquake (Mw 7.5), the largest aftershock of the giant 2004 Sumatra Andaman earthquake, occurred within the subducting India plate under the Burma plate. The Coco earthquake nucleated near the northwestern edge of the 2004 Sumatra-Andaman earthquake rupture under the unruptured updip segment of the plate boundary interface. The earthquake with predominant normal motion on approximately north-south to northeast-southwest oriented plane is very similar to the 27 June 2008 Little Andaman earthquake which occurred in the South Andaman region near the trench. We provide the only available estimate of coseismic offset due to the 2009 Coco earthquake at a survey-mode GPS site in the north Andaman, located about 60 km south of the Coco earthquake epicentre. The not so large coseismic displacement of about 2 cm in the ESE direction is consistent with the earthquake focal mechanism and its magnitude. We suggest that, like the 2008 Little Andaman earthquake, this earthquake too occurred on one of the approximately north-south to northeast-southwest oriented steep planes of the obliquely subducting 90°E ridge which was reactivated in normal motion after subduction, under the favourable influence of coseismic and ongoing postseismic deformation due to the 2004 Sumatra-Andaman earthquake. Another notable feature of this earthquake is its relatively low aftershock productivity. We suggest that the earthquake occurred very close to the aseismic region of the Irrawaddy frontal arc of very low seismicity where pre-existing faults are not so critically stressed and because of which the earthquake could trigger only a few aftershocks in its immediate vicinity.  相似文献   

12.
Urban earthquake scenario requires compilation and interpretation of topographical, geological, geotechnical, macroseismic, and instrumental data, along with identification of proper ground motion prediction and site response analysis. Within the intensive city planning and infrastructure improvement of Baku city (the capital of Azerbaijan), and due to land and water instabilities, intensified landslides, and increasing seismic activity, Absheron peninsula has turned into one of the strategic earthquake case studies, representing exposure to earthquake hazard in the region. The last strongest 25th November 2000 earthquake revealed that the peninsula was severely vulnerable to seismic events, since there was a lack of public awareness of seismic disaster and its consequences, and there were not any preventive measures which might have been derived from the scenario-based simulations and prediction of strong motion distribution over the area. In the present work, integrated analysis of seismicity, engineering geology, geomorphology, topography, and site response is used to model strong motion dynamics in terms of peak ground acceleration distribution and intensity level for Absheron peninsula along with Baku city. The strong motion scenario of the 25th November 2000 earthquake shows that the larger area of the peninsula coincides with the VIII–IX intensity level, including Baku city. The scenario distribution can be valuable in all phases of the disaster management process.  相似文献   

13.
14.
汶川地震后两年,成都平原多个县区出现地面塌陷。就地质环境而言,成都平原不具备自然地下空洞引发大型地面塌陷的地质条件。现有地面塌陷均为人为地下空洞在自然或人为因素下引发。汶川地震缩短了产生地面塌陷的时间,致使成都平原在地震后两年内较高频率发生小规模地面塌陷。  相似文献   

15.
岩土边坡地震稳定性分析是岩土工程和地震工程研究的重要课题之一,本文明确区别了两种不同意义的边坡地震稳定性概念:一是按一定的抗震设防地震作用考虑,边坡现状强度与边坡强度退化到发生地震破坏时的临界强度相比较而言的储备强度稳定性;二是对于一定的边坡强度状态,使边坡发生动力破坏的地震作用与设防地震作用相比较而言的地震动力超载稳定性。考虑边坡强度退化的边坡稳定性概念已经得到普遍采用,分析方法较为熟知;而按动力超载考虑的边坡地震稳定性概念以往几乎没有提及,边坡稳定性判别标准和分析方法尚有待探讨。本文主要针对第二种边坡地震稳定性地震动力超载稳定性的衡量标准和分析方法进行了研究,提出了边坡地震动力超载稳定性评判的临界地震峰值加速度准则,并提出了边坡地震动力超载稳定性分析的荷载增强法:针对边坡的现状强度状态,由小到大逐渐增加地震作用的强度,搜索导致边坡失稳的临界地震峰值加速度,最后根据边坡临界地震峰值加速度与边坡所在区域的设防地震峰值加速度比较情况确定边坡的地震稳定性。论文采用荷载增强法对中国陕西宝鸡蟠龙塬黄土边坡地震动力超载稳定性进行了分析。结果表明,针对宝鸡地区未来50a超越概率为10%的地震动作用,该边坡具有较高的地震动力超载稳定性。  相似文献   

16.
实用构造地质学讨论——以山西地区构造问题为例   总被引:1,自引:0,他引:1  
张兆琪 《安徽地质》2011,21(4):241-246
通过讨论得出一种新的构造地质学观点:⑴板块与板块碰撞造山是靠地震来实现的。当地球某处的能量积聚到一定的极限就会产生地震释放能量;⑵地震时产生地震波,地震波传播同时也传导了地震力。地震力是与地震波的类型相一致,地震力可对应地称为纵波力、横波力、拉夫力和瑞雷力。这些力可以合成或分解为线状力、面状力和体状力;⑶地震时将动能转化为势能,使地体隆升,产生断层和挠褶等。升高的势能又在重力作用下产生新的构造。震力和重力作用是形成地质构造的两大因素;⑷威尔逊旋回不适宜板内造山旋回。板内造山旋回简单地说就是沉积—隆升—剥蚀—夷平。一个大的构造期,实际上是孕育了一个大的地震周期。以此为理论依据,将山西地区显生宙以来大级别的造山-沉积旋回划分为五个。  相似文献   

17.
震源区能量积累和释放过程的熵模型基本特征   总被引:1,自引:0,他引:1  
在地震活动区的局部地壳地震活动性很大程度上是随机的,但在某些情况下,小的地方震的震级时间序列却具有确定性的分量,此分量很可能与一个大地震的成核有关。当小地震事件中最大的事件变小,最小的事件变大,并且它们的差别不断地减小,这个分量在地震记录上就表现为由震级的两个反向实时趋势产生的所谓能量楔。在一个大的成核事件的震源区,利用相图法,笔者依据非线性动力学已经解释了地震过程的演化和小震的大小分布。模拟地震过程的这种新的处理方法和数学模型已经被应用于来自世界各地区的大批地震目录数据,特别是中国的地震数据。  相似文献   

18.
Hydrological and geochemical studies for earthquake prediction in Japan during the last two decades are reviewed. Following the 1995 Hyogo-ken Nanbu (Kobe) earthquake, the central approach to research on earthquake prediction was modified. Instead of precursory detection, emphasis was placed on understanding the entire earthquake cycle. Moreover, the prediction program for the anticipated Tokai earthquake was revised in 2003 to include the detection of preslip-related precursors. These changes included the promotion of the following hydrological and geochemical studies for earthquake prediction: (1) development and/or application of statistical methods to extract small fluctuations from hydrological/geochemical data, (2) evaluation of the detectability of preslip-related anomalies in terms of groundwater levels in wells in the Tokai region, and (3) establishment of a new groundwater and borehole strain observation network for Nankai and Tonankai earthquake prediction research. The following basic geochemical studies were carried out: (1) development of a new monitoring system using a quadrupole mass spectrometer, (2) experimental studies on hydrogen generation by the grinding of rock and crystal powders, (3) comprehensive monitoring of groundwater gas and precise crustal deformation, and (4) mantle-derivative helium observation to compare with seismic velocity structures and the distribution of non-volcanic tremors. Moreover, hydrological and geochemical investigations related to the evolution of fault zones were introduced within the framework of fault zone drilling projects.  相似文献   

19.
2017年8月8日四川省九寨沟发生7.0级地震,是继2008年汶川大地震和2013年芦山地震之后,四川省发生的又一次7.0级以上的强震。为了给现场救援和震后地质灾害防治提供科学依据,本文作者第一时间赶赴现场,并基于震前和震后高精度遥感影像,完成了震区地质灾害解译和复核工作,共解译地质灾害1883处,主要以中小型浅层滑坡和崩塌为主。基于解译结果,对同震灾害的空间分布规律和控制因素(距断层距离、地面峰值加速度PGA、高程、坡度和坡向等)进行了分析,研究表明地质灾害主要沿北西-南东向呈带状分布,且沿公路、沟谷较为发育,在野外推测发震断层2km范围内高度集中,呈现明显的断层效应,但与塔藏断层之间的空间相关性相对较弱。在上述分析的基础上,采用逻辑回归模型,利用地震、地形和地质3大因素(8个因子)对地质灾害易发性进行了快速评价和分区,经统计校验证明该模型的准确率达0.851,模型精度较高。  相似文献   

20.
Iran is a seismic prone country and has been host to a long series of devastating earthquakes which have resulted in heavy casualties and damages. In order to assess social vulnerability (SV) to earthquake hazards, this paper presents the development of a hybrid factor analysis and analytic network process model for aggregating vulnerability indicators into a composite index of SV to earthquake hazards. The proposed model is then applied in Iran as a case study. The proposed model uses factor analysis (FA) to extract the underlying dimensions of SV. The identified dimensions of SV and their primary variables are then entered into a network model in Analytic Network Process (ANP). The ANP is used to calculate the relative importance of different SV variables, taking into consideration the results obtained from FA and the possible interdependence between variables of the individual dimensions of SV. These weights are then used to compute the factor scores for the individual dimensions of SV and also the composite social vulnerability index (SOVI). The application of the proposed model to a real world case study and its validation show that it is a robust approach for constructing a composite SOVI. Its application to counties in Iran indicates that there exist severe regional differences in terms of SV to earthquake hazards. The pronounced regional variations in SV warrant special attention by both local authorities and the national government to reconsider current natural disaster management strategies.  相似文献   

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