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1.
The characteristics of seismic activity in different time-spatial domain before the Mw9.0 earthquake were studied. The results are as follows ： ① The activity of the deep earthquakes in the north boundary zone of the Australian plate had been evidently strengthened since 1994, showing an increased frequency, magnitude and depth, especially in regards to the heterogeneous distribution of the earthquake depth （namely between 500km and 689km）. Meanwhile the shallow earthquakes of M ≥ 7.0 in the Sumatra island and its vicinity had been obviously strengthened too, and formed a strengthening area with a length of about 1000 km and width 300 km. ②The time distribution of global strong earthquakes with M≥ 7.0 shows that the character of anomalous seismic quiescence-activity one year before the Mw9.0 earthquake and during its active period, the strong earthquakes formed a seismic belt striking in NWW direction. At the same time, there is a seismic gap formed by earthquakes of M ≥ 5.0 in the epicenter and its neighboring region. ③ Two deep earthquakes of M ≥ 7.0 occurred in the west and in the east of the north boundary zone of the Australian plate half year ago. It is notable that one of them occurred in the Sumatra island where no deep earthquake with M ③ 6.0 has occurred in the past thirty years. ④The space distribution of moderate shocks occurring three days ago exhibited a NWW-strike seismic belt along the north boundary zone of the Australian plate. ⑤The activity of volcanoes distributed in the north boundary zone of the Australian plate had been strengthened in the past 4 years, especially several months before the occurrence of the Mw9.0 earthquake. 相似文献
2.
Gao Guoying 《中国地震研究》2007,21(4):397-408
Jiashi and its surrounding areas are composed of many structural zones. Using the focal mechanism solutions of 59 moderately strong earthquakes in Jiashi and its surrounding areas, and combining these with the calculation results of system cluster and stress field inversion, we analyzed the evolvement characteristics of the stress field for different times and different regions. The results were as follows: The earthquakes in Jiashi are mainly strike-slip. However, those of the Kalpin block are mainly reverse events, showing an obvious thrusting. The regional characteristics are different from other areas. The direction of the regional principal stress field is near NS. However, under different tectonic backgrounds, the directions of the stress fields are different. The direction of the principal compress stress is near NS in the Kashi-Wuqia area. But before and after the 3 earthquakes with M7.0, dynamic evolution from NW to NS and then to NE with time process was observed. The Kalpin block has been dominated by a consistent stress field in the NW direction for a long time. However, the direction of the stress field of the Jiashi region is NE. Since 1996, the direction of the regional stress field has changed obviously. The direction of the P axis was deflected towards the NE, and the plunge angle increased. The result shows clearly the regional characteristics and variation of the distribution pattern of the stress field in different tectonic environments. 相似文献
3.
We examined the whole strong earthquake recurrence behaviors of two fault zones along the Kefallinia Transform, Ionian Sea, Greece, using seismological data and statistical methods. Our data include 29 events with %M%>5^5 for the period 1636～2003. We found different recurrence behaviors for the Kefallinia Fault Zone (clustering and time-predictable recurrence behaviors) and the Lefkada Fault Zone (near random and non-slip-predictable or non-time-predictable recurrence nature). The different modes may be attributed to: (a) segment interaction along-strike (Kefallinia) by static triggering and (b) the influence of fault systems to the north and east on the recurrence on Lefkada. Within the active periods, earthquake recurrence intervals are distributed in a more dispersed fashion, and can be fitted well by a Weibull distribution. In contrast, the distribution of the quiet periods is relatively less dispersed and difficult to describe by suitable probability functions. 相似文献
4.
From December 3, 2005 to May 18, 2006, a water injection-induced seismicity test was conducted on DuPont test well 1# for about six months by China Earthquake Administration. To the vertical injected well, 11 water injection processes were conducted on four depth intervals, including middle Shahejie3, the top of the upper Shahejie3, the bottom of the upper Shahejie3 and Shahejie2, with the vertical span from 1 464 m to 3 034 m. Monitoring stations has been run throughout the procedure. From the recorded data, there were 5 090 events being picked out manually, 274 events located. It indicates that the energy of seismic signal is very small, and the largest magnitude is no more than ML0.5. And also, the major energy is centered on the vertical component, while amplitude of the other hori-zontal components is very small. From the start of water injection, the number of seismic events varied with time. And the event was most frequent in the period of upper Shahejie3 injection. The distribution of events extended from the injected well to the outside with time, and the direction of events distribution rotated in different injected interval. Of which, in the low permeability interval, events trend close to the direction of principal compressive stress direction; while in higher permeability interval, they trend close to the predominant seepage direction. 相似文献
5.
Paleoearthquakes in the Yanqing-Huailai basin and on the Haiyuan fault are studied in detail.The result indicates that the recurrence behavior of large earthquakes is of a wide variety.Characteristic earthquakes show the behavior characteristics of the activity of most faults,butthey are of different grades,the recurrence interval of large earthquakes is of staged nature,and the interaction between faults has effects on the recurrence sequence of large earthquakes.Thus,when the recurrence behavior of large earthquakes is staged in time or when thegradation of characteristic earthquakes has led to a sharp difference in recurrence intervalbetween paleoearthquakes of different intensities,for estimating the large earthquake risk bythe deterministic method and time-dependent probabilistic method,it is necessary to calculatethe recurrence interval value separately for each specific stage or grade in order that theaverage recurrence interval values of different stages can be determined. 相似文献
6.
Cheng Kueihsiang 《中国地震研究》2003,17(1):85-96
The data of earthquakes with M≥3.0 during the 7 years from September 21, 1993 to September 20, 2000 recorded by the Taiwan Central Weather Bureau (CWB) show that there were 6 types of clear characteristics of seismicity during the Chi-Chi strong earthquake swarm of September 21. These 6 types of characteristics are (1) foreshock types, (2) seismic gaps, (3) seismic bands, (4) clustering activity of foreshocks and signal shock, (5) quiescence before the main shock and (6) secondary aftershocks in the aftershock sequence. Using the procedures for analyzing the yearly strong earthquake tendency, further tracing based on the earthquake sequence characteristics, and taking the Chi-Chi earthquake sequence as an example, tracing analysis of the earthquake tendency was attempted using the shorter time range of monthly rather than in a yearly time scale. An attempt was made to establish the procedures for tracing analysis of shallow-focus earthquakes in the seismic belt of western Taiwan. It is hoped that this can provide an analystical method for approaching the short-imminent time scale of seismometry-based earthquake forecasting. 相似文献
7.
In this paper, the method which can combine different seismic data with the different precision and completeness, even the palaeo-earthquake data, has been applied to estimate the yearly seismic moment rate in the seismic region. Based on this, the predictable model of regional time-magnitude has been used in North China and Southwest China. The normal correlation between the time interval of the events and the magnitude of the last strong earthquake shows that the model is suitable. The value of the parameter c is less than the average value of 0.33 that is obtained from the events occurred in the plate boundary in the world. It is explained that the correlativity between the recurrence interval of the earthquake and the magnitude of the last strong event is not obvious. It is shown that the continental earthquakes in China are different from that occurred in the plate boundary and the recurrence model for the continental events are different from the one for the plate boundary events. Finally the seismic risk analysis based on this model for North China and Southwest China is given in this paper. 相似文献
8.
Based on historical earthquake data, we use statistical methods to study integrated recurrence behaviors of strong earthquakes along 7 selected active fault zones in the Sichuan-Yunnan region. The results show that recurrences of strong earthquakes in the 7 fault zones display near-random, random and clustering behaviors. The recurrence processes are never quasiperiodic, and are neither strength-time nor time-strength dependent. The more independent segments for strong earthquake rupturing a fault zone has, the more complicated the corresponding recurrence process is. And relatively active periods and quiescent periods for earthquake activity occur alternatively. Within the active periods, the distribution of recurrence time intervals between earthquakes has relatively large discretion, and can be modelled well by a Weibull distribution. The time distribution of the quiescent periods has relatively small discretion, and can be approximately described by some distributions as the normal. Both the durations of the active periods and the numbers of strong earthquakes within the active periods vary obviously cycle by cycle, leading to the relatively active periods having never repeated quasi-periodically. Therefore, the probabilistic assessment for middle- and longterm seismic hazard for entireties of active fault zones based on data of historical strong earthquakes on the fault zones still faces difficulty. 相似文献
9.
Fang Shengming 《中国地震研究》2007,21(3):236-244
This paper introduces briefly the basic principles of various seismic prospecting techniques and working methods according to nationwide practices of seismic prospecting of active faults beneath big cities in recent years.Furthermore,it analyzes the application range of different seismic prospecting methods,main achievements and solved problems,and discusses the best combination of seismic exploration methods for detecting crustal structures and locating the faults used in the present stage,that is,to trace faults which are at depths of hundred of meters underground using shallow seismic investigation,to detect the faults which are above basement(at a depth of kilometers) using high resolution refraction sounding,and the deep crustal faults using combined seismic prospecting methods of reflection seismic sounding and wide-angle reflection/refraction sounding,and furthermore,to use the 3-D deep seismic sounding method to obtain 3-D velocity structures beneath urban areas.Thus,we can get information about fault attitude and distribution at different depths and a complete image of faults from their shallow part to deep part using the combined seismic exploration method.Some application examples are presented in the article. 相似文献
10.
QinChengzhi ZhouChenghu PeiTao LiQuanlin 《中国地震研究》2004,18(2):178-187
The migration of strong earthquakes is an important research topic because the migration phenomena reflect partly the seismic mechanism and involve the prediction of tendency of seismic activity. Research on migration of strong earthquakes has mostly focused on finding the phenomena. Some attempts on getting regularity were comparatively subjective. This paper suggests that there should be indices of migration in earthquake dataset and the indexes should have statistical meaning if there is regularity in the migration of strong earthquakes. In this study, three derivative attributes of migration, i.e., migration orientation, migration distance and migration time interval, were statistically analyzed. Results in the North China region show that the migration of strong earthquakes has statistical meaning. There is a dominant migration orientation (W by S to E by N), a dominant distance ( ≤ 100kin and on the confines of 300 ～ 700km), and a dominant time interval ( ≤ la and on the confines of 3 - 4a). The results also show that the migration will differ slightly with different magnitude range or earthquake activity phase. 相似文献
11.
利用多重分形维数谱估计的Hill方法，讨论了新西兰地震活动区地震活动的震源分布、震中分布以及时间间隔分布的多重分形特征．结果表明，该地区浅源地震的震中分布和震源分布在给定不同的起始震级的条件下均具有明显的丛集特征；对于中、深源地震这种特征不甚明显．而地震活动时间间隔分布则无论对于浅源和中、深源地震均呈单重分形的性质，但具有分形性质的尺度范围有较大的差别．这些结果表明，浅源地震与中、深源地震的活动特征显著不同． 相似文献
12.
强震前后广义地震应变释放过程的丛集特征 总被引：1，自引：0，他引：1
利用基于小波变换的多重分形奇异谱估计方法,研究了部分强震前后地震活动广义应变.释放过程的多重分形特征。结果表明,晨中区附近- -定范围内地展活动广义应变释放过程具有多重分形特征,但多重分形维数谱随7变化复杂,在强震发生前多重分形维数谱没有明显的变化。广义地震应变释放过程的多重分形奇异谱形态和Hausdorff奇异指数范围能提供更多关于地屣活动过程的信息,特别当η取较大值时Hausdorff奇异指数范围在强晨前明显变窄。研究还表明深源地展和浅源地晨发生前广义应变释放过程多重分形特征存在明显不同。 相似文献
13.
14.
Introduction For a long time, the seismologists have paid great attentions to the research on the spatio- temporal distribution of earthquake intensity, which provide us with significant information for the researches on crustal stress variation, tectonic activity and earthquake risk prediction in a certain spatio-temporal region. The existing results have shown consistently that the intensity of earth- quakes is characterized by non-stability, non-linearity in temporal domain and non-uniformi… 相似文献
15.
—The clustering structure of the Vesuvian earthquakes occurring is investigated by means of statistical tools: the inter-event time distribution, the running mean and the multifractal analysis. The first cannot clearly distinguish between a Poissonian process and a clustered one due to the difficulties of clearly distinguishing between an exponential distribution and a power law one. The running mean test reveals the clustering of the earthquakes, but looses information about the structure of the distribution at global scales. The multifractal approach can enlighten the clustering at small scales, while the global behaviour remains Poissonian. Subsequently the clustering of the events is interpreted in terms of diffusive processes of the stress in the earth crust. 相似文献
16.
For the Fiji-Tonga-Kermadec area and for the period from January 1977 to July 2003, the Harvard CMT catalogue lists 1022 shallow,
410 intermediate and 633 deep earthquakes of moment magnitude from 4.9 to 8.0. The magnitude threshold, above which the catalogue
is complete, is 5.3–5.4, and the number of earthquakes of magnitude above this value is 691 for shallow, 329 for intermediate
and 476 for deep events, respectively. The proportion of earthquakes associated with doublets and multiplets against the total
number of earthquakes is approximately the same in both data sets and therefore all earthquake pairs were considered regardless
of their magnitude. We investigated all the pairs of earthquakes that occurred at a centroid distance of less than 40, 60
or 90 km from each other and within a time interval of 200, 300 or 450 days, depending on their magnitude. We found 208 pairs
of shallow, 31 of intermediate and 92 of deep events. To ascertain whether these earthquakes in pairs are not connected by
chance, the possibility of their occurrence in an uncorrelated Poissonian catalogue was considered. It was assumed that in
such a catalogue the inter-event time is exponentially distributed, the earthquake magnitude follows the Gutenberg-Richter
relation, and the distribution of centroid distances between the events in pairs is controlled by its non-parametric kernel
estimate. The probability of the appearance of the observed proportion of doublets of shallow earthquakes in the Poissonian
catalogue was found to be very low. The low probability of occurrence in a semi-random catalogue, created by randomising centroid
locations in the actual data set, also indicates major importance of the distance criterion used for a doublet specification.
In general, shallow earthquakes tend to form pairs at shorter distances and within shorter time intervals than deep earthquakes.
Both the distance and the time intervals do not depend on the magnitude of involved events. The largest number of pairs of
deep earthquakes is observed at a depth of about 600 km, and the proportion of deep events associated with doublets against
the number of all events increases with depth. From comparison of the focal mechanism of earthquakes in pairs, measured by
the 3-D rotation angle, it follows that deep earthquakes forming pairs have a more diverse focal mechanism than shallow events;
the rotation angle for three quarters of shallow pairs and only for about one third of deep pairs is reasonably small. The
azimuth between two events forming a doublet is in about 60–65% of cases close to the strike of one of nodal planes of the
first or the second event. 相似文献
17.
Luciano Telesca Vincenzo LapennaFilippos Vallianatos 《Physics of the Earth and Planetary Interiors》2002,131(1):63-79
Much recent work has been focused on understanding the statistical properties of time-occurrence series of earthquakes. Investigating into the patterns of seismic sequences reveals evidence of scaling features in temporal behavior. This is shown in the clustering properties of seismicity of the western Corinth graben, Greece from 1983 to 2000. Power-law behavior has been found by means of Allan factor analysis and Fourier spectra for the earthquake sequence, with consistent values for the scaling exponents, that decrease with the threshold magnitude. The analysis of the temporal variation of the scaling exponent, performed with different threshold magnitudes, reveals an enhancing of the clusterization in correspondence to larger events. The multifractal analysis of the temporal distribution of the events has shown a decrease of the intermittent character with the threshold magnitude. 相似文献
18.
IntroductionSince the magnitude-frequency relation (1)being proposed and applied to the research of global seismicity by Gutenberg and Richter (1944, 1954), it has been widely used in the practice of seismic hazard prediction and of the research of seismic activity in different tectonic regions of the world ((1) is normally known as the G-R law).While with the increase of observational data of events, much researches show that though (1) can fit data well for events with middle value of magn… 相似文献
19.
The paper studies the statistical properties of deep earthquakes around North Island, New Zealand. We first evaluate the catalogue
coverage and completeness of deep events according to cusum (cumulative sum) statistics and earlier literature. The epicentral,
depth, and magnitude distributions of deep earthquakes are then discussed. It is worth noting that strong grouping effects
are observed in the epicentral distribution of these deep earthquakes. Also, although the spatial distribution of deep earthquakes
does not change, their occurrence frequencies vary from time to time, active in one period, relatively quiescent in another.
The depth distribution of deep earthquakes also hardly changes except for events with focal depth less than 100 km. On the
basis of spatial concentration we partition deep earthquakes into several groups—the Taupo-Bay of Plenty group, the Taranaki
group, and the Cook Strait group. Second-order moment analysis via the two-point correlation function reveals only very small-scale
clustering of deep earthquakes, presumably limited to some hot spots only. We also suggest that some models usually used for
shallow earthquakes fit deep earthquakes unsatisfactorily. Instead, we propose a switching Poisson model for the occurrence
patterns of deep earthquakes. The goodness-of-fit test suggests that the time-varying activity is well characterized by a
switching Poisson model. Furthermore, detailed analysis carried out on each deep group by use of switching Poisson models
reveals similar time-varying behavior in occurrence frequencies in each group. 相似文献
20.
Earthquakes in Iran and neighbouring regions are closely connected to their position within the geologically active Alpine-Himalayan
belt. Modern tectonic activity is forced by the convergent movements between two plates: The Arabian plate, including Saudi
Arabia, the Persian Gulf and the Zagros Ranges of Iran, and the Eurasian plate. The intensive seismic activity in this region
is recorded with shallow focal depth and magnitude rising as high as Mw = 7.8. The study region can be attributed to a highly complex geodynamic process and therefore is well suited for multifractal
seismicity analysis. Multifractal analysis of earthquakes (mb ≥ 3) occurring during 1973 – 2006 led to the detection of a clustering pattern in the narrow time span prior to all the large
earthquakes: Mw = 7.8 on 16.9.1978; Mw = 6.8 on 26.12.2003; Mw = 7.7 on 10.5.97. Based on the spatio-temporal clustering pattern of events, the potential for future large events can be
assessed. Spatio-temporal clustering of events apparently indicates a highly stressed region, an asperity or weak zone from
which the rupture propagation eventually nucleates, causing large earthquakes. This clustering pattern analysis done on a
well-constrained catalogue for most of the fault systems of known seismicity may eventually aid in the preparedness and earthquake
disaster mitigation. 相似文献