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The influence of soil moisture on evaporation from a 6-m grass-covered lysimeter and from Class A pans was assessed for one summer using the -parameter of the Priestley-Taylor evaporation model appropriate for the individual surfaces computed on a daily basis. Net radiation over the pan was estimated from above-grass measurements using a correlation established between the two, using measurements made in the previous two summers. Changes in heat storage of the water were considered in the derivation of for the pan. A unique relationship for the particular conditions of the site was determined between the for the lysimeter and soil moisture, approaching 1.29 at soil moisture near field capacity, but decreasing to as low as 0.5 for dry soil. The corresponding relationship for the pan showed more scatter, but this was improved by using 5-day running means of evaporation and stratifying the data in terms of wind speed to yield a family of curves. Values for at wet soil conditions varied from 1.07 for 100 km day–1 wind run to 1.17 for 250 km day–1 wind run. For each curve, values of increased by about 20%; as the soil dried. The relationships may be used to reduce observed Class A pan evaporation to equivalent values for wet-soil conditions and to estimate near-surface soil moisture and actual evapotranspiration for this particular site. Extension of the technique to other areas requires derivation of similar relationships appropriate for those other locations 相似文献
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In the last decade pan evaporation measured at the Southern Dead Sea has significantly increased. Wind, temperature and humidity measurements at the Dead Sea starting in the 1930s as well as 3-D model simulations all seem to indicate a statistically significant change in the local climate of the Dead Sea region. The potential contribution to this climatic change through the weakening of the local land-sea breeze circulation caused by the reduction in the Dead Sea surface area in 1979–1981, is examined. It is suggested that since the breeze tempers the Dead Sea climate, its weakening has caused the air temperature to increase, the relative humidity to decrease and thus increased the pan evaporation. The climatic changes as implied by the MM4 Mesoscale PSU/NCAR model simulations, seem to fit the observed changes and to suggest a local tendency to the more arid climate that now prevails to the south of the study region. 相似文献
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Ibrahim M. Oroud 《Theoretical and Applied Climatology》2011,106(3-4):523-530
The Dead Sea (DS) is a terminal hypersaline water body situated in the deepest part of the Jordan Valley. There is a growing interest in linking the DS to the open seas due to severe water shortages in the area and the serious geological and environmental hazards to its vicinity caused by the rapid level drop of the DS. A key issue in linking the DS with the open seas would be an accurate determination of evaporation rates. There exist large uncertainties of evaporation estimates from the DS due to the complex feedback mechanisms between meteorological forcings and thermophysical properties of hypersaline solutions. Numerous methods have been used to estimate current and historical (pre-1960) evaporation rates, with estimates differing by ??100%. Evaporation from the DS is usually deduced indirectly using energy, water balance, or pan methods with uncertainty in many parameters. Accumulated errors resulting from these uncertainties are usually pooled into the estimates of evaporation rates. In this paper, a physically based method with minimum empirical parameters is used to evaluate historical and current evaporation estimates from the DS. The more likely figures for historical and current evaporation rates from the DS were 1,500?C1,600 and 1,200?C1,250?mm per annum, respectively. Results obtained are congruent with field observations and with more elaborate procedures. 相似文献
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Simulation of lake ice and its effect on the late-Pleistocene evaporation rate of Lake Lahontan 总被引：5，自引：0，他引：5
S W Hostetler 《Climate Dynamics》1991,6(1):43-48
A model of lake ice was coupled with a model of lake temperature and evaporation to assess the possible effect of ice cover on the late-Pleistocene evaporation rate of Lake Lahontan. The simulations were done using a data set based on proxy temperature indicators and features of the simulated late-Pleistocene atmospheric circulation over western North America. When a data set based on a mean-annual air temperature of 3° C (7° C colder than present) and reduced solar radiation from jet-stream induced cloud cover was used as input to the model, ice cover lasting 4 months was simulated. Simulated evaporation rates (490–527 mm a–1) were 60% lower than the present-day evaporation rate (1300 mm a–1) of Pyramid Lake. With this reduced rate of evaporation, water inputs similar to the 1983 historical maxima that occurred in the Lahontan basin would have been sufficient to maintain the 13.5 ka BP high stand of Lake Lahontan. 相似文献
7.
To simulate effects of projected climate change on water temperature characteristics of small lakes in the contiguous U.S., a deterministic, one-dimensional year-round water temperature model is applied. In cold regions the model simulates ice and snow cover on a lake. The lake parameters required as model input are surface area, maximum depth, and Secchi depth as a measure of radiation attenuation and trophic state. The model is driven by daily weather data. Weather records from 209 stations in the contiguous U.S. for the period 1961–1979 were used to represent present climate conditions. The projected climate change owing to a doubling of atmospheric CO2 was obtained from the output of the Canadian Climate Center General Circulation Model. The simulated water temperature and ice characteristics are related to the geometric and trophic state lake characteristics and to geographic location. By interpolation, the sensitivity of lake water temperature characteristics to latitude, longitude, lake geometry and trophic status can therefore be quantified for small lakes in the contiguous U.S. The 2× CO2 climate scenario is projected to increase maximum and minimum lake surface temperatures by up to 5.2°C. (Maximum surface water temperatures in lakes near the northern and the southern border of the contiguous U.S. currently differ by up to 13°C.) Maximum temperature differences between lake surface and lake bottom are projected to increase in average by only 1 to 2°C after climate warming. The duration of seasonal summer stratification is projected to be up to 66 days longer under a 2×CO2 climate scenario. Water temperatures of less than 8°C are projected to occur on lake bottoms during a period which is on the order of 50 days shorter under a 2×CO2 climate scenario. With water temperature change projected to be as high as 5.2°C, ecological impacts such as shifts in species distributions and in fish habitat are most likely. Ice covers on lakes of northern regions would also be changed strongly. 相似文献
8.
Changes in annual total precipitation and annual pan evaporation for the Lake Khanka water area during the period of 1949–2015 are analyzed based on observational data of weather stations within the lake basin. The reliability of the calculated values of characteristics affecting evaporation changes was confirmed by their comparison with observations at the 20-m2 evaporation pan installed at Astrakhanka lake station. It is shown that against a background of significant interannual fluctuations of annual precipitation during the whole period under study, its trends are almost absent. However, a rather stable increase in annual precipitation value caused by the summer precipitation rise has been noted since the early 2000s. The value of annual pan evaporation decreased from 1949 to 2015, and the rate of its decrease till 1980 was higher than in the next period. Moreover, some evaporation increase has been observed in the recent decade. The main contribution to the evaporation change is made by wind speed changes which cause about 50% of evaporation variance. Air humidity deficit is the second affecting factor that determines a little over 20% of annual evaporation variance. It is demonstrated that the increase in annual precipitation is possible by the middle of the 21st century, while the change in annual evaporation from the Lake Khanka water area would be minimal. Under such changes in the main components of the lake water regime, no reduction of its level due to natural climate processes should be expected. 相似文献
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水面蒸发量的一种气候学计算方法 总被引：15，自引：1，他引：15
用北京日射站和官厅蒸发站的辐射和蒸发资料对彭曼公式进行订正,得出修正公式 E_0=(ΔH_0+γE_α)/(Δ+γ) H_0=1/59[0.95Q_A(0.167+0.583n/N)-σT_a~4(0.32-0.26e_a~(1/2))(0.30+0.70n/N)] E_a=0.13(e_a-e_d)(1+0.77u),其中H_0是表示为蒸发量单位的辐射平衡,E_a是由风速和饱和差决定的“干燥力”。 自由水面的蒸发量E可用下式表示 E=E_0-F/L,其中F是水面向下的热通量,在升温季节为正值,在降温季节为负值。由于缺少水温梯度观测资料,F不能直接计算。本文建议,对升温或降温季节分别建立水面蒸发E倚蒸发势E_0的回归方程。得出北京地区各月蒸发量的计算公式如下 0.963 E_0-7.0 4—7月 E=0.902 E_0+26.0 9—10月 E_0 8月 相似文献
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近40年京津冀蒸发皿蒸发量变化特征及影响因子 总被引：1，自引：0，他引：1
为了研究京津冀地区蒸发皿蒸发量的变化特征及成因,在京津冀地区200多个气象站中选择资料序列完整且具有较长时间序列、测站环境评分都在70分以上(按照中国气象局对测站探测环境评分标准评分)、均匀分布的87个气象站,利用1970—2013年京津冀地区87个气象站蒸发皿蒸发量以及其他气象要素的观测资料,采用线性倾向估计法和完全相关系数法,分析近44年来京津冀蒸发量变化特征及影响因子。结果表明,近44年来,京津冀地区年、季蒸发量呈明显下降趋势。全年蒸发量减少速率由大到小分别为:山前平原区太行山区冀东平原区燕山丘陵区冀北高原区(蒸发速率由北向南逐渐增大);四季中下降速率为:春季秋季冬季夏季。分析蒸发量与影响因子的完全相关系数发现,气温日较差、日照时数和平均风速是影响京津冀地区蒸发皿蒸发量变化的主要因子,在平原地区,平均风速是主导因子;在山区和高原地区,日照时数是主导因子。 相似文献
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A coupled ocean-atmosphere climate model: temperature versus salinity effects on the thermohaline circulation 总被引：2，自引：0，他引：2
G Edward Birchfield 《Climate Dynamics》1989,4(1):57-71
A simple nonlinear three-box ocean model of the North Atlantic Ocean including the rudiments of eddy mixing, vertical stratification and thermohaline circulation is first presented. It is subject to uniform latitudinal differential heating, q, and net evaporation m
e
, and includes a linear equation of state. Two quite different limiting steady-state solutions exist. The first has a warm saline surface water and a cold, low-salinity deep ocean; deep water is primarily formed in higher latitudes by the prevalence of differential heating. A second limiting solution consists of a warm saline deep ocean underlying a cool, low-salinity surface ocean; deep water is formed primarily in lower latitudes as a consequence of large differential evaporation. A coupled ocean-atmosphere model, in which the oceanic surface heat fluxes are determined internally but with differential evaporation at the ocean surface m
e
remaining an external parameter, is next presented. The atmosphere component is a simple energy balance model that emphasizes the vertical fluxes of radiative, sensible and latent heat fluxes but does not include temperature-albedo feedback. Model response depends on the external parameters m
e
and , controlling the magnitude of the thermohaline-driven circulation, and on the magnitudes of the eddy mixing coefficients and the solar constant. For small m
e
, a steady-state solution corresponding to a cold fresh deep ocean is found, qualitatively similar to the modern ocean. For large m
e
, a steady-state solution with a warm saline deep ocean occurs; this solution resembles conceptual models that have been proposed for the warm saline Cretaceous ocean. There exists an intermediate region of values of m
e
for which the solutions are more complex. On the lower end of this region, both the cold fresh deep-ocean and warm saline deep-ocean circulations coexist as stable equilibria. On the upper end, the cold-deep ocean becomes unstable, manifesting oscillations with growing amplitude, and ultimately reaches the warm saline deep-ocean solution. In the neighborhood of a cusp on the , m
e
plane, that is, for relatively small , more complex behaviour occurs, which has not yet been fully analyzed. The model response in the region of complexity is not sensitive to changes in the solar constant but is sensitive to the eddy mixing coefficients. 相似文献
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Simulation of the sensitivity of Lake Victoria basin climate to lake surface temperatures 总被引：2，自引：0，他引：2
Summary The response of Lake Victoria basin climate to changes in the lake surface temperatures (LST) has been examined using NCAR-Regional climate model (RegCM2). In the control run uniform lake surface temperature of 24°C was prescribed and the model integrated for four months, starting at the beginning of September, 1988. In the anomaly experiments the LST was perturbed by ±1.5°C, and kept constant during the entire period of the integrations.Simulation results show significant relationship between basin-wide spatial distribution of rainfall and changes in LST. In general during the short rains at warmer/cooler LSTs, significant increase/decrease in the simulated rainfall occurs over the lake surface and surrounding areas. Rainfall exceeding the amount in the control run by more than 50%, particularly over the western, south/southwestern and central parts of the lake is simulated in the run in which the LST is 1.5°C warmer than the control. It is also evident from our results that different parts of the lake basin respond differently to LST changes which is in contrast to the common characterization of the lake basin as a single homogeneous climate regime in many previous studies.In general the results show that regions with largest response to LST anomalies during the short rains are collocated with the ITCZ. In October when the ITCZ is directly located over the lake, the largest response (maximum rainfall) is also located over the same region. As the season progresses and the ITCZ shifts out of the lake into northern Tanzania, the regions of rainfall maxima also shift with it. This appears to explain the unexpected reduction in over-lake rainfall in December in spite of the LST being warmer than control by 1.5°C. We believe this is a direct consequence of the enhanced convection to the south of the lake (over ITCZ) and the tendency of the system to conserve local moisture budget over the lake. 相似文献
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Great Lakes Hydrology Under Transposed Climates 总被引：3，自引：0，他引：3
Thomas E. Croley II Frank H. Quinn Kenneth E. Kunkel Stanley a. Changnon 《Climatic change》1998,38(4):405-433
Historical climates, based on 43 years of daily data from areas south and southwest of the Great Lakes, were used to examine the hydrological response of the Great Lakes to warmer climates. The Great Lakes Environmental Research Laboratory used their conceptual models for simulating moisture storages in, and runoff from, the 121 watersheds draining into the Great Lakes, over-lake precipitation into each lake, and the heat storages in, and evaporation from, each lake. This transposition of actual climates incorporates natural changes in variability and timing within the existing climate; this is not true for General Circulation Model-generated corrections applied to existing historical data in many other impact studies. The transposed climates lead to higher and more variable over-land evapotranspiration and lower soil moisture and runoff with earlier runoff peaks since the snow pack is reduced up to 100%. Water temperatures increase and peak earlier. Heat resident in the deep lakes increases throughout the year. Buoyancy-driven water column turnover frequency drops and lake evaporation increases and spreads more throughout the annual cycle. The response of runoff to temperature and precipitation changes is coherent among the lakes and varies quasi-linearly over a wide range of temperature changes, some well beyond the range of current GCM predictions for doubled CO2 conditions. 相似文献
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Latent Heat Flux from Small Sheltered Lakes 总被引：1，自引：0，他引：1
The dependency of the latent heat flux on the over-water fetch on lakes surrounded by tall, dense forest was studied by making use of measurements made on two different-sized lakes. The measurements were made during the NOPEX (Northern Hemisphere Climate-Processes Land Surface Experiment) field campaign. It was found that, in the case of a typical Scandinavian lake with a size of less than 10 km2, the latent heat flux will increase as a function of over-water fetch due to the increase of wind speed and in spite of the increased air humidity. This also has implications on area-averaged fluxes: when two lakes having similar shorelines, lake water temperatures and solar radiation conditions are compared, then the evaporation per unit area is smaller from the smaller lake. When the lakes are large, with fetches of several kilometres, then the significance of sheltering is small. If point measurements are used for the estimation of area-averaged latent heat fluxes from lakes with short fetches and forested shorelines then the distance of the measuring site from the shoreline should be taken into account, otherwise errors of tens of percent may occur. 相似文献
16.
利用1957—2009年南澳县小型蒸发皿蒸发量资料,分析了南澳蒸发量的气候变化趋势。结果表明：南澳10月蒸发量最大,2月蒸发量最少;秋季蒸发量最大,夏季次之,冬季最少。1957—2009年蒸发量呈明显下降趋势,20世纪60—90年代基本上是锐减,21世纪的第1个10 a反而上升,平均以7.2 mm/a的趋势下降;11月减幅最大,7月减幅最小;冬季减幅最大,秋季次之,夏季最小。对蒸发量下降的原因分析表明,日照时数和平均风速的减少与蒸发量的减少呈显著相关,是蒸发量减少的主要影响因子;低云量的增多导致日照时数减少;低云量、总云量、相对湿度、降水量、水汽压与蒸发量呈负相关关系,其中低云量、总云量与蒸发量负相关显著。 相似文献
17.
We estimate the effects of climatic changes, as predicted by six climate models, on lake surface temperatures on a global scale, using the lake surface equilibrium temperature as a proxy. We evaluate interactions between different forcing variables, the sensitivity of lake surface temperatures to these variables, as well as differences between climate zones. Lake surface equilibrium temperatures are predicted to increase by 70 to 85 % of the increase in air temperatures. On average, air temperature is the main driver for changes in lake surface temperatures, and its effect is reduced by ~10 % by changes in other meteorological variables. However, the contribution of these other variables to the variance is ~40 % of that of air temperature, and their effects can be important at specific locations. The warming increases the importance of longwave radiation and evaporation for the lake surface heat balance compared to shortwave radiation and convective heat fluxes. We discuss the consequences of our findings for the design and evaluation of different types of studies on climate change effects on lakes. 相似文献
18.
Study of tropical cyclogenesis using satellite data 总被引：1，自引：1，他引：0
Summary Satellite data are used to study the cloud development and water vapor supply during the genesis of Typhoon Nina (November 1987). Using satellite microwave and infrared data, the following physical parameters are retrieved and analyzed: water vapor path, surface wind, sea surface evaporation, precipitation, and cloud type.During the week prior to the genesis of Nina, several cloud clusters were observed in the region of the subsequent genesis (near 5° N, 170° E). Cloud type studies showed that several clusters had similar structures. By examining the sea surface evaporation and precipitation in the cloud clusters, we found that the precipitation exceeded evaporation by several times in the precipitating areas of the cluster that evolved into a tropical storm, indicating that local evaporation alone could not supply enough water vapor, and that horizontal transfer of water vapor from surrounding areas is required for the tropical cyclogenesis. Surface wind fields indicated that there was a constant increase of cyclonic wind in the area of the cloud cluster that finally led to the tropical storm, while no apparent increase of wind was found in the other cloud clusters. In addition, water vapor amount did not decrease for several days until the disturbance was upgraded to a tropical storm, while it was found to decrease after the mature stage for the other cloud clusters that did not evolve into tropical storms.From consideration of the water vapor balance, the cyclogenesis can be interpreted as a transition from an unbalanced cluster to a balanced cluster. Horizontal transfer of water vapor in a water vapor-unbalanced cloud cluster is not large enough to overcome the deficit caused by precipitation over evaporation. The shortage of water vapor in the unbalanced cluster results in a short-lived cloud cluster. When the sum of evaporation and horizontal transfer can provide enough water vapor supply to balance the removal by precipitation (balanced cluster), the precipitation does not dry up the atmosphere. This is the necessary condition for the cyclogenesis. The increase in horizontal transfer of water vapor is found in this study to be associated with the increase of the surface cyclonic wind.With 5 Figures 相似文献
19.
The natural evaporation in the Dead-Sea is a very important meteorological parameter to the local industries at Sdom. It was found that the pan evaporation in Sdom has recently increased by 20?C25%. In this paper we explore the reasons for this increase. It is found that both large-scale and local climatic changes have contributed to the evaporation increase in the Dead Sea Valley. The large-scale (global) change potentially associated with the global warming, resulted in changes of the frequencies of some synoptic systems in the region. The local change is a result of the recent Dead-Sea drying, which reduced the local Dead-Sea breeze while intensifying the Mediterranean-Sea breeze penetrating the Dead Sea Valley. It is suggested that while the local effect was the dominant climatic change factor in the Dead-Sea Valley in the 1970?C1990, the global effect becomes the dominant one in the more recent evaporation increase in the Dead-Sea. 相似文献
20.
J.-P. LHOMME 《Boundary-Layer Meteorology》1997,82(2):179-191
The relationship between potential evaporation and arealevaporation is assessed using a closed-box model of the convectiveboundary layer (CBL). Potential evaporation is defined as theevaporation that would occur from a hypothetical saturated surface,with radiative properties similar to those of the whole area, and smallenough that the excess moisture flux does not modify thecharacteristics of the CBL. It is shown that the equilibrium rate ofpotential evaporation is given by Ep0=E0,where E0 is the equilibrium evaporation (radiative termof the Penman formula), and is a coefficient similar to thePriestley-Taylor coefficient. Its expression is
, where
is the areal surface resistance, ra is the localaerodynamic resistance, and is the dimensionless slope of thesaturation specific humidity at the temperature of the air. Itscalculated value is around 1 for any saturated surface surrounded bywater, about 1.3 for saturated grass surrounded by well-watered grassand can be greater than 3 over saturated forest surrounded by forest.The formulation obtained provides a theoretical basis to the overallmean value of 1.26, empirically found by Priestley and Taylor for thecoefficient . Examining, at the light of this formulation, thecomplementary relationship between potential and actual evaporation(as proposed by Bouchet and Morton), it appears that the sum ofthese two magnitudes is not a constant at equilibrium, but depends onthe value of the areal surface resistance. 相似文献