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1.
Hüseyin Akay Müsteyde Baduna Koçyiğit A. Melih Yanmaz 《Arabian Journal of Geosciences》2018,11(11):282
In this study, Hydrologic Engineering Center-Hydrologic Modeling System is used to simulate hydrologic processes in a watershed in Western Black Sea Region that frequently experiences flooding. The region is mountainous with steep hill slopes and receives high precipitation throughout the year. There are three stream gauging stations in the basin whose data are available for calibration and validation of hydrologic parameters. Simulations are performed for different scenarios to investigate the effect of using multiple stream gauging stations’ data on catchment wide calibration and validation of hydrologic parameters. Furthermore, performance of using calibrated internal stream gauging stations’ flow data in the estimation of hydrologic parameters in an assumed neighboring ungauged basin was assessed. It is found that using data of multiple stream gauging stations for calibration and validation gives satisfactory results for direct runoff hydrograph but the peak discharge predictions are not improved. The study results suggest that using data of internal stream gauging stations enables improved understanding of internal dynamics and transport in the basin and better predicted direct runoff hydrograph for the assumed neighboring ungauged basin. 相似文献
2.
M. Masoud 《Arabian Journal of Geosciences》2015,8(5):2587-2606
Flash flood forecasting of catchment systems is one of the challenges especially in the arid ungauged basins. This study is attempted to estimate the relationship between rainfall and runoff and also to provide flash flood hazard warnings for ungauged basins based on the hydrological characteristics using geographic information system (GIS). Morphometric characteristics of drainage basins provide a means for describing the hydrological behavior of a basin. The study examined the morphometric parameters of Wadi Rabigh with emphasis on its implication for hydrologic processes through the integration analysis between morphometric parameters and GIS techniques. Data for this study were obtained from ASTER data for digital elevation model (DEM) with 30-m resolution, topographic map (1:50,000), and geological maps (1,250,000) which were subject to field confirmation. About 36 morphometric parameters were measured and calculated, and interlinked to produce nine effective parameters for the evaluation of the flash flood hazard degree of the study area. Based on nine effective morphometric parameters that directly influence on the hydrologic behavior of the Wadi through time of concentration, the flash flood hazard of the Rabigh basin and its subbasins was identified and classified into three groups (High, medium, and low hazard degree). The present work proved that the physiographic features of drainage basin contribute to the possibility of a flash flood hazard evaluation for any particular drainage area. The study provides details on the flash flood prone subbasins and the mitigation measures. This study also helps to plan rainwater harvesting and watershed management in the flash flood alert zones. Based on two historical data events of rainfall and the corresponding maximum flow rate, morphometric parameters and Stormwater Management and Design Aid software (SMADA 6), it could be to generate the hydrograph of Wadi Rabigh basin. As a result of the model applied to Wadi Rabigh basin, a rainfall event of a total of 22 mm with a duration of 5 h at the station nearby the study area, which has an exceedance probability of 50 % and return period around 2 years, produces a discharge volume of 15.2?×?106 m3 at the delta, outlet of the basin, as 12.5 mm of the rainfall infiltrates (recharge). 相似文献
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近年来,无资料或资料缺乏地区汇流计算成为水文研究热点。基于地形参数的地貌瞬时单位线(GIUH)方法凭借其对历史降雨径流实测资料的不依赖性,已然成为径流模拟研究中被普遍采用且效果较好的方法之一。为探讨江苏省无资料山丘区的径流模拟方法,选取具有典型地形地貌特征的镇江通胜洛阳河小流域展开研究。根据地貌特征值等数据提取出该流域的地貌单位线,采用地貌单位线计算径流过程,利用2016、2017年汛期实测的4场洪水进行方法验证,将计算径流与实测数据进行对比分析,结果表明:基于地貌特征的地貌单位线法在该流域洪水模拟中具有较高精度,又因该流域于江苏省乃代表性区域,初步判定可将该方法推广至其他无资料山丘区流域。 相似文献
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针对HEC-HMS模型参数区域化在河南省小流域适用性问题,将HEC-HMS模型应用于河南省内栾川、告成、下河村、裴河、中汤、李青店六个小流域,以栾川、告成、下河村、裴河为参证流域建立模型参数与下垫面特征值之间的回归关系,以中汤、李青店流域为例对区域化结果进行验证。HEC-HMS模型在六个小流域洪水模拟平均合格率分别为80.56%、83.33%、77.78%、80.56%、83.33%、75%,均达到乙级水平,表明HEC-HMS模型能够较好的用于河南省小流域的洪水模拟,区域化方法可有效推求河南省无资料小流域HEC-HMS模型的模型参数。 相似文献
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以van Genuchten模型表述的土壤水分特征曲线为基础,推导出流域单点缺水量,并结合TOPMODEL模型中地形指数与地下水位关系,建立了反映地形和土壤特征共同影响的蓄水容量模型,通过统计方法从栅格尺度蓄水容量获得流域尺度蓄水容量曲线,取代传统新安江模型中率定的蓄水容量曲线。以淮河流域紫罗山子流域为例,分析地形特征与土壤类型对蓄水容量的影响;并与实测流量过程以及原新安江模型模拟的流量过程对比,表明模型能较好地模拟场次洪水过程。模型将蓄水容量曲线显式表述,减少了新安江模型参数,为无资料地区的水文模拟提供了分析方法。 相似文献
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Hydrological modeling of typhoon-induced extreme storm runoffs from Shihmen watershed to reservoir, Taiwan 总被引：1，自引：1，他引：0
Typhoon-induced extreme storm runoffs often cause flood hazards. In this study, a hydrological model (HEC-HMS) was applied to Shihmen watershed located in Taiwan. Three typhoon-induced storm events, with return period ranging from 1 to 90 years, were used in case studies to characterize storm runoff. With a 5-year storm for model calibration, model parameters were carefully calibrated through the comparison between model simulated and observed flows at a stream gage station. The calibrated model was then verified for a 90-year storm and a 1-year storm event. Results indicate that the calibrated and verified HEC-HMS hydrological model is capable of providing satisfactory predictions of the typhoon-induced extreme storm runoff to support reservoir operation and flood hazard mitigation. Based on model simulations, typhoon-induced water table increases for different initial water volumes at Shihmen Reservoir was derived by adding storm-runoff volume to the reservoir’s initial elevation-volume rating curve. Water tables above the top elevation of the dam in the reservoir indicate the need for immediate water releases to avoid the risk of overflow over the dam. 相似文献
9.
当前分布式水文模型的参数确定仍主要依赖率定方式, 在缺资料地区应用受到限制。建立一种基于变动饱和带产流模式和网格水滴汇流方法的分布式产汇流模型, 提出利用下垫面特征来确定模型参数的方法。结合野外入渗试验和参数敏感性分析, 建立地表饱和水力传导度(K0z)和饱和水力传导度随深度衰减系数(f)2个敏感性产流参数与地形参数、土壤类型数据的定量统计关系, 利用野外坡面流观测试验确定坡面汇流参数, 并在多个实际流域进行应用验证。结果表明: ①利用地形参数确定K0z与使用遥感资料确定K0z的模型精度进行对比, 在姜湾实验流域场次洪水模拟的平均确定性系数从0.82提高至0.86, 洪峰与洪量误差的平均绝对值分别降低了2.2%和0.95%, 但峰现时间误差平均绝对值增大了4%(仍控制在2 h内)。②建立姜湾等14个流域参数f率定值与不同深度土壤类型数据的定量关系, 移用至七邻等6个流域进行验证, 表明参数f关系式与模型率定的精度非常接近, 相对误差的平均绝对值为2.8%, 场次洪水模拟的平均确定性系数为0.83, 洪峰与洪量误差的平均绝对值为10.07%和6.86%, 峰现时间误差的平均绝对值为2.61 h。提出的敏感性产流参数确定方法与野外实测、模型率定、遥感资料推求等方式进行对比, 均具有较高的参数估计精度和场次洪水模拟精度, 在缺资料地区具有适用性。 相似文献
10.
Péter Hegedüs Szabolcs Czigány László Balatonyi Ervin Pirkhoffer 《Central European Journal of Geosciences》2013,5(1):97-111
Flash floods are one of the most significant natural hazards of today. Due to the complexity of flash flood triggering factors, to prevent or mitigate flood triggered losses, numeric model based flood forecasting models are capable tools to predict stream water levels. The main goal of the current research was to reproduce two flow peaks with the HEC-HMS rainfall-runoff model and test the model sensitivity for various input parameters. To obtain sufficient input data, we monitored soil depth, maximum infiltration rate, soil moisture content, rainfall, time of concentration and flow. To obtain input data, parameters were calculated, measured in the Sás Valley experimental watershed (SW Hungary) or optimized with the built in function of the HEC-HMS. Soil moisture was monitored in the 1.7 km2 pilot catchment over the period between September 2008 and September 2009. HEC-HMS had a good performance reproducing the two events, however simulated flow time series are highly influenced by the antecedent soil moisture, infiltration rate and canopy storage. Outflow modeled data were verified for two flood events (June 4, 2008 and July 9, 2009). The HEC-HMS was over-sensitive for input soil moisture and with increasing input rainfall and increasing outflow, larger simulation errors were observed. 相似文献
11.
Tashamingo Subdivision in Sinking Creek karst valley, a tributary of the Garretts Spring drainage basin in Jessamine and Woodford counties, Kentucky, was flooded in February 1989. To determine the cause of flooding, the groundwater basin boundary was mapped, discharge data were measured to determine intake capacity of swallets, and hydrologic modeling of the basin was conducted. Swallet capacity was determined to be limited by the hydraulic parameters of the conduit, rather than by obstruction by trash. Flooding from a precipitation event is more likely, and will be higher, when antecedent soil moisture conditions in the watershed are near saturation. Hydrologic modeling shows that suburban development of 20 percent of the southeast basin will cause a small increase in flood stage at Tashamingo Subdivision. 相似文献
12.
Jordan is part of the arid and semi-arid region of the Middle East, where water resources are known to be scarce. Thorough planning is inevitable and must be applied wisely, especially as it is known that drought conditions were evidenced for many years in Jordan.Surface water average accounts for 693 MCM/year out of which 359 MCM/year is base flow and 334 MCM/year flood flow. Therefore, management of surface water has been given great attention in Jordan because of the overexploitation of groundwater resources. Hydrological simulation models interfaced with Geographical Information Systems (GIS) were examined in this study. GIS interfaced hydrological models were considered as a major tool for surface water management at a watershed scale because they are capable of presenting the relationship between the spatial and hydrological features of the watershed in an efficient way. This study aimed at exploring the advantages of using GIS-based hydrological models as a water management tool to study the largest river basin in Jordan namely, the Zarqa River basin.In this study, the Spatial Water Budget Model (SWBM) and HEC-HMS / HEC-GeoHMS extension model were used. The models were calibrated and validated based on King Talal Reservoir inflow for a period of eight years. The calibration was performed for the most sensitive parameters. The calibration for the two models was performed for the years 1979, 1980, 1981 and 1982. Satisfactory results were obtained for both models with an R2 of 0.90 and 0.85 for the HEC-HMS and SWBM model, respectively. Validation for the models was performed using the years 1993, 1994, 1995 and 1996, and the results were satisfactory with an R2 of 0.75 and 0.80 for the SWBM and HEC-HMS model, respectively. Models after their calibration and verification can then be used to test scenarios related to climate change and/or land-use change at the watershed scale. 相似文献
13.
Semi-arid environments are generally more sensitive to urbanization than humid regions in terms of both hydrologic modifications
and water resources sustainability. The current study integrates hydrologic modeling and land use projections to predict long-term
impacts of urbanization on hydrologic behavior and water supply in semi-arid regions. The study focuses on the Upper Santa
Clara River basin in northern Los Angeles County, CA, USA, which is undergoing rapid and extensive development. The semi-distributed
Hydrologic Simulation Program Fortran (HSPF) model is parameterized with land use, soil, and channel characteristics of the
study watershed. Model parameters related to hydrologic processes are calibrated at the daily time step using various spatial
configurations of precipitation and parameters. Potential urbanization scenarios are generated on the basis of a regional
development plan. The calibrated (and validated) model is run under the proposed development scenarios for a 10 year period.
Results reveal that increasing development increases total annual runoff and wet season flows, while decreases are observed
in existing baseflow and groundwater recharge during both dry and wet seasons. As development increases, medium-sized storms
increase in both peak flow and overall volume, while low and high flow events (extremes) appear less affected. Urbanization
is also shown to decrease natural recharge and, when considered at the regional scale, may result in a loss of critical water
supply to Southern California. The current study provides a coupled framework for a decision support tool that can guide efforts
involved in regional urban development planning and water supply management. 相似文献
14.
Flash floods are considered as catastrophic phenomena possessing major hazardous threat to the coastal cities, towns, villages and infrastructures. This study deals with the evaluation of flash flood hazard in the ungauged Wadi Al Lith basin depending on detailed morphometric characteristics of Al Lith basin and its sub-basins. For the detailed study, ASTER data were used for preparing digital elevation model (DEM), and geographical information system (GIS) was used in the evaluation of linear, areal and relief aspects of morphometric parameters. The major parameters such as watershed boundary, flow accumulation, flow direction, flow length and stream ordering are prepared using the ArcHydro Tool. Surface Tool in ArcGIS-10 software, and ASTER (DEM) was used to create different thematic maps such as DEM, contour, slope aspect and hill shade maps. Twenty-five morphometric parameters were measured, calculated and interlinked to produce nine effective parameters for evaluation of the flash flood hazard degree of the study area. Based on nine morphometric parameters which affect the hydrologic behaviour of the Wadi, by influence on time of concentration which has a direct influence on flooding prone area. The flash flood hazard of the Al Lith basin and its sub-basins was identified and classified into three groups (high, medium and low hazard degree). The study provides details on the flash flood-prone area (Wadi Al Lith) and the mitigation measures. This study also helps to plan rainwater harvesting and watershed management in the flash flood alert zones. 相似文献
15.
为分析地形和融雪对水文模拟影响,利用SWAT模型在黄河源区进行1960—1990年水文模拟。二者的影响分别通过对子流域划分高程带和运用融雪模块来体现。研究表明,单独考虑融雪影响或考虑融雪、地形的共同影响下,模拟结果均能达到合格;单独考虑地形的影响下能达到良好。相比融雪影响,地形对流域水量平衡的模拟起主要作用。划分高程带对子流域的气温影响较大,对降水影响小。子流域气温的降低使得蒸散发减小,从而增加产水量,其中地下水增加最多,其次是地表径流和壤中流。地形和融雪的影响使地下水的补给来源改变,调整地下水参数后,最终模拟结果达到优秀。地形和融雪在黄河源区水文模拟中的影响可以为其他高山地区水文研究提供参考。 相似文献
16.
This paper deals with the presentation of a flood warning system (GFWS) developed for the specific characteristics of the Guadalhorce basin (3,200 km2, SE of Spain), which is poorly gauged and often affected by flash and plain floods. Its complementarity with the European flood alert system (EFAS) has also been studied. At a lower resolution, EFAS is able to provide a flood forecast several days in advance. The GFWS is adapted to the use of distributed rainfall maps (such as radar rainfall estimates), and discharge forecasts are computed using a distributed rainfall–runoff model. Due to the lack of flow measurements, the model parameters calibrated on a small watershed have been transferred in most of the basin area. The system is oriented to provide distributed warnings and fulfills the requirements of ungauged basins. This work reports on the performance of the system on two recent rainfall events that caused several inundations. These results show how the GFWS performed well and was able to forecast the location and timing of flooding. It demonstrates that despite its limitations, a simple rainfall–runoff model and a relatively simple calibration could be useful for event risk management. Moreover, with low resolution and long anticipation, EFAS appears as a good complement tool to improve flood forecasting and compensate for the short lead times of the GFWS. 相似文献
17.
Ata Amini Pezhman Taherei Ghazvinei Mitra Javan Bahram Saghafian 《Arabian Journal of Geosciences》2014,7(8):3271-3279
Recently, water and soil resource competition and environmental degradation due to inadequate management practices have been increased and pose difficult problems for resource managers. Numerous watershed practices currently being implemented for runoff storage and flood control purposes have improved hydrologic conditions in watersheds and enhanced the establishment of riparian vegetation. The assessment of proposed management options increases management efficiency. The purpose of this study is to assess the impact of watershed managements on runoff storage and peak flow, and determine the land use and cover dynamics that it has induced in Gav-Darreh watershed, Kurdistan, Iran. The watershed area is 6.27 km2 which has been subjected to non-structural and structural measures. The implemented management practices and its impact on land use and cover were assessed by integrating field observation and geographic information systems (GIS). The data were used to derive the volume of retained water and determine reduction in peak flow. The hydrology of the watershed was modeled using the Hydrologic Engineering Center–Hydrologic Modeling System (HEC–HMS) model, and watershed changes were quantified through field work. Actual storms were used to calibrate and validate HEC–HMS rainfall–runoff model. The calibrated HEC–HMS model was used to simulate pre- and post-management conditions in the watershed. The results derived from field observation and HEC–HMS model showed that the practices had significant impacts on the runoff storage and peak flow reduction. 相似文献
18.
水文模型是模拟水循环过程重要手段,依靠单个模型进行模拟往往存在很大的不确定性,使通过多模型进行组合模拟成为必然趋势。选取3个集总式水文模型应用贝叶斯模型平均(BMA)进行流域月径流量的多模型模拟,采用期望最大化算法推求BMA分布参数以得到BMA均值模拟序列和90%不确定性区间。以武烈河实测数据为例进行分析,结果表明:BMA方法既能通过均值模拟提供更高精度的模拟效果,还可通过不确定性置信区间定量评价模型结构不确定性,为径流模拟提供丰富信息。 相似文献
19.
DEM数据源及分辨率会影响流域特征参数的提取,进而影响水文模拟结果.将ASTER 30 m DEM、SRTM 90 m DEM及基于ASTER 30 m DEM的40 m、50 m、60 m、70 m、80 m、90 m重采样DEM作为HEC-geoHMS模型输入,提取流域特征,采用HEC-HMS模型,以西笤溪流域为研究区域,分析2011年6月和2011年8—9月的两场降雨径流过程中,DEM数据源和分辨率对水文模拟输出的影响.研究结果表明,两次径流模拟结果与实测数据拟合都较好,模型确定性系数都大于0.82,但是单峰的洪水模拟效果总体更好,基于SRTM 90 m的模型确定性系数比基于ASTER 30 m DEM、重采样90 m DEM的模型确定性系数都大.基于重采样DEM的模型确定性系数变化较大,而且与分辨率的变化呈非线性关系.在HEC-HMS的模拟中,基于ASTER 30 m DEM和基于SRTM 90 m DEM的模拟输出结果相对误差相差3%~5%,基于SRTM 90 m DEM和基于重采样90 m DEM的模拟输出结果相对误差相差2%~4%,基于重采样DEM的模拟输出结果相对误差相差最大达到了11%. 相似文献
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为评估最新一代TRMM 3B42-V7卫星降水反演数据产品在珠江流域的精度和适用性,选取位于珠江流域下游的东江和北江流域为研究区域,基于地面雨量站点数据评估了该产品的精度和适用性,并结合可变下渗容量（Variable Infiltration Capacity,VIC）水文模型进行了水文模拟验证。对比分析结果表明,在网格尺度上,大多数网格日尺度相关系数达到0.60以上,月尺度相关系数达到0.90以上,3B42-V7产品表现出较好的精度,在区域尺度上精度得到了进一步提高;水文模拟验证分两种情景下进行,情景Ⅰ的结果表明,当水文模型由地面雨量站点数据率定时,3B42-V7产品数据的水文模拟效果不佳,个别区间内存在对洪峰流量明显的低估;情景Ⅱ的结果表明,由3B42-V7产品数据重新率定水文模型时径流模拟效果有了较大改善,说明该产品可在一定程度上作为资料缺乏地区的降水数据来源。 相似文献