共查询到20条相似文献，搜索用时 46 毫秒
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Ｍａｘｉｍｕｍｅｎｔｒｏｐｙｐｒｉｎｃｉｐｌｅａｎｄｓｔａｔｉｓｔｉｃａｌｄｉｓｔｒｉｂｕｔｉｏｎｏｆｏｃｅａｎｗａｖｅｈｅｉｇｈｔｓ￥ＷｕＫｅｊｉａｎａｎｄＳｕｎＦｕ（ＲｅｃｅｉｖｅｄＭａｙ１５，１９９５；ａｃｃｅｐｔｅｄＪｕｎｅ２１，１９９５）Ａ... 相似文献
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XU Fumin
Ph. D. College of Harbor Waterway Coastal Engineering Hohai University Nanjing P. R. China. 《中国海洋工程》1999,(1)
—The maximum entropy principle(MEP)method and the corresponding probability evaluationmethod are introduced,and the maximum entropy probability distribution expression is deduced in mo-ment of the second order.Fully developed wave height distribution in deep water and wave height and peri-od distribution for different depths in wind wave channel experiment are obtained from the MEP method,and the results are compared with the distribution and the experimental histogram.The waveheight and period distribution for the Lianyungang port is also obtained by the MEP method,and the re-sults are compared with the Weibull distribution and the field histogram. 相似文献
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根据Kjeldsen对畸形波的定义：波高大于有效波高的2倍（H/H1/3＞2）,基于实测波浪资料,统计分析了江苏射阳海域和广东南澳海域的畸形波个数和波浪要素。江苏射阳海域畸形波发生概率为0.005 7%,广东南澳海域畸形波发生概率为0.007%。用Rayleigh分布、双参数Weibull 分布和MER分布对实测数据得到的特征波高进行了拟合,研究了海域内畸形波发生的概率分布。拟合结果表明：MER分布更适合描述两个海域畸形波的发生概率,两个海域畸形波的发生概率均高于Rayleigh分布和Weibull分布。在测量数据期间,台风在海域过境可能增加畸形波的发生概率;同时两个海域的双峰谱占比为22.7%和5.8%,可能也是导致畸形波发生概率增加的原因之一。 相似文献
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Xavier Turon 《Marine Ecology》1990,11(4):291-308
Abstract. The distribution of ascidians from a locality on the Spanish Mediterranean coast is investigated by means of classification and ordination analyses. Five groups or taxocoenoses are recognized, and the species are distributed among them following a gradient of light and hydro-dynamism. This pattern is affected by microhabitat factors (cryptic environments). The distribution of ecological types of ascidians is described. 相似文献
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基于非线性Beta波面分布,采用经验变换,导出1种仅用随机波面偏度λ3和尖度λ4 2个参数表示的非线性海浪波高概率统计分布--波高类Beta分布.此分布发展了线性窄谱假定下的Rayleigh分布.就所用实验室资料验证而言,本文推导的波高类Beta分布要优于几种工程上常用的波高分布. 相似文献
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基于非线性Beta波面分布，采用变换ξ=lnH／γ，导出了一种仅用随机波面偏度λ3和尖度λ4两个参数表示的非线性有效波高概率分布——对数-Beta分布，发展了线性海浪有效波高的双参数对数-正态分布。对比结果表明，对数-Beta分布理论曲线与其对应的实测资料符合良好。推导出的对数-Beta分布的优点是，基本参数较少且便于确定，并可由随机波面高度资料直接推导出对应的有效波高概率密度函数。 相似文献
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利用包含Argo和WOD05的历史现场观测数据集,分析研究了全球历史海温观测的三维时宅分布特征,并对观测数据的偏度特征进行研究.研究结果表明:1)海温观测数据在全球许多海域(特别是南大洋和北冰洋)较为稀少,大多数观测集中在北欧沿海、北美的东西部沿海和西北太平洋区域以及其他少数区域;北半球观测数据明显多于南半球;2)海温具有明显的非对称性分布特征,其非正态分布和有偏现象是一个全球的普遍现象,且随着海区和深度而变化;非正态分布网格数量在任意给定的深度层次上占总网格数的比率超过80%:3)海温观测在各水平层次总体上具有正偏的特性,但在黑潮、湾流、南极绕极流等区域呈现出负偏的特征;具有正偏分布特征的区域网格数量占全球网格总数的比例随着深度的增加而增加,至600 m时达到75%左右. 相似文献
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This paper examines the effects of digital processing, and therefore discretisation or sampling, of sea surface elevations that are, in reality, continuous. Using random linear wave theory, probability distributions for the measured (as opposed to actual) wave amplitudes and heights have been obtained which are conditional on the sampling rate. It is shown that with low sampling rates there are significant departures from the usual Rayleigh distribution. Rates of 1 Hz or less may lead to significant underestimation of the probability of very large waves. An analysis of full-scale measurements obtained from a platform in the North Sea supports these results. 相似文献
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A probability density function of surface elevation is obtained through improvement of the method introduced by Cieslikiewicz who employed the maximum entropy principle to investigate the surface elevation distribution. The density function can be easily extended to higher order according to demand and is non-negative everywhere, satisfying the basic behavior of the probability. Moreover because the distribution is derived without any assumption about sea waves, it is found from comparison with several accepted distributions that the new form of distribution can be applied in a wider range of wave conditions. In addition, the density function can be used to fit some observed distributions of surface vertical acceleration although something remains unsolved. 相似文献
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工程设计Weibull分布参数拟合的改进方法 总被引：2，自引：0，他引：2
董胜 《中国海洋大学学报(自然科学版)》1999,(1)
图解法是求解Ｗｅｉｂｕｌ分布中３个可调参数的传统方法。但参数的推求过程要图解试求,反复调整,最后结果往往不是最佳拟合参数;线性最小二乘法是最近几年提出的一种求解Ｗｅｉｂｕｌ分布参数的方法,但其精度受位置参数初始迭代值的影响很大。文中运用麦奎尔特法推求Ｗｅｉｂｕｌ分布的参数,实现了参数推求的一举寻优。算例表明,拟合方法可行实用,拟合精度明显提高。 相似文献
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基于Tweedie-GAM模型研究海州湾小黄鱼资源丰度与栖息环境的关系 总被引：1，自引：0，他引：1
本研究根据2011年及2013—2016年春季和秋季在海州湾及其邻近海域进行的底拖网调查数据，结合同步采集的底层海水温度、底层海水盐度、水深、底质类型，以及脊腹褐虾(Crangon affinis)、细螯虾(Leptochela gracilis)、鳀(Engraulis japonicus)、赤鼻棱鳀(Thrissa kammalensis)等小黄鱼(Larimichthys polyactis)主要饵料生物的资源丰度数据，采用条件数κ和方差膨胀因子(VIF)度量多重共线性的程度，选取关键环境因子，再应用基于Tweedie分布的广义可加模型(GAM)研究不同季节和不同生长阶段的小黄鱼资源丰度与环境因子的关系。多重共线性的检验表明，所有初始变量之间没有显著的多重共线性，均可作为解释变量代入模型。结果表明:不同季节和生长阶段，影响小黄鱼资源分布的主要因子及其偏差解释率各不相同，各变量所对应的适宜范围也不同。例如:影响春季小黄鱼幼体资源分布的主要因子有底层海水温度、底层海水盐度、水深和脊腹褐虾的分布，其中偏差解释率最大的因子为水深(16.09%)；而影响春季成体资源分布的因子为底层海水温度、底层海水盐度、水深及脊腹褐虾和鳀的分布，其中偏差解释率最大的因子为底层海水盐度(13.56%)。本研究表明，海州湾及其邻近海域不同季节和不同生长阶段小黄鱼的资源分布与其自身的生态习性、海洋环境以及饵料生物的分布密切相关。 相似文献
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耿贝尔逻辑模型在极值风速和有效波高联合概率分布中的应用 总被引：7，自引：1，他引：7
首先介绍了耿贝尔逻辑模型，采用该模型对南海海域的涠州岛海洋站的风速和有效波高实测数据进行了分析，结果表明耿贝尔逻辑模型较好地描述了年极值风速和有效波高两随机变量的联合分布；采用得到的极值风浪联合概率分布推算了不同重现期的极值风速和波高，表明考虑风速和波高相关性对设计荷载的确定有显著影响。由于耿贝尔逻辑模型具有函数结构简单，参数估计方便，因此有望成为极值风速和波高联合分布的较理想概率模型。 相似文献
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The paper discusses the development of a frequency dependent directional spread from an initial condition of frequency-independence. The study applies basin directional measurements from the Maritime Research Institute Netherlands (MARIN), simulated data from a nonlinear wave equation, and field measurements from the Ekofisk field. The basin experiments and numerical simulations are initialized with a JONSWAP spectrum with frequency-independent directional distributions. In both cases we observe the development of a strong frequency-dependence of the directional spread. The numerical simulations suggest that static nonlinear contributions to the surface elevation partially explain the behavior below the spectral peak in accordance with [1]. There are also dynamic nonlinear contributions on both sides of the spectral peak. 相似文献
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The violent motion (sloshing) of liquefied natural gas (LNG) in cargo tanks has attracted significant attention. Transformations of the LNG market have led to the increased transport of LNG in partially filled tanks, but established technology is mainly based on engineering experience with completely filled containers. This paper investigates a large sample of sloshing pressure measurements. It focuses on the magnitude of individual sloshing impact events, and their associated temporal and spatial patterns. The durations of these impacts are comparable to the natural frequency of an LNG container wall, so the details of their time histories are important in determining the structural response. Experiments are performed on tanks with high (92.5%) and low (30%) filling levels, for various wave headings. The common post-processing approach of representing impact pressure histories by a triangular profile is studied, and an alternative approach is presented. Two statistical models are used to describe the distribution of maximal pressures in sloshing impacts: a three-parameter Weibull model and a generalized Pareto model. The latter is found to be of questionable utility due to small sample sizes. It is observed that for low filling levels the sloshing impacts are of greater magnitude, having longer durations, smaller ratios of rise time to duration, and larger spatial extents. All these factors should in principle increase the structural response. 相似文献
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基于copula函数论述了两变量的联合概率分布方法.此方法的主要优点是边缘分布可由不同的分布函数构成,变量间可具相关性.以粤东汕尾海域极值波高与相应风速为研究实例,经分析获得以下结果:(1)优选的极值波高和风速可分别由P-Ⅲ型和GEV 分布表示:(2)拟合优度检验指标表明二者的最优连接函数为Archimedean co... 相似文献
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Wang Yonggang Shi Qingzeng
Postgraduate Tianjin University Tianjin Professor Dept. of Ocean Eng. Naval Arch. Tianjin Univ. Tianjin 《中国海洋工程》1996,(1)
The level ice thickness and compressive strength at the four measuring stations in the Liaodong Bay are inferred according to the hydrologic and meteorologic data there, then the yearly extreme ice forces on a solitary pile are calculated by the use of appropriate formula of ice forces and its probabilistic distribution is determined. Generally, the yearly extreme ice force follows Weibull distribution best as compared with Normal, Lognormal, and Extreme Value I distribution. On the other hand, the short-term distribution of ice forces on a solitary pile is obtained from the model experiment data analysis: It does not refuse Extreme Value I distribution. 相似文献