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1.
Since Berry argued in 1976 that counterurbanization had replaced urbanization in the U.S., a debate has ensued as to whether the phenomenon also exists in Western Europe. Proponents of a developmental theory of counterurbanization contend that the phenomenon should be evident in countries which have achieved a very high level of socioeconomic development, including the Federal Republic of Germany (FRG). Most of the German and English language literature on the topic suggests the contrary for the FRG. Here urbanization and counterurbanization are restricted to specific geographic meanings, i.e., spatial agglomeration and deglomeration. Results from four interrelated tests show a trend toward counterurbanization evident as early as the 1960s in the post-war regional demographic data of the FRG. 相似文献
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AMENITY MIGRATION IN THE U.S. SIERRA NEVADA* 总被引：1，自引：0，他引：1
ABSTRACT. Since 1960 California's Sierra Nevada counties have ranked among the regions with the strongest relative population growth in the state. Reassessment of peripheral areas has been the main force driving population and settlement growth in the central Sierra Nevada of California and Nevada, termed “amenity migration” or “counterurbanization.” This study analyzes the impacts of amenity migrants—“urban refugees”—on socioeconomic conditions in high‐mountain regions. We define these regions as the “High Sierra,” comprising zones at elevations more than 1,800 meters above sea level. People who migrate to the High Sierra tend to be white and well educated, with considerable household earnings. Unlike the population in the foothills, these migrants are not senior citizens. Their demand for periodic or permanent residences has caused housing prices to increase enormously. As a result, a majority of homes are now priced well beyond the reach of local salaries, which may lead to potential conflict between locals and newcomers. The massive settlement expansion in high‐mountain areas requires a new approach to land‐use planning, one that takes functional regions into account. Therefore, it is expedient to reassess existing jurisdictional boundaries. 相似文献
4.
在“一带一路”与“中蒙俄经济走廊”倡议的背景下,利用人口增减变化率、人口重心、人口密度变化率、人口地理集中度、人口商度等研究21世纪以来俄罗斯的人口增长与空间分布格局变化。结果表明：（1）21世纪以来,俄罗斯人口经历了先降后增的变化过程;中央区的人口显著上升,伏尔加、西伯利亚与远东区均呈下降趋势;莫斯科、圣彼得堡、乌拉尔区、北高加索区南端的联邦主体人口快速增加,西伯利亚区多数联邦主体人口缓慢增加,远东东部、莫斯科外围地域、伏尔加区多数联邦主体的人口缓慢减少,西北区北端联邦主体的人口急剧减少。（2）俄人口空间分布格局变化主要受地区间人口迁移流动的影响。空间上,俄人口重心不断朝西北向迁移,莫斯科市与圣彼得堡市的人口密度快速增加,远东与东西伯利亚区的人口密度缓慢降低,强化了俄人口分界线——“圣彼得堡-图瓦线”。以“圣图线”为界,俄“西密东疏”“欧洲密、亚洲疏”的格局短期不会改变,整体呈“一横、四纵、两团”及若干区域人口集团的空间结构。 相似文献
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A region's elderly population has two sources of growth: net migration and the net aging-in-place of its resident population. This paper outlines a method for identifying the projected relative contribution of these two sources of elderly population growth over time, and illustrates it with data for the states of Arizona, California, Florida, Illinois, and New York. The sources of elderly population growth differ between regions and over time. 相似文献
6.
Rowland RH 《Soviet geography》1982,23(8):557-583
"The related topics of regional net migration and ethnic Russian population redistribution and change in the USSR are investigated for the intercensal period 1970-79 in comparison to 1959-70 by economic regions and subdivisions. The results reveal that the main migration and Russian shifts continued to be from internal to peripheral regions. However, compared with the 1959-70 period, regional rates for 1970-79 were more equalized, and a south-to-north shift seemed to be occurring in both cases." The author notes that "aggregate measures...suggest that the traditional eastward movement of Russians is slowing. Correlation analysis indicates that migration and ethnic Russian change patterns are associated with selected indices of modernization. The south-to-north shift, in particular, has been fairly strong in relation to changes in capital investment. Prospects of a northward migration of Turkic Moslems from Central Asia are also discussed." 相似文献
7.
Understanding population growth in the peri-urban region 总被引：1，自引：0，他引：1
Ford T 《International journal of population geography : IJPG》1999,5(4):297-311
This article advocates a new approach to understanding periurban population growth. A conceptual model is developed that identifies four distinct growth processes: suburbanization, counterurbanization, population retention, and centripetal migration. Each of these growth processes acts differently on particular population subgroups. The differences are reflected in variations in the spatial manifestation of periurban growth within Australia. Suburbanization process is differentiated from counterurbanization by employing three indicators of suburbanization. The first indicator includes the broad situation of the periurban destination and is defined as in-migration from the metropolitan area to adjacent, accessible periurban locations. The second indicator lies in the assessment of the commuting and social linkages with the metropolitan maintained by migrants. The third indicator is the nature of the migrants' residential destination site. Counterurbanization is largely seen to be a shift in population down the urban hierarchy to smaller centers and localities beyond the existing metropolitan boundaries. Furthermore, the article discusses the four indicators that distinguish counterurbanization from suburbanization. Another important process contributing to periurban growth is population retention. Two key indicators that lie in the measurement of increased period of residence and reduced rates of out-migration overtime characterize this process. 相似文献
8.
David A. Plane 《The Professional geographer》1999,51(1):1-11
For perhaps the first time since the founding of the United States the net direction of interstate migration was to the east rather than the west for the period 1992–1993 through 1994–1995. This and other findings, such as a general slowdown in the southward tendency of U.S. population movement over the period 1980–1981 to 1994–1995, are highlighted using the concept of migration drift. I propose the migration drift measure to summarize the net directionality and distance moved by migrants in any country's population system. Like the concept of a center of population or a population centroid, migration drift is an intuitive one. Unlike the population centroid, however, migration drift summarizes the pure effects of population movement without confounding those influences with spatial variations in birth, death, and net foreign immigration rates. 相似文献
9.
"It is well known that similar changes of migration pattern occurred during recent decades in most developed countries; core regions recorded a greatly decreased net in-migration in the 1970s, but increased net in-migration in the 1980s. Based on shift-share analysis of the migration data of Japan, Sweden and Canada, this paper reveals that changing cohort size, especially related to the fertility fluctuation of baby boom and bust, has played an important role in the turnarounds. Furthermore, it is elucidated from a series of correlation analyses that this demographic factor was closely linked with labour-market restructuring in terms of industrial/occupational employment changes." 相似文献
10.
基于2017年全国流动人口动态监测数据,运用描述统计和社区发现等方法,研究流动人口在初次流动和当前流动的空间格局及其变动特征。结果发现：1）从区域差异看,流动人口初次流动和当前流动的流出地格局保持相对稳定,流入地格局的变化主要体现在：在当前流动阶段,流入中部地区的比例下降而西部地区比例上升;流入特大城市的比例明显下降而I型大城市、中等城市和I型小城市的比例上升;流向直辖市和计划单列市的比例上升而流向副省级和省会城市的比例下降。2）从行政地级市间净迁移格局看,流动人口初次和当前流动的净迁移格局稳定性强,净迁入地区以“块状”分布于东部沿海省份的发达地市和“点状”分布于中西部省会及部分资源型和口岸型地市,净迁出地区连片分布在中西部地区的大多数地市与沿海省份的内陆地市。3）流动人口初次和当前流动以就近迁移与远程迁移交织的流迁模式为主,且由此刻画的行政地级市间迁移网络格局呈现以“胡焕庸线”为界的“东密西疏”现象;但也出现在当前流动阶段迁往京津冀的迁移流规模降低,长三角取代珠三角成为流入地首选区域的特征。4）流动人口生计策略的稳定性与人口迁移流动的空间惯性,是流动人口初次和当前流动空间格局表现出相似性的主要原因,而产业结构转型升级及在不同地市间的梯度转移是促使流动人口在流入地选择上发生变化的重要力量。 相似文献
11.
1985-2015年中国省际人口迁移网络特征 总被引：1，自引：0，他引：1
随着中国城市经济的发展以及城镇化的快速推进,人口迁移的空间格局发生了重大变化。本文基于1985-2015年全国省际人口迁移矩阵数据,运用社会网络分析方法,探讨中国省际人口迁移网络的整体特征以及每个节点在网络中的地位作用。研究结论为：①省际人口迁移网络密度经历了1985-2000年的缓慢下降、2000-2015年持续上升的过程,与西北、西南和中部主要人口迁出地向东部经济发达地区的集中性迁移成为发展主流密切相关。②人口迁移网络的内向中心势明显大于外向中心势,说明人口迁入地相对集中,人口迁出地相对分散。③省际人口迁移网络可分为东北—华北人口联动区、中原—长三角人口联动区、中南—华南人口联动区、西南人口联动区、西北人口联动区5个子群。其中,中原—长三角人口联动区是群内和群间联系最紧密的区域;中南—华南人口联动区是全国人口累计迁移量最高的区域;东北—华北人口联动区内部联系较强,对外仅与西北人口联动区联系较强。④基于中心性分析以及核心—边缘结构划分,各省(市、区)对于人口迁移网络的贡献意义不同,广东、北京具有全局控制意义,江苏、陕西、四川、浙江基本处于核心节点序列,上海、天津、内蒙古、福建核心作用逐渐增强,河南、湖北、河北、新疆核心作用出现下降,全国人口迁移路径总体向北偏移。 相似文献
12.
Kornev IN 《Soviet geography》1983,24(5):361-368
A basic task in population geography is to investigate the spatial aspects of Soviet population policy. The concept of a demogeographic region is proposed as an approach for planning and managing demographic processes. A demogeographic region is an area with a certain combination of conditions and factors affecting demographic processes in order to endow it with distinctive tendencies in the evolution of demographic processes and structures and, as a result, with a given type of demographic indications. A demogeographic regionalization should be considered as a particular type of general economic regionalization. A method of identifying demogeographic regions with particular reference to the region Sverdlovsk Oblast has been worked out. It involves several steps. A preparatory stage involves the study of the territorial characteristics of urbanization in the oblast and the use of the field potential technique to identify areas with different levels of urbanization. The field potential of settlement makes it possible to establish spatial concentrations of population and the gravitation of places within the field of settlement, which are the basic features of contemporary urbanization. The number of minor civil divisions of Sverdlovsk Oblast was classified on the basis of demographic characteristics reflecting population change, age and sex structure, natural increase, and migration. The pattern recognition method, which makes it possible to combine into classes those elements that come closest to each other in terms of a series of attributes, was used. The entire set of minor civil divisions in Sverdlovsk Oblast was divided into 4 classes that differed in the quantitative parameters of demographic characteristics. These classes happen to have a fairly compact distribution within the oblast so that these classes could also be treated as territorial types of demographic setting. The plotting of these types on a map of the field potential of settlement yielded 3 demographic regions within the oblast: a Central Region with a high level of urbanization and steady population growth; a Peripheral Region with a low level of urbanization and a pronounced population decline; and a Transition Region with a medium level of urbanization, broken down into 2 subregions A (with stable population) and B (with declining population). The spatial and functional linkages between urbanization and demographic processes that can be identified within demogeographic regions suggest that any modification of some processes will affect others. This is crucial for controlling the spatial development of urbanization and demographic processes. Consequently, the demographic setting within Sverdlovsk Oblast can be optimized by controlling the demographic development within demographic regions. That proposition is illustrated with some examples. 相似文献
13.
尹祖杏 《云南地理环境研究》2007,19(5):40-45,54
居住郊区化是人口郊区化的最直接体现,也是引导城市其他经济活动郊区化的直接因素.因此,居住郊区化成为研究昆明郊区化的一个很有意义的视角.根据历年统计资料、文献资料以及他人调查的资料,从人口变化的情况人手,论证昆明市居住郊区化现象,得出昆明市已经开始进入郊区化阶段;进而分析昆明市住宅郊区化的动力机制和存在的问题,社会经济的发展、城市问题的产生、高速公路网以及私家车的日渐普及、住房制度改革以及保护文化名城的需要等多种因素.它们共同作用构成了昆明郊区化机制系统. 相似文献
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人口老龄化城乡倒置现象是中国全面建成小康社会中面临的严峻挑战。文章利用GIS空间聚类、多元逐步回归等模型,在省域尺度上分析中国人口老龄化城乡倒置现象的时空演变特征及驱动机制。结果表明：1）时序演化方面,随着中国人口老龄化水平不断提高,其城乡倒置的现象也日趋显著。2）空间格局演化方面,1995—2018年,城乡倒置现象的空间集聚强度总体呈“低—高—低”的倒U型变化趋势。其首先出现在东部沿海地区,随后逐渐向中西部扩张,最终演化成为全国性的普遍现象。3）驱动机制方面,人口老龄化城乡倒置现象背后存在着复杂多维、非线性的交互作用机制。其中,人口和经济因子是该现象的主要驱动因子。对于经济欠发达、人口流出较为严重、农村老龄化水平较高的西部省份,其农村地区“又老又穷”的现象已经成为其乡村振兴、精准扶贫等战略实施过程中的关键挑战。 相似文献
15.
山区综合开发必须调整偏农型产业结构,实行合理利用自然资源和旨在使山区人口向山下流动的积极的社会经济政策,摆脱与分散性密切相关的自给自足观念。由于山区物质、信息流动阻力大,城镇发展宜取多核分散型,要注意交通等基础设施的超前建设,改善山区环境。 相似文献
16.
Meltwater from snow provides an important source of fresh water for agriculture, domestic use, and hydroelectric power in many regions of the world. In the winter and early spring, however, rapid ablation of the snowpack can lead to environmental hazards such as flooding. Most snowmelt research has relied on measured data, which have limited the spatial and temporal resolution of the studies. Generally, these studies have been conducted at single locations over periods of a few days to a few weeks. This project investigates snowdepth changes on a more expansive scale by using a one-dimensional mass- and energy-balance model (SNTHERM) to compute the convective and radiative fluxes associated with large snow-depth change events. Midwinter snow-depth changes and the variability in snow-depth changes are evaluated for a 25-year time period over the northern Great Plains region of the United States during February. Statistical analyses indicate that variations in sensible heat flux have the greatest influence on midwinter variability of snow-depth changes. This is shown by the consistently strong relationship between modeled sensible heat-flux values and changes in snow depth over the entire study period and at nearly every station. Mean daily temperature followed by mean daily dew-point temperature show the next strongest statistical relationships with snow-cover ablation. Radiative fluxes and net solar radiation in particular, have low correlations with changes in snow depth and are therefore found to have little impact on snow-depth change variability during the month of February. Although net solar radiation is not highly correlated with the variability of decreases in depth, its energy input is nevertheless an important source of energy for ablation processes. [Key words: snow melt, modeling, Great Plains.] 相似文献
17.
中国春运人口省际流动的时空与结构特征 总被引：3，自引：1，他引：2
本文通过构建人口省际流动的关系矩阵,透视2015年中国春节期间人口省际流动的动态过程、网络特征,并对各省人口流入、流出的规模差异进行测度。研究结论如下：①春节前后中国各省每日人口净流入人次存在显著的规律性特征,2月13-17日和2月25日-3月1日为各省节前返乡流和节后返工流期间人口净流入、流出峰值时段,可作为基于春运研究中国人口省际流动的重要依据;②识别了14个人口净流入省、17个人口净流出省,净流入位序前六省和后八省分别吸纳和提供了全国9成人口的集聚与扩散。人口主要流入省的沿海绵延和主要流出省的中部“人口塌陷”共同构成了双纵格局;③各省流出首位流的指向特征显著,南方人口流出省的流出指向存在共性,京津、长三角、珠三角地区的人口集聚路径存在差异。④移动数据为发掘人口流动过程中蕴含的丰富信息提供了平台,基于节后、节前净流入值差值的方法可以有效识别中国人口流动的规模差异、属性特征。通过与以往研究对比,证实了移动数据与基于人口普查数据研究的诸多结论相似性。 相似文献
18.
T. Edwin Chow Ryan T Schuermann Anne H Ngu Khila R Dahal 《International journal of geographical information science》2018,32(10):1977-1998
Volunteered Geographic Information, social media, and data from Information and Communication Technology are emerging sources of big data that contribute to the development and understanding of the spatiotemporal distribution of human population. However, the inherent anonymity of these crowd-sourced or crowd-harvested data sources lack the socioeconomic and demographic attributes to examine and explain human mobility and spatiotemporal patterns. In this paper, we investigate an Internet-based demographic data source, personal microdata databases publicly accessible on the World Wide Web (hereafter web demographics), as potential sources of aspatial and spatiotemporal information regarding the landscape of human dynamics. The objectives of this paper are twofold: (1) to develop an analytical framework to identify mobile population from web demographics as an individual-level residential history data, and (2) to explore their geographic and demographic patterns of migration. Using web demographics of Vietnamese–Americans in Texas collected in 2010 as a case study, this paper (1) addresses entity resolution and identifies mobile population through the application of a Cost-Sensitive Alternative Decision Tree (CS-ADT) algorithm, (2) investigates migration pathways and clusters to include both short- and long-distance patterns, and (3) analyze the demographic characteristics of mobile population and the functional relationship with travel distance. By linking the physical space at the individual level, this unique methodology attempts to enhance the understanding of human movement at multiple spatial scales. 相似文献
19.
This research investigates the interregional migration of partnered gays and lesbians between 1995 and 2000 as the first attempt at understanding the determinants of gay and lesbian migration using data from the Public Use Microdata Sample of the 2000 U.S. Census. Briefly, the findings are as follows. Both partnered gays and lesbians are regionally distributed throughout the United States consistent with the geographical distribution of the entire U.S. population. However, the shifting location of the partnered gay and lesbian population between 1995 and 2000 demonstrates significant variability. The general conclusion to be reached from models of the net migration of the partnered gay and lesbian population in that period is as follows: Partnered gay migration is directed toward moderate‐sized urban regions rich in natural amenities without regard for tolerance toward gay lifestyles or the absolute or relative size of the partnered gay community. Partnered lesbian migration is focused on less‐populous regions with a large, existing, partnered lesbian population. The role of natural amenities, the tolerance for lesbian lifestyles, and population density are not significant in determining partnered lesbian migration. The only trait partnered gay and lesbian migrations have in common is in their move toward less populous regions. 相似文献
20.
Taylor J 《The Australian geographer》1998,29(1):125-137
"Despite the fact that indigenous Australians are known to be frequently mobile over the short term, statistical information regarding this population movement is grossly deficient.... This paper examines various means by which short-term population movement can be quantified to yield aggregate indicators of demographic impact. First, census data are used to establish the rate and pattern of inter-regional, short-term displacement. This reveals regional urban centres as net recipients of temporary residents while most rural areas experience temporary absenteeism. Secondly, results from household surveys are reported stressing the importance of including visitors to households in the estimation of service populations. Thirdly, administrative data on occupancy in urban hostels are used to derive indicators of the duration of movement." 相似文献