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1.
库车5.6级、拜城5.3级地震形变前兆异常 总被引：4，自引：1，他引：3
分析研究了 1999年 3月 15日库车 5.6级、6月 17日拜城 5.3级地震前新疆克孜尔水库形变站观测到的前兆异常。库车 5.6级地震前 ,第一形变站基线具有突变性 ,异常幅度达 2 80μm,水准异常为渐进式 ,幅度稍小 ,但异常持续时间较长。在此次地震前其它测站的 14条垂直、水平形变测线都有程度不同的异常显示 ,最大异常量级为 1.2× 10 -5,中期异常达 1年以上 ,短期异常持续约 10 0天 ,临震异常在震前 7～ 15天出现。拜城 5.3级地震前各测线也观测到了较明显的前兆异常 ,最大异常量级为 8.3× 10 -6,短期异常持续近两个月。 相似文献
2.
天山地区流动重力重复测量资料前兆异常识别判断据、地震预报指标及效能评价 总被引：1，自引：0，他引：1
通过对15年以来的流动重力重复测量资料的统计分析,认为在Ms5.0左右及大于Ms5.0地震前重力资料有显著的前兆异常.异常识别判据定为相邻两期段差变化绝对值大于、等于40×10-8m@s-2.预报指标发震时间为测出异常后12(±6)个月内;地点在异常测段周围150 km(特殊地质构造关系250 km)范围内;震级一般为Ms5.0左右(异常量大于70×10-8m@s-2时为5-6级).预报效能评价为66.13%. 相似文献
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1988年11月6日澜沧——耿马地震后,使用2台Worden重力仪在7.6级地震震中附近的大塘乡下扎二进行了定点场地重力测量,本文对这次重力测量的结果进行了初步分析,认为观测期间在竹塘附近发生的二次强余震(11月27日,M=5.9,11月30日,M=6.7),震前引起了约30×10~(-8)ms~(-2)的重力变化,并且认为这二次强余震的孕育过程可以用DD模式来进行解释,据此初步估算这二次强余震之前的最大应力值约4×10~7达因/厘米~2,应变值约4×10~(-5),震源体的隆起约12厘米。 相似文献
5.
地磁日变规律的破坏与地震的关系研究 总被引：3，自引：3，他引：3
王亶文 《地震地磁观测与研究》2003,24(1):1-6
2001年11月14日昆仑山8.1级地震前，震中距为400km的格尔木台地磁垂直分量Z的日变形态发生异常，1998年1月10日张北Ms6.2地震前，北京台和静海台Z的日变形态也有异常。但是，2000年1月15日云南姚安Ms6.5地震和1月27日丘北Ms5.5地震前，通海台的Z分量无异常。这可能与地震的复杂性有关。 相似文献
6.
收集了粤桂琼地区4个台站的连续重力观测资料和雷琼地区的流动重力观测资料,研究了广西北流—广东化州5.2级地震前粤桂琼地区重力变化特征。其中连续重力观测资料的分析从重力扰动和重力M2波潮汐因子变化两个方面进行;流动重力观测资料的分析从重力场差分动态和累积动态变化两个方面进行。连续重力观测资料的研究表明震前粤桂琼地区连续重力观测资料无异常现象;雷琼地区流动重力观测资料的研究结果表明,广西北流—广东化州5.2级地震前,震中附近地区存在重力场变化异常,异常持续时间约2年,异常范围约100 km,异常量级约50x10~(-8)m·s~(-2),地震发生于重力场变化的高梯度带上。 相似文献
7.
研究了196次Ms3.2～7.9地震（94％以上为Ms4.0地震）前1139次（道次）地电阻率中短期异常,得到以下结果:① 异常时间与震级之间为非线性增长关系,大致分为３个阶段:Ms5.0地震,异常时间随震级增大基本上是快速的线性增长;5.0＜Ms＜6.5地震,增长速度逐步变小;Ms6.5地震,增长速度很小．② 异常幅度与震级之间为非线性的指数式增长关系,也大致分为３个阶段:Ms5.0地震,随震级增大异常幅度增长很小;5.0＜Ms＜6.5地震,逐步趋于加速增长;Ms6.5地震,加速增长．定性解释、并利用流变介质模型探讨了异常时间、幅度与震级之间非线性关系的物理机制． 相似文献
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一、前言 1986年7月10日和8月12日盐源发生Ms=5.1和Ms=5.4级两次地震,是继1976年11月7日和12月13日盐源—宁蒗一带发生6.7和6.4级地震之后,10余年中不断发生的强余震之一——属晚期强余震。其震级的最大差值ΔM_(max)=1.6,其震级的最小差值ΔM_(min)=1.0,与巴特(M·(?)ath)的余震定律:ΔM=1.2±0.5是吻合的。 相似文献
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澜沧—耿马地震的破裂过程 总被引：7，自引：0，他引：7
本文收集了国内各个单位和国外EDR报告给出的澜沧——耿马地震的震源参数和震源机制解参数,讨论了它们之间差别的原因。由地震定标律给出了主震7.5级地震的断层长度、宽度、面积和平均错距的估计值,结果分别为52 km,26 km,1.3×10~3 km~2,2.0 m。研究了它们的破裂方向:像是从中间地区分别向东南(产生最大主震7.5级地震)和西北方向(产生次大主震7.0级地震)破裂扩展,但不是同时,相隔了约13分钟。本文还讨论了第二次主震(Ms7.0)比第一次主震(Ms7.5)造成的地面破坏面积大的原因。 相似文献
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2022年1月8日青海门源县发生6.9级地震,此次地震前青海地区出现了大量地球物理观测异常。2021年10月下旬青海地区出现地磁垂直强度极化高值异常,10月27日异常台站最多,并在门源-祁连至兴海地区形成一个面积约为6.6×104km2的高值异常区;此外,2021年7—11月青海地区8项地下流体观测数据出现准同步异常变化。结合青海及周边地区历史震例的分析结果,认为2021年11月23日至2022年1月23日,青海西北部地磁垂直强度极化高值区内可能发生5.6～6.4级地震。门源6.9级地震发生在地磁垂直强度极化异常出现后的73天,震中位于预测区的边缘,地震的发生时间和地点与预测意见一致,但震级超出预测意见上限值0.5级。此次地震前基于地球物理观测地震预测指标体系开展的短临异常跟踪分析过程,对中国大陆西部地震预报工作具有一定的参考意义。 相似文献
12.
Wang Shuang-xu Jiang Zai-sen Chen Wen-sheng Zhang Xi Chen Bing Zhang Si-xin Wang Ji-ying 《地震学报(英文版)》2001,14(2):156-165
The time-space distribution characteristics of fault deformation anomaly in the near-source region and its outlying zone in
the seismogenic process of the Jingtai M
s=5.9 earthquake occurred on June 6, 2000 in Gansu Province is studied preliminarily. The distribution scope of fault deformation
anomaly before the earthquake is wide, the anomaly shape is complicated and the pattern anomalous zone of fault deformation
(strain) information index is obvious. The shape and amplitude of fault deformation anomaly in different regions differ significantly,
which is closely related with the tectonic location of anomaly. The fault deformation anomaly of α, β, and γ phases along
the western segment of Haiyuan fault zone shows the process from the quasi-linearity to non-linearity of fault movement in
the near-source region, matches the high-value anomalous area of fault deformation (strain) information index, and reflects
the high strain accumulation in the seismogenic region. However, the anomaly of abrupt jump and cusp with a large amplitude
occurred in the areas far from the earthquake, such as Liupanshan fault zone which is the tectonic convergent section does
not reflect the strain accumulation of its location, maybe it is a sign that the regional tectonic stress field is strengthened
in the seismogenic process. Based on the above-mentioned facts and combined with the preliminary summary of experiences and
lessons in the intermediate and short-term prediction of the Jingtai M
s=5.9 earthquake, we study and explore the application of fault deformation anomaly to earthquake judgment.
Foundation item: National Key Basic Research Development Program (G1998040703 and G1998040705), and State Scientific and Technological Project
of the “Ninth Five-Year Plan” (96-913-09-01-02-03 and 96-913-09-02-02-03), China. 相似文献
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利用乌什台数字化前兆形变观测资料,分析乌什MS 4.5级地震前乌什台水管倾斜仪、洞体应变仪数据变化情况。通过对比分析发现:地震前,洞体应变仪北南分量数据曲线正常,东西分量数据曲线加速拉张,05:14-20:32拉张幅度达到7.40×10-7,7月19日5时至20日16时乌什洞体应变仪东西分量快速拉张了9.20×10-7;7月19日5-19时,水管倾斜仪北南分量数据曲线正常,东西分量数据曲线反向西倾7.13ms,且05:59-06:06、07:36-07:46、18:42-18:56数据掉格,水管倾斜仪异常结束后1小时,在洞体应变仪异常过程中发生了乌什MS 4.5级地震。水管仪东西分量震前反向西倾,洞体应变仪东西分量震前拉张加速,短临异常明显,且2套形变观测震前异常时间同步性较好。 相似文献
14.
GPS observations of the European permanent network were used to identify seismo-ionospheric precursors of Baltic Sea earthquake
of 21 September 2004. It is a very rare event for this region of Europe (magnitude of about 5.0). This value is the threshold
for the occurrence of seismic effects in the ionosphere. In total electron content (TEC) data over the region of the earthquake,
a specific ionospheric anomaly appeared one day before the earthquake was detected. The ionospheric variability had a positive
sign with an enhancement of about 4–5 TECU (1 TECU = 1016 electrons/m2) relative to the non-disturbed state of the ionosphere. The anomaly had a duration of 4–5 hours in the day time. The special
size of this anomaly was about 1000 km. The characteristic parameters of the anomaly show that it can be associated with ionospheric
precursors of an earthquake. 相似文献
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分析了2005年7月25日林甸5．1级地震和2005年2月23日富裕3．7级地震前，林甸1井大地微电流、林甸04井的氦气和大庆地震台的地温异常变化。大地微电流在这2次地震前具有明显的异常变化，其异常幅度达正常背景值的10-20倍。氦气在林甸5．1级地震前具有明显前兆异常变化。 相似文献
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The relationship between Sacks body strain deformation at Beida No. 200 station in Changping and tidal solids,atmospheric pressure and water level is analyzed in this paper. Sacks body strain deformation data before the M_S8. 0 Wenchuan earthquake is studied based on the analysis of the interference. The short-impending anomaly of the body strain deformation is considered to be reliable. The anomaly characteristics conclude:( 1) The trend anomaly as extensional change of the body strain deformations on a quasi 1 year time scale before the Wenchuan earthquake was recorded, and the accumulative amount was about 4000 × 10~(-9). Correspondingly,the short-term precursor of earthquake was manifested as an extensional abrupt change.( 2) The extensional intermittent anomalous abrupt change was recorded by body strainmeters between March1 and May 7 in 2008.( 3) Four compressional abrupt changes were recorded in the intermittent distortions recorded between April 13 and May 11.( 4) High frequency components were increased in the distortion process in May 1 to 3,5,7,and 9 to 12,caused by slow earthquakes before the Wenchuan earthquake according to wavelet analysis. The abnormal phenomena are summarized and the mechanics discussed in this paper. Strain solid tide distortions in body strain observations,the continuous repeated extensional and compressional abrupt changes accompanying these distortions,and the increase of high frequency components can be regarded as the index of short term and impending earthquake prediction,based on analysis of interference factors such as air pressure and water level. 相似文献
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The borehole strain meter at Wushi station recorded obvious anomaly before Jiashi M
s=6.8 earthquake occurred on February 24, 2003. Its features are as follows. (1) Anomaly types are complete. The trend anomaly,
short-term anomaly, short-imminent anomaly and exponential anomaly appeared 19 months, 56 days, 4 days, and more than 1 month
before the event, respectively; (2) Anomaly is large in magnitude. The maximal magnitude of strain anomaly is 1.7×10−5, which is rare in the past 20-year observation records at Wushi station; (3) Strain rate fluctuates sharply with obvious
alternation of tension and compression. According to the magnitude of strain anomaly, time of exponential anomaly appearance
and regional features of recorded anomaly, we could predict the magnitude, occurrence time and potential region to a certain
degree. 相似文献
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中国新疆乌恰6.4级地震和苏联巴依沙隆6.7级地震前地震窗的异常及其预报 总被引：1，自引：0，他引：1
1990年4月17日和1990年11月12日,在中国新疆乌恰和苏联巴依沙隆分别发生6.4级和6.7级地震。位于震中附近的中、苏交界地区在两次地震之前有多个地震窗呈现出明显的异常,并据此作出了较好的短期预报。本文简述了预报过程,着重分析了多个地震窗的综合异常特征。最后讨论了所得结果可能的物理机制等问题。 相似文献
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QI-QI L 《地震学报(英文版)》2000,13(2):203-209
This paper used the thermal infrared data of the satellite NOAA-AAVHRR of the north part of North China (113°～119° E, 38°～42° N), and processed the remote sensing data through radiation adjustment, geometric adjustment and so on by the software ＂The Monitoring and Fast Process System of Earthquake Precursor Thermal Infrared Anomaly＂, inversed the earth surface temperature. Some disturbances effect had been excluded, and thermal infrared temperature anomaly had been extracted by the picture difference method. The Zhangbei MS=6.2 earthquake is used as the example in the paper, so that in the paper thermal infrared characteristics on time-space before earthquake and the relationship between the anomaly and the earthquake prediction have been summarized.Within more than ten days before the Zhangbei earthquake, the thermal infrared anomaly had emerged widely along Zhangjiakou-Bohai seismic belt, and the anomalous region seemed like a belt and it is also consistent with the tectonic background there; the anomaly expanded from the outside toward the earthquake focus, but the focus lay at the edge of the thermal infrared region. So it is possible to explore a new anomaly observation method for earthquake prediction by observing and studying the satellite thermal infrared anomaly before big earthquakes happen. 相似文献