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1.
于道永 《海洋预报》1996,13(2):43-50
本文用线性回归分析方法,分1985年以前和1992年以前两个时段,对我国沿岩25个验潮站近百年来的海平面资料进行了系统分析,计算了两个时段相对海平面变化的年速率和平均海面高度,论述了海平面变化的主要控制因素,并对未来海平面变化趋势进行了预测。计算结果表明,近百年来我国沿岸相对海平面在总体上不但持续上升,而且近年来上升速率普遍加快;根据海平面变化的主要控制因素变化趋向,预计到下世纪中叶前后,全球性海  相似文献   

2.
青岛近百年气温变化的统计分析   总被引:1,自引:0,他引:1  
刁学贤 《海洋预报》1996,13(3):64-69
本文依据青岛1898-1994年97年的气温资料,经统计分析,得出了青岛气温的阶段和周期及增温速率,探讨了影响变化几个因子的定性关系,并预测未来气温的长期变化趋势。  相似文献   

3.
中国沿岸现代海平面变化及未来趋势分析   总被引:2,自引:0,他引:2  
本文用线性回归分析方法,分1985年以前和1992年以前两个时段,对我国沿岸25个验潮站近百年来的海平面资料进行了系统分析,计算了两个时段相对海平面变化的年速率和平均海面高度,论述了海平面变化的主要控制因素,并对未来海平面变化趋势进行了预测。计算结果表明,近百年来我国沿岸相对海平面在总体上不但持续上升,而且近年来上升速率普遍加快;根据海平面变化的主要控制因素变化趋向,预计到下世纪中叶前后,全球性海平面大幅度上升的可能性不大,我国沿岸区域性海乎面平均上升幅度不超过15cm,不同岸段因地壳升降差异性大而有较大差别。  相似文献   

4.
江苏建湖庆丰剖面全新世气候变迁和海面变化   总被引:6,自引:0,他引:6  
本文报道了江苏建湖庆丰剖面全新世地层研究新结果,提出了新的年代地层格架,建立了1万年来具有较高精度与分辨率的年均温与海面变化曲线。研究结果表明,全新世气温与海面均经历过7次明显的暖,冷与高,低法动;高温期出现于8.5-4.0ka BP间,当时年均温普遍高于现今0.8-1.7℃;高海面时期出现于7.5-4.0ka BP间,其中最高海面时期(6.5-4.0ka BP)海面可高于现今2-3m;气候变迁与  相似文献   

5.
统一均衡基准下中国沿岸的海面变化   总被引:1,自引:3,他引:1  
在对我国12个验潮站近几十年海平面观测资料的显著周期分析的基础上,采用海平面线性变化叠加若干固定周期变化的模型来拟合月均值观测值,并按最小二乘准则估计了这些验潮站近几十年来趋势性相对变化及误差,并将这些相对变化归算到文献[4]所建立的统一均衡基准下,研究了中国沿岸未来数十年的海面变化趋势.指出中国沿岸海面总趋势是上升的,各岸段速率有所不同,少数岸段海面下降.文中给出的数值对未来海面变化及影响的预测提供了依据.  相似文献   

6.
中国沿岸相对海面变化的本征分析和预测   总被引:10,自引:1,他引:10  
利用经验正交函数的方法,将平均海面分解为正交时,空函数积的代数和。采用起主导作用的正交函数进行组合,得到修正的海平面变化值,它消除了某些随机的影响。去掉平均海面主要时间本征函数中的主要周期部分,求得剩余部分的变化率,乘以空间本征函数可得各站平均海面的变化速率,对未来的时间本征函数作出预报,便可得到未来的平均海面预报值。  相似文献   

7.
提出了一种带周期项的海平面变化灰色分析模型.该模型保持了GM(1,1)模型能较好反应海平面变化趋势的优点,不仅能求出海平面变化速率,还能方便求出海平面变化的加速度,同时,该模型能较好的模拟海平面变化中的周期现象,从而克服了GM(1,1)不能预报周期性显著的月平均海面的缺点,并提高了预报精度.模型用于广西沿岸海平面变化分析,结果表明北海、涸洲、白龙尾3站的相对海平面上升速率分别为1.67、2.51、0.89mm/a;石头埠相对海平面呈下降趋势,下降速率为0.5~1.0mm/a;广西沿岸绝对海平面上升速率为2.0mm/a.和线性趋势项与周期项叠加的海平面分析模型相比,两者模拟精度相当.  相似文献   

8.
对COADS资料中1950-1992年太平洋4°×8°方区的海水表层温度及海面气温、气压、风速序列数据,进行了时间序列分析。分析结果表明:太平洋海表气温和水温年上升率分别为0.0063℃·a(-1)和0.0026℃·a(-1)。两者的变化趋势在赤道太平洋都有一个年上升率高值区;而在东海以北的西北太平洋广大海区,都有一个年下降率的低值区。西太平洋海面气压呈上升趋势,东太平洋则相反。气温和水温的升降区域分布特征与风速分量增强和减弱的变化趋势有关。文章还指出,中国和日本沿岸今后几十年海平面变化趋势的预测模式,应以太平洋或全球海平面上升趋势的预测为基础,加上本海区海平面的局地变化订正。  相似文献   

9.
海—气相互作用及其对我国气候的若干影响   总被引:2,自引:0,他引:2  
柯东胜 《海洋预报》1993,10(4):23-29
本文综述了近年来我国学者在海-气相互作用方面的研究成果,集中探讨了海-气相互作用对我国气候的若干影响。结果表明:①我国许多地区的降水和气温变化具有明显的准3.5年振荡周期,这一特征与赤道太平洋地区的海面温度也表现出强烈的准3.5年振荡现象有着密切的联系;②我国气温与南方涛动存在着遥相关的事实,可以作为早期识别埃尔-尼诺的信号;③热带太平洋海温异常影响到副热带高压强弱和位置的变化,是导致我国东部夏季  相似文献   

10.
1950—1997年雷州半岛近海气候变化趋势   总被引:11,自引:1,他引:10  
余克服 《海洋通报》1998,17(5):24-29
1950-1997年雷州半岛近海各站的气温呈同步变化趋势。存在明显的8-9a的变化周期1968年以来气温呈上升趋势,上升率为0.2-0.25℃/10a略低于同期全球平均上升率。1960-1997年海口、涠洲岛和硇洲岛的年平均海温呈同步变化的趋势,与该区气温变化趋势同步;存在6-7a的变化周期。1984年以来上升明显。海温与气温之间存在增多的趋势,并显示出11a左右的变化周期,1950年以来热带气旋  相似文献   

11.
The interdependence between the seismo-acoustic properties of a marine sediment and its geotechnical/physical parameters has been known for many years, and it has been postulated that this should allow the extraction of geotechnical information from seismic data. Though in the literature many correlations have been published for the surficial layer, there is a lack of information for greater sediment depths. In this article, a desktop study on a synthetic seafloor model illustrates how the application of published near-surface prediction equations to subsurface sediments (up to several tens of meters burial depth) can lead to spurious predictions. To test this further, acoustic and geotechnical properties were measured on a number of sediment core samples, some of which were subjected to loading in acoustically-equipped consolidation cells (oedometers) to simulate greater burial depth conditions. For low effective pressures (representing small burial depths extending to around 10 meters subsurface), the general applicability of established relationships was confirmed: the prediction of porosity, bulk density, and mean grain size from acoustic velocity and impedance appears generally possible for the investigated sedimentary environments. As effective pressure increases through, the observed relationships deviate more and more from the established ones for the near-surface area. For the samples tested in this study, in some instances increasing pressure even resulted in decreasing velocities. There are several possible explanations for this abnormal behavior, including the presence of gas, overconsolidation, or bimodal grain size distribution. The results indicate that an appropriate depth correction must be introduced into the published prediction equations in order to obtain reliable estimates of physical sediment properties for greater subsurface depths.  相似文献   

12.
海上大直径钢管桩打桩过程中,桩周土体受到强烈扰动而发生强度弱化,掌握桩周土体强度弱化规律对于准确预测打桩过程、保证工程安全具有重要意义。为研究土体强度弱化规律,开展了环剪试验模拟打桩对桩周土体的扰动,测试土体强度随剪切速率的变化规律,建立了描述土体强度弱化规律的拟合公式,引入到打桩分析软件中。研究结果表明:土体的强度折减程度不仅与土体本身的性质有关还受到土体的埋深和剪切速率的影响,埋深越深土体强度折减程度越低,剪切速率越高土体强度折减越高,在打桩分析中可采用这里推荐的线性折减方法来模拟不同深度处土体强度的折减规律。  相似文献   

13.
Specific properties of the interannual sea level variations and annual tides in the Northwestern Pacific were studied. Several tide stations were monitored. The monthly mean sea level for the year of 1995 was analyzed at each tide station. A seismic event in 1995, some tectonic activity around the subject area, and the Kuroshio (the oceanic western boundary current) may possibly contaminate results which would have occurred from the astronomical annual tide alone.  相似文献   

14.
The effect of different fixation and storage protocols on the flow cytometric (FCM) simultaneous analysis of bacterioplankton and phytoplankton in coastal seawater samples (Mediterranean coastal lagoons) was investigated. FCM measurements (cell number, fluorescence and scatter characteristics) were obtained through DAPI staining. Three fixatives [glutaraldehyde (GA), formaldehyde (FA) and paraformaldehyde (PFA)] and two storage (3 months duration) methods (5 °C and −196 °C) were tested. Two dominant populations were detected in studied samples: bacteria and eukaryotic picophytoplankton. Adding fixatives (2% final concentration) appears necessary to obtain FCM exhaustive counts of all the bacteria and phytoplanktonic cells. This was related to the permeation effect of fixatives which allowed a better DAPI staining of the cells. Maximum fluorescence, i.e. optimal staining of the cells was obtained with FA or PFA, and significant lower fluorescences with GA. Fixed samples stored at 5 °C induced rapid cell loss. Only storage in liquid nitrogen of samples fixed with FA or PFA, allows mid-term (≥4 months) preservation of bacteria or picophytoplankton cell numbers, and limited evolution of DAPI-induced fluorescence and scatter characteristics.  相似文献   

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《海洋学报(英文版)》2014,(9):F0003-F0003
<正>Acta Oceanologica Sinica(AOS)is a comprehensive academic journal edited by the Editorial Committee of Acta Oceanologica Sinica and is designed to provide a forum for important research papers of the marine scientific community which reflect the information on a worldwide basis.The journal publishes scholarly papers on marine science and technology,including physics,chemistry,biology,  相似文献   

19.
A set of 27 marine planktonic bacteria isolated from the polar regions was characterized by 16S rDNA sequencing and physiological and biochemical testing. More than half of these bacteria were positive for caseinase, gelatinase and 13-glucosidase, and could utilize glucose, maltose or malic acid as carbon source for cell growth. Twelve isolates expressed nitrate reduction activities. Except for one antarctic isolate BSwlO175 belonging to Actinobacteria phylum, these isolates were classified as γ-Proteobacteria, suggesting that γ-Proteobacteria dominated in cultivable marine bacterioplankton at both poles. Genus Pseudoalteromonas was the predominant group in the Chukchi Sea and the Bering Sea, and genus ShewaneUa dominated in cultivable bacterioplankton in the Prydz Bay. With sequence similarities above 97%, genus Psychrobacter was found at both poles. These 27 isolates were psychrotolerant, and significant 16S rDNA sequence similarities were found not only between arctic and antarctic marine bacteria ( 〉 99% ), but also between polar marine bacteria and bacteria from other aquatic environments ( ≥ 98.8% ), including temperate ocean, deep sea, pond and lake, suggesting that in the polar oceans less temperature-sensitive bacteria may be cosmopolitan and have a bipolar, even global, distribution at the species level.  相似文献   

20.
Sediment properties, such as water content and density, have been used to estimate the dry and wet weights, as well as the volume of sediment recovered and discharged, during benthic impact experiments conducted in the Pacific and Indian Oceans. The estimates show that the weights of dry (355-1332 t) and wet sediment (1651-4888 t) recovered during the experiments, are not only a function of the total duration and distance covered during the experiment, but also depend on water content and density of the sediment. Estimation of dry sediment and its volumetric ratio in the discharge, are key parameters for calculating the discharged volume. The estimated volume of wet sediment recovered (1427-4049 m 3 ) as well as discharged (2693-6951 m 3 ) during the experiments, provide important inputs to evaluate the sediment resettlement and migration. Using these estimates, the average depth of excavation on the seafloor, can also been calculated. However, the stages of sediment recovery and discharge are expressed differently in some of the experiments. In order to standardize these, different stages have been identified, and definitions of certain terms have been suggested, for use in the future. The methods of calculating different properties, as well as weight and volume of discharged sediment are described in the paper for use in other applications concerning deep-sea discharges.  相似文献   

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