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1.
分别以最大峰值加速度(以下简称PGA)和有效峰值加速度(以下简称EPA)为参数,对金沙江流域上12个工程场点进行了地震危险性分析,得到了各个场点在不同的年超越概率下的基岩PGA和EPA值。通过对PGA、EPA值比较分析认为:PGA与EPA值的大小比例关系主要受年超越概率大小的影响,当年超越概率较大时,表现为PGA>EPA;当年超越概率较小时,PGA与EPA的比例关系还与场点周围的潜源分布形式及潜源的震级上限的大小有关,不同的年超越概率、不同的潜源分布形式和震级上限,可使PGA>EPA,也可使PGA相似文献   

2.
In the seismic analysis and design of structures, the true velocity and absolute acceleration are usually approximated by their corresponding pseudo-values. This approach is simple and works well for structures with small damping (say, less than 15%). When the damping of a structure is enhanced for the purpose of response reduction, it may result in large analysis and design errors. Based on theory of random vibration and the established mechanism of seismic response spectra analysis, a method is developed (1) to predict the relative velocity spectra with any damping ratio level directly from the 5% standard pseudo-acceleration spectrum; and (2) to estimate the peak absolute acceleration. The accuracy of both is validated by using two selected ensembles of ground motion records.  相似文献   

3.
4.
在研究多个工程场地钻孔资料的基础上,选取和构造了若干典型场地剖面,利用目前工程上广泛应用的场地地震反应分析的一维等效线性化波动方法,计算了各剖面在不同基底地震动输入的反应谱值及地表加速度峰值,分析了覆盖层厚度对反应谱峰值及峰值周期、地表加速度峰值和放大倍数的影响,得出了一些有意义的结论。  相似文献   

5.
Modelling peak accelerations from earthquakes   总被引:1,自引:0,他引:1  
This paper deals with the prediction of peak horizontal accelerations with emphasis on seismic risk and insurance concerns. Non‐linear mixed effects models are used to analyse well‐known earthquake data and the consequences of mis‐specifying assumptions on the error term are quantified. A robust fit of the usual model, using recently developed robust weighted maximum likelihood estimators, is presented. Outlying data are automatically identified and subsequently investigated. A more appropriate model accounting for the extreme value nature of the responses, is also developed and implemented. The implication on acceleration predictions is demonstrated. Copyright © 2006 John Wiley & Sons, Ltd.  相似文献   

6.
This paper presents a rational basis for obtaining the Effective Peak Acceleration (EPA) of a given ground motion process. The proposed formulation considers the statistical variability in the ground motion, and is centred on the idea of explicitly linking EPA with expected cumulative damage in the structures due to the inelastic excursions. The structural behaviour has been modelled by a Single-Degree-Of-Freedom (SDOF) bilinear hysteretic oscillator. EPA is considered to be the expected PGA of a scaled ground motion process such that this oscillator undergoes a specified expected damage under the unscaled process if it is linearly designed for the scaled process. For estimation of the damage, the oscillator has been replaced by an equivalent linear oscillator through stochastic averaging. A parametric study has been carried out to investigate the dependence of EPA on several governing parameters, and it has been shown that despite the strong dependence of EPA on oscillator time period, it may be possible to obtain ‘period-averaged’ EPA values for several ground motion processes for engineering applications. © 1998 John Wiley & Sons, Ltd.  相似文献   

7.
Calculations with a full time-varying model are used to study changes in the height and density of the E-layer peak, caused by known changes in the neutral atmosphere. Agreement with mean observed values of NmE requires an increase of 10% in calculated ion densities, and an increase of 33% in the solar-maximum EUV model at λ<150 Å. At a fixed site, changes with the solar zenith angle χ agree well with the simple Chapman theory during most of the daylight hours. Simple modifications to the Chapman equations give improved accuracy near sunrise and sunset. When corrected for changes in χ, model results for summer and equinox show a decrease in the peak density NmE at increasing latitudes. The overall change agrees well with experimental data, as summarised in the IRI model. Known changes in the neutral atmosphere also reproduce the increase in NmE in winter, at latitudes up to 30°. The continuing increase at higher winter latitudes, in the IRI model, requires a major reduction in NO densities in winter. A suitable compromise is suggested. Equations fitted to the model results then provide a simpler and better behaved replacement for the IRI equations. Calculations at night show that known sources of ionisation, largely from starlight, can produce observed peak densities using current chemistry. There is an appreciable change with latitude, as starlight production increases in the southern hemisphere. The improbably large solar cycle change built into the IRI model, at night, cannot be reproduced and is not found in recent data. A new, simpler model is suggested. Changes in zenith angle and atmospheric composition cause the peak height (hmE) to vary between 105 and 120 km, as a function of time, latitude, season and solar flux. These changes are approximated by simple equations that should be definitely preferable over the single, fixed height used in the IRI models.  相似文献   

8.
The stream gauge rating curve for a drainage basin can be transformed into a drainage basin peak discharge rating curve that is more stable than the rating curve from which it is derived. The resulting drainage basin peak discharge rating curve can be used to predict peak discharge, identify anomalous discharges caused by channel obstructions or other causes, evaluate the effect of flood retarding structures, and evaluate historical records. The drainage basin peak discharge rating curve is valid for drainage basins of any size, for any discharge up to the time of concentration, and for snowmelt.  相似文献   

9.
Abstract It was revealed that the asymmetric X-ray diffraction peak of metamorphosed carbonaceous material was a combination of two types of symmetric peaks from the coaly material and graphite crystallite. Numerical synthesis using the two symmetric peaks shows the graphitization process observed in a metamorphic sequence is accompanied by a continuous change of the peak shape and apparent interplanar spacing. Based on the analytical results and geological observations, it is suggested that graphitization of carbonaceous material consists of two processes: (i) the formation of graphite crystallites at the expense of the coaly material through the formation of transitional material and the increasing abundance of crystallites which is observed in the chlorite zone; and (ii) growth of crystallites forming well-ordered graphite, which occurs in the higher-grade zone.  相似文献   

10.
This paper presents an approximate analytical technique for determining the steady-state response of a class of systems with spatially localized non-linearity. A method of finding the amplitude peaks in various modes is presented. Numerical examples illustrate the nature and accuracy of the results of the approximate analysis.  相似文献   

11.
在研究西安地区大量钻孔资料的基础上,构造了44个不同等效剪切波速和覆盖层厚度场地条件下的典型场地剖面,利用一维等效线性化地震反应分析方法,计算了不同场地在3种不同强度的地震动输入下的地面峰值加速度,分析了地震动峰值加速度放大系数ks随场地类别、等效剪切波速Vse、覆盖层厚度H和输入地震动强度ar的变化特征,指出了按场地类别对地震动峰值加速度调整存在的问题。分析结果表明,加速度放大系数随等效剪切波速、覆盖层厚度及基岩输入地震动强度的增大而减小;等效剪切波速对加速度放大系数的影响大于覆盖层厚度的影响,随着输入地震动强度的增大,覆盖层厚度对加速度放大系数的影响成份有逐渐加大的趋势;覆盖层厚度对加速度放大系数的影响程度随着等效剪切波速的增大而逐渐减弱;加速度放大系数与场地等效剪切波速和覆盖层厚度之间具有较高的拟合度的统计回归关系。由此提出了直接用场地等效剪切波速和覆盖层厚度对地震动峰值加速度进行调整的新途径。最后,就地震动峰值加速度随场地条件的调整方法,提出了有待进一步研究的问题。  相似文献   

12.
The paper presents predictive relations for peak horizontal and vertical ground accelerations generated by earthquakes in the European area.  相似文献   

13.
Statistical flood frequency analysis assumes that the flood record to be analysed is a reliable set of measurements of independent random events from a stationary population. The validity of this assumption can be verified using statistical tests of independence. However, most statistical tests of independence are designed to show up only short-term serial correlation. They are insensitive to the long-term serial correlation structure of the flood record which can be far more important. To demonstrate this issue, the serial correlation structure of the peak flow series from 90 Canadian rivers was analysed for both short- and long-term dependence. The results show that although short-term dependence is practically absent for most of the peak flow series, significant long-term dependence is present for a large number of peak flow series tested.  相似文献   

14.
地震动强度与地震烈度速报研究   总被引:17,自引:2,他引:17  
本在总结了美、日等国家和我国大陆与台湾地区基于实时或近实时强震台网的地震动强度(烈度)速报方法的基础上,对我国地震动强度(烈度)速报及计算机软件编制中的关键技术问题进行了讨论。  相似文献   

15.
时频峰值滤波(TFPF)算法是一种非常有效的去噪方法.但是传统的TFPF采用的单一窗长,并且仅沿时间方向进行滤波,忽略了信号的空间信息,并且TFPF近似等效成一个时不变的低通滤波器,不能追踪快速变化的信号.针对这些问题,引入空间局部加权回归自适应TFPF(SLWR-ATFPF).鉴于随机噪声在各个位置的方向随机性,以及有效信号在各个位置的方向确定性,首先利用空间局部加权回归(SLWR),对含噪信号进行空间加权,从而使加权之后的信号包含空间信息.然后,再引入凸集和Viterbi的思想,对空间加权之后的信号进行自适应滤波.从而,完成时空域二维自适应滤波.将SLWR-ATFPF应用于合成记录和实际的共炮点记录,实验结果表明,改进的方法与原算法相比,能够在压制低信噪比(SNR)随机噪声的同时更好地保留有效信号.  相似文献   

16.
In this paper, the relationships between seismic intensity and peak ground shaking are studied under no specific condition, separately or simultaneously considering the number of building storey and site category, based on data of mean peak values of horizontal ground motion recorded during strong earthquakes. Then, according to the statistical results, the variation of mean peak value with intensity rating is discussed, and schemes of peak ground velocity, peak ground acceleration or response spectrum of an designed earthquake converted from intensity rating are recommended. Finally, a methodology of converting seismic intensity from response spectrum of design earthquake is also discussed, and the conversion scheme is recommended. The Chinese version of this paper appeared in the Chinese edition ofActa Seismologica Sinica,13, 32–40, 1991. This paper is sponsored by the Chinese Joint Seismological Science Foundation.  相似文献   

17.
Assessment of liquefaction potential based on peak ground motion parameters   总被引:1,自引:0,他引:1  
Conventionally, evaluation of liquefaction potential of loose saturated cohesionless deposits as specified in Japanese design codes employs peak ground acceleration (PGA). However, recent large-scale earthquakes in Japan revealed that liquefaction at some sites did not occur even though large PGAs were recorded at or near these sites. As an alternative approach, an evaluation procedure based on peak ground motion parameters, i.e. incorporating both PGA and the peak ground velocity (PGV), is proposed. By performing parametric studies using one-dimensional seismic response analysis and formulating regression models, seismic-induced shear stresses within the deposit are expressed in terms of peak ground motion parameters at the surface, and these are used to calculate the factor of safety against liquefaction. Application to case histories in Japan indicates that the proposed two-parameter equation can adequately account for the occurrence and non-occurrence of liquefaction at various sites as compared to the conventional PGA-based approach. Moreover, analyses of several strong motion records at various sites show that liquefaction may occur when PGA≥150 gal and PGV≥20 kine, indicating that these values can serve as thresholds in assessing the possible occurrence of liquefaction.  相似文献   

18.
A predictive model is presented for estimating the peak inelastic oscillator displacements (Sd,ie) from peak ground velocity (PGV). The proposed model accounts for the variation of Sd,ie for bilinear hysteretic behavior under constant ductility (µ) and normalized lateral strength ratio (R) associated with postyield stiffness ratios of α=0 and 5%. The regression coefficients are based on a ground‐motion database that contains dense‐to‐stiff soil site recordings at distances of up to 30 km from the causative fault. The moment magnitude ( M ) range of the database is 5.2? M ?7.6 and the ground motions do not exhibit pulse‐dominant signals. Confined to the limitations imposed by the ground‐motion database, the model can estimate Sd,ie by employing the PGV predictions obtained from the attenuation relationships (ground‐motion prediction equations). In this way, the influence of important seismological parameters can be incorporated to the variation of Sd,ie in a fairly rationale manner. This feature of the predictive model advocates its implementation in the probabilistic seismic hazard analysis that employs scalar ground‐motion intensity indices. Various case studies are presented to show the consistent estimations of Sd,ie by the proposed model. The error propagation in the Sd,ie estimations is also discussed when the proposed model is associated with attenuation relationships. Copyright © 2008 John Wiley & Sons, Ltd.  相似文献   

19.
We investigate optimal predictors of the peak (S) and distance to peak (T) of the width function of drainage networks under the assumption that the networks are topologically random with independent and exponentially distributed link lengths. Analytical results are derived using the fact that, under these assumptions, the width function is a homogeneous Markov birth-death process. In particular, exact expressions are derived for the asymptotic conditional expectations ofS andT given network magnitudeN and given mainstream lengthH. In addition, a simulation study is performed to examine various predictors ofS andT, includingN, H, and basin morphometric properties; non-asymptotic conditional expectations and variances are estimated. The best single predictor ofS isN, ofT isH, and of the scaled peak (S divided by the area under the width function) isH. Finally, expressions tested on a set of drainage basins from the state of Wyoming perform reasonably well in predictingS andT despite probable violations of the original assumptions.  相似文献   

20.
近断层地震动加速度峰值衰减规律的研究   总被引:9,自引:1,他引:8  
提出了近断层地面运动的衰减模型,对全球范围内6.0≤Mw≤7.6且震源深度均小于20km的636条地震动加速度峰值进行了统计分析,确定了本文研究的近断层区域为断层距25km,利用此范围内的440条记录进行了近断层加速度衰减规律的研究。水平地震记录分为硬土和软土两种场地类型,竖向地震记录只考虑土层场地,利用最小二乘法进行数据拟合分析,得到PGA随断层距和震源深度变化在不同震级处形成的衰减曲面,分析了近断层处水平、竖向的PGA以及竖向与水平PGA之比(V/H)的衰减规律。  相似文献   

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