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1.
The “earthquake nucleation” is discussed in this paper. The acceleration is a property of the nucleation phase and is a necessary condition of earthquake instability too. If the acceleration property of this nucleating process is described by the equation dΘ/dt=C/(t f?t) n , the process can be summarized briefly that the rate of cumulative seismic release is proportional to the inverse power of the remaining time to failure. Based on this principle, the foreshock sequence of the 1975 Haicheng earthquake withM S7.3, was analysed backward. It is stated clearly that the time-to-failure and magnitude of the mainshock can be predicted successfully if the coefficientr 2 attains to the maximum. In the estimation of mainshock time, the error can generally be less than, or far less than, one-half the remaining time between the time of the last used data point and the mainshock. 相似文献
2.
Youxue Zhang 《Bulletin of Volcanology》1998,59(4):281-290
Simulated gas-driven eruptions using CO2–water-polymer systems are reported. Eruptions are initiated by rapidly decompressing CO2–saturated water containing up to 1.0 wt.% CO2. Both cylindrical test cells and a flask test cell were used to examine the effect of magma chamber/conduit geometry on eruption
dynamics. Bubble-growth kinetics are examined quantitatively in experiments using cylindrical test cells. Uninhibited bubble
growth can be roughly expressed as dr/dt≈λD(β-1)/(γt
1/3) for a CO2–water-polymer system at 0–22 °C and with viscosities up to 5 Pa·s, where r is the radius of bubbles, λ and D are the Ostwald solubility coefficient and diffusivity of the gas in the liquid, β is the degree of saturation (decompression
ratio), and γ characterizes how the boundary layer thickness increases with time and is roughly 1.0×10–5 m/s1/3 in this system. Unlike the radius of cylindrical test cells, which does not affect the eruption threshold and dynamics, the
shape of the test cells (flask vs cylindrical) affects the dynamics but not the threshold of eruptions. For cylindrical test
cells, the front motion is characterized by constant acceleration with both Δh (the height increase) and ΔV (the volume increase) being proportional to t
2; for the flask test cell, however, neither Δh nor ΔV is proportional to t
2 as the conduit radius varies. Test-cell geometry also affects foam stability. In the flask test cell, as it moves from the
wider base chamber into the narrower conduit, the bubbly flow becomes fragmented, affecting the eruption dynamics. The fragmentation
may be caused by a sudden increase in acceleration induced by conduit-shape change, or by the presence of obstacles to the
bubbly flow. This result may help explain the range in vesicularities of pumice and reticulite.
Received: 16 May 1997 / Accepted: 11 October 1997 相似文献
3.
2019年6月17日在四川宜宾市长宁县（28.34°N,104.90°E）发生MS6.0地震,余震发育。本文利用区域测震台网的地震观测数据基于CAP方法计算了28°~29°N,104°~105°E范围内的14个MS>3.0以上地震的震源机制解,结合全球矩心矩张量目录和部分前人研究结果中该区域的共27个震源机制解数据,应用MSATSI软件反演了研究区域的应力场。将研究区域按0.1°×0.1°划分成25个应力网格,最终得到9个网格的应力分布结果,大多数应力场方向稳定,根据主震所在应力网格点得到主震的断层类型为主逆冲型。本文研究成果为四川长宁地区的孕震机理、活动构造以及地震趋势判定提供了可靠的参考依据。 相似文献
4.
José Barrancos José I. Roselló David Calvo Eleazar Padrón Gladys Melián Pedro A. Hernández Nemesio M. Pérez Millán M. Millán Bo Galle 《Pure and Applied Geophysics》2008,165(1):115-133
We measured SO2 emission rate from six volcanoes in Latin America (Santa Ana, El Salvador; San Cristóbal and Masaya, Nicaragua; Arenal and
Poás, Costa Rica; Tungurahua and Sierra Negra, Ecuador) and from Mt. Etna, Italy, using two different remote sensing techniques:
COSPEC (COrrelation SPECtrometer) and miniDOAS (miniaturized Differential Optical Absorption Spectroscopy). One of the goals
of this study was to evaluate the differences in SO2 emission rates obtained by these two methods. The observed average SO2 emission rates measured during this study were 2688 t·d−1 from Tungurahua in July 2006, 2375 t·d−1 in September 2005 and 480 t·d−1 in February 2006 from Santa Ana, 1200 t·d−1 in May 2005 from Etna, 955 t·d−1 in March 2006 and 1165 t·d−1 in December 2006 from Masaya, 5400 t·d−1 of March 7, 2006 and 265 t·d−1 in March 2006 from San Cristobal, 113 t·d−1 in April 2006 from Arenal, 104 t·d−1 in April 2006 from Poás and 11 t·d−1 in July 2006 from Sierra Negra volcano. Most of the observed relative differences of SO2 emission measurements from COSPEC and miniDOAS were lower than 10%. 相似文献
5.
Ａｌｉｇｎｍｅｎｔｓｉｌｋｗｏｒｍｓａｓｓｅｉｓｍｉｃａｎｉｍａｌａｎｏｍａｌｏｕｓｂｅｈａｖｉｏｒ（ＳＡＡＢ）ａｎｄｅｌｅｃｔｒｏｍａｇｎｅｔｉｃｍｏｄｅｌｏｆａｆａｕｌｔ：ａｔｈｅｏｒｙａｎｄｌａｂｏｒａｔｏｒｙｅｘｐｅｒｉｍｅｎｔＭＯＴＯ... 相似文献
6.
Multiple regression analyses of the duration of earthquake ground acceleration are presented. Two types of duration are considered, i.e. bracketed duration and normalized duration. The bracketed duration ta is defined as the elapsed time between the first and last acceleration excursions greater than a [cm/s2], and the normalized duration Tα is defined as the elapsed time between the first and last acceleration excursions greater than α times (0 < α < 1) the peak acceleration. Employed are 394 components of horizontal strong motion acceleration records obtained at 67 free field sites in Japan. With the use of multiple regression analysis, the dependence of the bracketed and normalized durations on earthquake magnitude and epicentral distance is studied. 相似文献
7.
In order to estimate the recurrence intervals for large earthquakes occurring in eastern Anatolia, this region enclosed within
the coordinates of 36∘–42∘N, 35∘–45∘E has been separated into nine seismogenic sources on the basis of certain seismological and geomorphological criteria, and
a regional time- and magnitude-predictable model has been applied for these sources. This model implies that the magnitude
of the preceding main shock which is the largest earthquake during a seismic excitation in a seismogenic source governs the
time of occurrence and the magnitude of the expected main shock in this source. The data belonging to both the instrumental
period (MS≥ 5.5) until 2003 and the historical period (I0≥ 9.0 corresponding to MS≥ 7.0) before 1900 have been used in the analysis. The interevent time between successive main shocks with magnitude equal
to or larger than a certain minimum magnitude threshold were considered in each of the nine source regions within the study
area. These interevent times as well as the magnitudes of the main shocks have been used to determine the following relations:
fwawhere Tt is the interevent time measured in years, Mmin is the surface wave magnitude of the smallest main shock considered, Mp is the magnitude of the preceding main shock, Mf is magnitude of the following main shock, and M0 is the released seismic moment per year in each source. Multiple correlation coefficient and standard deviation have been
computed as 0.50 and 0.28, respectively for the first relation. The corresponding values for the second relation are 0.64
and 0.32, respectively. It was found that the magnitude of the following main shock Mf does not depend on the preceding interevent time Tt. This case is an interesting property for earthquake prediction since it provides the ability to predict the time of occurrence
of the next strong earthquake. On the other hand, a strong negative dependence of Mf on Mp was found. This result indicates that a large main shock is followed by a smaller magnitude one and vice versa. On the basis
of the first one of the relations above and taking into account the occurrence time and magnitude of the last main shock,
the probabilities of occurrence P(Δ t) of main shocks in each seismogenic source of the east Anatolia during the next 10, 20, 30, 40 and 50 years for earthquakes
with magnitudes equal 6.0 and 7.0 were determined. The second of these relations has been used to estimate the magnitude of
the expected main shock. According to the time- and magnitude-predictable model, it is expected that a strong and a large
earthquake can occur in seismogenic Source 2 (Erzincan) with the highest probabilities of P10 = 66% (Mf = 6.9 and Tt = 12 years) and P10 = 44% (Mf = 7.3 and Tt = 24 years) during the future decade, respectively. 相似文献
8.
Artificial ground motion compatible with specified peak velocity and target spectrum 总被引：1，自引：0，他引：1
In this paper, a method, which synthesizes the artificial ground motion compatible with the specified peak velocity as well as the target acceleration response spectrum, was proposed. In this method, firstly, an initial acceleration time history α8^（0） （t）, which satisfies the prescribed peak ground acceleration, the target spectral acceleration ST（ω, ζ）,and the specified intensity envelope, is generated by the traditional method that generates the requency domain; secondly,α8^（0） （t）is further modulated by superimposing narrow-band time histories upon it in the time domain to make its peak velocity, approach the target peak ground velocity, and at the same time to improve its fitting precision to the target spectrum. Numerical examples show that this algorithm boasts high calculation precisions. 相似文献
9.
D. Caccamo F. Parrillo S. D’Amico F. M. Barbieri C. Laganà 《Izvestiya Physics of the Solid Earth》2007,43(8):662-668
The study of seismic anomalies, related both to the temporal trend of aftershock sequences and to the temporal series of mainshocks,
is important for an understanding of the physical processes relating to the existence and the characteristics of seismic precursors.
The purpose of this work is to highlight some methodological aspects related to the observation of possible anomalies in the
temporal decay of an aftershock sequence. It is realized by means of several parameters. We focused our work on an analysis
of the Papua New Guinea seismic sequence that occurred on November 16, 2000. The magnitude of the mainshock is M = 8.2. The observed temporal series of shocks per day can be considered as a sum of a deterministic contribution and a stochastic
contribution. If the decay can be modeled as a nonstationary Poisson process where the intensity function is equal to n(t) = K(t + c)−p
+ K
1, the number of aftershocks in a small time interval Δt is the mean value n(t)Δt, with a standard deviation σ = √n(t)Δt. We observe that there are some variations in seismicity that can be considered as seismic anomalies before the occurrence
of a large aftershock. The data, checked according to completeness criteria, come from the website of the USGS NEIC data bank
().
The text was submitted by the authors in English. 相似文献
10.
The Resonance Capacity Method is proposed for the earthquake response analysis of hysteretic structures. Resonance Capacity is a physical quantity of structures which is related to the hysteretic energy absorbed by structures in one cycle and is equated to the acceleration, velocity and displacement amplitudes α0, d0 and d0 of earthquake ground motions at resonance.1 According to the idealized trapezoidal approximation of earthquake ground motions in the logarithmic period–velocity plane as proposed by Veletsos and Newmark,8 the Resonance Capacity property applies in each period range, short, medium and long, where α0, v0 and d0 respectively are approximately constant. In the medium range of periods, the energy dissipated in hysteretic loops and the deformation amplitudes of a single-degree system with elasto–plastic force–deformation relationships are calculated for the case of El Centro 1940, 18 May earthquake, by this Resonance Capacity Method. The result is compared with results from conventional numerical response analyses obtained by Berg and Thomaides,14 Kato and Akiyama12 and Veletsos and Newmark,8 and the general agreement is seen to be good. Therefore, it may be possible to apply this Resonance Capacity Method over the entire range of periods. By means of this method the earthquake response analysis of hysteretic systems can be performed easily, and the hysteretic energy and fatigue characteristics of structures may be taken into account directly, up to the point of fracture. 相似文献
11.
P. Mandal Jainendra S. Joshi Sudesh Kumar Rajendra Bhunia B. K. Rastogi 《Pure and Applied Geophysics》2004,161(8):1635-1654
On 26 January, 2001 (03:46:55,UT) a devastating intraplate earthquake of Mw 7.7 occurred in a region about 5 km NW of Bhachau, Gujarat (23.42°N, 70.23°E). The epicentral distribution of aftershocks defines a marked concentration along an E-W trending and southerly dipping (45°) zone covering an area of (60 × 40) km2. The presence of high seismicity including two earthquakes of magnitudes exceeding 7.7 in the 200 years is presumed to have caused a higher level of shallow crustal heterogeneity in the Kutch area; a site lying in the seismic zone V (zone of the highest seismicity for potentially M8 earthquakes) on the seismic zoning map of India. Attenuation property of the medium around the epicentral area of the Bhuj earthquake covering a circular area of 61,500 km2 with a radius of 140 km is studied by estimating the coda-Qc from 200 local earthquakes of magnitudes varying from 3.0–4.6. The estimated Q0 values at locations in the aftershock zone (high seismicity) are found to be low in comparison to areas at a distance from it. This can be attributed to the fact that seismic waves are highly scattered for paths through the seismically active and fractured zone but they are well behaved outside the aftershock zone. Distribution of Q0 values suggests that the local variation in Q0 values is probably controlled by local geology. The estimated Q0 values at different stations suggest a low value of Q=(102 ± 0.80)*f(0.98 ± 0.02) indicating an attenuative crust beneath the entire region. The frequency-dependent relation indicates a relatively low Qc at lower frequencies (1–3 Hz) that can be attributed to the loss of energy due to scattering attenuation associated with heterogeneities and/or intrinsic attenuation due to fluid movement in the fault zone and fluid-filled cracks. The large Qc at higher frequencies may be related to the propagation of backscattered body waves through deeper parts of the lithosphere where less heterogeneity is expected. Based on the attenuation curve estimated for Q0=102, the ground acceleration at 240 km distance is 13% of 1 g i.e., 0.13 g agreeing well with the ground acceleration recorded by an accelerograph at Ahmedabad (0.11 g). Hence, it is inferred that the Q0 value obtained from this study seems to be apt for prediction of ground motion for the region. 相似文献
12.
13.
Features and physical process of the dynamic evolution pattern of ground resistivity precursor front
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14.
利用模板匹配方法对2015年11月23日青海省祁连县M_S5.2地震进行遗漏地震检测研究,由于主震后短时间内目录中遗漏事件较多,故对主震后1天的连续波形进行检测。主震后1天内青海测震台网记录到的余震个数(包括单台)共62个,选取主震后M_L1.0以上余震30个作为模板事件,通过匹配滤波的方式扫描出遗漏地震31个,约为台网目录给出的0.5倍。基于包络差峰值振幅与震级的线性关系估测检测事件的震级参数,最后将检测后的余震目录与台网余震目录在主震后1天内的最小完备震级进行对比分析,结果发现检测后最小完备震级从M_L1.2降到了M_L0.7,得到青海测震台网在祁连地区最小完整性震级为M_L0.7。 相似文献
15.
A systematic search was made for seismicity rate changes in the segment of the Kurile island arc from 45°N to 53°N by studying the cumulative seismicity of shallow (h100 km) earthquakes within 11 overlapping volumes of radius 100 km for the time period 1960 through beginning of 1978. We found that in most parts of this island arc and most of the time the seismicity rate as obtained from the NOAA catalogue and not excluding any events is fairly constant except for increased seismicity in the mid 1960s in the southern portion due to the great 1963 mainshock there, and for seismicity quiescence during part of the time period studied within two well defined sections of the arc. The first of these is a volume of 100 km radius around a 1973 (M
s
=7.3) mainshock within which the seismicity rate was demonstrated at the 99% confidence level to have been lower by 50% during 2100 days (5.75 years) before this mainshock. The second volume of seismic quiescence coincides with the 400 km long north Kuriles gap. In this gap the seismicity rate is shown (at the 99% confidence level) to be lower by 50% from 1967 to present (1978), in comparison with the rate within the gap befor 1967, as well as with the rate surrounding the gap. We propose that the anomalously low seismicity rate within the Kuriles gap is a precursor to a great earthquake, the occurrence time of which was estimated by the following preliminary relation between precursory quiescence time and source dimensionT=190L
0.545. We predict that an earthquake with source length of 200–400 km (M>8) will occur along the north Kurile island arc between latitude 45.5°N and 49.2°N at a time between now and 1994. 相似文献
16.
对2013年7月22日甘肃岷县—漳县地震获取的273条主余震加速度记录进行格式转换、基线校正和滤波等常规处理,分析该地震主震(M_S6.6)和余震(M_S5.6)两次地震记录的幅值、持时以及反应谱特征,发现M_S6.6主震记录的PGA范围在0.728～177.5 gal间,M_S5.6余震记录的PGA范围在0.732～69.3 gal间;将观测数据与霍俊荣和第五代《中国地震动参数区划图》地震动衰减关系进行对比,发现霍俊荣衰减关系更吻合于此次地震的主余震加速度衰减;绘制主余震5%～95%重要持时分布图,并针对主震62MXT反应谱和本地设计谱以及近些年国内主要强震震中反应谱开展比较分析;最后研究土层台、基岩台、相同台站各个震级反应谱的特征。 相似文献
17.
利用《中国地震动参数区划图》采用的地震动参数衰减关系,以及《中国地震动参数区划图》中地震动峰值加速度和地震动加速度反应谱特征周期反推不同设防烈度和设计地震分组对应的震级和震中距,再根据《建筑抗震设计规范》中各设防水准的峰值加速度确定对应的震级和震中距,进而根据地震动强度包线参数与震级和震中距关系计算地震动强度包线参数的取值,为基于强度包线函数生成人工地震动提供参考,并讨论强度包线参数的取值规律：(1)随着设防烈度的提高,加速度时程曲线上升段持续时间t1和平稳段持续时间ts减小,下降段衰减指数c增大;(2)随着地震水准和设计地震分组的提高,加速度时程曲线上升段持续时间t1和平稳段持续时间ts增加,下降段衰减指数c减小;(3)在生成人工地震动时,除考虑峰值加速度和设计地震分组影响外,还需要考虑设防烈度影响。 相似文献
18.
It is shown that within the framework of the Kolmogorov model the “energy” of the pole E(t) = x
12 + x
22 can be interpreted as a Markovian process. The exact analytical expression has been obtained for the density of the conditional
probability of the quantity E(t) and the problem of the first passage time of the process E(t) has been analyzed. It was shown that the available data on the swing of the function E(t) are not at variance with the Kolmogorov model and a short-period drop of the amplitude of the Chandler wobble in the early
20th century fits this model at Q = 50–200 too; values of Q > 350 are less reasonable. 相似文献
19.
Generating ground motion by two new techniques of adding harmonic wave in the time domain and approximating to response spectrum as a whole 总被引：2，自引：0，他引：2
ＧｅｎｅｒａｔｉｎｇｇｒｏｕｎｄｍｏｔｉｏｎｂｙｔｗｏｎｅｗｔｅｃｈｎｉｑｕｅｓｏｆａｄｄｉｎｇｈａｒｍｏｎｉｃｗａｖｅｉｎｔｈｅｔｉｍｅｄｏｍａｉｎａｎｄａｐｐｒｏｘｉｍａｔｉｎｇｔｏｒｅｓｐｏｎｓｅｓｐｅｃｔｒｕｍａｓａｗｈｏｌｅＣＨＡＮＧ... 相似文献
20.
The theoretical acceleration spectrum of observation site has been obtained from source acceleration spectrum derived from
scaling law, using attenuation modelQ=Q
ν
f
η
. A comparison of a set of theoretical acceleration spectra with observation spectra has been made, and we have obtained the
attenuation model for observation site and seismic moment magnitude. We obtain thatQ
o=300,η=0.25 for Wuqia area, Xinjing Zizhizhou, and seismic moment magnitudes of 18 greater aftershocks of Wuqia earthquake occurred
in 1985. In order to obtain seismic moment magnitued conveniently, three functional tables of acceleration spectra at 1Hz
as the distances for variousQ value have been made. The seismic moment magnitude can be quickly measured from acceleration spectrum at 1Hz according to
these tables (epicenter has to be known).
The Chinese version of this paper appeared in the Chinese edition ofActa Seismologica Sinica,14, 435–445, 1992. 相似文献