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本文从背景性地震活动、地震活动的时空分布以及前兆震群活动等基本特征出发,分析了共和地震前地震活动的异常特征。结果说明,共和地震是发生在青藏高原北部地震区地震活动增强的背景中。震前20年存在着中强地震空区。震前2-3年几乎同步出现了多种测震学异常。但无短临信息的前震活动。 相似文献
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1994年2月16日共和5.8级地震短临预报实况 总被引:5,自引:0,他引:5
本文真实地再了1994年2月16日青海共和5.8级地震前前兆异常的发展过程及对该地震的短临预报过程,同时系统地分析了前兆异常在时间,空间及种数上的分布特征。指出,在有一定前兆监测能力的地区,对一些较大地震作出一定的或成功的短临预报是有希望的。 相似文献
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系统收集了缅甸7.2级地震前后地震学基础资料,对缅甸地震地震地质、震源机制、烈度分布、发震构造、区域应力场、震源参数、地震灾害及地震序列时空分布进行详细分析,尤其对人们较为关切的缅甸地震后云南的强震形势进行了详细分析讨论,得到的认识对今后地震预测预报工作具有较大现实意义. 相似文献
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The 2008 Wenchuan earthquake occurred in an active earthquake zone, i.e., Longmenshan tectonic zone. Seismic waves triggered
by this earthquake can be used to explore the characteristics of the fault rupture process and the hierarchical structure
of the Earth’s interior. We employ spectral element method incorporated with large-scale parallel computing technology, to
investigate the characteristics of seismic wave propagation excited by Wenchuan earthquake. We calculate synthetic seismograms
with one-point source model and three-point source model respectively. The AK135 model is employed as a prototype of our numerical
global Earth model. The Earth’s ellipticity, Earth’s medium attenuation, and topography data are taken into consideration.
These wave propagation processes are simulated by solving three-dimensional elastic wave governing equations. Three-dimensional
visualization of our numerical results displays the profile of the seismic wave propagation. The three-point source, which
is proposed from the latest investigations through field observation and reverse estimation, can better demonstrate the spatial
and temporal characteristics of the source rupture process than the one-point source. We take comparison of synthetic seismograms
with observational data recorded at 16 observatory stations. Primary results show that the synthetic seismograms calculated
from three-point source agree well with the observations. This can further reveal that the source rupture process of Wenchuan
earthquake is a multi-rupture process, which is composed by at least three or more stages of rupture processes.
Supported by National Basic Research Program of China (Grant No. 2004CB418406), National Natural Science Foundation of China
(Grant Nos. 40774049 and 40474038), and Computer Network Information Center, Chinese Academy of Sciences (Grant No. INF105-SCE-02-12) 相似文献
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AnewapproachtonumericalsimulationofsourcedevelopmentofearthquakeCHUN-ANTANG(唐春安)YU-FANGFU(傅宇方)WENZHAO(赵文)CenterforRockbursts... 相似文献
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文中收集了2009年1月—2019年1月青海、甘肃固定地震台网及野外流动观测台阵记录的青海共和及周边地区的P波和S波到时数据,应用双差层析成像方法反演了该地区地壳的三维速度结构和震源位置参数,分析了共和1990年4月26日MW6.4地震孕育发生的地质构造背景与该地区速度结构和地震活动性之间的关系。结果显示,共和地区的地壳速度结构呈现出明显的横向不均匀性,共和主震位于共和盆地正下方区域的低速异常体内,主震的SW侧为高速异常,该异常从地下向NE向上逆冲至近地表处,推测35.95°N处即为哇玉香卡-拉干隐伏断裂。共和主震发生在水平NE向构造应力作用下,由走向NWW、倾向SSW的隐伏断层的滑动造成。 相似文献
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断层活动协调比在地震预测中的应用 总被引:10,自引:0,他引:10
为了有效捕获潜在震源区前兆变化信息与断层应变积累状态, 本文应用断层活动协调比概念, 对川滇地区和首都圈地区断层活动进行了分析。 结果表明: ① 丽江7.0级地震前震源区经历了至少有10多年的断层闭锁阶段, 不同观测场地协调比变化的时空差异性特征可能反映了震源区以及外围的异常演化特征; ② 断层活动协调比参数可帮助判识断层活动的性质, 当基线、 水准原始观测曲线出现显著的变化, 而协调比处于正常水平时, 断层活动即为无应变积累的自由蠕滑; ③ 断层活动协调比在大部分地震前都出现一定的离散性变化, 对分析强震前的断层活动性质和应变积累状态以及地震中长期预测具有一定的参考价值。 相似文献
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叙述南黄海北部地区具备发生中强地震的地质构造条件,分析2014年4月1日南黄海北部ML 5.2地震前历史地震活动。利用地震分析预报软件MapSIS计算震前地震活动性参数。结果表明,部分参数时间扫描和空间扫描结果显示出一定异常。 相似文献
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Source process of the 1990 Gonghe,China, earthquake and tectonic stress field in the northeastern Qinghai-Xizang (Tibetan) plateau 总被引:13,自引:0,他引:13
TheM
s
=6.9 Gonghe, China, earthquake of April 26, 1990 is the largest earthquake to have been documented historically as well as recorded instrumentally in the northeastern Qinghai-Xizang (Tibetan) plateau. The source process of this earthquake and the tectonic stress field in the northeastern Qinghai-Xizang plateau are investigated using geodetic and seismic data. The leveling data are used to invert the focal mechanism, the shape of the slipped region and the slip distribution on the fault plane. It is obtained through inversion of the leveling data that this earthquake was caused by a mainly reverse dip-slipping buried fault with strike 102°, dip 46° to SSW, rake 86° and a seismic moment of 9,4×1018 Nm. The stress drop, strain and energy released for this earthquake are estimated to be 4.9 MPa, 7.4×10–5 and 7.0×1014 J, respectively. The slip distributes in a region slightly deep from NWW to SEE, with two nuclei, i.e., knots with highly concentrated slip, located in a shallower depth in the NWW and a deeper depth in the SEE, respectively.Broadband body waves data recorded by the China Digital Seismograph Network (CDSN) for the Gonghe earthquake are used to retrieve the source process of the earthquakes. It is found through moment-tensor inversion that theM
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=6.9 main shock is a complex rupture process dominated by shear faulting with scalar seismic moment of the best double-couple of 9.4×1018 Nm, which is identical to the seismic moment determined from leveling data. The moment rate tensor functions reveal that this earthquake consists of three consecutive events. The first event, with a scalar seismic moment of 4.7×1018 Nm, occurred between 0–12 s, and has a focal mechanism similar to that inverted from leveling data. The second event, with a smaller seismic moment of 2.1×1018 Nm, occurred between 12–31 s, and has a variable focal mechanism. The third event, with a sealar seismic moment of 2.5×1018 Nm, occurred between 31–41 s, and has a focal mechanism similar to that inverted from leveling data. The strike of the 1990 Gonghe earthquake, and the significantly reverse dip-slip with minor left-lateral strike-slip motion suggest that the pressure axis of the tectonic stress field in the northeastern Qinghai-Xizang plateau is close to horizontal and oriented NNE to SSW, consistent with the relative collision motion between the Indian and Eurasian plates. The predominant thrust mechanism and the complexity in the tempo-spatial rupture process of the Gonghe earthquake, as revealed by the geodetic and seismic data, is generally consistent with the overall distribution of isoseismals, aftershock seismicity and the geometry of intersecting faults structure in the Gonghe basin of the northeastern Qinghai-Xizang plateau.Contribution No. 96 B0006 Institute of Geophysics, State Seismological Bureau, Beijing, China. 相似文献
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2013年7月22日,甘肃省定西市岷县发生MS6.6地震,造成了严重的人员伤亡和经济损失.地震发生于青藏高原东北部边缘与甘肃东南部地区的交界处,是该区域一百多年以来发生的最大地震.分析本次地震观测数据显示,岷县MS6.6地震产生的地震地面运动呈现出明显的区域变化特征.为了研究这种区域变化特征,本文使用全球CRUST1.0和SRTM30模型数据建立了甘肃岷县及周边地区的地下三维传播介质模型,使用并行的三维有限差分方法进行了岷县地震的区域地震波传播模拟,并与研究区内数字地震台网记录的地震观测资料进行对比.通过分析地面运动的峰值速度和持续时间的区域分布特征,发现:在青藏高原东北部边缘,较大的地形起伏对地面运动的峰值速度分布起主要影响作用;在青藏高原外围地区,地形起伏较小,而沉积层主要影响地面运动的峰值速度和持续时间,从而导致了明显的盆地效应,如地面运动的振幅放大和持续时间加长.因此,研究区剧烈的地形起伏和表层沉积层是影响地面运动的重要因素. 相似文献
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Laurentiu Danciu Karin Şeşetyan Mine Demircioglu Levent Gülen Mehdi Zare Roberto Basili Ata Elias Shota Adamia Nino Tsereteli Hilal Yalçın Murat Utkucu Muhammad Asif Khan Mohammad Sayab Khaled Hessami Andrea N. Rovida Massimiliano Stucchi Jean-Pierre Burg Arkady Karakhanian Hektor Babayan Mher Avanesyan Tahir Mammadli Mahmood Al-Qaryouti Doğan Kalafat Otar Varazanashvili Mustafa Erdik Domenico Giardini 《Bulletin of Earthquake Engineering》2018,16(8):3465-3496
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作者把强震孕育过程中处于一定构造条件下的一系列震群事件,统称为区域震群.分析1967年以来华北区域震群的时空进程发现:大约在唐山大震前5年,在未来大震震中区外围,形成了一个震群活动的空区,在空区外围,则出现了一个震群相对活跃的环形区域.环形区域内的震群表现出与唐山大震孕育过程有关的、逐渐增强的阶跃式活动,并在孕震不同阶段的转折时期相对密集;与此同时,大范围区域震群还经历了远场一近场的往返迁移.大震前后区域震群的这种时空分布与地震活动其它指标的变化有所呼应,它们在一定程度上共同勾画出强震前近场与远场的异常特征.由此认为,研究区域震群的时空特征,有可能为强震预报提供某些线索. 相似文献
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在地震预报的实践过程中,我们深深的体会到地震前兆场源关系的深入了解是十分必要的。虽然地震预报是世界性的难题,但是,只要我们在实践的基础上,能从理论上对这一演化物理问题有逐渐深入的认识,在一定的条件下,对某些地震做出中期和短临预报是很有可能的。本文以共和地震为例,对地震前兆场源关系的复杂性进行了初步的分析研究。其结果认为,正确的认识场源关系,以场求源,以源推场,场源结合,跟踪短临异常是实现短临地震预报的前提和基础。 相似文献
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基于双差层析成像的时移层析成像方法能够获得不同时间段之间的地下介质的速度变化,且不同的数据分布和质量对结果影响较小.在本研究中我们使用云南地震区域台网所记录到的P波绝对到时及相对到时数据,利用时移层析成像方法得到了2014年鲁甸M S6.5地震发生前后震源区高精度的P波速度变化的时空分布.结果表明:2014年鲁甸地震发生后,震源区同震期P波速度下降,但没有下降至最大,而是在震后1—4个月内下降至最大,接着P波速度开始上升,震源区开始愈合,愈合过程从浅层逐渐发展至深层,逐渐恢复至震前水平.同时发现在空间上P波速度变化与余震分布变化相一致,鲁甸地震同震应力变化与速度变化之间也有较好的一致性,所以认为地震引起的应力变化是造成鲁甸地震速度变化的一个重要原因,余震的动态和静态应力造成了震源区介质物理属性的改变从而影响了P波速度的变化. 相似文献