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1.
Hotbeds of crime and the search for spatial accuracy 总被引：1，自引：1，他引：0
One of the most important aspects of spatial crime analysis is the identification of hotspots: areas of the highest crime
concentration. This paper advances a methodology for hotspot detection based on a global moving window approach combined with
the use of local statistics to define the hotspot limit. This technique generates hotspots that both follow the urban morphology
of the crime distribution and ensures their spatial segregation. The hypothesis that police officers can construct an accurate
perception of crime distribution from exposure to daily policing practices is used to demonstrate an application in the use
of hotspot analysis. Significant regions generated from recorded crime data are compared with perceived local hotspots catalogued
from surveys with police officers. Results from this study show two discrete types of hotspot, here termed hotpoints and hotbeds.
The morphology of these crime hotpoints and hotbeds is discussed and possible causes documented.
Received: 9 October 1998/Accepted: 22 September 1999 相似文献
2.
For an effective interpretation of spatio‐temporal patterns of crime clusters/hotspots, we explore the possibility of three‐dimensional mapping of crime events in a space‐time cube with the aid of space‐time variants of kernel density estimation and scan statistics. Using the crime occurrence dataset of snatch‐and‐run offences in Kyoto City from 2003 to 2004, we confirm that the proposed methodology enables simultaneous visualisation of the geographical extent and duration of crime clusters, by which stable and transient space‐time crime clusters can be intuitively differentiated. Also, the combined use of the two statistical techniques revealed temporal inter‐cluster associations showing that transient clusters alternatively appeared in a pair of hotspot regions, suggesting a new type of “displacement” phenomenon of crime. Highlighting the complementary aspects of the two space‐time statistical approaches, we conclude that combining these approaches in a space‐time cube display is particularly valuable for a spatio‐temporal exploratory data analysis of clusters to extract new knowledge of crime epidemiology from a data set of space‐time crime events. 相似文献
3.
Clustering is an important approach to identifying hotspots with broad applications, ranging from crime area analysis to transport prediction and urban planning. As an on-demand transport service, taxis play an important role in urban systems, and the pick-up and drop-off locations in taxi GPS trajectory data have been widely used to detect urban hotspots for various purposes. In this work, taxi drop-off events are represented as linear features in the context of the road network space. Based on such representation, instead of the most frequently used Euclidian distance, Jaccard distance is calculated to measure the similarity of road segments for cluster analysis, and further, a network distance and graph-partitioning-based clustering method is proposed for improving the accuracy of urban hotspot detection. A case study is conducted using taxi trajectory data collected from over 6500 taxis during one week, and the results indicate that the proposed method can identify urban hotspots more precisely. 相似文献
4.
设施POI(point of interest)在城市地理空间中往往聚集分布,呈现热点特征。对该类POI分布热点的分析大多采用基于欧氏距离的空间密度估计,忽略了城市空间通达、连接是沿着街道路径的事实,从而很难准确、客观地反映城市功能的热点布局。本研究针对该缺陷,利用基于网络路径距离的核密度计算方法确定热点的区域密度,并提出了一种简单、高效的网络分析算法。该算法扩展二维栅格膨胀操作,以一维形态算子的连续扩展计算POI在网络单元上的密度值,通过评价试验表明,该算法比现有算法具有更好的性能和可扩展性。通过实际POI数据分析发现,考虑街道网络约束的热点范围可凸显设施功能沿交通网络布局的空间特征,为区域规划、导航以及地理信息查询等应用提供有价值的空间知识与信息服务。 相似文献
5.
6.
Population at risk of crime varies due to the characteristics of a population as well as the crime generator and attractor places where crime is located. This establishes different crime opportunities for different crimes. However, there are very few efforts of modeling structures that derive spatiotemporal population models to allow accurate assessment of population exposure to crime. This study develops population models to depict the spatial distribution of people who have a heightened crime risk for burglaries and robberies. The data used in the study include: Census data as source data for the existing population, Twitter geo-located data, and locations of schools as ancillary data to redistribute the source data more accurately in the space, and finally gridded population and crime data to evaluate the derived population models. To create the models, a density-weighted areal interpolation technique was used that disaggregates the source data in smaller spatial units considering the spatial distribution of the ancillary data. The models were evaluated with validation data that assess the interpolation error and spatial statistics that examine their relationship with the crime types. Our approach derived population models of a finer resolution that can assist in more precise spatial crime analyses and also provide accurate information about crime rates to the public. 相似文献
7.
美国内布拉斯加州林肯市犯罪行为的聚类及热点分布分析 总被引：1，自引：0，他引：1
抢劫和入室盗窃犯罪行为是日常生活中最长见的违法行为,而这两种违法行为的发生有一定的规律可循。例如抢劫行为主要发生在市中心、CBD和商业中心的人群、商铺密集区域,而入室盗窃则多发生于生活社区及其周边地带。然而,想要防范这两种犯罪行为需要根据实际情况进行分析和比对,结合分析结果提出准确合理的警力部署。美国内布拉斯加州林肯市警察局针对该市抢劫和入室盗窃犯罪行为高发的情况,需要针对具体分析结果对于警力进行部署,主要针对徒步巡逻和是否需要对住户进行入户警示进行分析,根据分析结果进行具体部署。本文中使用的分析方法为紧邻层空间聚类分析(NNH)和针对犯罪的空间和时间分析法(SPAC),分别对林肯市入室行窃和抢劫的数据进行分析并尝试将两种方法进行对比以便给出更加科学的分析报告。 相似文献
8.
'Situating' Simulation to Model Human Spatio-Temporal Interactions: An Example Using Crime Events 总被引：3，自引：0，他引：3
Elizabeth R Groff 《Transactions in GIS》2007,11(4):507-530
Many social phenomena have a spatio‐temporal dimension and involve dynamic decisions made by individuals. In the past, researchers have often turned to geographic information systems (GIS) to model these interactions. Although GIS provide a powerful tool for examining the spatial aspects of these interactions, they are unable to model the dynamic, individual‐level interactions across time and space. In an attempt to address these issues, some researchers have begun to use simulation models. But these models rely on artificial landscapes that do not take into account the environment in which humans move and interact. This research presents the methodology for ‘situating’ simulation through the use of a new modeling tool, Agent Analyst, which integrates agent‐based modeling (ABM) and GIS. Three versions of a model of street robbery are presented to illustrate the importance of using ‘real’ data to inform agent activity spaces and movement. The successful implementation of this model demonstrates that: (1) agents can move along existing street networks; (2) land use patterns can be used to realistically distribute agent's homes and activities across a city; and (3) the incidence and pattern of street robberies is significantly different when ‘real’ data are used. 相似文献
9.
近邻指数的城管案件全局分布模式分析 总被引：1，自引：0，他引：1
城市管理案件量化分析是城市管理水平提升的技术支撑。针对城市管理典型案件(街面秩序、市容环境及宣传广告),该文提出了一种热点探测流程和方法,并分析城市管理案件全局分布模式。针对传统量化研究的权重确定未考虑研究对象空间分布的问题,该文提出了基于城管案件近邻指数的权重确定方法,并以此为基础开展城管案件的全局分布模式研究。实验结果表明:3种典型城市管理案件呈显著的聚集分布,并且热点区域符合实验区的实证考察;近邻指数作为权重指标具有客观性、计算高效性,合理反映了城管案件的空间分布。 相似文献
10.
This study proposes network‐based spatial interpolation methods to help predict unknown spatial values along networks more accurately. It expands on two of the commonly used spatial interpolation methods, IDW (inverse distance weighting) and OK (ordinary kriging), and applies them to analyze spatial data observed on a network. The study first provides the methodological framework, and it then examines the validity of the proposed methods by cross‐validating elevations from two contrasting patterns of street network and comparing the MSEs (Mean Squared Errors) of the predicted values measured with the two proposed network‐based methods and their conventional counterparts. The study suggests that both network‐based IDW and network‐based OK are generally more accurate than their existing counterparts, with network‐based OK constantly outperforming the other methods. The network‐based methods also turn out to be more sensitive to the edge effect, and their performance improves after edge correction. Furthermore, the MSEs of standard OK and network‐based OK improve as more sample locations are used, whereas those of standard IDW and network‐based IDW remain stable regardless of the number of sample locations. The two network‐based methods use a similar set of sample locations, and their performance is inherently affected by the difference in their weight distribution among sample locations. 相似文献
11.
Positional Accuracy of Spatial Data: Non-Normal Distributions and a Critique of the National Standard for Spatial Data Accuracy 总被引：5，自引：0，他引：5
Paul A Zandbergen 《Transactions in GIS》2008,12(1):103-130
Spatial data quality is a paramount concern in all GIS applications. Existing spatial data accuracy standards, including the National Standard for Spatial Data Accuracy (NSSDA) used in the United States, commonly assume the positional error of spatial data is normally distributed. This research has characterized the distribution of the positional error in four types of spatial data: GPS locations, street geocoding, TIGER roads, and LIDAR elevation data. The positional error in GPS locations can be approximated with a Rayleigh distribution, the positional error in street geocoding and TIGER roads can be approximated with a log‐normal distribution, and the positional error in LIDAR elevation data can be approximated with a normal distribution of the original vertical error values after removal of a small number of outliers. For all four data types considered, however, these solutions are only approximations, and some evidence of non‐stationary behavior resulting in lack of normality was observed in all four datasets. Monte‐Carlo simulation of the robustness of accuracy statistics revealed that the conventional 100% Root Mean Square Error (RMSE) statistic is not reliable for non‐normal distributions. Some degree of data trimming is recommended through the use of 90% and 95% RMSE statistics. Percentiles, however, are not very robust as single positional accuracy statistics. The non‐normal distribution of positional errors in spatial data has implications for spatial data accuracy standards and error propagation modeling. Specific recommendations are formulated for revisions of the NSSDA. 相似文献
12.
GIS analyses use moving window methods and hotspot detection to identify point patterns within a given area. Such methods can detect clusters of point events such as crime or disease incidences. Yet, these methods do not account for connections between entities, and thus, areas with relatively sparse event concentrations but high network connectivity may go undetected. We develop two scan methods (i.e., moving window or focal processes), EdgeScan and NDScan, for detecting local spatial-social connections. These methods capture edges and network density, respectively, for each node in a given focal area. We apply methods to a social network of Mafia members in New York City in the 1960s and to a 2019 spatial network of home-to-restaurant visits in Atlanta, Georgia. These methods successfully capture focal areas where Mafia members are highly connected and where restaurant visitors are highly local; these results differ from those derived using traditional spatial hotspot analysis using the Getis–Ord Gi* statistic. Finally, we describe how these methods can be adapted to weighted, directed, and bipartite networks and suggest future improvements. 相似文献
13.
A key concern in crime analysis is the “hidden crime” problem. Crime events unaccounted for in police records limit the external validity of official statistics and, more importantly, hinder the ability of the police to manage crime and utilize their resources effectively. The problem is exacerbated in proactive initiatives aimed at curbing violence through hotspot policing, where inaccuracies and imprecision, or, worse, no data at all, diminish prevention efforts. Previous studies have sought to overcome the data problem by juxtaposing police records with ambulance data on assault callouts and have found profound disparities. Specifically, researchers matched “crime hotspots” with “ambulance hotspots” (rather than individual events) because patient confidentiality considerations have prevented health professionals from sharing subject-level data with the police. However, health services can safely share spatial data on wider areas that do not disclose personal information. We build on this line of inquiry by analyzing data from the Thames Valley, United Kingdom, and observing spatial hotspots of different sizes. The results demonstrate that while the police and ambulance services attend to the same communities and similar types of facilities, the police are “blinded” to the location of nearly 8 out of 10 assaults. The incongruency is shown even with severe assaults, but to a lesser extent. We then simulate the reduction in injuries if the police had access to health data at different spatial levels and show that even under the most conservative set of assumptions, such an approach can prevent between 113 and 116 violent injuries each year that might otherwise require hospitalization. 相似文献
14.
基于GIS的盐城市区域发展时空特征研究 总被引：1，自引：0，他引：1
以江苏省盐城市为例,获取了1975年、1990年、2000年、2004年、2006年和2010年6个年份的土地利用分类数据,研究了盐城市区域发展的时空变化。选取LISA指数用于捕捉局部空间聚类特征,探索时段内的发展集群区域;同时利用Getis指数捕捉集群区域内的发展峰值,展示发展冷点地区和热点地区。研究结果表明,发展聚类在空间上呈现散点式分布,分布较为明显,且随时间推移范围逐步扩大;热点分布区仍然呈现以县市中心城区为主的格局,且该时段内逐渐由内陆向沿海发展;冷点区则呈现明显的减少趋势,北部及部分沿海区域正逐步转换为热点区。 相似文献
15.
This study proposes a bootstrap-based space–time surveillance model. Designed to find emerging hotspots in near-real time, the bootstrap based model is characterized by its use of past occurrence information and bootstrap permutations. Many existing space–time surveillance methods, using population at risk data to generate expected values, have resulting hotspots bounded by administrative area units and are of limited use for near-real time applications because of the population data needed. However, this study generates expected values for local hotspots from past occurrences rather than population at risk. Also, bootstrap permutations of previous occurrences are used for significant tests. Consequently, the bootstrap-based model, without the requirement of population at risk data, (1) is free from administrative area restriction, (2) enables more frequent surveillance for continuously updated registry database, and (3) is readily applicable to criminology and epidemiology surveillance. The bootstrap-based model performs better for space–time surveillance than the space–time scan statistic. This is shown by means of simulations and an application to residential crime occurrences in Columbus, OH, year 2000. 相似文献
16.
随着热点卫星Triana的即将发射，地表热点季相和日相变化的研究变得日益重要。以几种植被冠层为例，采用计算机模拟的方法考查冠层热点的季相和日相变化。 相似文献
17.
一种城市形态中的空间可视分析方法 总被引：4，自引：0，他引：4
空间可视分析是空间句法的重要依据,是进行城市空间形态分析的新方法。在视域的行为指导原理上,采用可视集中性的概念来进行可视分析,进而通过可视分析各参数的具体量化,包括视域面积、视线长度等,将其应用到具体的城市街道形态中,分析各参数量化大小的分布情况。研究城市形态中可视分析通过“视域法则”影响人的行为,从而潜在决定城市内有关行人等基础设施的布局情况,现实中的设施分布也证明了这种分析的正确性。以武汉市中南地区为分析实例,说明上述各过程,验证城市形态对空间设施分布的影响。 相似文献
18.
An intelligent geospatial processing unit for image classification based on geographic vector agents (GVAs) 
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下载免费PDF全文 Spatial modeling methods usually use pixels and image objects as fundamental processing units to address real‐world objects, geo‐objects, in image space. To do this, both pixel‐based and object‐based approaches typically employ a linear two‐staged workflow of segmentation and classification. Pixel‐based methods segment a classified image to address geo‐objects in image space. In contrast, object‐based approaches classify a segmented image to identify geo‐objects from raster datasets. These methods lack the ability to simultaneously integrate the geometry and theme of geo‐objects in image space. This article explores Geographical Vector Agents (GVAs) as an automated and intelligent processing unit to directly address real‐world objects in the process of remote sensing image classification. The GVA is a distinct type of geographic automata characterized by elastic geometry, dynamic internal structure, neighborhoods and their respective rules. We test this concept by modeling a set of objects on a subset IKONOS image and LiDAR DSM datasets without the setting parameters (e.g. scale, shape information), usually applied in conventional Geographic Object‐Based Image Analysis (GEOBIA) approaches. The results show that the GVA approach achieves more than 3.5% improvement for correctness, 2% improvement for quality, although no significant improvement for completeness to GEOBIA, thus demonstrating the competitive performance of GVAs classification. 相似文献
19.
A large street network is likely to contain duplicated or similar sounding street names. These conflicts can cause confusion in communication between people or in machine‐human interaction. Municipal authorities have begun to see the importance of uncovering these existing street name conflicts and mitigating future ones, for improved record keeping, emergency response, etc. However the commonly used Soundex phonetic algorithm is generally considered to produce poor similarity results in terms of uncovering street name conflicts. This study reports on a new fusion algorithm that combines phonetic methods and approximate string matching for street names, weighted by street type suffix (Avenue, Boulevard, Court, etc.), to quantitatively measure the collision/confusion potential presented by a pair of streets. This algorithm is then applied to the entire street network in Greater Melbourne, Australia, and the pattern of collisions at various spatial scales, and within municipalities, is mapped. The goal of this work is to produce better tools that can aid policy makers, administrators and industries dealing with location‐based services to make better decisions when assigning and disambiguating street names. 相似文献
20.
将道路网络空间视为嵌在2D空间中的独立子空间,利用形态单一的线性单元剖分图结构的边,实现网络空间的栅格化;提取网格模式的典型特征,包括几何和拓扑特征,以栅格单元邻域为目标计算特征值,构建特征向量描述栅格单元,实现对象空间到特征空间的映射,构建空间向量场;基于支持向量机（support vector machine,SVM）实现网格模式分类;结合格式塔原则完善实验结果。将此方法应用于深圳市路网数据,实验结果表明能有效地识别网格模式。 相似文献