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1.
"经济大国能源与气候论坛"在推动全球主要国家就应对气候变化主要议题达成一致方面取得了进展,已初步显示出其作为联合国气候谈判晴雨表的特征。该论坛的实质是主要发达国家为转移减排责任和压力,降低减排成本,绑架主要发展中国家在全球应对气候变化领域实施的集体强权政治。论坛的核心目标在于推动全球量化减排,目的是借全球量化减排,营造低碳和气候友好技术的广大市场,使得具有技术优势的这些经济大国拥有新的主导全球经济的力量。我国应坚持"共同但有区别的责任"原则,联合与会发展中国家强调气候变化的历史责任,反对为全球温室气体排放设限等不公平提议,团结广大发展中国家,同时抓住论坛力推低碳经济和低碳技术发展的机遇,使我国站在全球新一轮技术革命的前沿。  相似文献   

2.
Summary The main characteristics of the spatial and temporal variability of winter and summer precipitation observed at 30 stations in Serbia and Montenegro were analysed for the period 1951–2000. The rainfall series were examined spatially by means of Empirical Orthogonal Functions (EOF) and temporally by means of the Mann-Kendall test and spectral analysis. The Alexandersson test was used to detect the inhomogeneity of the data set.The EOF analysis gave three winter and summer dominant modes of variations, which explained 89.7% and 70.4% of the variance, respectively. The time series associated with the first pattern showed a decreasing trend in winter precipitation. The spectral analysis showed a 16-year oscillation for the dominant winter pattern, around a 3-year oscillation for the dominant summer pattern, and a quasi-cycle of 2.5 years for the winter third pattern.  相似文献   

3.
Rain and air of Florence have been collected in a continuous way andanalysed by flow analysis spectrofluorimetric methods for formaldehydeand hydrogen peroxide. Diurnal and seasonal variations were observed;the mean/maximum concentrations of all data (as gm–3) are 3.3/23.4 for HCHO and 0.4/4.93 forH2O2. The effect of external sources and ofphotochemical reactions produces periods of positive and negativecorrelations for these compounds. The mean/maximum rain concentration ofall data are 98/443 g l–1 for HCHO and 84/685 g l–1 for H2O2. Concentrationratios rain/air and discrepancies to Henry's Law equilibrium arediscussed.  相似文献   

4.
Several lines of evidence show that climatic variation and global warming can have a major effect on fisheries production and replenishment. To prevent overfishing and rebuild overfished stocks under changing and uncertain environmental conditions, new research partnerships between fisheries scientists and climate change experts are required. The International Workshop on Climate and Oceanic Fisheries held in Rarotonga, Cook Islands, 3–5 October 2011, brought representatives from these disciplines together to consider the effects of climate variability and change on oceanic fisheries, the tools and strategies required for identifying potential impacts on oceanic fisheries, and the priority adaptations for sustaining future harvests, especially in the Pacific Ocean. Recommendations made by the workshop included (1) development and implementation of sustainable management measures for fisheries; (2) long-term commitment to monitoring necessary to assess stock status and to conduct integrated ecosystem assessments; (3) process oriented research to evaluate the potential of marine species for adaptation to a changing ocean environment; (4) provision of improved national meteorological and hydrological services to fisheries agencies, enterprises and communities; (5) continuing communication of potential impacts and adaptation strategies to stakeholders to reduce the threats to oceanic fisheries and capitalise on opportunities; and (6) continued collaborative efforts between meteorological, oceanographic, biological and fisheries researchers and management agencies to better monitor and understand the impacts of short-term variability and longer-term change on oceanic fisheries.  相似文献   

5.
针对烟花爆竹场所,介绍了建筑物防雷类别划分、雷电防护技术与设计要求,概述了防雷防静电检测技术要点,并就烟花爆竹场所的雷电防护与检测技术进行了探讨。  相似文献   

6.
目前，我们现有的市电系统存在不稳定因素，为保证计算机和网络系统的供电正常，应使用UPS不间断供电电源。本文介绍了UPS的工作原理及种类，并就如何对其进行正确的使用和维护进行了论述。  相似文献   

7.
This study validates a method for discriminating between daytime clouds and dust aerosol layers over the Sahara Desert that uses a combination of active CALIOP（Cloud-Aerosol Lidar with Orthogonal Polarization） and passive IIR（Infrared Imaging Radiometer） measurements;hereafter,the CLIM method.The CLIM method reduces misclassification of dense dust aerosol layers in the Sahara region relative to other techniques.When evaluated against a suite of simultaneous measurements from CALIPSO（Cloud-Aerosol Lidar and Infrared Pathfinder Satellite Observations）,CloudSat,and the MODIS（Moderate-resolution Imaging Spectroradiometer）,the misclassification rate for dust using the CLIM technique is 1.16%during boreal spring 2007.This rate is lower than the misclassification rates for dust using the cloud aerosol discriminations performed for version 2（V2-CAD;16.39%） or version 3（V3-CAD;2.01%） of the CALIPSO data processing algorithm.The total identification errors for data from in spring 2007 are 13.46%for V2-CAD,3.39%for V3-CAD,and 1.99%for CLIM.These results indicate that CLIM and V3-CAD are both significantly better than V2-CAD for discriminating between clouds and dust aerosol layers.Misclassifications by CLIM in this region are mainly limited to mixed cloud-dust aerosol layers.V3-CAD sometimes misidentifies low-level aerosol layers adjacent to the surface as thin clouds,and sometimes fails to detect thin clouds entirely.The CLIM method is both simple and fast,and may be useful as a reference for testing or validating other discrimination techniques and methods.  相似文献   

8.
Soil degradation is widely considered to be a key factor undermining agricultural livelihoods in the developing world and contributing to rural out-migration. To date, however, few quantitative studies have examined the effects of soil characteristics on human migration or other social outcomes for potentially vulnerable households. This study takes advantage of a unique longitudinal survey dataset from Kenya and Uganda containing information on household-level soil properties to investigate the effects of soil quality on population mobility. Random effects multinomial logit models are used to test for effects of soil quality on both temporary and permanent migration while accounting for a variety of potential confounders. The analysis reveals that soil quality significantly reduces migration in Kenya, particularly for temporary labor migration, but marginally increases migration in Uganda. These findings are consistent with several previous studies in showing that adverse environmental conditions tend to increase migration but not universally, contrary to common assumptions about environmentally-induced migration.  相似文献   

9.
Violins and climate   总被引：4，自引：0，他引：4  
Summary This paper explores the possibility of using ring-width measurements derived from string instruments as a potential source of palaeoclimate information. From a data-base of 1800 measured series, we have identified two sub-sets that compare well with living high elevation spruce (Picea abies (L.) Karst) chronologies from the Bavarian Forest and Austrian Alps. The problems of using historical tree-ring data for dendroclimatic purposes are addressed and by combining the living and historic ring-width data from these two regions, a preliminary proxy of past June/July mean temperatures is developed. This proxy summer temperature record shows striking similarities with a tree-ring based temperature reconstruction for the Central Eastern Alps, the CLIMHIST June/July temperature record from Switzerland and glacial records from the Austrian Alps. This explorative study demonstrates that ring-width series from string instruments may allow the identification of generalised source regions of wood used for instrument making and, most importantly, provide a new unique source for palaeoclimate information at a variety of both temporal and spatial scales for high elevations in central Europe.  相似文献   

10.
This study presents a methodology for modeling and mapping the seasonal and annual air temperature and precipitation climate normals over Greece using several topographical and geographical parameters. Data series of air temperature and precipitation from 84 weather stations distributed evenly over Greece are used along with a set of topographical and geographical parameters extracted with Geographic Information System methods from a digital elevation model (DEM). Normalized difference vegetation index (NDVI) obtained from MODIS Aqua satellite data is also used as a geographical parameter. First, the relation of the two climate elements to the topographical and geographical parameters was investigated based on the Pearson’s correlation coefficient to identify the parameters that mostly affect the spatial variability of air temperature and precipitation over Greece. Then a backward stepwise multiple regression was applied to add topographical and geographical parameters as independent variables into a regression equation and develop linear estimation models for both climate parameters. These models are subjected to residual correction using different local interpolation methods, in an attempt to refine the estimated values. The validity of these models is checked through cross-validation error statistics against an independent test subset of station data. The topographical and geographical parameters used as independent variables in the multiple regression models are mostly those found to be strongly correlated with both climatic variables. Models perform best for annual and spring temperatures and effectively for winter and autumn temperatures. Summer temperature spatial variability is rather poorly simulated by the multiple regression model. On the contrary, best performance is obtained for summer and autumn precipitation while the multiple regression model is not able to simulate effectively the spatial distribution of spring precipitation. Results revealed also a relatively weaker model performance for precipitation than that for air temperature probably due to the highly variable nature of precipitation compared to the relatively low spatial variability of air temperature field. The correction of the developed regression models using residuals improved though not significantly the interpolation accuracy.  相似文献   

11.
Vast areas of rangelands across the world are grazed with increasing intensity, but interactions between livestock production, biodiversity and other ecosystem services are poorly studied. This study explicitly determines trade-offs and synergies between ecosystem services and livestock grazing intensity on rangelands. Grazing intensity and its effects on forage utilization by livestock, carbon sequestration, erosion prevention and biodiversity are quantified and mapped, using global datasets and models. Results show that on average 4% of the biomass produced annually is consumed by livestock. On average, erosion prevention is 10% lower in areas with a high grazing intensity compared to areas with a low grazing intensity, whereas carbon emissions are more than four times higher under high grazing intensity compared to low grazing intensity. Rangelands with the highest grazing intensity are located in the Sahel, Pakistan, West India, Middle East, North Africa and parts of Brazil. These high grazing intensities result in carbon emissions, low biodiversity values, low capacity for erosion prevention and unsustainable forage utilization. Although the applied models simplify the processes of ecosystem service supply, our study provides a global overview of the consequences of grazing for biodiversity and ecosystem services. The expected increasing future demand for livestock products likely increase pressures on rangelands. Global-scale models can help to identify targets and target areas for international policies aiming at sustainable future use of these rangelands.  相似文献   

12.
One hundred atmospheric samples were collected aboard the French Caravelle research aircraft, during the TROPOZ II experiment (January 1991). Tropospheric meridional distributions versus height were then derived from 70° N to 60° S and between 0.25 km and 11 km for methane, acetylene, ethane and propane. Areas of significant emissions were identified over northern latitudes with, for acetylene, maximum mixing ratios in the north (1.896 ppbv) more than 70 times higher than in background southern latitudes (0.025 ppbv). The influence of emissions from biomass burning was also obvious in the tropical boundary layer. Significant dynamic phenomena led to high mixing ratio zones above 8 or 10 km even for the most reactive hydrocarbons.For the first time, simultaneous assessment of global tropospheric contents of several light hydrocarbons was carried out. Using TROPOZ II data (January 1991) and STRATOZ III data (June 1984) collected by Rudolph (1988) during similar aircraft flights in 1988, the following tropospheric loads (in Tg-compound) were estimated, in January 1991 and June 1984, respectively: 1.1 and 0.4 for acetylene, 5.0 and 3.9 for ethane, 3.6 and 1.4 for propane and 3545 for methane in January only. According to our results, 40 to 65% of acetylene and alkanes are oxidized in the tropics. In addition, by computing the annual tropospheric sink of acetylene and alkanes, an evaluation of their annual global fluxes was performed. The figures are, in Tg-compound y-1 with an uncertainty of 80% to an order of magnitude, based on January and June data, respectively: 10 and 6.6 for acetylene, 16.3 and 17.6 for ethane and 52.3 and 26.5 for propane.  相似文献   

13.
植物群体结构与太阳辐射的垂直分布及其变化   总被引：3，自引：1，他引：3       下载免费PDF全文
茶树、小麦和樟树群体叶面积垂直分布的差异显著，但在一定精度内，它们可用相同的函数形式描述，具有理论意义。茶树叶倾角基本服从正态分布，方差较大。不同的植物群体中，太阳辐射的垂直分布有别，与群体叶面积垂直分布密切相关。光合有效辐射（PAR）的消光系数大于总辐射（TSR）的消光系数；一天中，群体下部的光照条件以中午前后为佳，消光系数（k）最小；k值与太阳高度角的正弦成反比。考虑到k值的日变化，指数衰减律仍不失为一种简单实用的数学模型。  相似文献   

14.
In this study, weighing lysimeters were used to investigate the daily crop coefficient and evapotranspiration of wheat and maize in the Fars province, Iran. The locally calibrated Food and Agriculture Organization (FAO) Penman–Monteith equation was used to calculate the reference crop evapotranspiration (ETo). Micro-lysimetry was used to measure soil evaporation (E). Transpiration (T) was estimated by the difference between crop evapotranspiration (ETc) and E. The single crop coefficient (K c) was calculated by the ratio of ETc to ETo. Furthermore, the dual crop coefficient is composed of the soil evaporation coefficient (K e) and the basal crop coefficients (K cb) calculated from the ratio of E and T to ETo, respectively. The maximum measured evapotranspiration rate for wheat was 9.9 mm?day?1 and for maize was 10 mm?day?1. The total evaporation from the soil surface was about 30 % of the total wheat ETc and 29.8 % of total maize ETc. The single crop coefficient (K c) values for the initial, mid-, and end-season growth stages of maize were 0.48, 1.40, and 0.31 and those of wheat were 0.77, 1.35, and 0.26, respectively. The measured K c values for the initial and mid-season stages were different from the FAO recommended values. Therefore, the FAO standard equation for K c-mid was calibrated locally for wheat and maize. The K cb values for the initial, mid-, and end-season growth stages were 0.23, 1.14, and 0.13 for wheat and 0.10, 1.07, and 0.06 for maize, respectively. Furthermore, the FAO procedure for single crop coefficient showed better predictions on a daily basis, although the dual crop coefficient method was more accurate on seasonal scale.  相似文献   

15.
A wide set of published mass and heat transfer data is reviewed in terms of the stochastic renewal theory. A simple model is then proposed describing the transfer in terms of the fluid bulk properties. Two expressions are presented and they enable us to evaluate the bulk transfer velocity as a function of the turbulence of the flow for smooth and fully-rough surfaces in large ranges of Schmidt (or Prandtl) and Reynolds numbers. The transfer over transitional surfaces can also be evaluated by using a simple criterion for the choice of the right expression. The proposed relationships agree satisfactorily with data from laboratory and atmospheric measurements, for both solid and liquid surfaces.  相似文献   

16.
CMIP6 Evaluation and Projection of Temperature and Precipitation over China   总被引：2，自引：0，他引：2  
This article evaluates the performance of 20 Coupled Model Intercomparison Project phase 6(CMIP6)models in simulating temperature and precipitation over China through comparisons with gridded observation data for the period of 1995–2014,with a focus on spatial patterns and interannual variability.The evaluations show that the CMIP6 models perform well in reproducing the climatological spatial distribution of temperature and precipitation,with better performance for temperature than for precipitation.Their interannual variability can also be reasonably captured by most models,however,poor performance is noted regarding the interannual variability of winter precipitation.Based on the comprehensive performance for the above two factors,the“highest-ranked”models are selected as an ensemble(BMME).The BMME outperforms the ensemble of all models(AMME)in simulating annual and winter temperature and precipitation,particularly for those subregions with complex terrain but it shows little improvement for summer temperature and precipitation.The AMME and BMME projections indicate annual increases for both temperature and precipitation across China by the end of the 21st century,with larger increases under the scenario of the Shared Socioeconomic Pathway 5/Representative Concentration Pathway 8.5(SSP585)than under scenario of the Shared Socioeconomic Pathway 2/Representative Concentration Pathway 4.5(SSP245).The greatest increases of annual temperature are projected for higher latitudes and higher elevations and the largest percentage-based increases in annual precipitation are projected to occur in northern and western China,especially under SSP585.However,the BMME,which generally performs better in these regions,projects lower changes in annual temperature and larger variations in annual precipitation when compared to the AMME projections.  相似文献   

17.
通过对强降雨监测预警产品原理和方法的阐述,介绍了根据强降雨规律性特征和概念模型原理,利用卫星与自动站资料生成的强降雨监测预警产品制作流程,指出了产品特点、应用方式和注意事项,为强降雨监测预警产品的合理使用提供参考.  相似文献   

18.
Two integrated assessment models, one for climate change on a global scale (IMAGE 2) and another for the regional analysis of the impacts of acidifying deposition (RAINS), have been linked to assess the impacts of reducing sulphur emission on ecosystems in Asia and Europe. While such reductions have the beneficial effect of reducing the deposition of acidifying compounds and thus the exceedance of critical loads of ecosystems, they also reduce the global level of sulphate aerosols and thus enhance the impact of increased emissions of greenhouse gases, and consequently increase the risk of potential vegetation changes. The calculations indicate that about 70% of the ecosystems in Asia would be affected by either acid deposition or climate change in the year 2100 (up from 20% in 1990) for both sulphur emission scenarios (controlled and uncontrolled), whereas in Europe the impacted area would remain at a level of about 50%, with a dip early next century. More generally, the effects of reducing sulphur emissions and thus enhancing climate change would about balance for the Asian region, whereas for Europe the desirable impact of sulphur emission reductions would greatly outweigh its undesirable effects.  相似文献   

19.
干旱及半干旱区土壤水热传输模式研究   总被引：26，自引：2，他引：24  
本文发展了一个干旱地区土壤中水分及热量传输模式。首先从土壤孔隙内水汽运动研究入手,阐明了在土壤深层孔隙中水汽压与液面饱和值之间处在平衡态,而土壤表层则处在非平衡态,因而必要在计算表层蒸发的公式中引入必要的土壤表层阻力,才可使模式简单实用。在此基础上建立了考虑液态水及汽态水运动耦合的多层模式,并用HEIFE沙漠站的资料对模式进行了验证,结果表明此模式较好地再现土壤内及地气界面上的水热交换过程,并且也表明干旱地区土壤中水蒸汽输送对水分平衡及蒸发的计算是重要的。这种模式很易推广到气候研究的干旱土壤下垫面的模式中去。  相似文献   

20.
Mean and variance evolutions of the hot and cold temperatures in Europe   总被引：1，自引：1，他引：0  
In this paper, we examine the trends of temperature series in Europe, for the mean as well as for the variance in hot and cold seasons. To do so, we use as long and homogenous series as possible, provided by the European Climate Assessment and Dataset project for different locations in Europe, as well as the European ENSEMBLES project gridded dataset and the ERA40 reanalysis. We provide a definition of trends that we keep as intrinsic as possible and apply non-parametric statistical methods to analyse them. Obtained results show a clear link between trends in mean and variance of the whole series of hot or cold temperatures: in general, variance increases when the absolute value of temperature increases, i.e. with increasing summer temperature and decreasing winter temperature. This link is reinforced in locations where winter and summer climate has more variability. In very cold or very warm climates, the variability is lower and the link between the trends is weaker. We performed the same analysis on outputs of six climate models proposed by European teams for the 1961–2000 period (1950–2000 for one model), available through the PCMDI portal for the IPCC fourth assessment climate model simulations. The models generally perform poorly and have difficulties in capturing the relation between the two trends, especially in summer.  相似文献   

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